Learn how to build your confidence in the markets with this high probability of success strategy and how to find the best opportunities every day to earn consistent income with the tools available at StockCharts.com. This video premiered on February 18, 2025.... READ MORE
The nickname "Dr. Copper" comes from its reputation as a reliable economic indicator. That's because it is used worldwide in a wide range of industries, including construction, electronics, and manufacturing. When demand for the red metal is high, it often signals that these industries are booming,... READ MORE
In this video, Tony highlights important moves in equities, then shares the OptionsPlay research report for bull/bear plays. Tony then spends time on NVDA, highlighting the importance of staying on top of the AI revolution. He also looks at key stocks like V, BA, META, and more. This video... READ MORE
Technology stocks, in the form of the SPDR Technology ETF (XLK), have been on a tear since their secular low in 2009. That strength has not only resulted in higher absolute prices, but also striking relative action. Chart 1 compares the XLK to its long-term KST. Reversals in this indicator... READ MORE
I woke up this morning noting that NASDAQ futures had been down nearly 1,000 points at their overnight intraday low. Later, I tuned into a couple of general purpose, as opposed to financial, cable news channels. They, too, were talking about the sell-off and its rationale. I began to... READ MORE
I have been expecting a bull market correction for about a month, but it's not been as deep as I expected. Now, however, several indexes have completed small bullish two-bar reversal patterns on the weekly charts. If they work, that would be a characteristic of a bull market,... READ MORE
That may seem like a strange title, but it is intended to make the point that commodities look as though they are in the process of breaking out. Furthermore, this breakout, if successful, would jump-start a finely balanced long-term technical position into a primary bull market, all courtesy of our... READ MORE
The Long-Term Picture No market goes up forever and, at some point, Bitcoin will top out. It's currently down about 12% from its peak, set on December 17 less than 4 weeks ago, so there is scant evidence at this point indicating a primary bear market. For example,... READ MORE
Most of the time, when we study bars or candlesticks, our attention is focused on daily and intraday charts, since they give early warnings of a possible change in the short-term trend. Nonetheless, it occasionally makes sense to step back and take a look at monthly bars and candlesticks. Not... READ MORE
The "Trump Trade" refers to the market reaction and investment strategies that emerged following Donald Trump's election victories and his economic policies. It describes the shift in market sentiment driven by anticipated pro-business policies, tax cuts, and deregulation under his administration. Investors initially rushed into sectors... READ MORE
This year has been a very good one for stockholders. Come to think of it, 2023 wasn't so bad either. After an extended period of gains, it's natural for investors to become complacent, especially as they head home for the holidays. This is the kind of... READ MORE
Chart 1 compares the S&P Composite with the NYSE A/D Line and its Common Stock counterpart. These, of course, are not intermarket relationships, but the chart does show that some near-term weakness would violate their bull market trendlines. Violating a trendline is not necessarily the end of... READ MORE
You may not know it, but StockCharts' library of economic indicators has recently been enlarged. It's not as extensive as, say, the stock coverage, but it does include a lot of indicators that actually work, in the sense of helping identify major reversals in stock, bond, and... READ MORE
This article is not centered around a specific theme; rather, it focuses on some charts which look as if they are about to signal an important change in trend. In this case, "important" is defined as a forthcoming move lasting at least 3-months. My indicator of choice for... READ MORE
Chart 1, below, compares the S&P Composite to the Europe Australia Far East ETF (EFA), which is effectively the rest of the world. It shows that US equities have been on a tear against its rivals since the financial crisis. More to the point, there are very few... READ MORE
Chart 1 shows the Dollar Index has been in a trading range for the last couple of years and is now at resistance in the form of its upper part. The big question relates as to whether it can break to the upside, or if the resistance will once again... READ MORE
Last week, I drew your attention to the fact that out that three US market sectors had experienced bearish two-bar reversals on the weekly charts and were likely to retrace some of their previous advances. I also pointed out that this was only one piece of negative evidence and that... READ MORE
Most weekends, I flip through a chartlist featuring weekly bars and candles for sectors, country ETFs, currencies, bonds and some commodities. The idea is to see whether any of these entities are showing signs of bullish or bearish reversals. Most of the time, this fishing exercise does not uncover a... READ MORE
Since 2011, the US stock market, represented by the S&P Composite, has outperformed the world. In the last couple of weeks or so, it has managed to break out from a trading range in its relationship with the rest of the world and looks headed even higher on... READ MORE
Are we still in a bull market? That's a key question Larry considers in his final "Family Gathering" video, examining all the information available and what kind of conclusions about the state of the market we can draw from it. Larry begins with a careful market... READ MORE
Today, Larry Williams will be hosting his final "Family Gathering" meeting at 2pm Eastern Daylight Time (11am Pacific). Sign-in in begins 5 minutes prior. The show, which will include both a presentation from Larry and a viewer Q&A session, will be recorded and posted online for... READ MORE
Larry is going LIVE! Don't miss the upcoming final "Family Gathering" webinar with Larry Williams, airing live through Zoom on Friday, October 18 at 2:00pm Eastern Daylight Time. In this must-see event, Larry will be presenting his current opinions on a broad variety of current... READ MORE
Below, Chart 1 shows a weekly plot for the 30-year yield, where we can see a perfectly formed top whose completion was followed by a negative 65-week EMA crossover. At the time of the breakdown, there were few grounds for suspecting a false break. However, in the last couple of... READ MORE
Using West Texas Crude, Chart 1 features one of my favorite techniques for identifying changes in long-term trends, which is simply a PPO using the 6- and 15-month parameters. When it is above zero, it's bullish, and when below, bearish. The pink shading indicates bearish periods, and the... READ MORE
China's stock market exploded last week in an amazing rally, so formidable that it raises the question of whether it could be the start of a new bull market, or just a short-covering rally which will quickly fizzle out. In that respect, it's important to note... READ MORE
The common economic perception is that lower interest rates are good for business, which, in turn, means good for job growth. The following charts will turn that idea upside down and inside out. Keep in mind there is no chart fancy-dancing going on here; I am just presenting the last... READ MORE
The Dollar Index has been selling off sharply in the last few weeks and has now reached critical support in the form of the lower part of its recent trading range. The big question is whether it will break below the range or extend it in any way. Chart 1... READ MORE
Interest rates have been cut -- what now? Larry presents his thoughts in this edition of the Family Gathering video. In this month's Family Gathering video, Larry begins with what he calls the "Fed Cut Discount Rate" and what it means. What does history make of... READ MORE
Today, Larry Williams will be hosting a "Family Gathering" meeting at 2pm Eastern Daylight Time (11am Pacific). Sign-in in begins 5 minutes prior. The show, which will include both a presentation from Larry and a viewer Q&A session, will be recorded and posted online for those... READ MORE
Larry is going LIVE! Don't miss the upcoming "Family Gathering" webinar with Larry Williams, airing live through Zoom on Thursday, September 19 at 2:00pm Eastern Daylight Time. In this must-see event, Larry will be presenting his current opinions on a broad variety of current market... READ MORE
Most of the primary trend indicators I follow are in a bullish mode and show few signs of flagging. That said, some intermarket relationships, which help to indicate whether the environment is risk-off or risk-on, have started to move in a risk-off direction. That's usually a bearish omen... READ MORE
Every business cycle has an inflationary and deflationary part, and it's very important for both traders and investors at least to try to have some understanding which has the upper hand at any particular point in time. For example, when the economy is in a slowdown or recessionary... READ MORE
Let's get this out of the way... In our last Family Gathering, I announced I am doing my best to retire. That means we will have our September Family Gathering, the October newsletter and mid-month Family Gathering. After that, "Focus on Stocks" is all over. I... READ MORE
Last June, I wrote an articlewhose title was more or less the same as this one. At the time, the Index was bumping up against the top of a major trading range, and it looked very much as if it was about to experience an upside breakout. My conclusion was... READ MORE
What to make of the market as we near the end of August? Larry presents his thoughts in this edition of the Family Gathering video. In this month's Family Gathering video, Larry begins by presenting a new way of forecasting for Crude Oil. After that, he follows up... READ MORE
Today, Larry Williams will be hosting a "Family Gathering" meeting at 2pm Eastern Daylight Time (11am Pacific). Sign-in in begins 5 minutes prior. The show, which will include both a presentation from Larry and a viewer Q&A session, will be recorded and posted online for those... READ MORE
It's not very often that any market experiences a 10-year breakout, let alone a 45-year one. That, however, is what Chart 1 says is about to materialize for the inflation-adjusted gold price. Since the chart is based on monthly data, we will not know for sure until the... READ MORE
Larry is going LIVE! Don't miss the upcoming "Family Gathering" webinar with Larry Williams, airing live through Zoom on Thursday, August 22 at 2:00pm Eastern Daylight Time. In this must-see event, Larry will be presenting his current opinions on a broad variety of current market... READ MORE
Last Monday, markets around the world experienced a sharp drop as the unwinding of yen carry trades followed the previous Friday's response to a weak employment report. The speed and sharpness of the equity sell-off got the attention of the general-purpose media and just about everyone else. From... READ MORE
In my last newsletter,I discussed cycle projections for the S&P 500, i.e., a rally and then down into a mid-September low. The recent price action in the stock market may have many of you wondering when to open long equity positions. My cycle work suggests we... READ MORE