In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Doug Ramsey, CFA CMT of The Leuthold Group talks small-cap underperformance and shares two breadth indicators illustrating the recently dire conditions. Host David Keller, CMT declares the 200-day moving average "the most important line in the sand for... READ MORE
The next direction of the long bonds is crucial in determining the macro. First, after a wrecking ball crash and ahead of the FOMC, we could surmise that a bottoming-like action defines the last several trading days. Our Real Motion indicator shows a mean reversion. The 10-day moving averages (cyan... READ MORE
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete reviews the bullish percent index; with all the market talking about oversold conditions, the bullish percent makes that narrative make more sense. He then reviews the 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) and deciphers what is happening on... READ MORE
In this special edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Mish Schneider, Chief Strategist at MarketGauge, takes over for Dave Keller to share her thoughts on the daily Market Recap during a day of uncertain news. This video originally premiered on October 9, 2023. Watch on our dedicated Final... READ MORE
For consistency, here are the key go-tos during an uncertain time in the market: 1. The next direction of long bonds (TLT). 2. The next direction of the small caps and retail sectors (IWM, XRT). 3. The next direction of commodities, all of them, but particularly the agricultural ones, oil... READ MORE
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl opens the show with a discussion of the yield curve, followed by his coverage of the Magnificent 7+ and the market in general. Erin looks at the effect of war on the Energy sector, as well as a... READ MORE
Despite the volatile moves during the four sessions of this week's shortened frame, we ended on a very flat note for the second time in a row. The trading range remained slightly wider compared to the previous week. Compared to the 274.55-point range in the week before,... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The accumulation phase is marked by higher highs and higher lows, as investors push the price onward and ever upward. * Stocks in the distribution phase are trending lower, with the price usually below two downward-sloping moving averages. * A symmetrical triangle or "coil" pattern is a telltale... READ MORE
I spent all of last week, in the media and in print, going over the importance of 2 key indicators. (See the media clips below.) 1. Our risk gauges on Big View, all of which kept flashing risk-on regardless of the doom-and-gloom and initial selloff in bonds and SPY. 2.... READ MORE
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews the bullish bias that's shaping up in the markets as high-growth areas begin to turn positive. She also provides insights into what's driving this price action, as well as what to be on... READ MORE
In this special edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down the crucial charts shaping October 2023's financial landscape. This video originally premiered on October 6, 2023. Watch on our dedicated Final Bar pageon StockCharts TV, or clickthis linkto watch on YouTube. New episodes of... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Strong September jobs report caused an initial shock but investors overcame it and the broader stock market indexes all closed higher * Volatility remained below 20 during the trading day * In addition to Technology and Communication Services, Financials may be showing bullish strength September's strong labor market—... READ MORE
The bond market is doing what the Federal Reserve hasn't -- raising rates. The fear is something is going to break. On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete reviews the TLT chart again, talking over the US 2-year yield less the US 10-year... READ MORE
In this edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, Alex and Tyler take a familiar approach to the markets, starting at the top and working their way down. Going into the sectors, it is healthcare that is starting to outperform, and within that sector, healthcare providers are taking the lead. Single... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Jesse Felder of The Felder Report shares his long-term charts comparing price and earnings, and reveals the two charts he's watching now to navigate a potential market bottom. Dave focuses on resilient strength in the semiconductor group and... READ MORE
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe discusses the importance of the 18-month MA line for investing. He shows how it can provide a bias for a stock or market for years, and how it reveals when to play counter to the trend. Joe... READ MORE
S&P 500 earnings are in for 2023 Q2, and here is our valuation analysis. The following chart shows the normal value range of the S&P 500 Index, indicating where the S&P 500 would have to be in order to have an overvalued P/E... READ MORE
Yesterday, we covered the 80-month moving average in small caps and retail. Today, I did several interviews -- some already out (BNN Bloomberg), others out soon (Financial Sense with Jim Pupluva), and the one that you'll find on YouTubelater today with Real Vision. We chose this one to... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave digs out his market correction playbook and shares what market breadth indicators tend to do leading into and out of market bottoms. He also reveals the charts that can serve investors well in corrective phases, using relative strength as... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Rising yields have wreaked havoc on equities but it's not necessarily a cause for worry * Growth stocks have performed well during high interest rate environments and are likely to do so again * The Bullish Percent Index can signal when a turnaround will occur The stock market... READ MORE
In this week's edition of Trading Simplified, Dave shows his methodology in action by discussing his current portfolio and how he is seeing each position to its fruition. He then resumes his series on Jesse Livermore. This week, he explains how years of experience can give you intuition,... READ MORE
The Dollar Index I last wrote an article on the dollar in August, The Dollar Index Goes to Missouri. In it, I pointed out that the Index had reached crucial resistance, which, if surpassed, would signal a new primary bull market and a likely fourth up leg to the secular... READ MORE
We began the year examining the 23-month moving averages in all the indices and major market sectors. It was pretty simple, really: buy anything that cleared the blue line (2-year business cycle), which we explained was a good reflection of a cycle within a cycle (6-7 year cycles are typical)... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Jeff Huge, CMT of JWH Investment Partners updates his Elliott Wave count for the S&P 500 and shares what the MOVE index can tell us about further upside potential for interest rates. Dave recaps the continued deterioration... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Market is entering strongest period of the year * Positive seasonal expectations for Technology and Financials * Weaker outlook for Healthcare and Energy * Current rotations for Tech and Healthcare are in line with seasonality We are already in October .... How did that happen? Also, I am writing this article while... READ MORE
If you are finding yourself fluctuating between bullishness and bearishness, then congratulations! Hopefully, that also means you are waiting for certain signals to help you commit to one way or another. Here are the signals we are waiting for before overly committing to a bias: 1. As we wrote over... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shows how market breadth conditions have continued to deteriorate to the point where signs of a bottom may emerge. He answers viewer questions on historical Fed cycles, under-performance of defensive sectors like utilities, and how to use technical analysis... READ MORE
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl, after a walkthrough of the Magnificent 7+ stocks, examines how, while it was clear that there's some strength to be had in the Nasdaq, one look at the Ultrashort for Dow 30 (SDOW) and an internal... READ MORE
First & Foremost I want to personally thank you for subscribing to "Focus on Stocks". I will do all I can to earn the confidence you have placed in me. -- Larry Williams Is it a Different World? "I have to pay attention to the implications of... READ MORE
Although the market stayed flat on a week-to-week basis, the past five trading sessions highlighted the possibility of the market continuing with its corrective retracement. In the previous technical note, it was categorically mentioned that the INDIAVIX had closed at a precariously low level, which had left us vulnerable to... READ MORE
The S&P 500 posted its worst month so far this year, with a 4.9% decline that's pushed the year-to-date returns for this benchmark index almost in half. With elevated interest rates that may be with us for a while, investors have pushed stocks lower, in... READ MORE
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews areas of the market that are bucking the downtrend pressure elsewhere, as those often go on to provide leadership once the markets turn. She also shares how to use ETFs to uncover rotation taking place beneath the... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers viewer questions about Tesla's potential trajectory towards the 200-day moving average and ways to normalize relative strength graphs using volatility measures. He also dives into his past trades' technical setup, shares tips for setting up... READ MORE
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson talks all about ChartPacks -- the QUICKEST and EASIEST way to enhance your StockCharts account (old or new) in just one click! ChartPacks are pre-created collections of ChartLists that you can install right into your account;... READ MORE
In this edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, Tyler and Alex walk through a top-down approach to the markets and see that there are plenty of reasons why equities are struggling. Treasury rates and the Dollar are in strong "Go" moves and breaking out. The trend was strong... READ MORE
The internals have all cycled to extreme low areas, which tells TG that being short would be risky -- just like being super long at the end of July was also risky. The pendulum has swung to the lows, and now, in this week's edition of Moxie Indicator... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Market volatility is low yet few stocks are trading above their 50-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages * Market indicators are showing lack of momentum in the stock market * Q4 earnings could be the catalyst that moves the market As Q3 and a dismal September end, some interesting dynamics... READ MORE
We do not want to walk down the political aisle. Nonetheless, what person can turn their heads away from the Sunday deadline on funding the government? The aftermath of a shutdown will most likely include a credit downgrade for the US. Do Americans need another reason to distrust the politicos?... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Samantha LaDuc of LaDuc Capital breaks down the implications of higher interest rates and why semiconductors remain a crucial space to watch. Host David Keller, CMT tracks the recent rally in Bitcoin and identifies two key names testing moving average... READ MORE
We have introduced two new tables in the DecisionPoint ALERT to give an overview of trend and BIAS for the major market indexes, sectors, and industry groups that we track. The first is our Market Scoreboard, which shows the current Intermediate-Term and Long-Term Trend Model (ITTM and LTTM) signal status.... READ MORE