MEMBERS ONLY
Surprise Negative Divergence on Nasdaq Advance-Decline Line
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
We were perusing the Advance-Decline Line charts that we have and noticed something that surprised us. The Nasdaq Advance-Decline Line is trending lower while prices continue higher. This is negative divergence we didn't expect to see.
What makes that negative divergence even more interesting is looking at the...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
DP Trading Room: Shake Up at Boeing (BA)
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Today Carl and Erin reviewed the Boeing (BA) chart together discussing the technical ramifications of the step down of the CEO and two other board members. We do note that the CEO will finish out the year so problems could continue throughout the year. The technicals on the chart are...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
DP Trading Room: Use a Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) Sort to Find Winners!
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Today Carl and Erin open the show with an example of how you can find stock and ETF relative strength using a Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) sort. Many may not know but PMO readings can be compared to one another to determine relative strength.
Carl gives us a review of...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
DP Trading Room: Semiconductors - SOXX v. SMH, They're Not the Same
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Carl and Erin explore the differences between two Semiconductor ETFs, SOXX and SMH. They are NOT the same. One offers far more upside potential than the other. Learn how to easily compare two ETFs or even two stocks using relative strength.
Carl covered the market in general with special attention...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
What Happened to NVIDIA (NVDA)?
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
NVIDIA (NVDA) was enjoying quite a rally to start the day. All seemed right with the world. Someone recently said to me, regarding another company, that it was "a victim of its own success." This is what happened to NVDA.
It appears that the ceiling was reached for...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
DP Trading Room: Must See Gold Charts!
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Carl begins today's show with a walk through General Electric (GE) which was in the news this week. See what Carl thinks of the charts!
Carl covers the market in general and pays particular attention to Gold as it launches skyward. Can this run continue? What does this...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Apple (AAPL) and Google (GOOGL) Flashing "Pure Weakness"
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
We've begun talking more about the Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) as it relates to finding "pure strength" and "pure weakness". What it all comes down to is the zero line and the PMO's behavior above or below.
We review the Magnificent 7...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
DP Trading Room: The PMO Versus the MACD!
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Today Carl explains the benefits of using the Price Momentum Oscillator versus the MACD. They are not the same!
Carl then gives us his insights on the market in general as well as Bitcoin news, Magnificent 7 overview, as well as Crude Oil and Interest Rates.
Erin gives us an...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
DP Trading Room: Avoid These "Magnificent 7" Stocks!
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
On today's DecisionPoint Trading Room episode, Carl reviews the Magnificent 7 and gives you his opinion on their current and possible future states. He warns against two in particular and gives his stamp of approval on three others. Negative divergences are still a problem and Carl explains why....
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Sentiment Lopsided - Is It a Problem?
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Periodically, we like to review sentiment charts, and today we have two for you. One is the poll results from the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) and the other is the National Association of Active Investment Managers (NAAIM) Exposure level.
In both cases, we are starting to see sentiment...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
DecisionPoint Trading Room: Narrow Advance a Big Problem!
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
The market rally last week was very narrow, driven mainly by large gains in communication services stocks like Meta. Many technical indicators are showing negative divergences. The broader market struggled. Erin reviews all of the sectors under the hood and then takes your symbol requests.
Key Takeaways:
- Communication services...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
This Week's Sector & Industry Group to Watch
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Before we get started today, I want to encourage you to subscribe to our new YouTube Channel for DecisionPoint. We post the recording of our weekly trading room there, and it is also full of educational videos that Erin has done over the years. Click on this LINK to subscribe...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Earnings Preview: The Technical Temperature
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Big Week in Earnings
* Magnificent 7 - Five Reporting (MSFT, GOOGL, META, AAPL and AMZN
* Other stocks we look at: PFE, SBUX, AMD, MA, BA, MET, MRK, XOM and CVX
* Even more coverage with viewer symbol requests
This is a big week for earnings so Carl and Erin...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Finding Pure Strength Using the PMO (DP Trading Room Video)
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
We are getting our DecisionPoint YouTube channel up and running and will be posting our newest Trading Room videos each week there. We invite you to subscribe to our YouTube channel @decisionpointcom!
FINDING PURE STRENGTH USING THE PMO!
After doing the market overview and sector rotation discussion, Erin shows viewers...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Dramatic Bearish Bias Shift on Major Market Indexes This Week
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
(This is an excerpt from the subscriber-only DecisionPoint Alert on DecisionPoint.com)
This week, the markets experienced a dramatic bias shift. We measure the Intermediate-Term Bias using our Silver Cross Index (SCI). The SCI measures how many stocks within an index, sector, or industry group hold "silver crosses"...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Silver Cross Index is Topping on Broad Market Indexes
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
(Below is an excerpt from the subscriber-only DecisionPoint Alert on DecisionPoint.com for Thursday, 1/4):
Most are familiar with what a "golden cross" is, a 50-day MA moving above the 200-day MA. Today we will talk about a "silver cross". A "silver cross"...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Is Sentiment Too Bullish?
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* NAAIM Sentiment - No Leverage
* AAII Sentiment Highly Bullish
* Rydex Bull Assets Have Room to Move Higher
(This is an excerpt from today's subscriber-only DP Alert.)
We thought it might be a good idea to review sentiment today. It should be no surprise that investors are...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
DP Trading Room: Finally! Signs of Life in the Energy Sector
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, with Energy (XLE) finally showing signs of life, Carl and Erin dive into the sector to learn more about participation and new momentum. Carl discusses Total Returns on SPX, which are showing new all-time highs before the actual index....
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
DP Trading Room: How Bad Data From Major Indexes Leads to Bad Analysis
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl discusses his recent epiphany regarding data derived from major indexes. Bad data will lead to bad analysis, so it's important to understand this concept for analyzing major indexes. He and Erin discuss the implications of Magnificent...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
DP Trading Room: How To Time Your Trade Entries & Exits Like a Pro
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Erin flies solo today and gives everyone a refresher course on how to expertly time your entries and exits for trades, using the 5-minute candlestick chart. She covers the market in general, followed by analysis of sectors of interest...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Cap-Weighted Leadership Is Unhealthy
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Below is a reprint of an article written Thursday in the subscriber-only DecisionPoint Alert:
One of the things we keep track of is the performance of the S&P 500 Index (SPY), which is cap-weighted, versus the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index (RSP). In a healthy bull...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
DP Trading Room: Is Your Portfolio OUTDATED? The Truth About The 60/40 Mix
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl opens the show with a discussion about the typical 60/40 Portfolio (60% US Stocks/40% US Bonds) and whether it will continue to serve you well given the decline in Bonds. Is this portfolio blend obsolete? Both...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
DP Trading Room: This Powerful Scan Finds Stocks Showing NEW Momentum
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl covers the major markets as well as the Dollar, Gold, yields, and Bitcoin. Erin runs her "Momentum Sleepers Scan" to find stocks that are showing new momentum under the surface. She uncovers a few stocks for...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
New PMO Crossover BUY Signals Across All Major Indexes
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Yesterday, the SPX (SPY), OEX (OEF) and Dow Industrials (DIA) all saw new PMO Crossover BUY Signals. Today, they were joined by the remainder of the major indexes. The market is clicking; now we need to determine how long this rally will stick around.
Seeing so many oversold PMO BUY...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
DP Trading Room: Bad News for Buyers Weighing Hefty Mortgage Rates
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl opens the show with a look at a very bearish market BIAS Table. He examines how the latest mortgage rates are squeezing buyers and sellers alike by comparing today's mortgage payments versus payments at the lows;...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Two Defensive Sectors are Outperforming - What Does This Mean?
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
The only two sectors to close higher on Wednesday were in the defensive category, Consumer Staples (XLP) and Utilities (XLU).
We were already watching XLP as it established a short-term rising trend. What we aren't seeing is healthy participation...yet. We are seeing some expansion in stocks above...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Complimentary Edition of the DecisionPoint "Weekly Wrap"
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Golden Cross BUY Signal for Gold
* Death Cross SELL Signal for NYSE Composite
* Death Cross SELL Signal for Materials (XLB)
Gold (GLD) has been strong this month and today its 50-day EMA crossed up through its 200-day EMA (Golden Cross), generating an LT Trend Model BUY Signal. You...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
DP Trading Room: Mortgage Rates Hit Multiyear High -- Who Goes Bankrupt First?
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl discusses the war's effect on the market and looks closer at the effects of high mortgage rates, which have hit multiyear highs. These are pinching not only buyers, but sellers and homebuilders. Afterwards, he goes deeper...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), Communication Services (XLC), and Transports (IYT) New Bullish Bias in IT
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Silver Cross Index Has Bullish "Shift" Above Signal Line for QQQ, XLC and IYT
* QQQ Should Continue Higher
* XLC Struggles Today, But Has Bullish Outlook
* IYT Neutral Outlook Based on Relative Strength
The Silver Cross Index is another way for us to measure participation within an...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
DP Trading Room: Exponential vs. Simple -- This is the Moving Average We Use
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl opens the show with a discussion of the yield curve, followed by his coverage of the Magnificent 7+ and the market in general. Erin looks at the effect of war on the Energy sector, as well as a...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
DP Trading Room: This is the ONLY Sector Showing STRENGTH Right Now
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl, after a walkthrough of the Magnificent 7+ stocks, examines how, while it was clear that there's some strength to be had in the Nasdaq, one look at the Ultrashort for Dow 30 (SDOW) and an internal...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
DP Trading Room: Don't Forget The MONTHLY CHARTS! Earnings Spotlight
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl opens with a discussion on why you should use monthly charts even if you are investing in the shorter term. He gives us insight into the market as a whole and reviews the Magnificent 7 stocks and Tesla...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
DP Trading Room: Mega-Caps Looking Bearish
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl notes that the "Magnificent 7" stocks are looking "toppy", with only a few exceptions. These leadership stocks could put downside pressure on an already weak market. Erin picks out the strongest of the sectors...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Technology, Last Man Standing... Falls
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* XLK "Bearish Shifts" Move IT and LT Bias to BEARISH
* XLK PMO Nearing Crossover SELL Signal
In Monday's DecisionPoint Trading Room we discussed that Technology (XLK) was the last one standing on our Bias Scoreboard with a Bullish Bias in both the intermediate term...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
DP Trading Room: Can Tech's Bullish Bias Hold?
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl reviews the markets and shares the new DecisionPoint BIAS assessment list. Erin concentrates on Technology (XLK) and Utilities (XLU). Technology is only sector holding a bullish bias in the intermediate and long terms, will that hold up? Utilities...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Energy Sector (XLE) Hits All-Time High, Should We Worry?
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Energy (XLE) Logs New All-Time High
* XLE "Bearish Shift" on Silver Cross Index
The Energy sector (XLE) has been enjoying a rally throughout the summer. Today. it logged a new all-time high on a small breakout. While the sector looks impervious, there are a few concerns...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
DP Trading Room: New Market Bias Assessment Table
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl introduces viewers to the new Market Bias table now included in the DecisionPoint Alert. This table covers all the major indexes, sectors, and select industry groups. He goes over how we determine the bias in the intermediate and...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
DP Trading Room: Two Bullish Industry Groups
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl presents a thorough review of the markets, including Gold and Crude Oil. He also comments on the possibility that the housing market has hit rock bottom... though that's not likely. Erin digs out two industry groups...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Swenlin Trading Oscillators Trying To Turn Up
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
It was ultimately a decent rally today on the SP500 with help from the tech heavy Nasdaq. Swenlin Trading Oscillators (STOs) are our primary short-term indicators. They have been in decline for all of the indexes, but we noted a few trying to turn up. The SPY saw a rise...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
DP Trading Room: Mega-caps are Showing Bearish Bias
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl opens the show with a review of a very high-yielding ETF he recently became aware of. The "Magnificent 7" stocks all show bearish biases; SPY is holding support, but indicators are still quite weak. Erin Swenlin...
READ MORE