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Ever Wondered How To Create A User-Defined Index (UDI) At StockCharts.com?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Well, I plan to host a free webinar on Saturday to demonstrate how we use this cool StockCharts.com feature to track our portfolios at EarningsBeats.com. In the StockCharts.com "Support Center", you'll find many examples of why you might want to consider using a...
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Solar Edge (SEDG) and Enphase Energy (ENPH) Break Out, Lead Renewables
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Leading stocks in leading industry groups.
If you've struggled with your investments, read that line over and over again. Investing in leaders will change your returns and likely alter your opinion about your chances to outperform the overall market. Our Model Portfolio has now returned +148.21% in...
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Q4 Holds Big Challenges, Are You Ready For Them?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
We held a "Market Vision 2020" event at EarningsBeats.com back on January 5th and were joined by several long-time StockCharts.com contributors, including John Murphy. I credit John for a lot of my intermarket relationship knowledge as his work over the years truly inspired me to learn...
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Bullish Rotation Suggesting Bottom Is In; 2 Downtrend Reversal Candidates
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Note
First, just over one year ago, I returned to EarningsBeats.com as its Chief Market Strategist. I want to thank all of you that have supported me in my return. I think we've weathered a brutal year in great fashion. Here are the one year returns on...
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Buy on Rumor? I'm Expecting A BIG Pre-Earnings Surge in These 3 Stocks
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Ever heard of the old Wall Street adage, "buy on rumor, sell on news"? You most likely have and, in my opinion, it applies more to earnings season than anything else. Wall Street firms send their analysts out to meet with management teams prior to the end of...
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Tesla (TSLA) Is Being Accumulated, Not Distributed - Check Out These 2 Indicators!
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I think it's fair to say that most investors look at whether their stock is going up or down in determining whether a stock is being cumulatively bought or sold. That was a big, big mistake back in March as fear-mongering headlines created panic at the opening bell,...
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Running a Scan to Find a Potential Short Squeeze
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Short squeezes can result in explosive upside moves. We saw it at the end of 2019 with Tesla (TSLA). Once the stock broke 400, it absolutely flew to the upside. One reason why was that breakout triggered buying from short sellers, who realized that their losses were unlimited as TSLA...
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Is The Bottom In On The NASDAQ?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I believe it could be.
In my Daily Market Report to EarningsBeats.com members, I pointed out a couple very positive short-term developments. First, the S&P 500 pulled back to 3229 yesterday, EXACTLY a 10% correction from its recent all-time high. Extremely bullish sentiment readings suggested that September...
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A Massive Short Squeeze Has Sent This Stock Higher By 75% In 3 Weeks!
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Stocks that are heavily shorted are stocks that we should generally avoid. There are normally very good reasons, both technically and fundamentally, why a company has so many bets placed against it. Buying stocks that are not performing well simply because they're heavily shorted makes about as much...
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Sentiment Issues Have Evolved Into Technical Issues - Be Careful!
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Note
This is a copy of today's DMR that I just sent to our members. I believe we're setting up for a HUGE rally in Q4 and the current weakness will provide tremendous opportunities. In the very short-term, however, we need to get through the next...
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What Impact Will Monthly Options Expiration Have In September?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
It's max pain time.
Every month as we approach monthly options expiration, I go through an exercise to evaluate the open interest of puts and calls to help determine the likely short-term direction of equities. It provides me no guarantee. Rather, it serves as another tool in my...
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Building A Winning Portfolio Of ETFs
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
At EarningsBeats.com, we provide market guidance and analysis of the major indices, sectors, industry groups, and individual stocks. Our research provides our members with various ChartLists to organize strong trading candidates by categories such as Strong Earnings, Strong AD, Short Squeeze, etc. Over the years, I've never...
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The Importance of Rising Growth vs. Value Ratio
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I follow a very simple ratio every day, which is the iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF vs. the iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF (IWF:IWD). This ratio tells us whether traders have the necessary risk appetite that typically drives equity prices higher, especially the NASDAQ, which is littered with high-growth...
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Here are 3 Ways to Calculate S&P 500 Downside Targets
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Despite remaining very bullish, I've written several short-term bearish articles lately, mostly dealing with extreme sentiment issues. Those sentiment extremes have been rectified and are no longer a problem, but they've now changed the mentality in the market from "buy on the dip" to...
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This Short Squeeze Stock Has Gained 170%+ In A Month
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
When you own a stock in a short squeeze, your investing world looks a lot brighter. There are many traders that live and die with short positions, which I'll never understand. But hey whatever works, right? I'm not an advocate of blindly buying heavily shorted stocks...
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2 Sentiment Indicators Are Suggesting Extreme Caution - BEWARE!
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Let me start with the fact that I'm as bullish as they come in the long-term, so everything written here is for short-term traders only. Many times the market ignores short-term sentiment warning signals, so please don't misconstrue anything I'm about to write as...
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This is Why I'm Not Impressed with FSLR's Near 7 Year Breakout
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
It's always important to be prepared when a stock has challenged a key price resistance level multiple times and it's testing it again. First of all, if a stock does make a breakout technically, it's normally followed later by the fundamental news that triggered...
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4 Breakouts Last Week That You Need To See
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
A secular bull market runs on all cylinders. I'm a believer that we remain in the early stages of a bull market that will likely last another decade or longer. How else can you explain the S&P 500's move to an all-time high in...
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Key Sentiment Indicator is Flashing a Major Short-Term Warning
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
If you've followed my work, you know three things. First, I'm one of the few analysts that kept my long-term secular bull market call intact despite the pandemic-induced selloff back in March. Second, while my big picture view is firmly bullish, my primary focus is on...
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Biotechs Are Trending Lower BUT Sending A Major Bullish Signal
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
During the midst of the financial blow in March due to the pandemic, I realized that not all stock selloffs were created equal. While most stocks moved lower at the open, many were being bought, or accumulated, throughout the trading day. It was at that point that I ditched the...
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Here Are The Biggest Concerns I Have Heading Into My Quarterly "Draft Day"
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
At EarningsBeats.com, we announce the portfolio stocks for each of our 4 portfolios on February 19th, May 19th, August 19th and November 19th. We then hold those 10 equal-weighted stocks in each portfolio until it's time to announce new stocks.
Well, it's August 19th. It&...
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Amazon.com (AMZN) Makes a Delivery to Investors - A Continuation Pattern Breakout
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
After an uptrend, I always look for a continuation pattern, especially when I believe we're in a major secular bull market advance. Well, look no further than Amazon.com (AMZN), which doubled in price from its March low to its early-July high. Since that stunning advance, AMZN had...
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Delivery Services Is Dropping This Small Cap Winner Off At Your Door
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I'm not sure if there's a hotter group right now than delivery services ($DJUSAF). Both United Parcel Service (UPS) and FedEx Corp (FDX) blew earnings right out of the park. They crushed both revenue and EPS estimates and the market has responded with institutions seemingly accumulating...
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Here are 3 of the Fastest-Gaining Momentum Stocks
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Over the past five months, since that March low, we've enjoyed many stocks' relentless pursuit to the upside. I know it's hard, however, to keep chasing those stocks as their prices move into what seems the stratosphere. So I set out to find stocks that...
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Gambling Stocks Are Looking For A WYNN-Win
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Many of the worst-hit stocks during the pandemic are leading this latest rally and, among those, are gambling stocks ($DJUSCA). The group broke out yesterday above July highs and now has its collective sight set on the June 8th closing high of 747. Wynn Resorts (WYNN), one of the bigger...
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UPS vs. FedEx: It's Like Splitting Hairs
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Earlier today, I was a guest on "Your Daily 5" and I featured 5 charts that I believe we should all be focused on right now. One of the charts I discussed was the Dow Jones U.S. Delivery Services Index ($DJUSAF), which has exploded higher after two...
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The Aftermath of 2020: What Will It Look Like?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Somehow, we've been able to weather the storm that's called 2020. I'm speaking from a stock market perspective. The health care crisis has taken its toll and continues to take its toll and impact our everyday lives. But if you pulled up an S&...
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Waters Corp (WAT) Tests Key Gap Support - Could be a Great Trading Opportunity!
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
When a stock gaps higher and keeps running, it generally tells me that the top of gap support is what we need to concern ourselves with. It's definitely not a guarantee that it holds, but the odds are greater. When I trade stocks, it's all about...
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Here's Another Stock Setting Up Exactly Like AMD Did, Just Before Its 70% Rise In 5 Weeks
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I'm a big fan of buying stocks at support. On June 29th, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) tested a very important price support level and printed a reversing hammer candlestick that same day. In my Daily Market Report to EarningsBeats.com members, I suggested mid-day that a bottom could...
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Building Our 6 Pillars (ChartLists) Of Trading
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
First, welcome to August! It's hard to believe that we're into our 8th month of 2020. It's been a very difficult year on a number of fronts, but I hope that EarningsBeats.com has at least been able to help you navigate through the...
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Our Model Portfolio Is +118% In 21 Months; Here Are The 10 Equal-Weighted Stocks That Comprise It
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Every three months, we fill out our four portfolios with 10 equal-weighted and leading stocks, mostly in leading industries. We combine fundamental research and technical analysis to make our money work harder, which is the whole idea. We know there's a strong correlation between earnings growth rates and...
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A Solid Way To Find Great Short Squeeze Candidates
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Too many traders focus on the wrong things when looking for a big short squeeze. It's not about how many short shares there are for a particular stock. And it's not about high short percentage of float. And, quite honestly, it's not even about...
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Two Of The Strongest Industry Groups Just Keep Getting Stronger
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
It's no secret that I like finding leading stocks in leading industry groups. In my view, however, THAT is the secret sauce in building a portfolio to outperform the benchmark S&P 500 over time. Of course, there will be hiccups along the way and we'...
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TSLA Has Likely Topped, But How Far Could It Fall?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
There's been one common denominator thus far in earnings season: high-flying stocks have seemed to hit a brick wall after posting earnings - even spectacular, way-above-consensus-estimates earnings. That was my biggest question as we headed into earnings season. I knew the numbers would be incredible across several different...
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To Buy Or Not To Buy?? That Is The Gap Question
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Trading earnings-related gaps is what I like to do. It's what we do at EarningsBeats.com. Well, we do lots of things at EarningsBeats.com, but doing our homework and preparing our members to trade earnings-related gaps is certainly high on our list. It always amazes me to...
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Raising Guidance Can Result In A BIG Advance
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
That seems rather plausible. After all, earnings are one key factor that drives stock prices. But, in this case, I'm referring specifically to Big Lots, Inc. (BIG). It's part of a very strong industry group, broadline retail ($DJUSRB), which set a new 52-week relative high vs....
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Internet Stocks Remain Strong And This One Could Explode Higher
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
We can talk about earnings, the economic outlook, technical conditions, etc., but to be quite honest, the real keys to successful investing/trading come down to timing, patience, and managing risk. At EarningsBeats.com, we do all the research for our members. We provide so many trading opportunities and literally...
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These 3 Industries are Poised to Deliver Companies with Blowout Results
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I've been patiently waiting for the BIG breakout, the one that really kickstarts this group. I believe we just saw it on Friday. Health Care (XLV) definitively made its move after already recently providing some very bullish clues. After weeks and weeks of sideways action, in which the...
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Health Care Is Starting Another Leg Higher; Here Are A Few Trading Candidates To Consider
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Below is today's Daily Market Report (DMR) that I send to EarningsBeats.com members every day. Today's focus was definitely on health care (XLV). I've been waiting for a few months for its sideways consolidation to resolve and we're getting that now:...
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Will Truckers Live Up To Their Pre-Earnings Hype? This Week Provides Our First Clue
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
When a stock, industry group, or sector breaks out before earnings season, that's generally a signal that Wall Street is anticipating solid results. Whether the breakout is sustained, however, boils down to the actual earnings results. In the case of trucking ($DJUSTK), the breakout has been made. This...
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