KEY TAKEAWAYS * The break of SPX 5850 suggests further downside in January for the equity benchmarks. * Using price pattern analysis, we can use the height of the head and shoulders pattern to determine potential support around SPX 5600. * We can further validate this downside target using Fibonacci Retracements and moving... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The best five sectors remain unchanged. * XLC and XLF are both starting to show weakness. * XLI is holding above support, while XLK remains within rising channel. The composition of the top five sectors remains unchanged this week, despite an interrupted trading week. This stability comes against a backdrop... READ MORE
S&P 500 earnings are in for 2024 Q3, and here is our valuation analysis. The following chart shows the normal value range of the S&P 500 Index, indicating where the S&P 500 would have to be in order to have an overvalued P/E... READ MORE
In this exclusive StockCharts video,Julius takes a look at what he recently called "The Best Five Sectors" on a relative rotation graph side-by-side with their price charts. He then takes an in-depth at Consumer Discretionary, and shares some interesting stocks within, including AMZN, ULTA, and more. This... READ MORE
In this exclusive StockCharts video, Joe shares how to identify the best entry point by using two timeframes, Moving Averages, MACD and ADX. He shows two different examples of when to pull the trigger. Joe highlights weakness in the Large Cap universe, and finally goes through the symbol requests that... READ MORE
The Long-Term Picture No market goes up forever and, at some point, Bitcoin will top out. It's currently down about 12% from its peak, set on December 17 less than 4 weeks ago, so there is scant evidence at this point indicating a primary bear market. For example,... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Strong Services PMI and more job openings puts inflation narrative back in focus. * Rising Treasury yields put pressure on large-cap tech stocks. * Energy and healthcare stocks saw the biggest gains in Tuesday's trading. What a difference a day makes! December ISM Services data suggests the service... READ MORE
In this video, Dave shares a long-term analysis of the Ten-Year Treasury Yield, breaks down how the shape of the yield curve has been a great leading indicator of recessionary periods and weaker stock prices, and outlines the chart he's watching to determine if early 2025 will look... READ MORE
In today's free DP Trading Room Carl and Erin discuss whether this market rally can get legs and push the market even higher? Mega-caps are looking very positive with the Magnificent Seven leading the charge. Technology is showing new strength along with Communication Services. Carl starts the trading... READ MORE
In this video, Mary Ellen analyzes the divergence between the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq while highlighting some of the areas driving Growth stocks. She also talks about the continuation rally in Energy and Utility stocks and shares which stocks are driving these areas higher. This video originally... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * No Santa Claus Rally this year, but the stock market's optimistic price action on Friday lifted investors' moods. * Stocks like TSLA and NVDA had big gains while X, CVNA, and alcoholic beverages had big declines. * Treasury yields and the US dollar remain high, and oil... READ MORE
We monitor the weekly SPY chart and present it to our subscribers every Friday in our DP Weekly Wrap. We have been watching a bearish rising wedge on the weekly chart. The rising wedge pattern implies that you will get a breakdown from the rising bottoms trendline. That is exactly... READ MORE
HAPPY NEW YEAR!!! Ever since the introduction of RRG back in 2011, many people have asked me questions like: "What is the track record for RRG" or "What are the trading rules for RRG"? My answers have always been, and will continue to be, "There... READ MORE
In this exclusive StockCharts video, Joe shares a specific ADX pattern that's signaling potential exhaustion in the momentum right now. Joe analyzes three other market periods that displayed this pattern and the resulting correction which followed. He then discusses some of the most attractive looking cryptos, as well... READ MORE
Most of the time, when we study bars or candlesticks, our attention is focused on daily and intraday charts, since they give early warnings of a possible change in the short-term trend. Nonetheless, it occasionally makes sense to step back and take a look at monthly bars and candlesticks. Not... READ MORE
It's an interesting market day with the market moving lower despite positive seasonality. Natural Gas (UNG) broke out in a big way up over 15% at the time of writing. Is it ready to continue its big run higher? Carl took the day off so Erin gave us... READ MORE
After suffering a brutal selloff in the week before this one, the Nifty spent the truncated week struggling to stay afloat just below the key resistance levels. With just four working days, the Nifty resisted each day to the 200-DMA and failed to close above that point. The trading range... READ MORE
In this video, Mary Ellen highlights whether to buy last week's pullback. She discusses the rise in interest rates and why, as well as which areas are being most impacted. Last up, she reviews potential winners with new Trump policy, how to spot a downtrend reversal, and the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Short-term breadth becomes most oversold in a year. * Bounce ensues, but has yet to show material increase in participation. * Setting key levels to identify a robust rebound. Breadth became oversold last week and stocks rebounded this week. Is this a robust rebound or a dead cat bounce? Today&... READ MORE
In today's free DecisionPoint Trading Room Carl discusses volume spikes and how we have to analyze big volume spikes carefully to determine whether they express a confirmation of a move or whether they are a special case and do not really provide insight. Carl goes over the signal... READ MORE
After staying in the green following a sharp rebound the week before this one, the markets finally succumbed to selling pressure after failing to cross above crucial resistance levels. The Nifty stayed under strong selling pressure over the past five sessions and violated key support levels on the daily charts.... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The broader stock market indexes closed higher on Friday but lower for the week. * Market breadth continues to be weak despite Friday's rally. * More follow-through next week is required to confirm a reversal and the hope for a Santa Claus rally. A smart investor listens to... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The Hindenburg Omen looks for patterns that have consistently shown at major market tops. * Using trend-following techniques like support and resistance levels can help to improve accuracy of macro indicators. * S&P 5850 remains the most important level in our view going into year-end 2024. This week... READ MORE
Nearly all of our charts currently show deeply oversold conditions. While this is usually a good thing, in a market downturn, it isn't necessarily your friend. As you can guess, we believe that Wednesday's big decline was the beginning of something more serious. But the question... READ MORE
The "Trump Trade" refers to the market reaction and investment strategies that emerged following Donald Trump's election victories and his economic policies. It describes the shift in market sentiment driven by anticipated pro-business policies, tax cuts, and deregulation under his administration. Investors initially rushed into sectors... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * SPY and QQQ are still in long-term uptrends, but the red flags are rising. * Housing and semis, two key cyclical groups, are in downtrends. * Interest rates are rising as the 10-yr Yield reversed a 13 month downtrend. SPY and QQQ remain in long-term uptrends, but three big negatives... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Track the Yield curve moving back to normal on RRG * USD showing massive strength against all currencies * Stock market drop not affecting sector rotation (yet) The Yield Curve The RRG above shows the rotations of the various maturities on the US-Yield Curve. What we see at the moment... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Broader stock market indexes got a bearish jolt on Wednesday. * Gold, silver, and cryptocurrencies joined the equity selloff. * Treasury yields and the US dollar jump higher. Uncertainty in the stock market makes it difficult to make investment decisions. When investors sell off stocks, everyone follows without giving it... READ MORE
While the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 have been holding steady into this week's Fed meeting, warning signs under the hood have suggested one of two things is likely to happen going into Q1. Either a leadership rotation is amiss, with mega-cap growth stocks potentially taking... READ MORE
This year has been a very good one for stockholders. Come to think of it, 2023 wasn't so bad either. After an extended period of gains, it's natural for investors to become complacent, especially as they head home for the holidays. This is the kind of... READ MORE
Today Erin looks at the Broadcom (AVGO) chart and compares it to the NVIDIA (NVDA) chart. She shows us the differences between the two and tells you whether she believes AVGO will be the new NVDA, meaning it will perform as NVDA used to perform with a concerted move up... READ MORE
The markets had a wide-ranging week once again; however, they ended near its high point this time. The Nifty had ranged sessions for four out of five days; the last trading day of the week saw the Nifty swinging wildly before closing near its high point. The trading range also... READ MORE
In this video, Mary Ellen highlights how select M7 stocks, mostly TSLA, propped the markets up while some sectors continued to trend lower. She reviews how to find entry points in winning stocks, and also discusses why Small Caps are falling. This video originally premiered December 13, 2024. You can... READ MORE
In recent interviews for my Market Misbehavior podcast, I've asked technical analysts including Frank Cappelleri, TG Watkins, and Tom Bowley what they see happening as we wrap a very successful 2024. With the Nasdaq 100 logging about a 30% gain for 2024, it's hard to imagine... READ MORE
After the November pullback, GLD began to rally again. This week, on Wednesday, price exceeded the nearest November top, which made official the new rising trend from the November low. Brief celebration ends the following day as GLD tops, setting the top boundary for a bearish rising wedge formation. Rising... READ MORE
Despite its position as a luxury automaker synonymous with prestige and performance, Ferrari N.V. (RACE) may be showing signs of a near-term downturn. Recent price action, coupled with stretched valuations and slowing shipment trends, suggests that RACE may face potential downside. By incorporating both technical and fundamental analysis, we... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Small caps tend to outperform following an election year. * In most annual cycles, small caps also have their seasonal tendencies. * The chart of the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) is worth monitoring, especially as it approaches a buy point. With an new administration inbound in Washington, D.C.... READ MORE
In this exclusive StockCharts video, Joe shows how to use the MACD zero line as a bias for a stock. As opposed to offering a buy signal, this Zero line level can provide insight into a market or stock's underlying condition; Joe shows how to refine that information... READ MORE
Tony and Grayson are back with another informative video highlighting the opportunities the OptionsPlay add-on brings to the StockCharts platform. Tony highlights income generation ideas you can find with the add on. Together, the duo also cover the strategy center, and the SharpCharts and ACP widgets. This video premiered on... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are inching toward key support levels. * Gold prices have risen on news of China's central bank's decision to buy gold. * NVDA is under investigation for antitrust activities, and its stock price is declining. The Tuesday afternoon... READ MORE