KEY TAKEAWAYS * September is usually a weak month in the stock market and this time it may be no different * In spite of the selloff the broader equity indexes are still trending higher * Rising oil prices and the US dollar may put some pressure on inflation "September is when... READ MORE
Probably the worst or at least one of the worst performers in the overall market and in the commodities market, natural gas is choppy and lifeless. So why write about it? For starters, we love an underdog. Perhaps a bit too contrarian, as the reasons for the decline in natural... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The Williams True Seasonal is a unique tool that detects stocks via seasonality patterns * The Williams True Seasonal indicator differs from other seasonality indicators in that it provides greater accuracy by tweaking the way it uses data * The main benefit in using the Williams True Seasonal indicator is... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Willie Delwiche, CMT, CFA of Hi Mount Research outlines the long-term uptrend in interest rates and shares two sectors to focus on given the rising rate environment. Host David Keller, CMT tracks the sharp pullback for semiconductors and breaks... READ MORE
In this edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, Tyler examines a return to strong "Go" conditions in the US Dollar index (UUP) and US Treasury rates ($TNX) on both the daily and weekly timeframes. The trend following model is clearly to the upside, but momentum has not shown... READ MORE
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe explains the importance of the MACD Zero line. First, he discusses what the zero line is and why it is significant. Then, Joe shows how it can identify great trade opportunities when used in multiple timeframes. Joe... READ MORE
In this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete goes over the usual suspects in the markets. He presents a review of both the SPX and the NDX indexes, followed by a review of the US Dollar and a quick look at bonds using the TLT ETF.... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Energy stocks are in focus as US crude oil prices continue rising higher * Oil prices have more room to rise but if prices go too high there may be demand pressures * Diamondback Energy is getting close to its 52-week high With Labor Day weekend behind us, it'... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Ari Wald, CFA, CMT of Oppenheimer & Co. shows how energy stocks are taking a leadership role, with high beta sectors still outperforming low volatility defensive stocks. Host David Keller, CMT tracks the latest downswing and describes a potential... READ MORE
On July 5th, Mish wrote an article called "Sell in July and Go Away? Calendar Range Reset". In that article, she noted, "should IWM fail to clear the calendar range high and worse, break down under a new 6-month calendar range low[...] it would be hard to... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave notes severe weakness in the small-cap space as the Russell 2000 forms a potential head-and-shoulders topping pattern. He answers viewer questions on index volume, Coppock curves and running oscillators on breadth indicators. This video originally premiered on September 5,... READ MORE
This entire year, retail, as measured by the ETF XRT (a.k.a. the Granny of the Economic Modern Family), has underperformed the SPY and QQQs. Encumbered by higher interest rates, higher oil prices, higher inflation, higher insurance costs, and a burgeoning credit card debt, we have wondered many times... READ MORE
The business cycle has been with us for as long as reliable financial records have been available, and that's at least 200 years. It may seem to be a mysterious force, but it is nothing more than a set sequence of chronological events that just keeps repeating. The... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave and Grayson co-host a special presentation, wherein they unveil the top 10 charts that are poised to shape the landscape of September 2023. This video originally premiered on September 4, 2023. Watch on our dedicated Final Bar pageon StockCharts... READ MORE
The month of August has come to an end, and that means a focus on long-term trends, using monthly Relative Rotation Graphs in combination with the finalized price (bar-)charts for August, on this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight. Julius de Kempenaer assesses the rotations of asset... READ MORE
Hello to all my StockCharts supporters! First of all, thank you for your readership of my Trading Places blog, which is now in its 8th year. Also, thanks to all of you that watch my Trading Places LIVE shows that air on Tuesdays, Wednesdays, and Thursdays at 9:00am ET.... READ MORE
The past five sessions of the week saw the Indian equities trading in a defined and narrower range. The first four sessions were seen leading the markets to a weekly loss, but the strong trading session on Friday saw NIFTY recouping its losses. The index oscillated in 234.90-point range,... READ MORE
I love the seasonality information that StockCharts.com provides. It's important to keep in mind that seasonal tendencies are secondary indicators. I don't buy and sell based on them, because the price/volume combination will always be my primary indicator. But if technical indications point to... READ MORE
There is some validity to the best six months strategy, but investors would probably be better off with a simple timing tool. According to the Stock Trader's Almanac, the best six-month period runs from November to April. The worst six-month period runs from May to October. This is... READ MORE
Last week, the broader markets regained their uptrend, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Indexes both closing above their key 50-day moving averages on Tuesday. In addition, the RSI and Stochastics turned positive as well. This price action indicates that the 3-week pullback which began in late July... READ MORE
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews the new uptrend in the markets and shares where the current strength is, as well as the best ways for you to participate. She also highlights the move back into earnings winners from last month as the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Overall, the stock market has managed to hold on to its upward rally even in spite of a pullback * Crude oil prices rose on news of production cuts * Treasury yields rose on the jobs report data The much-awaited August jobs report was released on Friday. While it came... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave wraps the market week with a discussion of higher interest rates, their implication for growth stocks, and why charts like TSLA shouldn't get an "all clear" until they break above the 50-day moving average. He... READ MORE
GoNoGo Charts help investors retain an objective evidence-based view on what is actually happening in the markets, and this week has shown the weight of the evidence on the side of the bulls. In this edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, Alex and Tyler examine the fade of US Dollar... READ MORE
Cycle Deep Dive At times, it seems there are as many cycles as there are traders. I have been focusing on the shorter-term ones, those ranging from 2 to 5 years. Recently, I pondered on the clear fact that cycle forecasts work far better to spot market bottoms than tops.... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, TG Watkins of Simpler Trading shows how breadth conditions are very similar to previous bull market pullbacks. Dave focuses in on constructive setups in gold and crude oil, then highlights one semiconductor stock featuring a symmetrical triangle pattern. This video... READ MORE
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe explains the importance of the DI lines when looking at the ADX indicator. He discusses how we can determine who is in control and when to be on the lookout for a reversal. Joe then analyses the... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Adrien Zduńczyk of TheBirbNest charts Bitcoin's bounce off support at $25K and relates bullish Bitcoin trends to a broader risk appetite for investors. Host David Keller, CMT highlights the McClellan Oscillator breaking back above the crucial zero level... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Comparing risky asskets with more conservative ones can reflect investor confidence * Negative divergences offer subtle indications of a deterioration of a stock market rally * An upward trend indicates that investor confidence is positive Traders and investors pay a lot of attention to surveys to assess swings in sentiment,... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Get a macro view of the market by analyzing the broader indexes * Identify stocks which show a divergence between price and the Williams Insider Accumulation Index * If accumulation is increasing and the stock price starts moving higher, it could be an ideal entry point Whether you're... READ MORE
Conference Board Economic Forecast: Looking into 2024, we expect the volatility that dominated the US economy over the pandemic period to diminish. In the second half of 2024, we forecast that overall growth will return to more stable pre-pandemic rates, inflation will drift closer to 2 percent, and the Fed... READ MORE
In this special edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Danielle Shay of Simpler Trading breaks down the current short-covering rally and walks through her current setups for QQQ, NVDA, MSFT, and TSLA. Host Dave tracks the recent drop in interest rates and shows how Bitcoin has bounced off... READ MORE
In this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete reexamines the chart he posted before the Jackson Hole meeting; Chairman Powell validated his thinking that the Fed Policy will remain tight until the unemployment rate increases. He then gives a quick review of the SPX and the... READ MORE
What if you had access to a forecasting tool capable of predicting the most likely path prices may take roughly in the next three months? The caveat here is that it can't accurately pinpoint the peaks and troughs, but it can approximate them with relative accuracy. This is... READ MORE
In August's last regular episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I address the seasonal patterns in sector rotation and looks to find alignment with the current rotations as they are playing out on the Relative Rotation Graph. September is not the strongest month in terms of... READ MORE
In this special edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest host Mish Schneider (MarketGauge) steps in for Dave. Mish puts her own spin on the Market Recap, starting with the indices and exploring sectors using her "Economic Modern Family" analysis. Mish then sits down with Keith... READ MORE
Bonds have had one of the worst years in modern times and one of the fastest rates of interest rate rises. The good news is the market has absorbed the bond's performance. A better risk-on environment is when the SPY outperforms the long bonds. The same is true... READ MORE
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl introduces viewers to the new Market Bias table now included in the DecisionPoint Alert. This table covers all the major indexes, sectors, and select industry groups. He goes over how we determine the bias in the intermediate and... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * $INDU chart resting at double support and likely to bounce higher * Outperform the index by avoiding four stocks The Relative Rotation Graph above, which shows the rotations inside the DJ Industrials index, exhibits an evenly-spread-out universe of stocks. This is primarily the result of $INDU being a price-weighted... READ MORE
Small caps, as measured by IWM, are key for the fall and heading into 2024. You can also look at the S&P 600 (SML). IWM could be forming an inverted head-and-shoulders bottom, going back from the start of 2023. (See the rectangle area of the IWM chart). SPY... READ MORE