I pay attention to technical support levels as the combination of price support/resistance is always my primary stock market indicator. We're in a downtrend and, in my opinion, the trading range is very, very clear on the S&P 500 right now: I think most everyone... READ MORE
Thank You! I've been writing at StockCharts.com for nearly 20 years now and many of you have supported my company, EarningsBeats.com, and I certainly want to show my appreciation for all of your loyalty. I believe we're at a major crossroads in the stock... READ MORE
The key resistance level I've been watching on the S&P 500 hasn't wavered. It's 5782. The bulls had a real chance this past week to clear this important hurdle and they failed. Badly. If this was a heavyweight fight, the ref would... READ MORE
The S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, and Russell 2000 fell 10.5%, 13.8%, and 19.5%, respectively, from their recent all-time highs down to their March lows. Each index paused long enough and deep enough for a correction, with the Russell 2000 nearly reaching cyclical bear market territory... READ MORE
The next step in the stock market will be very interesting. I've been discussing a potential Q1 correction since our MarketVision event the first week of January and it's here. The NASDAQ 100 ($NDX), from its high on February 19th (22222.61) to its low on... READ MORE
Many are watching the disaster in growth stocks unfold, including us at EarningsBeats.com, but the reality is that many other areas of the stock market represent a silver lining. When growth stocks sell off, essentially two things can happen. One, the rest of the stock market sells off as... READ MORE
Let me start by reminding everyone that I believe the most important relationship in the stock market is how consumer discretionary stocks (XLY) perform relative to consumer staples stocks (XLP). This ratio (XLY:XLP) has a VERY strong positive correlation with the S&P 500. In other words, when... READ MORE
For us at EarningsBeats.com, earnings season is the time to do our research to uncover the best stocks to trade over the next 90 days, or earnings cycle. We do this in various ways. Our flagship ChartList is our Strong Earnings ChartList (SECL), which honestly is nothing more than... READ MORE
It was another mildly bullish week as our major indices climbed very close to new, fresh all-time highs. We also saw a return to growth stocks as we approached breakout levels, which is a good signal as far as rally sustainability goes. Despite this, there remain reasons to be cautious... READ MORE
Sometimes an industry group looks good technically, sometimes fundamentally, and then other times seasonally. But what happens when they all line up simultaneously? Well, we're about to find out with the travel & tourism group ($DJUSTT). On Friday, Expedia (EXPE, +17.27%) soared after reporting blowout quarterly results... READ MORE
Secondary market signals are beginning to line up for a further drop, which can sometimes provide false signals. The primary indicator for me is always the combination of price/volume. When I only look at price/volume on the S&P 500, it still remains easy to be long... READ MORE
"When do I sell?" is easily the most-asked question I've received over the years. There are multiple answers to this question based on certain variables. The first key variable is whether you're a day trader, short-term swing trader, or long-term buy and holder. I... READ MORE
Listen, I'm generally a fairly optimistic guy. I tend to see the good in the stock market, while many others continuously focus on potential selloffs ahead. I remain mostly bullish for good reason as the S&P 500 has risen 75% of all years since 1950. It... READ MORE
Remember that old commercial, "It's not nice to fool Mother Nature?" Well, there should be another one pertaining to the stock market, "Don't bet against a secular bull market advance!" We're all trained, or brainwashed, if you will, to believe... READ MORE
Our strategy at EarningsBeats.com just simply makes good common sense. If you want to find the best earnings reports BEFORE they're reported, follow relative strength. I've explained this many times, but let me do it again. Wall Street firms talk to management of companies throughout... READ MORE
When I look back at leading industry groups for the past day, week, month, 3-month, 6-month, and 1-year periods, only one industry group has been among the Top 20 industry groups for each of those 6 different periods. It's a group that I liked heading into 2024 and... READ MORE
To understand what makes the Dow Jones tick, you have to first understand one of the key differences between the Dow Jones and the S&P 500 indices. There are a few, but none more critical than the following: Index Weighting The S&P 500 is market-cap weighted,... READ MORE
Obviously, there will be many ups and downs in 2025 and no one chart or indicator can be relied upon 100% to help guide us throughout the year. But some key and very influential areas of the market do meet crossroads from time to time and it seems like one... READ MORE
A little less than a week ago, I wrote an article about inflation and how it's nothing more than a pipe dream in Fed Chief Jay Powell's head. Let me expand on that article, maybe from a slightly different approach this time. The inflation rhetoric just... READ MORE
Generally, there are 3 key hedges against inflation - gold ($GOLD), commodities ($XRB), and real estate (XLRE). While the Fed has taken a renewed interest in the short-term rising inflationary picture, which, by the way, is in direct contrast to what Fed Chief Powell said in late August and September,... READ MORE
I had no idea the Fed could be such expert wafflers. But, as each month passes, it's becoming clearer. The overall stock market trend, despite all the back-and-forth, yo-yo Fed decisions over the past 6 months, remains to the upside. Need proof? Check out this weekly S&... READ MORE
There are a number of ways that you can find great trading opportunities. One way is to simply follow a chart on a WatchList and wait for certain indicators to reach "buy" points. For instance, an uptrending stock many times will find support as its 20-day EMA is... READ MORE
Could we see a short-term shift towards defensive sectors? Real estate? Utilities? I haven't uttered these words in awhile. And why should I as our major indices have forged into new all-time record high territory? Well, I'm only talking about very near-term, maybe the next 1-3... READ MORE
If you want big returns, I'm convinced you'll find them in small caps. When I make bold predictions, and many of you know that I do fairly often, it's usually supported by long-term perspective. Most everyone has a negative bias towards small caps right... READ MORE
No matter how you slice it, small and mid caps have been absolutely crushed on a relative basis since 2021. The unfortunate part about this is that most traders have recency bias. They believe whatever has been working will continue to work and things that haven't been working... READ MORE
As the secular bull market takes a short-term pause, now is the time to research tremendous opportunities that lie ahead. I've looked at more than a thousand charts and wanted to point out 3 in particular that I see heading much, much higher as we close out 2024... READ MORE
Now that Q4 historical bullishness has kicked in, it's time to allow the bears to go into hibernation, while the bulls search for key leadership to drive prices higher. Before I highlight a key industry group that just moved into all-time high territory, it's important to... READ MORE
Enjoying these HUGE rallies is much easier when you have confidence the stock market is in a secular bull market and heading higher. It also helps when you enter a period of historical strength - the absolute best strength that we see anytime throughout the calendar year. This combination can... READ MORE
The "Magnificent 7", comprised of Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), NVIDIA (NVDA), Meta Platforms (META), Amazon.com (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOGL), and Tesla (TSLA) have carried the S&P 500 during this secular bull market - since its breakout in April 2013 above its 2000 and 2007 highs. Here&... READ MORE
This morning, September nonfarm payrolls soared past expectations, 254,000 vs. 132,500. Adding to the bullishness was the upward revision to August nonfarm payrolls as the prior reading of 142,000 was boosted to 159,000. This is solid news, especially in an environment where the Fed is committed... READ MORE
China's Shanghai Composite Index ($SSEC) surged higher last week by roughly 13%, which was one of its largest 1-week gains over the past decade. There were solid economic reasons for the surge as China's central bank approved measures to accelerate recent sluggish growth. The People'... READ MORE
That's a great question right now as many folks still remain quite nervous. The Volatility Index ($VIX), for example, gained more than 10% today, despite a minimal decline in the S&P 500. It's a signal that the stock market likely won't handle... READ MORE
That's a great question, because we saw some very nice gains and we're now approaching all-time highs, especially on the Dow Jones ($INDU) and S&P 500 ($SPX). The more growth-oriented NASDAQ 100 ($NDX) has much more work to do. How much more strength is... READ MORE
Much like the southeastern portion of the U.S. frets over the potential of devastating hurricanes, stock traders and investors brace for their own financial hurricane this time of year. Last week, we saw the NASDAQ 100 ($NDX) tumble, dropping nearly 6% during a holiday-shortened trading week. This isn'... READ MORE
We had a sneak preview of emerging leadership on the morning of July 12th. That was the morning the June Core CPI came in well below expectations. The immediate rotation into several areas was quite evident and you can see it right here on this RRG Chart: Financials (XLF), industrials... READ MORE
It's been nearly two years since Jackson Hole Jay saw his shadow and we all endured 6 more weeks of harsh market weather. If you need a reminder, August 26, 2022 was the day Fed Chief "Jay" Powell climbed out of his Jackson "Hole"... READ MORE
As a long-term stock trader, one development in the stock market takes me and many others to our collective knees. It's a Volatility Index ($VIX) that rises past 20. There has never been a bear market that's unfolded with a VIX that remains below 20. FEAR,... READ MORE
This Fed has got to go. It's time. You've overstayed your welcome, Fed Chief Powell. I literally was just shaking my head after reading the changes to the Fed's policy statement. The changes were in the first two paragraphs, so let me jump right... READ MORE
This will be one of the most interesting quarters in recent memory. The Fed has got to choose its poison. Do they stand pat once again next week, leaving rates "higher for longer" and awaiting more data? Or do they finally take the step that just about everyone... READ MORE
Tops and bottoms are so much fun to predict, but key signals are not always accurate. That's where a healthy dose of skepticism comes in. At EarningsBeats.com, we try to put as many signals together as possible, looking for corroboration. That helps to build confidence in the... READ MORE