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Avoiding Confirmation Bias: Four Paths for the S&P 500 Into March
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
As volatility picks up, the S&P 500 sits in a crucial neutral zone. Dave Keller, CMT, uses probabilistic analysis to outline four possible paths for the index into late March—from a renewed bull run to a deeper correction—helping investors prepare for multiple outcomes....
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AMD Earnings Fallout: What a Break Below $200 Would Really Mean
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
After a sharp post-earnings drop, AMD remains locked in a multi-month consolidation between $200 and $265. Dave Keller, CMT, breaks down how accumulation, distribution, and consolidation phases form, along with what price levels would confirm a decisive bearish shift....
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Beyond the Bull Market: Three Charts Still Showing Technical Strength
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
As former market leaders stumble, opportunity still exists for disciplined chart watchers. Dave Keller, CMT, highlights three constructive technical setups—Walmart, CVS Health, and Comcast—that demonstrate how strength, support, and breakouts can emerge even in a choppier market environment....
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Top 10 Charts Revealed -- February 2026 Market Shifts
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Grayson Roze and Dave Keller break down the top 10 charts to watch for February, exposing where leadership is changing and where new strength is emerging. From rotation across sectors to key breakouts and bottoming patterns, these charts highlight what’s actually driving the market right now....
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Failed Breakouts: How to Spot Them, Manage Risk, and Stay with Strong Charts
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Markets are feeling uncertain as earnings season unfolds and the Fed meeting approaches, yet overall trends remain surprisingly strong. This week, Dave Keller explores the concept of failed breakouts and why managing risk is just as important as identifying new opportunities....
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What RSI Is Really Saying About GOOGL, GS, and AAPL
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
The Relative Strength Index can reveal far more than overbought and oversold levels. Dave Keller, CMT, analyzes RSI structures in GOOGL, GS, and AAPL to show how momentum confirms strong uptrends, warns of divergences, and signals full trend breakdowns....
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RSI Signals Most Traders Misread — Overbought Levels & Divergences That Matter
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Dave Keller breaks down RSI signals that many traders misread, including overbought conditions and bearish divergences. Using real chart examples, he explains which RSI signals actually matter as momentum shifts....
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Defensive Strength: Three Consumer Staples Charts Leading the Market
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
As growth sectors lagged, Consumer Staples emerged as a rare pocket of strength. Dave Keller, CMT, highlights three standout charts—Costco, Philip Morris, and Dollar Tree—showing bullish technical setups that prove strong trends can appear in any sector....
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Three Breadth Signals Confirming the Market’s Bullish Trend
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Market breadth has improved dramatically as the S&P 500 pushes to new highs. Dave Keller, CMT, reviews three key breadth indicators—including advance-decline lines, new highs vs. lows, and stocks above key moving averages—to assess whether this bullish trend remains intact....
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5 Breadth Signals Powering the 2026 Breakout and What Would Break It
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
David Keller breaks down five key breadth signals confirming the market’s 2026 breakout. At the same time, he also examines what each indicator could do that would signal weakening participation and a potential breakdown....
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Why Financials May Matter More Than Tech in Early 2026
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
As we head into 2026, signs of rotating market leadership are already emerging, and the Financial sector is starting to attract attention. In this video, David Keller, CMT, takes a deep dive into the Financial sector, the yield curve, and the shifting interest rate dynamics.
Dave breaks down what the...
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Three Investing Lessons from a Challenging 2025 Market
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
After a challenging and highly rotational 2025, Dave Keller, CMT, shares three key investing lessons, from focusing on process over prediction to recognizing leadership shifts beneath the surface. Learn how investors can better prepare for market opportunities in 2026....
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2025 Market Recap & 2026 Outlook: Trends, Psychology, and What Comes Next
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Grayson and Dave give their year-end thoughts about the wild market action of 2025, what worked (or not) for traders over the course of the year, and what lessons to take for 2026. ...
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Change of Character: Spotting the Shift From Downtrend to Uptrend
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
David Keller explains how to spot when a stock transitions from distribution to accumulation, and how you can use scanning, alerts, and scheduled scans to find the next breakout....
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Is the S&P 500 Stuck in Neutral? A Traffic Light Approach to Trend Changes
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Since the April low, the S&P 500 has shifted from a strong uptrend into a clear consolidation. Dave Keller, CMT, introduces a “traffic light” charting technique to define key support and resistance levels—and spot when sideways markets finally break into accumulation or distribution....
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Hedge Funds AND Mutual Funds Picked These 6 Stocks — Should You?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Dave Keller, CMT reviews six stocks that appeared on both hedge fund and mutual fund “shared favorites” lists in a recent Goldman Sachs study. He evaluates each using StockCharts tools, revealing which setups still show strength and which may be flashing warning signs....
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Bull or Bear? Dave Keller’s Four Scenarios for the Nasdaq’s Next Move
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
The Nasdaq 100 sits near record highs, but where does it go from here? Dave Keller, CMT, lays out four scenarios—ranging from a Santa Claus rally to a deeper correction—and assigns probabilities to each to help investors prepare for early 2026’s next big move....
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Top Charts for December: When the 200-Day Becomes the Deciding Factor
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
The 200-day moving average remains one of the most powerful tools in technical analysis. Dave Keller, CMT, spotlights three stocks—COO, COIN, and HBAN—where this long-term trendline is shaping potential bullish reversals, bearish setups, and breakout recoveries....
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David Keller's December Playbook: 10 Charts You Should See
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
If you're looking for a quick pulse of the stock market heading into the last month of the year, David Keller, CMT, just dropped a video breaking down the 10 charts he's watching, and there's a lot to unpack.
Some stocks are powering higher...
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Apple Leads, Amazon Lags, Nvidia Wobbles: Sorting the Magnificent 7 by Trend Strength
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
The Magnificent 7 are showing clear divergence from each other in November. Apple continues its breakout, Nvidia struggles after earnings, and Amazon teeters on key support. Dave Keller, CMT, breaks down the technical setups that could shape December’s market trend....
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Magnificent 7 Breakdown: Leaders, Laggards & the Charts to Watch Now!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
The mega-cap growth stocks are no longer moving in sync, and that's creating big opportunities. In this video, David Keller, CMT, breaks down the "Magnificent 7 and Friends" into four clear technical categories to reveal where leadership is emerging and where weakness is starting to bite....
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A “Change of Character” for Stocks: Key Breakdown Levels to Watch
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
A “change of character” is emerging as major indexes weaken in November. Equal-weight indexes confirm a bearish turn, Bitcoin’s collapse highlights fading speculation, and the S&P 500’s key support near 6550 may be the final line before a deeper market correction....
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3 Major Breakdown Signals - Is a Market Top Forming?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
David Keller, CMT uses the modern Dow Theory, sector rotation, and Bitcoin’s decline to illustrate what might be a developing market top. With StockCharts’ tools, Dave tracks weakening momentum, defensive shifts, and the S&P 500’s crucial 6550 support level....
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Three Stocks That Could Benefit Most from Tariff Relief — If the Charts Agree
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
With talk of tariffs being rolled back, stocks like Best Buy, Stanley Black & Decker, and Nike could benefit from renewed optimism. But, as Dave, explains, the charts tell the real story, revealing which names are technically ready to lead the next move higher....
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The Tariff Relief Playbook: 10 Stocks with Upside Potential
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Which stocks could benefit the most if trade tariffs are rolled back? Dave highlights ten potential winners—including CAT, NKE, and more—and shows how to use StockCharts tools to uncover trend strength and opportunities....
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Change of Character: Why the S&P 500’s Uptrend May Be Breaking Down
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
The S&P 500 has broken below its 21-day EMA and key trend channel support, testing its 50-day moving average as market breadth weakens. With tech leaders like NVDA and AVGO tumbling, investors should watch for a possible rotation toward defensive sectors....
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Will “Buy the Dips” Work Again in November 2025?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Identifying a true uptrend means watching for higher lows and key support levels. Charts of CELH, BAC, and CAT show how dip-buying and moving-average support reveal whether bullish momentum will continue or signal a shift toward a bearish phase....
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Breakouts, Pullbacks & Setups: 10 Must-Watch Charts for November
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Grayson Roze and David Keller share ten charts to watch for November, including setups in Celsius, Regeneron, Caterpillar, Eli Lilly, and Shopify. Learn how they use StockCharts tools and trend analysis to locate strength and manage risk in a stretched bull market....
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When Market Leaders Falter: What Recent Moves in the Magnificent 7 Mean for Investors
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
As the Magnificent 7 dictate the tone for the S&P 500, their charts reveal early signs of fatigue amid mixed earnings reactions. Technical discipline remains essential as investors assess whether these former leaders can sustain their uptrends into year-end....
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Head and Shoulders Tops: Classic Signals, Key Phases, and a Surprise Reversal
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Dave Keller explores the classic head and shoulders top, breaking down its three key phases with examples from JNJ and Dominion, plus a failed pattern in Nucor that turned into a bullish reversal....
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This Head and Shoulders Pattern Looked Perfect… Until It Failed!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Learn how to spot valid head and shoulders patterns and when to walk away. David Keller, CMT, shows how failed setups can signal strength and potential bullish reversals....
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Three Charts That Prove the Power of Process Over Prediction
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Technical analysis is about having a consistent process of evaluating the evidence. Dave revisits three charts he highlighted at the end of September, reviews how the technical picture has changed, and updates his thesis using price and momentum techniques....
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Will These Broken Charts Overcome Bearish Divergences?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Bearish momentum divergences can help provide a game plan for confirming potential price breakdowns. We review three charts to see how they have evolved since a bearish rotation, and focus on identifying potential entry points for the next rally phase....
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The Dreaded Hindenburg Omen Fires Again
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
The Hindenburg Omen is a macro technical indicator which was designed by reviewing the common characteristics of previous bull market tops. Dave breaks down the components of this indicator, reviews signals from the last 10 years, and discusses implications for the S&P 500 in Q4 2025....
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Four Roads Diverge in the Market: Which Will the S&P 500 Take?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
We outline four potential scenarios for the S&P 500 index through the end of November 2025, along with our probabilities for each of the scenarios. Which one do you feel is most likely to occur?...
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Will These Three Promising Charts Hold Key Support?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
We highlight three stocks that have experienced strong gains since August, but are now testing key support levels. Will support hold, or will the bull market be brought into question?...
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