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How To Keep Up With Hundreds Of Daily Earnings Reports
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Right now, we're seeing dozens of companies report quarterly results each day. That's going to change this week as hundreds of companies get set to report earnings every day. How can you keep up with all of it? Well, StockCharts.com's platform provides the...
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NIO Takes First Few Steps to Reverse Downtrend
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Once a previously-leading stock begins a journey to the downside, you want to be careful pulling the buy trigger too soon. These downtrends can last awhile, so expecting a quick recovery and buying a pullback can create a lot of short-term pain in your pocketbook. The better option is to...
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Earnings Drive Equity Prices; Here Are My Two Favorite Earnings Reports This Quarter
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Over the long haul, earnings and Fed policy have more to do with stock market direction than anything. Focus on these two and you'll be just fine. Tune everything else OUT. President Biden's possible tax hike on capital gains was a problem..... for an hour on...
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For Skechers (SKX), This Is Where The Rubber Meets The Road
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
If you held Skechers (SKX) into its quarterly earnings report, which was delivered after the bell on Thursday, congratulations! It was truly a blowout report, like so many others. Wall Street, however, has chosen to reward SKX and its shareholders with the stock up more than 16% at last check....
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How Much Higher Can We Go? Earnings Will Provide The Answer
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Earnings season is underway and if the first few days are any indication, we're going to see a LOT of blowout numbers. Just since Wednesday, we've seen a couple dozen companies trounce Wall Street consensus estimates. One of the best earnings reports that I've...
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Why PLUG Could Be Bottoming This Week
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I'm not a big fan of catching a falling knife. And right now, Plug Power (PLUG) is more like a machete. But there are both short-term and long-term reasons why we could see a major bottom print on its chart. Let's start with the technical long-term...
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What Are The Best ETFs To Invest In Right Now?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Investing isn't easy and there are so many choices, even if you narrow your choices and are only looking at ETFs (Exchange-traded funds). The number of ETFs is staggering. How do you put a portfolio together to match your own personal investing style?
That's a difficult...
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A Downtrending Stock Poised to Explode Higher - Get in Early
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
When I see a long-term winning stock sell off for a period of weeks, or even months, I always question the motive. If institutions want to buy a large position in a company, it takes time to do so. They don't simply put a market order in for...
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This Is The ONLY Technical Sell Signal I Use To Spot Secular Bear Markets
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Why am I always so bullish? I'm asked this question in many different ways, but I'm very happy to explain my stance - and it's quite simple. Because the stock market goes up a WHOLE LOT MORE than it goes down. Instead of constantly...
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Here's What Great Earnings-Related Trade Setups Look Like
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I love earnings season. Perhaps it's the CPA inside of me, having practiced in public accounting for a couple decades. Maybe it's the excitement of new fundamental information being released that alters the valuation of companies. But mostly, I think, it's the short-term inefficiency...
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Will The AD Line Matter As We Speed Towards Earnings?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Growth stocks have been hammered on both an absolute and relative basis over the past several weeks, but as we move into earnings season, should we pay attention to rising AD lines? The accumulation/distribution line, developed by Marc Chaikin, doesn't really look at whether the stock is...
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One Of The Market's Biggest Mysteries..... Solved
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I'm sure that most of you have heard that old Wall Street adage "buy on rumor, sell on news." Well, it's never truer than with earnings. Wall Street meets with management teams prior to the end of the fiscal quarter and gathers a lot...
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NASDAQ Prepping For Continuation Breakout?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
The NASDAQ has been the unwanted third wheel the past month or so as the Dow Jones has moved above 32000 and 33000 and the S&P 500 has approached 4000. Of course, it's all about perspective and the NASDAQ has been the leader since the pandemic...
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Options Expiration Inspires March Madness In Equities
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
From a short-term trading perspective, options expiration presents a host of opportunities. The market makers were at it again this week, looking under every seat cushion for a few extra bucks. The key is to beat them to the seat cushion. Let's rewind to our EarningsBeats.com March...
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2 Breakouts That Could Provide Tremendous Upside
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
We've been in a solid secular bull market for years, but the past couple years have been difficult for sure. Still, we've seen plenty of stocks breaking out over and over again (ie, autos, renewable energy, etc.). But not all stocks have participated, even those in...
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Rising Inflation: It's Coming, But What Impact Will It Have on US Equities?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
At the time of my last ChartWatchers article two weeks ago, the 10-year treasury yield ($TNX) had just closed at 1.46% after reaching an intra-week high at 1.61%. Well, we didn't stop there. The TNX had a big day on Friday, gaining nearly 11 basis points...
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Divergences Don't End The Long-Term Journey - Part 2 of 2
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
In last weekend's Part 1 of 2, I discussed what divergences are and provided an analogy. Divergences can flash a refueling warning light during a long-term journey higher. If you recall, I illustrated it by using Starbucks (SBUX) as an example:
Divergences can mark long-term tops, but I&...
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Divergences Don't End The Long-Term Journey - Part 1 of 2
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
When you look into a technician's "tool kit", you'll likely find a divergence analysis. Generally speaking, any time you have higher prices and lower (fill in the blank) or lower prices and higher (fill in the blank), there's either a negative divergence...
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This Time-Tested Theory is Screaming To Buy NOW
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I know it was a rough week last week; I only need to take one look at my own portfolio to figure that out. But the stock market doesn't go up in a straight line. There will ALWAYS be pullbacks. But be careful which "stories" you...
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It's DRAFT Day! Another Quarter Is In The Books
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
This is an exciting day for EarningsBeats.com and its members. It's the day when we select the 10 equal-weighted stocks for each of our 4 portfolios - Model, Aggressive, Income, and Strong AD. Portfolio results-to-date have been superb and you can check out our holdings the past...
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A Major Theme That Will Carry Equities Higher
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I believe the bull market vs. bear market debate has ended. We've been through a trade war, 100-year pandemic, an economic shutdown, a very divisive political battle, mountains of debt, etc., and where do we stand? At an all-time high. That should convince you that we're...
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Rotation To Small Caps Continues
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
We've seen a hiccup the past few days, but overall money has rotated strongly into small caps. There are a couple ways to visualize this rotation. I tend to use price relative charts so that I can view the relative momentum on a historical basis. To do this,...
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Why Friday's Drop On VIX Below 20 Is Significant
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Happy Valentine's Day!
The Volatility Index ($VIX) is one of the sentiment indicators that I pay close attention to. So many sentiment readings deal with "feelings", which I tend to discard. I want to know what is actually going on with THE MONEY. Don't...
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Explaining Our Investing Methodology Prior To Our Next "DRAFT"
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
When we go through our quarterly portfolio "draft" at EarningsBeats.com, we take a top down approach. We first evaluate the overall market to determine if we're bullish, neutral, or bearish. Clearly, we're bullish. The S&P 500 closed at an all-time high...
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Earnings are Driving the Market, But There are Two Road Blocks Ahead
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
The quarterly earnings that have poured out are utterly amazing. We're not just talking slight beats; Corporate America is CRUSHING it and the pent up demand hasn't even kicked in yet. In the meantime, the Fed is content to sit idly by with interest rates hovering...
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Here Are All Of Our Portfolio Stocks And ETFs Powering Our Performance
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
It's hard to believe, but our 9th quarter of Model Portfolio performance is nearing an end. Barring a last minute collapse, we will outperform the S&P 500 for the 8th time in those 9 quarters. I'm proud of the performance of all of our...
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Are You Ready For Another Short Squeeze Play?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I know the Gamestop (GME) craze has slowed down considerably, but short squeezes will always be in play. When a stock's float has been heavily borrowed against and borrowed shares sold, those short sellers must buy those borrowed shares back at some point down the road. And when...
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Earnings Season Is Lighting A Fire Under This Industry Group
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I want you to look at a 5-year relative chart without titles and, before you look below the chart, see if you can name the industry group that's been responsible for this amazing long-term relative strength:
The relative price action (vs. the S&P 500) has remained...
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The Most Efficient Way To Track Earnings Reports Every Day
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Recently, we introduced a newer, very organized way of viewing earnings results at EarningsBeats.com. We call it our Upcoming Earnings ChartList, which our entire community can download into their own StockCharts.com account, assuming that you are either an Extra or Pro members. Others can still view the ChartLists,...
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Let The VIX Mark The Bottom
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
There are a number of sentiment indicators in the stock market, but I prefer those that indicate the panic taking place "at the moment", rather than those depicting "feelings". So I've always used the Volatility Index ($VIX) and equity only put call ratio ($CPCE)...
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STOP Looking For Reasons to Exit The Best Bull Market of Our Lifetime
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Just stop.
Listen, the two key drivers to the long-term direction of the stock market are (1) earnings growth and (2) monetary policy. That's it. The rest is completely noise that you need to tune out.
Most humans are innately pessimistic. It's how we're...
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3 Small Semiconductor Stocks Looking To Report Blowout Earnings
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
You can usually tell whether a strong earnings report is upcoming simply by the way a stock is trading prior to earnings. Wall Street has one major advantage over the rest of us. They contact management teams throughout the quarter and they have a fairly strong idea how business conditions...
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The Bull Market Is Punishing Those Who Do Not Believe
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I have written countless articles on the art of buying stocks in a short squeeze or on the verge of being in a short squeeze. The results can be truly astounding. I'm going to walk you through three recent short squeezes. If you owned ANY of these three...
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Short-Term Manipulation Hammers Enphase Energy (ENPH) On Friday
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Follow my logic:
You expect ENPH to go higher, so you buy 10 calls at XX strike price on ENPH. The market maker that sells you those 10 contracts employs a covered call strategy and buys 1000 shares of ENPH. (This protects the market maker as ENPH's stock...
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Post-Vaccine Trading Reveals New Leadership And Further Confirms Bull Market
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
We all knew it was coming - or at least we should have. Industries that struggled throughout the pandemic and restrictions would come back to life once positive vaccine news hit and we could see the light at the end of the tunnel. But let me caution you first. They...
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This Is How Market Makers Steal From Us
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
You might think the stock market is really unpredictable and, for the most part, I'd agree with you. But when we get to options expiration week, there is a consistent theme that emerges nearly every month. The market makers are looking to steal you blind. Once per month,...
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My Stock-Picking Secrets To Beat The Benchmark S&P 500
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
All of the stocks and ETFs in our 5 current portfolios are "drafted" in real time during our members-only events that we hold quarterly. I don't Monday Morning quarterback; I listen to what Wall Street is saying and stick with the themes that are driving big...
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Handle is Complete, Time For AAPL To Run?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I wrote about a pending short-term correction in AAPL shares a couple weeks ago right here in the DITC blog. My article, "Apple (AAPL) Prints Reversing Candle, Short-Term Selling Possible", illustrated the reversing dark cloud cover candle that had taken place at key price resistance established at the...
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Here's The One Thing You Need To Worry About Right Now
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Any time that it behooves market makers to direct prices lower, I get nervous. So that means I get nervous as we approach the 3rd Friday of every calendar month (monthly options expiration day), especially if we've seen a nice advance leading up to it. If you'...
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Searching For The Next Solar ETF And FREE Event This Morning
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Whether you're investing in individual stocks or ETFs, finding that next BIG winner makes a huge difference in your absolute results and your relative results vs. a benchmark like the S&P 500. At EarningsBeats.com, we spend a great deal of time researching stocks and reviewing...
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