MEMBERS ONLY
Catch BIGGER GAINS by Fishing for Alpha
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave highlights breakouts in home builders and Bitcoin and reviews key names reporting earnings including ABNB, SHOP, and MAR. He also shares an equity scan he uses every week to identify the next potential breakout candidates. Stay tuned until the...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Beware the Hindenburg Omen!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Jim Miekka created the Hindenburg Omen after studying the conditions present at previous market peaks.
* The Hindenburg Omen triggered an initial signal this week, just as the S&P 500 finally closed above 5000 for the first time.
* If we see a second signal in the next...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Your Questions, Answered! Price Gaps, Bull Flags, Inverse Patterns, and MORE
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave digs into The Final Bar Mailbag and answers questions on price patterns like bull flags, what price gaps actually represent on the chart, and why analyzing earnings trends could help you anticipate subsequent moves for stocks like META.
This...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
3 Expert Earnings Plays: Maximizing Reward, Minimizing Risk
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes Danielle Shay of Simpler Trading. Danielle highlights three earnings plays she's focused on this week, and shares how she combines multiple time frames in her trading to better define risk vs. reward. Dave laments the weakening...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Why the NAAIM Exposure Index Matters to Your Investments
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes Ryan Redfern, ChFC, CMT of Shadowridge Asset Management and President of NAAIM. Ryan provides a primer on the NAAIM Exposure Index, including what it is, how it's calculated, and how it can be used to measure...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Three Things I WISH I'd Known About Trading
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave speaks to weakening short-term breadth conditions as the McClellan Oscillator rotates to a bearish level this week. Guest Dave Landry of DaveLandry.com drops some serious trader wisdom and also shares what he does first thing every morning...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Market Breadth Divergence Says NO BULL!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave demonstrates how the market's recent upswing has left mid-caps and small-caps in the dust, with deteriorating breadth conditions suggesting an increased risk of downside for the S&P 500. He also unveils the latest...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Tesla Tests Key Support: Is This a Trade? Or an Investment?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Tesla is an outlier from the other Magnificent 7 stocks, remaining in a downtrend channel for the last six months.
* RSI oversold conditions, along with Fibonacci retracements, suggests a return to the upper end of the trend channel.
* TSLA shows a "confluence of resistance" above current...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Top Ten Charts to Watch for February 2024
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Grayson and Dave run through charts they feel present actionable opportunities based on their technical analysis setups. They'll cover breakout strategies, moving average techniques, relative strength, and much more. And you'll have ten new charts to...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Bullish Buyers Return After Market Selloff
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Jay Woods, CMT of Freedom Capital Markets brings the energy of the NYSE floor to the show, relating today's market rebound to longer term themes for small caps and regional banks. Dave shares one breadth indicator recognizing broad...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Betting Against the Fed is RISKY!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Tony Dwyer of Canaccord Genuity shares insights on today's Fed meeting and what data he's following to anticipate rate cuts through 2024. Dave tracks mega cap growth stocks, including MSFT and GOOGL, which are in pullback...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Market Wisdom from the Godfather of Technical Analysis
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, legendary technical analyst Ralph Acampora, CMT visit StockCharts HQ to share lessons learned in the 1970s secular bear market, what he learned about simplicity from the late Alan Shaw, and how leadership rotation may be the theme for the coming...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Will Catalysts Push Markets HIGHER or Drag Them LOWER?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave tracks the S&P 500 as it pushes to a new high above 4900, while the McClellan Oscillator rotates to a bullish reading. He breaks down earnings plays this week, including XOM, MSFT, and more.
This video originally...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Magnificent 7 Stocks: Overheated or Just Getting Started?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
One of the key themes, if not THE theme, of 2023 was the dominance of the mega-cap growth trade. The Magnificent 7 stocks handily outperformed our equity benchmarks through the course of 2023, and, so far in 2024, it's been more of the same.
With Netflix (NFLX)...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
How to Avoid Huge Drawdowns from High-Flying Stocks
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave hosts an all-mailbag episode, answering viewer questions on the Relative Strength Index (RSI), how ETFs like QTEC have outperformed benchmarks including the Nasdaq 100, and how to avoid painful losses in leading names like NVDA, PANW, and ADBE....
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Unlocking the Power of Technical Indicators
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down the chart of Intel Corp (INTC) to demonstrate the benefits of three important technical indicators: Moving Averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Relative Strength. He shares why a disciplined process of interpreting these indicators can help investors...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Macro Model Gives Mixed Signals as NFLX LIGHTS UP!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest John Kosar, CMT of Asbury Research shares his proprietary Asbury Six macro model, which suggests caution based on weak fund flows and breadth conditions. Dave focuses in on crude oil and gold charts, and also reviews key earnings plays...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
S&P 500 Still SUPER Undervalued!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Ari Wald, CFA CMT of Oppenheimer lays out a bull case for the S&P 500 based on valuations and forward returns given strong breadth conditions. Dave reviews stocks reporting earnings this week, including LOGI, LMT, PG, DHI,...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Small Caps Surge Higher As S&P 500 Stalls
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave observes the S&P 500 index pressing higher after achieving new all-time highs on Friday. While large caps have dominated small caps so far in January, days like today suggest small-cap strength as a potential emerging...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Three Behavioral Biases You're Probably Struggling With Right Now
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
I've spent much of my career helping investors become more like pilots. Why is this such an important mindset to adopt? Well, pilots have to maintain good situational awareness, understanding what is happening around them. They need to make difficult decisions and recognize when conditions are changing. And,...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Viewer Questions: How Does the Fed Manipulate the Yield Curve?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave hosts a special all-mailbag edition, answering viewer questions on leading vs. lagging indicators, arithmetic vs. log scale charts, and how the Fed manipulates the yield curve. He digs into specific trading strategies using RSI, MACD, On Balance Volume,...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Why SMALL CAPS MATTER in January 2024
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest John Kolovos, CFA CMT of Macro Risk Advisors describes how the market is reacting to "good overbought" conditions in late 2023, and why the Russell 2000 small cap ETF may be the chart to watch in Q1...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
The Case for a Tactical Stock Selloff
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Adam Turnquist of LPL Financial lays out the case for a tactical selloff for stocks, as well as why long-term indicators remain constructive in early 2024. Dave breaks down the bearish momentum divergence prevalent in the technology sector,...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
S&P 4300 by End of February?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
We kicked off the new year of 2024 with an overheated stock market, excessively bullish breadth indicators, and euphoric sentiment levels. While the first week in January felt like a "wake-up call" pullback for awestruck bulls, this last week saw the S&P 500 push right...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Your Questions Answered! Moving Averages, Chart Patterns, Inflation & More
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave presents a special all-mailbag episode, answering viewer questions on simple vs. exponential moving averages, the benefits of analyzing sector rotation, and a good first chart for beginners learning technical analysis.
This video originally premiered on January 12, 2024....
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
From Selloff to Surge: Growth Stocks Rebound After CPI
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave highlights three leading growth stocks continuing to push to new swing highs. He also breaks down key market sentiment indicators, including the VIX, AAII survey, NAAIM Exposure Index, Rydex fund flows, and put/call ratios.
This video originally premiered...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
SPOT ETFs APPROVED!! The Technical Case for Bitcoin
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Adrian Zduńczyk, CMT of The Birb Nest discusses upside potential for Bitcoin and Ethereum based on expectations around new Bitcoin ETFs, as well as a bullish technical configuration. Dave highlights leading growth stocks, like META scoring new 52-week highs,...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Don't Miss Out! 2 Promising Sectors in Early 2024
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Julius de Kempenaer of RRG Research talks stocks over bonds and highlights two sectors with upside potential based on improvements in their relative strength. Dave unveils a bearish momentum divergence for Netflix and reveals two technology stocks that could still...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
January 2024: The Final Bar's Top 10 Must See Charts
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Grayson Roze and Dave break down the trends for the top ten stocks and ETF charts for December 2023. They'll identify key levels and signals to watch for using technical analysis tools including moving averages, relative strength, RSI,...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Three Charts to Track Impending Doom
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* January through March is the weakest three-month period for stocks in an election year.
* The McClellan Oscillator turned bearish this week, suggesting at least a short-term pullback for stocks.
* The VIX remains low, but a push above 15 could indicate further downside, retracing the gains from...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Growth Stocks Drop Again -- and That's Just the Beginning?!?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Jeff Huge, CMT of JWH Investments speaks to how extreme breadth conditions, sky-high valuations and overly bullish sentiment readings could indicate the beginning of a bear phase in 2024. Dave highlights two value sectors showing renewed signs of...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Technology Shares PLUNGE to Kick Off 2024
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Mish Schneider of MarketGauge talks strength in small caps, leadership in retail, and the importance of watching junk bonds for risk-on conditions. Dave charts pullbacks in AAPL and NVDA, and shares two names pushing higher as value beats...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Unlocking Russell 2000 SECRETS & Volatility INSIGHTS!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this special all-Mailbag edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers viewers' burning questions, ranging from the effectiveness of short-term moves with the 5-day MA to deciphering the mysteries of the Russell 2000's growth or value positioning and much more!
Click...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
The Top Five Charts of 2023
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* 2023 was dominated by mega cap growth stocks, but the fourth quarter saw a potential change as other sectors experienced renewed vigor.
* Three breadth indicators provided great clarity to the up and down cycles over the course of the year, as extreme readings tended to coincide with major...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Top Five Charts of 2023 #5: Bitcoin
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In the fifth of a five-part special series on StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave dives into the fascinating world of Bitcoin. Discover the incredible growth and performance of cryptocurrencies in 2023, surpassing even the stock market. Find out why Bitcoin's sudden breakouts and significant rallies...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Top Five Charts of 2023 #4: Leadership Themes
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In the fourth of a five-part special series on StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave discusses the top leadership trends of 2023. From the concept of narrow leadership to the rise of the Magnificent Seven, he explores the most important themes that shaped the year in this engaging...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Top Five Charts of 2023 #3: Market Breadth Indicators
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In the third of a five-part special series on StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down three market breadth indicators that tell the story of market conditions in 2023. By analyzing the S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index, the percentage of stocks above their 50-day...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Top Five Charts of 2023 #2: Ten-Year Treasury Yield
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In the second of a five-part special series on StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave takes a deep dive into the bond markets, talking rising rates, Fed rate hikes, value vs. growth, inverted yield curves, and what the bond markets in 2023 could tell us about potential future...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Top Five Charts of 2023 #1: S&P 500
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In the first of a five-part special series on StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave walks through the S&P 500 index quarter by quarter. From the strong rally phase in the 2nd quarter to the dramatic reversal at the October low, 2023 has provided a perfect...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Extreme Breadth Readings Say Short-Term Bearish, Long-Term Bullish
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
By late October, the market conditions were dire indeed. The S&P 500 had broken below its 200-day moving average for the first time since March. Only 10% of S&P 500 members remained above their 50-day moving average, meaning a full 90% were below this...
READ MORE