David Keller

David Keller


David is President and Chief Strategist at Sierra Alpha Research LLC, where he helps active investors make better decisions using behavioral finance and technical analysis. He is a former President of the CMT Association. Learn More 

Archived News

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Spotting Downturns Early: Daily or Weekly Charts?

Spotting Downturns Early: Daily or Weekly Charts?

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers viewer questions on spotting downturns in daily vs. weekly charts, using the Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) to identify actionable ideas, and comparing the NYSE Composite Index ($NYA) to the S&P 500 Index ($SPX). He also shares...   READ MORE 

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Three Sectors are Showing Strength, Three are Not

Three Sectors are Showing Strength, Three are Not

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes Ryan Redfern, ChFC CMT of Shadowridge Asset Management. David highlights companies reporting earnings this week, including TSLA, V, ENPH, STLD, STX, ODLF, and GD. Ryan shares key levels to watch on the S&P 500, along with...   READ MORE 

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Buy the Dip or Sell the Rip?

Buy the Dip or Sell the Rip?

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes Bret Kenwell of eToro. Bret shares the levels he's watching for AAPL and AMD, speaks to this week's bounce higher, and points out why Energy still shows long-term strength. David breaks down earnings names...   READ MORE 

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Weak Charts Keep Getting Weaker

Weak Charts Keep Getting Weaker

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave examines names making moves in the market like Tesla (TSLA), Verizon (VZ), and Nucor (NUE). Explore the world of equity benchmarks and learn how large caps, mid caps, and small caps can offer unique opportunities based on sector rotation...   READ MORE 

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Breakdown in Mega-Cap Growth Confirms Bear Phase

Breakdown in Mega-Cap Growth Confirms Bear Phase

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Early breakdowns from AAPL and TSLA provided initial warnings of a late stage bull market. * Exponential gains in stocks like SMCI and MSTR have now turned into steep pullbacks with both stocks breaking below moving average support. * With AMZN and NFLX finishing the week below their 50-day moving...   READ MORE 

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Top 10 Stocks to Watch April 2024

Top 10 Stocks to Watch April 2024

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave and Grayson run through top 10 charts to watch in April 2024! Together they cover breakout strategies, moving average techniques, relative strength, and much more. You don't want to miss these insights into market dynamics and chart...   READ MORE 

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Charts Flashing "No Go" for S&P 500!

Charts Flashing "No Go" for S&P 500!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes guest Tyler Wood, CMT of GoNoGo Charts. Tyler walks through their proprietary momentum model which confirms a bearish rotation for the major equity benchmarks yet a bullish rotation for the commodity space. David walks through key earnings names...   READ MORE 

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Semiconductors are at CRITICAL Level!

Semiconductors are at CRITICAL Level!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes guest Danielle Shay of Simpler Trading. Danielle speaks to the downside rotation for the QQQ, SMH, and leading growth stocks, including why the $210 level is so crucial for the SMH. Dave highlights the recent downswing for Bitcoin,...   READ MORE 

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Bitcoin Halving Could Bring Massive Upside!

Bitcoin Halving Could Bring Massive Upside!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shares a brief history of Bitcoin halving and relates it to the short-term and long-term technical outlook on this significant development for cryptocurrencies. He also focuses on stocks testing their 50-day moving averages, including NFLX, SMCI, and MSTR. This...   READ MORE 

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Is Market Breadth Signaling THE TOP?!

Is Market Breadth Signaling THE TOP?!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shows how bearish short-term breadth combined with the deterioration in long-term breadth lines up well with previous market tops. He then breaks down key levels for the S&P 500 index as well as MSFT, TSLA, and more....   READ MORE 

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S&P 500 Flashes Major Topping Signals

S&P 500 Flashes Major Topping Signals

KEY TAKEAWAYS * The weekly RSI has signaled an exit from overbought conditions, but the weekly PPO has not yet indicated a bearish reversal. * A break below the 200-day moving average would validate the weekly sell signals, and align with previous market tops since the 2009 market bottom. Toward the bottom...   READ MORE 

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Despite Stable Markets, Breadth Says Danger

Despite Stable Markets, Breadth Says Danger

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave drops a market update, with a focus on Bitcoin's rebound above 70K, deteriorating short-term breadth conditions, and stocks still making new highs despite the market consolidation phase. This video originally premiered on April 8, 2024. Watch on...   READ MORE 

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Double Top Forming in Growth vs. Value?

Double Top Forming in Growth vs. Value?

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers questions from The Final Bar Mailbag. Today he talks about how to use the ADX indicator, how growth vs. value may have formed a double top pattern, how to use VWAP for intraday and historical analysis, and what...   READ MORE 

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VIX Spikes Above 16 - Is This the End?

VIX Spikes Above 16 - Is This the End?

The VIX ended the week just above 16, bringing it to its highest level in 2024. What does this tell us about investor sentiment, and how does this compare to previous market cycles? Let's take a quick tour of market history through the lens of the VIX, focusing...   READ MORE 

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Two Options Plays Amid Market Selloff

Two Options Plays Amid Market Selloff

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes Sean McLaughlin of All Star Charts. Sean shares his outlook for the Ark Innovation Fund (ARKK) and energy stocks (XLE) and how to employ options strategies to bet on particular outcomes. David tracks the afternoon selloff which created...   READ MORE 

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These Sectors are Poised to Lead in Q2

These Sectors are Poised to Lead in Q2

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes Mish Schneider of MarketGauge as she walks through charts of the Swiss Franc, solar stocks, and uranium, with a focus on price momentum and multiple time frame analysis. Dave breaks down the S&P 500 sectors into...   READ MORE 

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Top Two Sectors to Watch in April 2024

Top Two Sectors to Watch in April 2024

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes guest Joe Rabil of Rabil Stock Research, who shares two sectors, Energy and Materials, where he sees upside potential given the recent upswing in commodity prices. Dave speaks to the developing pullback in growth leadership names and why...   READ MORE 

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Should You be Concerned About These Four Stocks?

Should You be Concerned About These Four Stocks?

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave and guest Julius de Kempenaer of RRG Research talk sector rotation, growth vs. value, offense vs. defense, and an outlook for the US equity markets as we begin Q2 2024. Dave also charts the strong breadth readings and low...   READ MORE 

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Which Magnificent 7 Stock Would You Pick for Q2?

Which Magnificent 7 Stock Would You Pick for Q2?

This article represents an exercise I like to call the "Single Stock Portfolio". In this scenario, you can only own one stock in your portfolio for the next three months, and you can pick any one of the following eight stocks. Which one would you select, and why?...   READ MORE 

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Buy Breakout or Fade Divergence on Growth Stocks?

Buy Breakout or Fade Divergence on Growth Stocks?

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave presents a mailbag show discussing key technical analysis topics. He covers breakouts, the role of TSX, CCI signals, Gartner Group (IT) strategies, seasonal patterns, ATR use, NVDA Fibonacci retracements, and managing high-yield stocks like GLP. You don't...   READ MORE 

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How to Analyze Volume Trends on Multiple Time Frames

How to Analyze Volume Trends on Multiple Time Frames

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave highlights charts breaking above resistance levels, including Gold Shares (GLD), Phillips 66 (PSX), Capital One Fence Corp (COF), Freeport-McMoRan (FCX), and DraftKings (DKNG). Dave also interviews Buff Dormeier of Kingsview Investment Management, who shows how he uses RSI, the...   READ MORE 

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S&P 7000 By End of 2024?

S&P 7000 By End of 2024?

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest David Hunter of Contrarian Macro Advisors shares his updated target for the S&P 500, and makes the case for a bullish melt-up phase for stocks, bonds, and gold.  Dave Keller focuses in on the relative performance of...   READ MORE 

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Three Industrial Stocks With Room to Run!

Three Industrial Stocks With Room to Run!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes guest Mary Ellen McGonagle of MEM Investment Research. David compares two stocks in the same industry group with dramatically different chart patterns. Which one would you want to own here and why? Mary Ellen shares three stocks with...   READ MORE 

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Look Out Below! The Bear Case For Apple

Look Out Below! The Bear Case For Apple

KEY TAKEAWAYS * While the long-term trend in Apple has been quite strong, the weekly charts shows a clear double-top pattern with declining momentum. * Our Market Trend Model currently reads short-term bearish, medium-term bearish, and long-term bullish. * A break below price support around $169 could open the door to further downside,...   READ MORE 

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The Best Leading Indicator for Stocks

The Best Leading Indicator for Stocks

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave brings you another mailbag show! Explore the differences between RSI and Accumulation Distribution for stocks. Compare the benefits of SharpCharts or ACP on StockCharts. Understand the nuances between Keltner and Bollinger Bands. Discover why considering sector trends and using...   READ MORE 

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Post-Fed Rally Ignites Flurry of New Highs

Post-Fed Rally Ignites Flurry of New Highs

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave comments on AAPL's breakdown on antitrust legislation, the breakouts occurring in the homebuilder space, and how to play names like WDC gapping into key resistance levels. Guest Chris Verrone of Strategas Research Partners compares the S&...   READ MORE 

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Market Rips Higher After Fed Announcement

Market Rips Higher After Fed Announcement

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave tracks the S&P 500's first close above the 5200 level as risk assets pop higher following Fed Chair Powell's comments this afternoon. He digs into market breadth indicators, which remain bullish on short-term,...   READ MORE 

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Downside Risk in a Bullish Market

Downside Risk in a Bullish Market

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes guest Chris Ciovacco of Ciovacco Capital Management. David focuses on downside risk for GOOGL and AMZN, and shares one utility name that should be on your radar! Chris updates a weekly S&P 500 chart he first...   READ MORE 

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How Would YOU Rank the Magnificent 7 Stocks?

How Would YOU Rank the Magnificent 7 Stocks?

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps the continued leadership rotation from growth to value, with SMCI breaking below $1000 and GOOGL dropping a shooting star candle on Monday's session. He walks through a process to compare and contrast the Magnificent 7 stocks,...   READ MORE 

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What's the Downside Risk for QQQ?

What's the Downside Risk for QQQ?

KEY TAKEAWAYS * A bearish momentum divergence and declining Bullish Percent Index suggests rough waters ahead for the QQQ. * The 50-day moving average and Chandelier Exit system can serve as trailing stops to lock in gains from the recent uptrend. * If stops are broken, we can use Fibonacci Retracements to identify...   READ MORE 

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Spot The Warning Signs of Bankruptcy!

Spot The Warning Signs of Bankruptcy!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave presents an in-depth discussion on technical analysis patterns, market trends, and risk management. Explore how to spot bankruptcy risks, candlestick patterns, Dave's approach to QQQ, optimizing the Market Trend Model, RSI and MACD signals, "master risk...   READ MORE 

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The Mighty Have Fallen! TSLA and NVDA On The Rocks

The Mighty Have Fallen! TSLA and NVDA On The Rocks

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave tracks the day's weaker session, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq down slightly and the small cap S&P 600 down 1.6%. He covers energy stocks breaking higher on stronger crude oil prices,...   READ MORE 

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Key Support Levels Broken, BUT Breadth is Bullish!

Key Support Levels Broken, BUT Breadth is Bullish!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave focuses on the resilient strength in market breadth indicators, suggesting a leadership rotation continues as growth stocks like AAPL and TSLA fail to hold key support. He highlights stocks making new three-month highs, including FCX, SCCO, and WSM. This...   READ MORE 

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What Loss?! NVIDIA and ORACLE Rip Higher

What Loss?! NVIDIA and ORACLE Rip Higher

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down today's market action direct from New York, tracking technology shares including NVDA and ORCL regaining lost ground after last Friday's losses. In a segment called Crypto Corner, he outlines two ways to apply...   READ MORE 

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Bearish Engulfing Pattern Marks Top For NVDA?

Bearish Engulfing Pattern Marks Top For NVDA?

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Nvidia is up 77% year-to-date, far outpacing the S&P 500 and Nasdaq which are both up about 7-8%. * A bearish engulfing pattern is a two-bar candle pattern indicating short-term distribution and negative sentiment. * Downside targets for NVDA can be identified using trendlines and Fibonacci retracements. Large-cap...   READ MORE 

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Top 10 Actionable Charts to Watch 2024

Top 10 Actionable Charts to Watch 2024

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Grayson and Dave run through the 10 charts they feel present actionable opportunities based on their technical analysis setups. They'll cover breakout strategies, moving average techniques, relative strength, and much more.  And you'll have ten new...   READ MORE 

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Small Caps Breaking Out BULLISH

Small Caps Breaking Out BULLISH

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave interviews Ari Wald, CFA CMT of Oppenheimer. He also covers Kroger, the iShares S&P 500 Value ETF, and Costco. This video originally premiered on March 7, 2024. Watch on our dedicated Final Bar pageon StockCharts TV! New...   READ MORE 

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AAPL and TSLA Stocks Are COLLAPSING!

AAPL and TSLA Stocks Are COLLAPSING!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave highlights mega-cap growth names that are in full breakdown mode, including TSLA, AAPL, and GOOGL. He also updates the latest market breadth indicators which suggest more of a leadership rotation into value-oriented sectors, and even Consumer Staples names including...   READ MORE 

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Bitcoin Tests All-Time Highs While Growth Stocks Sag

Bitcoin Tests All-Time Highs While Growth Stocks Sag

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down the hourly chart of Bitcoin and highlights recent breakouts for regional banks. Guest Julius de Kempenaer of RRG Research focuses in on the Communication Services sector, including META, DIS, and GOOG, and shows how defensive sectors have...   READ MORE 

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Would You Rather Own AMZN or AAPL Stock?

Would You Rather Own AMZN or AAPL Stock?

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shows how the Magnificent 7 has become much less of a comparable group of stocks, with TSLA, AAPL, and GOOGL all breaking down in recent weeks. He also tracks Bitcoin's retest of all-time highs and why high...   READ MORE