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Does Japan's Bullish Resurgence Have Staying Power?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* After three quiet decades, Japanese stocks are making a comeback
* The rise is powered by factors like improved company management, cheaper stock prices compared to the US, a weaker yen, and companies giving more money back to shareholders
* The $64 price level is key for the MSCI Japan...
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A Few Bitcoin Buy Targets (If You're Betting On a Thaw)
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Institutional interest signals end of crypto winter
* Technical indicators show strong bullish momentum in Bitcoin, but also suggest a potential near-term pullback
* Bitcoin is a speculative trade driven largely by sentiment in absence of real fundamentals
Bitcoin has been on a strong but volatile uptrend over the last...
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Homebuilder Stocks are Soaring, But Is It a Good Time to Buy?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
The May Housing Starts and Permits released this past Tuesday was quite eye-popping, despite riding the back of a disappointing market drop in the Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq.
How so? If you think about it, mortgage rates are averaging a painful 7%+. And still demand for homes rebounded,...
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How's the US Dollar Reacting to the Fed's Rate Hike Skip?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
Maybe you were expecting the dollar to fall a bit more dramatically (and for gold to rise) when,after the FOMC meeting yesterday, the Federal Reserve announced that it was holding interest rates steady for the first time after 10 consecutive hikes. But the bearish response was a bit lackluster....
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Unlocking Strong AI Investments: You Need To Analyze These ETFs
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
Artificial intelligence (AI) stocks have become popular, almost fashionable. AI is a new frontier, an emerging technology offering unique opportunities and risks -- but is it a smart investment?
Why invest in AI?
AI has the capacity to revolutionize industries, drive economic growth, impact global challenges, and unlock scalable efficiency....
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Ichimoku Cloud: Looking to the Past to Find Future Trades
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
Note: For the sake of brevity, this article will take a bullish and long-only approach. If you're interested in going short, you can apply this information, but in reverse.
How can you efficiently use the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (aka Ichimoku Cloud) indicator to find trading opportunities, especially when...
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Scanning for Bearish Engulfing Candlestick Patterns
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
It's tempting to think of Bearish Engulfing patterns as the negative counterpart to the Bullish Engulfing pattern because, technically, they sort of are. But the Bearish Engulfing pattern also presents a trading opportunity that's unique to the downside: Stocks tend to fall three times faster than...
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The AI Boom That Catapulted Tech's Impressive Weekly Outperformance
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
It's no surprise that the Technology sector was the most talked-about sector of the past several weeks. AI FOMO was everywhere on Wall Street as Nvidia (NVDA) and other AI stocks pulled ahead of their non-AI counterparts. In the end, Tech stocks, in general, kept the Nasdaq well...
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Scanning for Strong Reversals via Bullish Engulfing Patterns
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
The market's pulling back, but you expect the decline to be short-lived. You believe it's a mere dip, so you're scanning the market for a few stocks that might be on the verge of a strong upside reversal. One pattern you might want to...
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Is This BUD Still For You?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
BUD's stock price has fallen hard, but it may be at a critical buy point.Is the king of beers (or rather, its parent company) a good buy, or is it something to avoid for now? Let's take a closer look.
What Happened to BUD?
In...
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Gold's Wild Ride: A Bullish Uptrend or a Bearish Freefall?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
A couple of weeks ago (early May), the price of spot gold reached a high of $2085 an ounce, nearly challenging its all-time high of around $2089 last reached in 2020. Since then, gold's had a rough ride. Last week, prices plummeted almost $30 per ounce thanks to...
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Contrarian Trading Strategy: Scanning For Stocks to Fade
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
Fading an overextended market move is always tricky. Risky too. To go long on something you estimate is oversold, or to go short on an asset you think might be overbought, means capitalizing on a market sentiment misstep. And it takes guts to make a contrarian trade—you're...
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Bitcoin's Tug-of-War: Navigating the Bearish Trend Amid Potential Bullish Outlook
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
Bitcoin bears currently hold a slight edge in the ongoing technical tug-of-war for prices. The 'OG' crypto is about to break below a two-month support level, leaving BTC bulls scouring the next series of local lows either to scoop up more of the crypto or to exit an...
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Harnessing Momentum: Jumping On the 52-Week Breakout (Before It Happens)
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
In the dynamic world of market prices, timing is often everything.
Knowing when to buy or sell is key to a successful trade. But how can you identify the opportune moment to make a move? One strategy many traders embrace involves focusing on stocks breaking their 52-week highs. This is...
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Chevron: Navigating the Intersection of Technical Uncertainty and Fundamental Strength
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
Chevron's (CVX) technical health could be in better shape according to numerous indicators best summed up by the StockCharts Technical Rank (STCR)score. Talking about underwhelming performance, CVX is clearly in decline.
But a decline from where and to what? (A better question, perhaps). CVX is declining from...
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Breakaway Gaps: Scanning for High-Probability Trading Opportunities
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
Scanning the market for a tradable "event" might get you an express ticket to the "fast money" line of opportunity and risk. Bear in mind that an "event" is something that has already happened. Jumping on the opportunity means you'll be a...
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Empowering Your Trading Journey: Handpicked Trading Books Every Trader Should Read
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
As a closing gesture to the end of April, which, as you know, was Financial Literacy Month, we're featuring a few trading books handpicked by some of the most respected traders and technical analysts in the field. These books had a strong impact on the people recommending them,...
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Schwab: Surviving a Banking Bloodbath With a Smile and Swagger
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
Charles Schwab (SCHW)'s month-long freefall that started on March 9 was quite a spectacle. It took place amid the Silicon Valley Bank collapse, which triggered a shockwave that impacted the regional banking industry all the way to Wall Street and Main Street.
After the initial hit, SCHW got...
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The Battle for Burgerdom: McDonald's, Jack in the Box, and Burger King
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
Three beef-slinging behemoths are about to go toe-to-toe in an all-out brawl for supremacy over the grease-stained domains of Burgerdom.
Opening Moves
McDonald's (MCD) has deployed its long-slumbering anti-hero, the Hamburglar, to introduce its new menu lineup.
Jack in the Box Inc (JACK) aims to flank its fast-food...
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Nike Stock: Three Rising Valleys and Running
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
If you plan on running up that hill, a pair of Nikes (NKE) could be the right fit for the task. But now, Nike is tackling a similar scenario, running up a Three Rising Valleyspattern—three consecutive higher lows (more on that later). Does the company have enough momentum to...
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Mild Recession? Three Indicators That Can Offer Insights
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
It's all about inflation and earnings. Will the Fed continue to raise interest rates after two key gauges of prices came in lower than estimates? After the recent regional bank fallout, will bank earnings be strong enough to lift the Financial sector out of its doldrums?
The government&...
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Bitcoin Blitzes the $30K Line (But Can It Hold?)
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
Bitcoin is something of a paradox. Its name suggests a single and unified "object" (a type of cryptocurrency), yet it's essentially an umbrella term mixing together several conflated and perhaps conflicting views. In other words, there's a lot of sentiment and speculation surrounding a...
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Riding the Sector Rotation Wave: How to Seize Surging Stocks
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
Getting a jump on a sector rotation is like accelerating into a blind curve. What could go wrong? Well, your timing may be way too early. Your sector selection of sectors may be off. You may be pre-empting a false signal. And so on.
The good news is that some...
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Crude Oil: Obstacles Ahead of $100
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
The surprise OPEC+ production cuts last week had investors frantically positioning themselves in anticipation of the opportunities, risks, and opportunity risks surrounding crude oil exposure.
What Just Happened?
On Monday, OPEC+ announced it was reducing its output by 1.16 million barrels per day. The cuts are to begin in...
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A Quick Scan Tool for a Quick Swing Trade
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
There are times when technical merit alone can justify the case for a trade.
The reason for this is that many traders often stick with a familiar list or category of stocks, and for obvious reasons: to avoid trading a stock that you know very little about or to check...
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NVDA at a Crossroads: Decoding the Signals From Atop a Cloud
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
This is a follow-up to a piece published a week ago on Nvidia's (NVDA) strong runfollowing its stellar earnings report. It follows NVDA's price action, but from another angle, using the lesser-usedIchimoku Cloudindicator.
Revisiting NVDA's Price Action
NVDA began outperforming its fellow semiconductor industry...
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NVDA Stock: Waiting For a Big Plunge?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
Racing ahead of the semiconductor pack, Nvidia (NVDA) appears to be edging toward the upper regions of a parabolic curve.
What Does This Mean for NVDA Stock Price?
It's a sign of confidence coming off a strong Q4 2022 earnings performance on top and bottom lines. NVDA surprised...
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Trading Legend Larry Williams' 2023 Market Forecast and Trading Setups
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
In a recent StockCharts special presentation, Larry Williams revealed his detailed forecast of the broader US market, gold, and stocks Apple (AAPL), AMD (AMD), and Amazon (AMZN).
A Quick Preface to Larry Williams' Presentation
In the early 2000s, at the start of my finance-related career, I came across two...
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Silver: An Undervalued Monetary-Industrial Hybrid
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
Silver is like that drab and boring coworker who you say "hi" to, but never really care to engage.
It may not possess gold's glitz but... it's the only metal that has can boast both monetary and industrial-tech use cases. Its history as money...
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Campbell Soup: Warm Comfort for an Ailing Economy?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
Two big things about Campbell Soup (CPB):
* First, the company crushed it in earnings last Wednesday. Its second-quarter FY23 results delivered an upside surprise, with an EPS that was 8.37% higher than analysts expected and revenue 2.21% higher than Wall Street estimates.
* Second, CPB is rising from the...
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Gold Rushed by a Wave of Economic Data
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
This week's a big one for gold. A steep wave of fear, greed, and data is about to hit the gold market. It begins with two Congressional testimonies by Fed Chair Jay Powell on Tuesday and Wednesday, the ADP Employment report and JOLTS report on Wednesday, the weekly...
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This Semiconductor ETF is Hitting a Critical Juncture
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
In the next few days, SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF), along with other similar "chip index" funds, may see a strong bounce toward the upside.
What's going on? Technically speaking, the semiconductor index just broke out of a head and shoulders bottomon January 23, and now the...
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Target: Poised for an Explosive Breakout?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
Target (TGT)'s stock has been bouncing back and forth within a wide eight-month trading range. This happened right after its -44% plunge between April and May last year. Since then, it's been stuck in a $45 range, forming an extremely long rectangle pattern.
Why's...
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A Broad Market Bounceback or Bear Rally?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
Driving into a dense fog of economic data can sometimes trigger something of an analytical spinout, where directionality and objects on the road are first felt, via gravity and impact, before they're seen. The January Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) report released this morning added another layer to this...
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Can Walmart Weather the Storm?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
Walmart's (WMT) stock price jumped slightly over half a percent last Tuesday upon releasing its Q4 2022 earnings report. The retailer topped Wall Street's earnings and revenue estimates. And, despite expectations of a retail slowdown in the coming quarters, the company's guidance matched the...
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Roblox Bounces Back: Is It Worth Buying?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
Roblox (RBLX) may still be considered by some on Wall Street as a relative "noob," but the company's plans and ambitions are catching the attention of investors as its most recent Q4 22 earnings and guidance laid out a much clearer picture of its perceived arena....
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Boeing: Taking Flight Amid Cloudy Conditions
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
When traders and investors brave the heights of speculative endeavor, clear conditions, fundamentally and technically, are the most you could ask for. But there are cases where fundamentals remain foggy and technical chart patterns seem almost hidden or questionable. This is certainly the case with Boeing (BA), as it took...
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Disney Stock: A "Small World" Worth Buying?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
Disney reported Q1 FY23 earnings on Wednesday, February 8, 2023, after the close. The company beat earnings per share and revenue estimates, and total Disney+ subscriptions were higher than expected.
Successive peaks and dips in rapid order may be thrilling for most roller coaster enthusiasts, but, on Wall Street, not...
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Will Shutterstock Buck the Bear Trend?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
Shutterstock (SSTK), the American creative content solutions firm, has been riding a doozy of a downtrend from October 2021 to the end of 2022. Aside from the bear mauling, SSTK's fundamentals weren't entirely disappointing. There were two positive (yet dwindling) earnings and revenue "beats,"...
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Earnings Analysis: GOOGL, AMZN, AAPL
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
Three big bellwether stocks announced earnings on the same day, after the close, and they all missed estimates. Does this mean the Technology sector or the broader market will head lower?
Not necessarily. From a technical perspective, ahead of earnings, the charts of Alphabet (GOOGL), Amazon (AMZN), and Apple (AAPL)...
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