David Keller

David Keller


David is President and Chief Strategist at Sierra Alpha Research LLC, where he helps active investors make better decisions using behavioral finance and technical analysis. He is a former President of the CMT Association. Learn More 

Archived News

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Post-Fed Rally Ignites Flurry of New Highs

Post-Fed Rally Ignites Flurry of New Highs

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave comments on AAPL's breakdown on antitrust legislation, the breakouts occurring in the homebuilder space, and how to play names like WDC gapping into key resistance levels. Guest Chris Verrone of Strategas Research Partners compares the S&...   READ MORE 

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Market Rips Higher After Fed Announcement

Market Rips Higher After Fed Announcement

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave tracks the S&P 500's first close above the 5200 level as risk assets pop higher following Fed Chair Powell's comments this afternoon. He digs into market breadth indicators, which remain bullish on short-term,...   READ MORE 

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Downside Risk in a Bullish Market

Downside Risk in a Bullish Market

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes guest Chris Ciovacco of Ciovacco Capital Management. David focuses on downside risk for GOOGL and AMZN, and shares one utility name that should be on your radar! Chris updates a weekly S&P 500 chart he first...   READ MORE 

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How Would YOU Rank the Magnificent 7 Stocks?

How Would YOU Rank the Magnificent 7 Stocks?

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps the continued leadership rotation from growth to value, with SMCI breaking below $1000 and GOOGL dropping a shooting star candle on Monday's session. He walks through a process to compare and contrast the Magnificent 7 stocks,...   READ MORE 

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What's the Downside Risk for QQQ?

What's the Downside Risk for QQQ?

KEY TAKEAWAYS * A bearish momentum divergence and declining Bullish Percent Index suggests rough waters ahead for the QQQ. * The 50-day moving average and Chandelier Exit system can serve as trailing stops to lock in gains from the recent uptrend. * If stops are broken, we can use Fibonacci Retracements to identify...   READ MORE 

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Spot The Warning Signs of Bankruptcy!

Spot The Warning Signs of Bankruptcy!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave presents an in-depth discussion on technical analysis patterns, market trends, and risk management. Explore how to spot bankruptcy risks, candlestick patterns, Dave's approach to QQQ, optimizing the Market Trend Model, RSI and MACD signals, "master risk...   READ MORE 

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The Mighty Have Fallen! TSLA and NVDA On The Rocks

The Mighty Have Fallen! TSLA and NVDA On The Rocks

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave tracks the day's weaker session, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq down slightly and the small cap S&P 600 down 1.6%. He covers energy stocks breaking higher on stronger crude oil prices,...   READ MORE 

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Key Support Levels Broken, BUT Breadth is Bullish!

Key Support Levels Broken, BUT Breadth is Bullish!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave focuses on the resilient strength in market breadth indicators, suggesting a leadership rotation continues as growth stocks like AAPL and TSLA fail to hold key support. He highlights stocks making new three-month highs, including FCX, SCCO, and WSM. This...   READ MORE 

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What Loss?! NVIDIA and ORACLE Rip Higher

What Loss?! NVIDIA and ORACLE Rip Higher

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down today's market action direct from New York, tracking technology shares including NVDA and ORCL regaining lost ground after last Friday's losses. In a segment called Crypto Corner, he outlines two ways to apply...   READ MORE 

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Bearish Engulfing Pattern Marks Top For NVDA?

Bearish Engulfing Pattern Marks Top For NVDA?

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Nvidia is up 77% year-to-date, far outpacing the S&P 500 and Nasdaq which are both up about 7-8%. * A bearish engulfing pattern is a two-bar candle pattern indicating short-term distribution and negative sentiment. * Downside targets for NVDA can be identified using trendlines and Fibonacci retracements. Large-cap...   READ MORE 

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Top 10 Actionable Charts to Watch 2024

Top 10 Actionable Charts to Watch 2024

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Grayson and Dave run through the 10 charts they feel present actionable opportunities based on their technical analysis setups. They'll cover breakout strategies, moving average techniques, relative strength, and much more.  And you'll have ten new...   READ MORE 

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Small Caps Breaking Out BULLISH

Small Caps Breaking Out BULLISH

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave interviews Ari Wald, CFA CMT of Oppenheimer. He also covers Kroger, the iShares S&P 500 Value ETF, and Costco. This video originally premiered on March 7, 2024. Watch on our dedicated Final Bar pageon StockCharts TV! New...   READ MORE 

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AAPL and TSLA Stocks Are COLLAPSING!

AAPL and TSLA Stocks Are COLLAPSING!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave highlights mega-cap growth names that are in full breakdown mode, including TSLA, AAPL, and GOOGL. He also updates the latest market breadth indicators which suggest more of a leadership rotation into value-oriented sectors, and even Consumer Staples names including...   READ MORE 

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Bitcoin Tests All-Time Highs While Growth Stocks Sag

Bitcoin Tests All-Time Highs While Growth Stocks Sag

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down the hourly chart of Bitcoin and highlights recent breakouts for regional banks. Guest Julius de Kempenaer of RRG Research focuses in on the Communication Services sector, including META, DIS, and GOOG, and shows how defensive sectors have...   READ MORE 

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Would You Rather Own AMZN or AAPL Stock?

Would You Rather Own AMZN or AAPL Stock?

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shows how the Magnificent 7 has become much less of a comparable group of stocks, with TSLA, AAPL, and GOOGL all breaking down in recent weeks. He also tracks Bitcoin's retest of all-time highs and why high...   READ MORE 

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Could This Stock Be the NEXT NVDA?

Could This Stock Be the NEXT NVDA?

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave wraps up his Dubai journey with a special Viewer's Questions Mailbag edition! Dave explores whether LABU is on the path to mimic NVIDIA and if it's still the right time to jump in. He also...   READ MORE 

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AMD Spikes Higher as AI Trade Still Kicking

AMD Spikes Higher as AI Trade Still Kicking

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps today's market activity from the CMT 2024 Summit in Dubai, highlighting AMD's upside breakout, breadth improvement for US stocks, and why big round numbers matter for stocks like SMCI. This video originally premiered on...   READ MORE 

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Magnificent 7 Not All Magnificent!

Magnificent 7 Not All Magnificent!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave speaks to the diversifying patterns within the Magnificent 7, with GOOGL and AAPL showing clear signs of short-term distribution. He also tracks Bitcoin reaching the 64K level and shares some initial thoughts from the CMT Dubai Summit. This video...   READ MORE 

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New Dow Theory CONFIRMS BULL Phase!

New Dow Theory CONFIRMS BULL Phase!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave continues his market recaps from Dubai, focusing on the impressive rally in small caps, continued strength in Bitcoin, and upside potential for crude oil and oil services stocks. He highlights one technology name in a persistent downtrend, but potentially...   READ MORE 

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BITCOIN Rally Picks Up Steam, What's Next?

BITCOIN Rally Picks Up Steam, What's Next?

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shares his first market update from Dubai with a recap of Bitcoin's electrifying rally, Tesla's bounce higher, and Alphabet's pullback.  The S&P 500 remains above 5K with plenty of new 52-week...   READ MORE 

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How Overextended Are You, QQQ?

How Overextended Are You, QQQ?

We've highlighted all the warning signs as this bull market phase has seemed to near an exhaustion point. We shared bearish market tells, including the dreaded Hindenburg Omen,and how leading growth stocks have beendemonstrating questionable patterns. But despite all of those signs of market exhaustion, our growth-led...   READ MORE 

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The Best Technical Indicator for Long-Term Investors

The Best Technical Indicator for Long-Term Investors

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave drops an all-mailbag episode featuring viewer questions on the Hindenburg Omen, ascending triangle patterns, Fibonacci Retracements, projecting upside targets for stocks like NVDA, and the best technical indicator long-term investors should use! This video originally premiered on February 23,...   READ MORE 

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NVDA SCREAMS BULL With Earnings Breakout

NVDA SCREAMS BULL With Earnings Breakout

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave identifies key resistance levels for QQQ and HYG, along with a technical analysis downtrend checklist for charts in confirmed bear phases. Guest Larry Tentarelli of Blue Chip Daily Trend Report shares two stocks he's tracking along with...   READ MORE 

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Markets Bracing for NVDA Earnings

Markets Bracing for NVDA Earnings

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down the latest market breadth indicators, ranging from bullish (S&P 500 advance-decline line) to bearish (Bullish Percent Indexes breaking down) to everything in between.  He also analyzes key growth names including SMCI, PANW, AMZN, and NVDA....   READ MORE 

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The Titanic Syndrome Indicator Issues a WARNING!

The Titanic Syndrome Indicator Issues a WARNING!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave focuses on AAPL which closed below its 200-day moving average as it tests key price support. Guest Jesse Felder of The Felder Report reports on the Titanic Syndrome, a market breadth indicator similar to the Hindenburg Omen that suggests...   READ MORE 

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Three Leading Growth Stocks Testing Gap Support

Three Leading Growth Stocks Testing Gap Support

KEY TAKEAWAYS * The NYFANG+ index of leading growth stocks is up about 12% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 have gained only 5%. * All three of these growth stocks show similar patterns, with a recent gap higher.  But they have now all stalled out. * If these...   READ MORE 

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What to Do With NVDA (And Others Like It)

What to Do With NVDA (And Others Like It)

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers viewer questions on the Money Flow Index, using RSP vs. SPY for relative strength analysis, strategies for names in extended uptrends like NVDA, applying Fibonacci retracements to charts like KRE, and more. This video originally premiered on February...   READ MORE 

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SMCI Breaks $1,000 Level - What's Next?

SMCI Breaks $1,000 Level - What's Next?

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Bob Lang of Explosive Options shares three charts he's following as the S&P 500 continues to hold the crucial 5,000 level. Host David Keller, CMT highlights key stocks on the earnings list, including DKNG, COIN,...   READ MORE 

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Market Pullback? Follow These Charts!

Market Pullback? Follow These Charts!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave tracks the S&P 500 back above 5K, Bitcoin back above 50K, and why NFLX, META, & AMZN may be the most important names to follow in the coming weeks. Guest Mish Schneider of MarketGauge breaks down the...   READ MORE 

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S&P 500 Plunges Below 5K!

S&P 500 Plunges Below 5K!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shows how the S&P 500 is just barely holding trendline support as his short-term Market Trend Model threatens to turn bearish this week. Guest Sean McLaughlin of All Star Charts talks through how he's playing...   READ MORE 

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Catch BIGGER GAINS by Fishing for Alpha

Catch BIGGER GAINS by Fishing for Alpha

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave highlights breakouts in home builders and Bitcoin and reviews key names reporting earnings including ABNB, SHOP, and MAR. He also shares an equity scan he uses every week to identify the next potential breakout candidates. Stay tuned until the...   READ MORE 

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Beware the Hindenburg Omen!

Beware the Hindenburg Omen!

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Jim Miekka created the Hindenburg Omen after studying the conditions present at previous market peaks. * The Hindenburg Omen triggered an initial signal this week, just as the S&P 500 finally closed above 5000 for the first time. * If we see a second signal in the next...   READ MORE 

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Your Questions, Answered! Price Gaps, Bull Flags, Inverse Patterns, and MORE

Your Questions, Answered! Price Gaps, Bull Flags, Inverse Patterns, and MORE

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave digs into The Final Bar Mailbag and answers questions on price patterns like bull flags, what price gaps actually represent on the chart, and why analyzing earnings trends could help you anticipate subsequent moves for stocks like META. This...   READ MORE 

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3 Expert Earnings Plays: Maximizing Reward, Minimizing Risk

3 Expert Earnings Plays: Maximizing Reward, Minimizing Risk

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes Danielle Shay of Simpler Trading. Danielle highlights three earnings plays she's focused on this week, and shares how she combines multiple time frames in her trading to better define risk vs. reward. Dave laments the weakening...   READ MORE 

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Why the NAAIM Exposure Index Matters to Your Investments

Why the NAAIM Exposure Index Matters to Your Investments

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes Ryan Redfern, ChFC, CMT of Shadowridge Asset Management and President of NAAIM. Ryan provides a primer on the NAAIM Exposure Index, including what it is, how it's calculated, and how it can be used to measure...   READ MORE 

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Three Things I WISH I'd Known About Trading

Three Things I WISH I'd Known About Trading

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave speaks to weakening short-term breadth conditions as the McClellan Oscillator rotates to a bearish level this week. Guest Dave Landry of DaveLandry.com drops some serious trader wisdom and also shares what he does first thing every morning to...   READ MORE 

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Market Breadth Divergence Says NO BULL!

Market Breadth Divergence Says NO BULL!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave demonstrates how the market's recent upswing has left mid-caps and small-caps in the dust, with deteriorating breadth conditions suggesting an increased risk of downside for the S&P 500. He also unveils the latest enhancements to...   READ MORE 

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Tesla Tests Key Support: Is This a Trade? Or an Investment?

Tesla Tests Key Support: Is This a Trade? Or an Investment?

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Tesla is an outlier from the other Magnificent 7 stocks, remaining in a downtrend channel for the last six months. * RSI oversold conditions, along with Fibonacci retracements, suggests a return to the upper end of the trend channel. * TSLA shows a "confluence of resistance" above current...   READ MORE 

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Top Ten Charts to Watch for February 2024

Top Ten Charts to Watch for February 2024

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Grayson and Dave run through charts they feel present actionable opportunities based on their technical analysis setups. They'll cover breakout strategies, moving average techniques, relative strength, and much more. And you'll have ten new charts to...   READ MORE 

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Bullish Buyers Return After Market Selloff

Bullish Buyers Return After Market Selloff

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Jay Woods, CMT of Freedom Capital Markets brings the energy of the NYSE floor to the show, relating today's market rebound to longer term themes for small caps and regional banks.  Dave shares one breadth indicator recognizing broad...   READ MORE