Tom Bowley

Tom Bowley


Tom is the Chief Market Strategist at EarningsBeats.com, a research and education platform for both financial professionals and individual investors. His comprehensive Daily Market Report provides insightful guidance to EB members every trading day. Learn More 

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Jobs Strong On Friday But China Trade Weighs On Futures

Jobs Strong On Friday But China Trade Weighs On Futures

Market Recap for Friday, May 3, 2019 April nonfarm payrolls were much stronger than expected, jumping to 263,000 and well ahead of the 180,000 consensus estimate.  The unemployment rate fell to 3.6%, the lowest its seen in 50 years.  The bond market wasn't impressed, however,...   READ MORE 

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Energy Remains A Drag And Seasonality Suggests It Could Get Worse

Energy Remains A Drag And Seasonality Suggests It Could Get Worse

Market Recap for Thursday, May 2, 2019 Energy (XLE, -1.74%) took yet another tumble on Thursday, which dampened an otherwise decent recovery from intraday morning lows in our major indices.  The Dow Jones was the big loser, dropping 0.46%, while the small cap Russell 2000 index rebounded nicely,...   READ MORE 

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Banks Vs. REITs Provide Bullish Clue

Banks Vs. REITs Provide Bullish Clue

Market Recap for Wednesday, May 1, 2019 Fed Chair Jerome Powell ruined the bull market party on Wednesday afternoon, effectively suggesting that the Fed would not be lowering rates in response to low inflation data of late.  The bond market has been screaming for a rate cut, not a hike,...   READ MORE 

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Go Away In May? More Like "Time To Fly Is Mid-July"

Go Away In May? More Like "Time To Fly Is Mid-July"

Market Recap for Tuesday, April 30, 2019 Alphabet (GOOGL, -7.50%) set the stage for a rough day on the NASDAQ (-0.81%) as the internet giant posted quarterly results that didn't impress Wall Street.  The small cap Russell 2000 lost 0.45%, losing ground vs. the benchmark...   READ MORE 

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Watch This Transportation Ratio Very, Very Closely

Watch This Transportation Ratio Very, Very Closely

Market Recap for Monday, April 29, 2019 A bull market is comprised of a number of things, but two are wide participation and rotation of strength.  We've been seeing both.  Yesterday, it was financials (XLF, +1.01%) and communication services (XLC, +0.91%) that led the S&...   READ MORE 

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Ford Lifts Autos, Healthcare Advances, And Consumer Stocks Bullish

Ford Lifts Autos, Healthcare Advances, And Consumer Stocks Bullish

Market Recap for Friday, April 26, 2019 When was the last time I suggested Ford Motor Co (F, +10.74%) was a catalyst for any bull market advance?  Ummm, probably never.  But F was exactly that on Friday as much better than expected earnings lifted the stock and the automobile...   READ MORE 

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3 Reasons Why Semiconductors Are Poised To Lead

3 Reasons Why Semiconductors Are Poised To Lead

Okay, let's start with the short-term reason.  Throughout much of this bull market, the month of May has been kind to semiconductors ($DJUSSC).  In fact, the DJUSSC has advanced in each of the last 7 years during May.  Check out this seasonal pattern: Not only have semiconductors moved...   READ MORE 

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Structuring A Sound Trade And Avoiding The Relative Bear Market In Materials

Structuring A Sound Trade And Avoiding The Relative Bear Market In Materials

Market Recap for Thursday, April 25, 2019 Strong earnings from Microsoft (MSFT, +3.31%) and Facebook (FB, +5.85%) lifted the NASDAQ to gains on Thursday, while broader market bearishness carried the other major indices to losses.  3M Co (MMM, -12.95%) was a disaster on the Dow Jones, which...   READ MORE 

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Industrials Set To Record All-Time Highs

Industrials Set To Record All-Time Highs

Note If you enjoy my daily blog articles, please subscribe (for FREE!) below.  Simply scroll to the bottom of this article, type in your email address in the space provided and click the green "Subscribe" button.  Once subscribed, my articles will be sent directly to the email address...   READ MORE 

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NASDAQ Breaks Out, Sets New All-Time High

NASDAQ Breaks Out, Sets New All-Time High

Market Recap for Tuesday, April 23, 2019 The small cap Russell 2000 led our major indices higher, gaining 1.61%, but the day clearly belonged to the NASDAQ, which not only climbed 1.32%, but broke to new all-time intraday and closing highs.  The NASDAQ pierced the 8109.69 level...   READ MORE 

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Crude Oil Surge Sends Energy Shares Higher

Crude Oil Surge Sends Energy Shares Higher

Market Recap for Monday, April 22, 2019 I'm sure you've noticed it at the pump lately.  Gas prices are rising.  Yesterday, crude oil prices ($WTIC, +2.31%) jumped to their highest level of 2019 and closed above $65 per barrel for the first time since breaking...   READ MORE 

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An Analysis Of Financials And Why We're Going Higher

An Analysis Of Financials And Why We're Going Higher

Market Recap for Thursday, April 18, 2019 Railroads ($DJUSRR, +2.37%) were led higher by Union Pacific's (UNP, +4.36%) strong quarterly earnings report and outlook.  The DJUSRR has been a leader among industrials (XLI, +1.15%) for more than three years and that trend is easily continuing...   READ MORE 

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Clothing Stocks Gearing Up For Q2

Clothing Stocks Gearing Up For Q2

Market Recap for Wednesday, April 17, 2019 We saw mixed trading on Wednesday with the benchmark S&P 500 falling 0.23% to end the session at 2900, still roughly 1.5% beneath the all-time high set in 2018.  Technology (XLK, +0.56%) and consumer staples (XLP, +0.50)...   READ MORE 

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Respect That 2940 Top On The S&P 500

Respect That 2940 Top On The S&P 500

Market Recap for Tuesday, April 16, 2019 It was just another day of boring gains.  But that's what happens during bull market advances.  The Volatility Index ($VIX, -1.14%) drifts lower and stock prices edge higher.  Remember when the VIX topped out with a close above 36 on...   READ MORE 

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Rotation To Defense Isn't A Bad Thing

Rotation To Defense Isn't A Bad Thing

Market Recap for Monday, April 15, 2019 Defensive groups took their turn leading the stock market, but on a down day that is generally to be expected.  Consumer staples (XLP, +0.59%) and healthcare (XLV, +0.40%) were the two leading groups, while financials (XLF, -0.63%) backed off from...   READ MORE 

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All-Time Highs Approaching Plus 10 Trade Setups

All-Time Highs Approaching Plus 10 Trade Setups

Market Recap for Friday, April 12, 2019 Who thought at our December low that the S&P 500 would rally well over 20% to above 2900 and within 1% of our all-time high in less than four months?  Not this guy.  The stock market can do anything, but if...   READ MORE 

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Here Are The Industry Groups Flying Into Earnings Season

Here Are The Industry Groups Flying Into Earnings Season

Analysts routinely visit management teams of public companies to see how their quarters are progressing.  Based on the knowledge they gain, they return to their offices and their firms issue recommendations to buy or sell.  It's the reason that we do what we do.  By analyzing price action,...   READ MORE 

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J.P. Morgan Beats Earnings Expectations

J.P. Morgan Beats Earnings Expectations

Market Recap for Thursday, April 11, 2019 U.S. equities finished in bifurcated fashion as a late day rally enabled the S&P 500 to eke out a miniscule 0.11 point gain (+0.00%).  The other major indices finished in negative territory, led by the 0.21% decline...   READ MORE 

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S&P 500 Channel Suggests We'll Bust Through 3000

S&P 500 Channel Suggests We'll Bust Through 3000

Market Recap for Wednesday, April 10, 2019 Small cap stocks enjoyed a huge day, carrying Wall Street higher.  The Russell 2000 surged 1.40% and is nearing a major neckline resistance that, if broken, would suggest much higher prices for small caps: Clearing 1600 would be a big deal technically...   READ MORE 

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Financials Do Have Pockets Of Strength

Financials Do Have Pockets Of Strength

Market Recap for Tuesday, April 9, 2019 Profit taking dominated Tuesday's action with the small cap Russell 2000 leading the list of losers, dropping 1.22%.  But sellers were most everywhere as the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and NASDAQ fell 0.72%, 0.61% and 0....   READ MORE 

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Energy At 5 Month High As Crude Prices Surge

Energy At 5 Month High As Crude Prices Surge

Market Recap for Monday, April 8, 2019 Crude oil prices ($WTIC, +2.09%) surged once again on Monday, and have now climbed 50% off their December low.  While energy (XLE, +0.44%) has been a major beneficiary, as we would expect, the XLE has been mired in a downtrend vs....   READ MORE 

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Energy Rebounds Plus 10 Trade Setups For Today

Energy Rebounds Plus 10 Trade Setups For Today

Market Recap for Friday, April 5, 2019 Energy stocks (XLE, +1.76%) were the clear leader on Friday as Wall Street climbed once again.  Recently, crude oil prices ($WTIC, +1.58%) opened April by posting new 2019 highs, but the XLE failed to follow suit, instead falling back to test...   READ MORE 

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Nonfarm Payrolls Hit A Sweet Spot This Morning

Nonfarm Payrolls Hit A Sweet Spot This Morning

Market Recap for Thursday, April 4, 2019 Our major indices rallied again on Thursday with the benchmark S&P 500 rising for a 6th consecutive session and closing at a 2019 high.  The S&P 500's close of 2879 was just 61 points shy of the...   READ MORE 

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REITs Have Been Strong And This Group Loves April

REITs Have Been Strong And This Group Loves April

Market Recap for Wednesday, April 3 Stocks rallied again on Wednesday, primarily on the heels of materials (XLB, +1.31%) and technology (XLK, +0.81%).  The former saw relative strength in both commodity chemicals ($DJUSCC, +1.77%) and specialty chemicals ($DJUSCX, +1.39%).  The strength in the DJUSCC was very...   READ MORE 

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Internet Stocks Looking Good In A Variety Of Relative Strength Ways

Internet Stocks Looking Good In A Variety Of Relative Strength Ways

Market Recap for April 2, 2019 The NASDAQ was mostly higher and strengthening throughout the session on Tuesday as internet stocks ($DJUSNS, +1.41%) continued their recent advance to challenge 2019 highs.  Facebook (FB, +3.26%) led internet stocks higher and broke out to close at its 2019 high on...   READ MORE 

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Financials Benefiting From Rising Treasury Yields

Financials Benefiting From Rising Treasury Yields

Market Recap for Monday, April 1, 2019 U.S. equities had a stunning first quarter and Monday was an encore to open up Q2.  Keep in mind that we’ve entered the most bullish period within April historically as the NASDAQ has produced annualized returns of +21.45% from April...   READ MORE 

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Key Relative Strength Signs Pointing To Higher Equity Prices

Key Relative Strength Signs Pointing To Higher Equity Prices

Market Recap for Friday, March 29, 2019 The U.S. stock market rallied on Friday, putting an exclamation point on its best calendar quarter in 10 years.  Of course, this strength came on the heels of an incredibly dismal quarter to end 2018.  Healthcare (XLV, +1.20%) and industrials (XLI,...   READ MORE 

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Strong Earnings Lift Clothing Stocks

Strong Earnings Lift Clothing Stocks

Market Recap for Thursday, March 28, 2019 Lululemon Athletica (LULU, +14.13%), PVH Corp (PVH, +14.76%), and Movado Group (MOV, +22.77%) all surged after the clothing & accessories retailers all posted much better than expected quarterly earnings.  The Dow Jones U.S. Clothing & Accessories Index ($DJUSCF, +5....   READ MORE 

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Home Construction Is Loving This Treasury Yield Decline

Home Construction Is Loving This Treasury Yield Decline

Market Recap for Wednesday, March 27, 2019 Wall Street rebounded from steep intraday losses, but still ended the session in negative territory.  The NASDAQ was the weakest index, falling 0.63%.  The S&P 500, Russell 2000 and Dow Jones dropped 0.46%, 0.39%, and 0.13%, respectively....   READ MORE 

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Crude Oil, Energy Lead Wall Street Higher

Crude Oil, Energy Lead Wall Street Higher

Market Recap for Tuesday, March 26, 2019 Strength in global markets seemed to influence the U.S. market at the open as equities surged higher.  But sellers dominated most of the balance of the day as gains evaporated.  A final 30 minute surge just before the close restored some of...   READ MORE 

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Seasonality And Price Support Suggest TSLA Is A Buy

Seasonality And Price Support Suggest TSLA Is A Buy

Market Recap for Monday, March 25, 2019 U.S. stocks finished in bifurcated fashion on Monday as the S&P 500 and NASDAQ lost 0.08% and 0.07%, respectively, while the Dow Jones tacked on 0.06%.  The small cap Russell 2000 was a relative outperformer, gaining 0....   READ MORE 

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The VIX And S&P 500 Positive Correlation Predicted Friday's Drop

The VIX And S&P 500 Positive Correlation Predicted Friday's Drop

Market Recap for Friday, March 22, 2019 Investors were worried on Friday and it was reflected in the Volatility Index ($VIX), which rose more than 20%, and sharply lower U.S. equity prices.  The small cap Russell 2000 was hit hardest, dropping 3.62%.  The weakness, however, was felt just...   READ MORE 

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Apple Leads Big Technology Rally

Apple Leads Big Technology Rally

Market Recap for Thursday, March 21, 2019 Technology stocks (XLK, +2.51%) carried Wall Street higher on Thursday as computer hardware ($DJUSCR, +3.56%), semiconductors ($DJUSSC, +3.13%), and software ($DJUSSW, +2.20%) all surged to fresh 2019 highs.  Apple, Inc. (AAPL, +3.68%), which has regained its title of...   READ MORE 

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The Bond Market Is Sending Us The Most Bearish Signal

The Bond Market Is Sending Us The Most Bearish Signal

Market Recap for Wednesday, March 20, 2019 Yesterday was all about the Fed and what it might say.  It was essentially a foregone conclusion that there'd be no rate hike, so traders were on edge anticipating what might change in the Fed's policy statement.  Stock traders...   READ MORE 

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U.S. Dollar Index Drops For 8th Straight Day, Awaiting Fed

U.S. Dollar Index Drops For 8th Straight Day, Awaiting Fed

Market Recap for Tuesday, March 19, 2019 The U.S. stock market finished the day in bifurcated fashion as the NASDAQ (+0.12%) clung to a relatively minor gain, while the aggressive small cap Russell 2000 index lost 0.57%.  The Dow Jones and S&P 500 barely finished...   READ MORE 

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Negative Divergences Could Wreak Havoc On U.S. Stocks

Negative Divergences Could Wreak Havoc On U.S. Stocks

Market Recap for Monday, March 18, 2019 U.S. stocks moved modestly higher on Monday, extending Friday breakouts on both the S&P 500 (+0.37%) and NASDAQ (+0.34%).  The Russell 2000 gained 0.67% to lead the action.  Crude oil prices ($WTIC, +1.47%) topped $59 per...   READ MORE 

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Here's A Gem In Apparel Retail

Here's A Gem In Apparel Retail

Market Recap for Friday, March 15, 2019 It was another solid day for the bulls to close out last week.  It was also quad-witching options expiration Friday, which typically results in much-heavier-than-usual volume.  Volume was certainly heavy on Friday.  Leadership was found in the aggressive NASDAQ, which jumped 0.76%...   READ MORE 

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Could The S&P 500 Fall 2.6% Every Year For 16 Straight Years?

Could The S&P 500 Fall 2.6% Every Year For 16 Straight Years?

In a sense, it already has.  Well, maybe not 16 straight years, but play along. I've done a lot of historical stock market research over the years and several patterns really stand out.  But one in particular always keeps me on edge as a short-term trader.  The week...   READ MORE 

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Transports Going Along For The Ride

Transports Going Along For The Ride

Market Recap for Thursday, March 14, 2019 Thursday was a day of rest and bifurcated action.  The Dow Jones gained ground, albeit a rather miniscule 7 points, but the other major indices fell.  The Russell 2000, NASDAQ and S&P 500 dropped 0.40%, 0.16%, and 0.09%...   READ MORE 

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Earnings Could Send ULTA Flying

Earnings Could Send ULTA Flying

Market Recap for Wednesday, March 13, 2019 It was another strong day on Wall Street.  All 11 sectors moved higher for the second time this week.  Industrials (XLI, +0.88%) represent the only sector to have posted a daily loss this week.  The other 10 sectors have shown gains all...   READ MORE