Note to the reader: This is the sixteenth in a series of articles I'm publishing here taken from my book, "Investing with the Trend." Hopefully, you will find this content useful. Market myths are generally perpetuated by repetition, misleading symbolic connections, and the complete ignorance of... READ MORE
S&P 500 earnings are in for 2023 Q4, and here is our valuation analysis. The following chart shows the normal value range of the S&P 500 Index, indicating where the S&P 500 would have to be in order to have an overvalued P/E... READ MORE
This may seem like a contradiction, but it is possible for two different things to be true at the same time. What I am referring to is the fact that the health care sector (XLV) recently broke out from a consolidation reverse head-and-shoulders pattern, as we can see from the... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave drops a market update, with a focus on Bitcoin's rebound above 70K, deteriorating short-term breadth conditions, and stocks still making new highs despite the market consolidation phase. This video originally premiered on April 8, 2024. Watch on... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers questions from The Final Bar Mailbag. Today he talks about how to use the ADX indicator, how growth vs. value may have formed a double top pattern, how to use VWAP for intraday and historical analysis, and what... READ MORE
The VIX ended the week just above 16, bringing it to its highest level in 2024. What does this tell us about investor sentiment, and how does this compare to previous market cycles? Let's take a quick tour of market history through the lens of the VIX, focusing... READ MORE
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe demonstrates how to use the "Big Green Bar" candlestick pattern. This candlestick provides great confirmation on certain types of entry points, and can also be helpful for exits. Joe finishes up the show covering the... READ MORE
Note to the reader: This is the fifteenth in a series of articles I'm publishing here taken from my book, "Investing with the Trend." Hopefully, you will find this content useful. Market myths are generally perpetuated by repetition, misleading symbolic connections, and the complete ignorance of... READ MORE
Sometimes, simple indicators like bar or candlesticks operate just as the textbooks tell us they should. I don't normally follow individual stocks, but the hype surrounding last week's listing of Trump Media piqued my interest to see if the technical position squared with what the many... READ MORE
Today Carl and Erin cover the topic of On-Balance Volume (OBV) as a representation of volume trends. This came to their attention as they uncovered an OBV negative divergence on the SPY chart. Carl completes a review of the weekly charts for the Magnificent 7 stocks, giving us a more... READ MORE
Here comes the answer to a very old question, "Do stocks lead the economy, does the economy lead the stock market, or is there something else?" My work has shown numerous times that GDP is not a good predictor of the Dow Jones. Also, business inventories and a... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Overbought is just another term for strong. RSI above 70 shows strong upside momentum, which his bullish. Stocks can become overbought (strong) and remain strong. Momentum and trend strategies are off to a roaring start here in 2024. More often than not, these strategies buy leading stocks that... READ MORE
This article represents an exercise I like to call the "Single Stock Portfolio". In this scenario, you can only own one stock in your portfolio for the next three months, and you can pick any one of the following eight stocks. Which one would you select, and why?... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave presents a mailbag show discussing key technical analysis topics. He covers breakouts, the role of TSX, CCI signals, Gartner Group (IT) strategies, seasonal patterns, ATR use, NVDA Fibonacci retracements, and managing high-yield stocks like GLP. You don't... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Bitcoin halving are often considered pivotal events for the cryptocurrency * Bitcoin prices are rising, but momentum appears to be dwindling * If Bitcoin stalls and reverse, there are a few potential support levels to watch Bitcoin is about to undergo its fourth halving on April 19. For crypto enthusiasts,... READ MORE
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson explains the importance of market breadth and shares some of the most crucial charts for understanding what's truly happening beneath the surface of the market. Using the Sample Chart Gallery, you'll see... READ MORE
Note to the reader: This is the fourteenth in a series of articles I'm publishing here taken from my book, "Investing with the Trend." Hopefully, you will find this content useful. Market myths are generally perpetuated by repetition, misleading symbolic connections, and the complete ignorance of... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest David Hunter of Contrarian Macro Advisors shares his updated target for the S&P 500, and makes the case for a bullish melt-up phase for stocks, bonds, and gold. Dave Keller focuses in on the relative performance of... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * KRE (the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF) is trading within a fairly wide uptrend channel * Momentum in KRE appears to be waning which could uncover short-term trading opportunities * Many regional banks can face increasing debt delinquencies and may be on the brink of collapse Full disclosure:... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes guest Mary Ellen McGonagle of MEM Investment Research. David compares two stocks in the same industry group with dramatically different chart patterns. Which one would you want to own here and why? Mary Ellen shares three stocks with... READ MORE
To paraphrase the late great contrarian Humphrey Neil: When everyone thinks alike, it's usually time to look for a turn in the market. It seems to me, after reviewing an unscientific survey of the financial media, that everyone and his dog (no disrespect to our canine friends) is... READ MORE
Today Carl and Erin reviewed the Boeing (BA) chart together discussing the technical ramifications of the step down of the CEO and two other board members. We do note that the CEO will finish out the year so problems could continue throughout the year. The technicals on the chart are... READ MORE
The 200-day SMA is perhaps the most widely used long-term moving average. As its name implies, it is a simple indicator that chartists can use for trend-following and momentum strategies. For trend-following, we just need to know where prices stand relative to the 200-day SMA. For momentum, we need to... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * While the long-term trend in Apple has been quite strong, the weekly charts shows a clear double-top pattern with declining momentum. * Our Market Trend Model currently reads short-term bearish, medium-term bearish, and long-term bullish. * A break below price support around $169 could open the door to further downside,... READ MORE
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews what's shaping up in the broader markets after the Fed announced their rate cut plans. She also shares how to use ETFs to shape your investment decisions for the longer term. In addition, Mary Ellen... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave brings you another mailbag show! Explore the differences between RSI and Accumulation Distribution for stocks. Compare the benefits of SharpCharts or ACP on StockCharts. Understand the nuances between Keltner and Bollinger Bands. Discover why considering sector trends and using... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave comments on AAPL's breakdown on antitrust legislation, the breakouts occurring in the homebuilder space, and how to play names like WDC gapping into key resistance levels. Guest Chris Verrone of Strategas Research Partners compares the S&... READ MORE
Note to the reader: This is the thirteenth in a series of articles I'm publishing here taken from my book, "Investing with the Trend." Hopefully, you will find this content useful. Market myths are generally perpetuated by repetition, misleading symbolic connections, and the complete ignorance of... READ MORE
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe demonstrates how to use the "Big Green Bar" candlestick pattern. This candlestick provides great confirmation on certain types of entry points, and can also be helpful for exits. Joe finishes up the show covering the... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave tracks the S&P 500's first close above the 5200 level as risk assets pop higher following Fed Chair Powell's comments this afternoon. He digs into market breadth indicators, which remain bullish on short-term,... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Technical indicators suggested that Coinbase stock was due for a pullback * The scenario identified a clear short setup with multiple price targets and stop-loss levels * Coinbase eventually dipped but the risk may have been greater than the reward As a trader, calling market tops (or bottoms) is a... READ MORE
It's March Madness in the stock market! In this video, Larry begins by presenting his Trading Days of the Month (TDOM) for the rest of March, as well as the days to hold back on trading. He also presents what he dubs his "Machu Picchu" trade.... READ MORE
Today, Larry Williams will be hosting a "Family Gathering" meeting at 2pm Eastern Daylight Time (11am Pacific). Sign-in in begins 5 minutes prior. The show will be recorded and posted online for those of you who cannot attend. Use the link below to join: Link to Join Webinar:... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps the continued leadership rotation from growth to value, with SMCI breaking below $1000 and GOOGL dropping a shooting star candle on Monday's session. He walks through a process to compare and contrast the Magnificent 7 stocks,... READ MORE
Today Carl and Erin open the show with an example of how you can find stock and ETF relative strength using a Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) sort. Many may not know but PMO readings can be compared to one another to determine relative strength. Carl gives us a review of... READ MORE
The S&P 500 ended the week with a slight pullback that has this Index closing below its key 10-day simple moving average, but above its 21-day moving average. With the RSI and MACD in positive territory, the near-term uptrend in this Index remains in place. While last week&... READ MORE
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson shares a little trick out of his own process to make sure he's trading in the right direction. If you find yourself buying a new stock only to watch it go down, down, down... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * A bearish momentum divergence and declining Bullish Percent Index suggests rough waters ahead for the QQQ. * The 50-day moving average and Chandelier Exit system can serve as trailing stops to lock in gains from the recent uptrend. * If stops are broken, we can use Fibonacci Retracements to identify... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave presents an in-depth discussion on technical analysis patterns, market trends, and risk management. Explore how to spot bankruptcy risks, candlestick patterns, Dave's approach to QQQ, optimizing the Market Trend Model, RSI and MACD signals, "master risk... READ MORE
The Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF (XES) is showing strength here in March as it breaks back above its 40-week SMA. More importantly, the long-term trend is up and this week's breakout argues for a continuation of this uptrend. The chart below shows XES with a... READ MORE