David Keller

David Keller


David is President and Chief Strategist at Sierra Alpha Research LLC, where he helps active investors make better decisions using behavioral finance and technical analysis. He is a former President of the CMT Association. Learn More 

Archived News

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Three Ways I Use RSI To Analyze Trends

Three Ways I Use RSI To Analyze Trends

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Momentum indicators like RSI can indicate overbought and oversold conditions, suggesting a short-term reversal. * A bearish divergence, with higher prices and a lower RSI, often occur at the end of a bullish phase. * By analyzing the range of the RSI, investors can confirm the overall trend phase and...   READ MORE 

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Typical Tesla STALLS Out at 50-Day Moving Average

Typical Tesla STALLS Out at 50-Day Moving Average

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave wraps the market week with a discussion of higher interest rates, their implication for growth stocks, and why charts like TSLA shouldn't get an "all clear" until they break above the 50-day moving average. He...   READ MORE 

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Every One of These Breadth Conditions are SCREAMING Risk On!

Every One of These Breadth Conditions are SCREAMING Risk On!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, TG Watkins of Simpler Trading shows how breadth conditions are very similar to previous bull market pullbacks. Dave focuses in on constructive setups in gold and crude oil, then highlights one semiconductor stock featuring a symmetrical triangle pattern. This video...   READ MORE 

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The Long-Term Bull Case for Bitcoin

The Long-Term Bull Case for Bitcoin

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Adrien Zduńczyk of TheBirbNest charts Bitcoin's bounce off support at $25K and relates bullish Bitcoin trends to a broader risk appetite for investors. Host David Keller, CMT highlights the McClellan Oscillator breaking back above the crucial zero level...   READ MORE 

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Growth Stocks Shine in Short-Covering Rally

Growth Stocks Shine in Short-Covering Rally

In this special edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Danielle Shay of Simpler Trading breaks down the current short-covering rally and walks through her current setups for QQQ, NVDA, MSFT, and TSLA. Host Dave tracks the recent drop in interest rates and shows how Bitcoin has bounced off...   READ MORE 

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The Five Ratios ALL Investors Should Follow

The Five Ratios ALL Investors Should Follow

In this special edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, join Dave as he breaks down the power of ratio analysis and reveals why it's an essential tool for every savvy investor. This video originally premiered on August 25, 2023. Watch on our dedicated Final Bar pageon...   READ MORE 

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SELL The News! NVDA Trades Lower After Strong Earnings

SELL The News! NVDA Trades Lower After Strong Earnings

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Sean McLaughlin of All Star Charts shares best practices for trading options during periods of price consolidation. Host Dave highlights bearish engulfing patterns for the SPY and QQQ, as well as leading growth stocks like MSFT and META. This...   READ MORE 

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Growth Stocks Seen THRIVING in Anticipation of NVDA Earnings

Growth Stocks Seen THRIVING in Anticipation of NVDA Earnings

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Callie Cox of eToro talks growth vs. value in the face of a rising interest rate environment, and why this is the most important "hurdle" for investors to watch. Dave focuses in on the technical picture for...   READ MORE 

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VIX Flashes a Key BEARISH Symbol for Stocks!

VIX Flashes a Key BEARISH Symbol for Stocks!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Doug Ramsey, CFA CMT of The Leuthold Group, laments the chronic underperformance of small-cap stocks and reveals a market indicator based on the VIX that gave a bearish signal this week. Dave prepares for NVDA's earnings this...   READ MORE 

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Is There "Blood in the Streets" for August 2023?

Is There "Blood in the Streets" for August 2023?

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave tracks the dramatic upswing in growth sectors as semiconductor names rally in anticipation of Nvidia's earning release. He answers viewer questions on multiple timeframe analysis and how to know when there is "blood in the streets&...   READ MORE 

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Are You Ready for a Huge Selloff?

Are You Ready for a Huge Selloff?

KEY TAKEAWAYS * The major equity benchmarks have broken initial support levels, fueled by weakening momentum and declining breadth conditions. * A break below trendline and moving average support could indicate a high likelihood of further potential downside. * Seasonal studies suggest a strong 4th quarter, so look for a hold of the...   READ MORE 

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Unlocking Insights: Your Top Questions Answered! Q&A with Dave

Unlocking Insights: Your Top Questions Answered! Q&A with Dave

In this special "all-mailbag" edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers viewer questions on trailing stop techniques, when to consider over-weighting small cap stocks, using the MACD indicator for market timing, and much more! This video originally premiered on August 18, 2023. Watch on our...   READ MORE 

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Heads Up! 10-Year Treasury Yield Could Go All the Way to FIVE Percent?

Heads Up! 10-Year Treasury Yield Could Go All the Way to FIVE Percent?

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Tony Dwyer of Canaccord Genuity talks Fed policy, corporate bond spreads, and why the level of interest rates is so important here. Host David Keller, CMT reviews the charts of the Magnificent 7 growth stocks and discusses downside objectives for...   READ MORE 

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What Does Equal-Weight S&P 500 Tell Us About Market Strength?

What Does Equal-Weight S&P 500 Tell Us About Market Strength?

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Jessica Inskip of OptionsPlay breaks down her weekly charts of the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, and equal-weight S&P 500 as the risk-off environment for stocks continues. Meanwhile, Dave highlights two stocks flashing the dreaded head-and-shoulders topping...   READ MORE 

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Top Three Things I Wish I Knew Before I Started Trading

Top Three Things I Wish I Knew Before I Started Trading

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave Landry of DaveLandry.com shares hard-fought words of wisdom from his trading career, including a healthy mix of market knowledge, mental states, and money management tips. Meanwhile, Dave Keller tracks today's downside rotation as the Nasdaq 100...   READ MORE 

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This is GOOD STUFF: A Bullish Engulfing Pattern for Semiconductors!

This is GOOD STUFF: A Bullish Engulfing Pattern for Semiconductors!

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps today's market action including a mean reversion move higher for technology, with NVDA up over 7%. Dave also answers questions from The Final Bar Mailbag, including why the 50-day moving average can be so important and...   READ MORE 

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Charting the Great Rotation of 2023

Charting the Great Rotation of 2023

KEY TAKEAWAYS * The Nasdaq 100 closed the week below its 50-day moving average, similar to recent breakdowns in leading stocks like MSFT and AAPL. * Instead of a rotation from offense to defense, this feels more like a rotation from growth sectors to cyclical sectors. * Energy-related ETFs including XOP and OIH...   READ MORE 

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The Great Rotation of 2023 Continues: Latest Updates and Insights

The Great Rotation of 2023 Continues: Latest Updates and Insights

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave wraps the week, reflecting on both stocks and bonds moving lower as the latest inflation data provides mixed evidence. He opens The Final Bar Mailbag to answer questions on Fibonacci Retracements, moving average support, and how institutions trade large...   READ MORE 

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Market Update: CPI-Fueled Rally Fizzles Out as Stocks Sag

Market Update: CPI-Fueled Rally Fizzles Out as Stocks Sag

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Mish Schneider of MarketGauge talks higher rates and why China may deserve a second look for investors. Host David Keller, CMT highlights one key industry group feeling the pain as TSLA heads toward trend line support. This video originally...   READ MORE 

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Stocks Selloff into Close After Failing at Resistance

Stocks Selloff into Close After Failing at Resistance

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, David Keller, CMT tracks the market's downside rotation as the S&P 4500 level once again serves as key resistance. He highlights semiconductor names, including NVDA and AVGO, that are breaking below their 50-day moving average, then...   READ MORE 

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Market Breadth Indicators Signal Selling Phase

Market Breadth Indicators Signal Selling Phase

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, David Keller, CMT tracks the initial selloff and subsequent recovery for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, with bullish candle patterns popping up on charts like AAPL. He digs into market breadth indicators, which have signaled a likely rotation...   READ MORE 

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A HUGE Double Top Pattern in the S&P 500?

A HUGE Double Top Pattern in the S&P 500?

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave sets the table for this week with a focus on FAANG stocks breaking down (MSFT, AAPL) vs. those still trending higher (META, GOOGL) as well as a potential rotation into financials XLF and energy XLE. He answers viewer questions...   READ MORE 

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Growth Stocks Begin Down a Slippery Slope

Growth Stocks Begin Down a Slippery Slope

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Two key breadth indicators, the McClellan Oscillator and the Nasdaq 100 Bullish Percent Index, both registered bearish signals this week. * While AMZN gapped higher on earnings and AAPL plunged lower, both stocks ended the week with bearish candle patterns. * Investors can use Fibonacci Retracements along with moving averages...   READ MORE 

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Tech Stocks Face BIG TIME Thrashing as Apple Disappoints

Tech Stocks Face BIG TIME Thrashing as Apple Disappoints

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave tracks the bearish rotation for the technology sector as earnings misses for AAPL, PANW, FTNT, and others put downside pressure on the Nasdaq. He answers viewer questions on On Balance Volume, Chaikin Money Flow, and technical analysis techniques when...   READ MORE 

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Caclulating the Risk of S&P 500 Downside Below October 2022 Low

Caclulating the Risk of S&P 500 Downside Below October 2022 Low

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Jeff Huge, CMT of JWH Investment Partners shares his Elliott Wave chart of the S&P 500, including a downside projection well below the October 2022 low. Host David Keller, CMT reveals another market breadth indicator registering a...   READ MORE 

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Growth Stocks are PLUNGING Now? Blame Fitch Downgrade!

Growth Stocks are PLUNGING Now? Blame Fitch Downgrade!

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Jay Woods, CMT of Freedom Capital Markets talks downside targets for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, and also highlights one key sector with upside potential. Meanwhile, Dave reveals a huge sell signal from an important measure...   READ MORE 

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Pay Attention to THIS! The Market is About to Skyrocket

Pay Attention to THIS! The Market is About to Skyrocket

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Ari Wald, CFA CMT of Oppenheimer shows how overbought conditions have actually been a long-term bullish signal for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. Dave highlights stocks reporting earnings today, including Eaton Corporation (ETN), Caterpillar (CAT), Stanley Black...   READ MORE 

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Breaking Down the Heavy Earnings Week

Breaking Down the Heavy Earnings Week

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down a heavy earnings week featuring AAPL, AMZN, COIN, PYPL, COP, and others. Will this week illustrate the rotation from growth sectors like technology to value sectors like energy and materials? Dave also answers viewer questions on chart...   READ MORE 

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Top Ten Charts to Watch in August 2023

Top Ten Charts to Watch in August 2023

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shares the ten charts he'll be watching as we continue into the seasonally weakest part of the year. Will the mega-cap growth trade falter, putting downside pressure on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq? StockCharts memberscan...   READ MORE 

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Is The S&P 500 Forming a Huge Double Top? A Q&A with David Keller, CMT

Is The S&P 500 Forming a Huge Double Top? A Q&A with David Keller, CMT

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, David Keller hosts a special all-mailbag edition of The Final Bar featuring questions on trailing stop techniques, MACD histograms, uranium stocks, and a potential double top formation for the S&P 500 index. This video was originally broadcast on...   READ MORE 

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All That's Bullish is GLD as the Week Wraps

All That's Bullish is GLD as the Week Wraps

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Jesse Felder of The Felder Report joins us in the studio to present the bullish case for gold based on price pattern analysis as well as a contrarian sentiment indicator. Dave wraps the week with a focus on bearish...   READ MORE 

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A Painful Plummet for Netflix and Tesla; Is This Just the Beginning?

A Painful Plummet for Netflix and Tesla; Is This Just the Beginning?

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Danielle Shay of Simpler Trading breaks down today's Nasdaq bloodbath and focuses on potential support levels for TSLA, MSFT, TSM, and AMD. Host David Keller, CMT highlights one Health Care name showing a bullish momentum divergence. This...   READ MORE 

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Tired of Long Large-Cap Growth Stocks? Dave Shows His Top 2 Alternatives

Tired of Long Large-Cap Growth Stocks? Dave Shows His Top 2 Alternatives

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Dana Lyons of J. Lyons Fund Management shares two ideas for investors looking to diversify away from the US large-cap growth space. Host David Keller, CMT highlights one key breadth indicator flashing a big time overbought signal as the...   READ MORE 

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Another New High for the Year?

Another New High for the Year?

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Nick Raich of The Earnings Scout focuses in on one sector that has a lot of earnings potential. Host David Keller, CMT explores more new highs in the S&P 500 and, with earnings season starting with force,...   READ MORE 

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S&P 500 Pushing All-Time Highs? Strong Trends Getting Stronger

S&P 500 Pushing All-Time Highs? Strong Trends Getting Stronger

In this special episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave celebrates the S&P 500 making another new high for 2023 and focuses on two key growth stocks reporting earnings this week. He answers questions on linear vs. logarithmic-scale charts, upside for COIN and breakout potential for...   READ MORE 

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How to Pick the Best Technical Indicator for You

How to Pick the Best Technical Indicator for You

In this special episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers questions from the mailbag on all things technical analysis and market strategy. He shares best practices on charting inflation rates, how the put/call ratio can be used for trend analysis, Elliott Wave corrective patterns, back testing...   READ MORE 

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Absolutely Everything Goes Up

Absolutely Everything Goes Up

KEY TAKEAWAYS * The ARK Innovation ETF has been a chronic underperformer in recent years, but 2023 has seen a dramatic turnaround. * The top holdings of ARKK, especially TSLA, COIN, and ROKU, have been the source of key gains this year. * Renewed strength from emerging technology is part of a broader...   READ MORE 

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Top 3 Pitfalls YOU Probably Make When Trading

Top 3 Pitfalls YOU Probably Make When Trading

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Dave Landry, MBA of DaveLandry.com gives us 3 of the most common behavioral pitfalls that traders make. Host David Keller, CMT explores what leadership themes we can uncover after the major moves in today's market and...   READ MORE 

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One Chart SCREAMING Small-Caps Over Large-Caps

One Chart SCREAMING Small-Caps Over Large-Caps

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest John Lewis of Dorsey Wright Money Management shares how his point & figure chart indicates upside potential for the Russell 2000 index. Host David Keller, CMT speaks to renewed strength in crude oil, energy stocks, NE, ROKU, and COIN....   READ MORE 

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Industrials Ignite as Bitcoin Blasts Off

Industrials Ignite as Bitcoin Blasts Off

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave highlights top performers in the industrial sector and tracks the renewed rally in Bitcoin after news of a $125K price target. He answers viewer questions on trailing stop indicators, exhaustion gaps, and support and resistance zones. This video was...   READ MORE