Tom Bowley

Tom Bowley


Tom is the Chief Market Strategist at EarningsBeats.com, a research and education platform for both financial professionals and individual investors. His comprehensive Daily Market Report provides insightful guidance to EB members every trading day. Learn More 

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How Do Stock Market Tops Form? Part 1

How Do Stock Market Tops Form? Part 1

Wow, this is a loaded question and it will take a few articles to try to address it.  For every bear market, we seem to have a different reason.  Since the turn of the century, we've seen two significant bear markets - one that gripped the market from 2000...   READ MORE 

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Utilities Running Out Of Power?

Utilities Running Out Of Power?

Perhaps one of the biggest mistakes we make is to misinterpret normal stock market rotation as a predecessor to a bear market.  During a bull market, money rotates from sector to sector, from industry group to industry group and from stock to stock.  Of course there are outperformers throughout a...   READ MORE 

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Are Banks Topping or Pausing Before Next Rally?

Are Banks Topping or Pausing Before Next Rally?

I know looking at one industry group is taking a very small sample of the entire stock market, but throughout much of history the stock market has performed strongest when financial stocks, especially banks, at least go along for the ride.  Let me show you a long-term chart of...   READ MORE 

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Using the SCTR Rankings To Boost Your Trading Results

Using the SCTR Rankings To Boost Your Trading Results

From a technical perspective, the StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) makes a TON of sense.  It's a very quick way to see how a stock is performing relative to its peers (ie, large cap, mid cap, small cap).  These rankings are based on technical scores developed by John Murphy...   READ MORE 

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Netflix (NFLX) Impresses With Blowout Earnings

Netflix (NFLX) Impresses With Blowout Earnings

After the close on Wednesday, Netflix (NFLX) topped revenue and earnings expectations and promptly rose to all-time highs.  NFLX had been consolidating in bullish sideways fashion for over one year following its prior uptrend.  Volume today is extremely heavy suggesting accumulation and, in my opinion, likely higher prices ahead....   READ MORE 

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Smith & Wesson (SWHC) Fires Back At Its Naysayers

Smith & Wesson (SWHC) Fires Back At Its Naysayers

Better than expected earnings and technical price action follow through is perhaps my favorite combination when trading a stock.  My background in public accounting leaves a warm place in my heart for management teams that execute on their business plan and are able to surprise Wall Street to the upside....   READ MORE 

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Small Caps Print Bearish Shooting Star Doji

Small Caps Print Bearish Shooting Star Doji

On Monday, the Russell 2000 ($RUT) was breaking out to an all-time high intraday.  Unfortunately, it wasn't confirmed on the close as this benchmark of small cap stocks reversed late in the day.  It not only left a bearish tail to the upside and closed at its...   READ MORE 

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Tax Time Selling: Fact or Fiction?

Tax Time Selling: Fact or Fiction?

Most everyone knows that Uncle Sam is waiting anxiously for April 15th to arrive.  Don't look now, but it's almost here!  Even if you decide to extend the filing date for your tax return, any balance due must be paid now.  The payment generally cannot be...   READ MORE 

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Rising VIX Could Spell Trouble Ahead

Rising VIX Could Spell Trouble Ahead

The volatility index ($VIX) charts the implied volatility of S&P 500 index options.  It's a sentiment indicator that measures the stock market's expectation of volatility over the next 30 day period.  I could spend time talking about square roots, variance swaps and standard deviations,...   READ MORE 

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SouFun Holdings (SFUN) Soaring With China Rally

SouFun Holdings (SFUN) Soaring With China Rally

SFUN serves as a real estate internet portal in the Peoples Republic of China and is rallying strongly today on the heels of overall strength in most Chinese shares.  Technically, the downtrend in SFUN has been reversed on a series of positive technical developments.  First, SFUN had been in a...   READ MORE 

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Semiconductors: Consolidating or Reversing?

Semiconductors: Consolidating or Reversing?

Technology stocks have been lagging throughout 2015.  One of the primary reasons for their uninspiring performance has been the underwhelming action in the Dow Jones US Semiconductor Index ($DJUSSC).  Before we delve into the semiconductors, let's see what technology as a whole is facing - take a look at...   READ MORE 

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Weakening Dollar Providing Short-Term Opportunity In Oil

Weakening Dollar Providing Short-Term Opportunity In Oil

FMC Technologies (FTI) provides technology solutions for the energy sector.  Much of the energy space has struggled for the last several months for a number of reasons, one of which has been the higher dollar.  The rising greenback has provided a headwind for energy companies, but with the suddenly weak...   READ MORE 

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Negative Divergence Hampers Electrical Components & Equipment Stocks

Negative Divergence Hampers Electrical Components & Equipment Stocks

Two months ago, there weren't many better looking industry groups than the Dow Jones US Electrical Components & Equipment Index ($DJUSEC).  The breakout above price resistance was clear, but after a continuing advance of another 10% into mid-March, the DJUSEC ran into technical issues.  Take a look...   READ MORE 

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Buying Is Easy, When Should I Sell? Part 4 (Final)

Buying Is Easy, When Should I Sell? Part 4 (Final)

Generally, I review my trading positions on a stock by stock basis.  If I've hit my target on one, I try to be disciplined and take the profits - or at the very least partial profits.  If my stop loss has been triggered, it's time to take...   READ MORE 

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Buying Is Easy, When Should I Sell? Part 3

Buying Is Easy, When Should I Sell? Part 3

I discussed how using the MACD in concert with price/volume can be instrumental in making a high probability exit in Parts 1 and 2.  Today, I want to focus on candlesticks.  I'm a fan of Steve Nison's and have read his books on candlesticks.  The...   READ MORE 

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Buying Is Easy, When Should I Sell? Part 2

Buying Is Easy, When Should I Sell? Part 2

Let's continue the discussion from yesterday.  Broadcom (BRCM) had fallen back in late January to test both price and multiple gap supports, with an intraday move beneath both that suggested we could be witnessing a breakdown.  By the close, however, BRCM printed a very bullish reversing candlestick (hammer)...   READ MORE 

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Buying Is Easy, When Should I Sell? Part 1

Buying Is Easy, When Should I Sell? Part 1

Trading successfully certainly requires a ton of patience and discipline.  Emotions run high when it comes to your money and the prospects of losing it.  Panicked selling is the easiest kind because you simply can't take the pain any longer.  The best way to rid yourself of the...   READ MORE 

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Colfax (CFX) Bottoming in Reverse Head & Shoulders Fashion?

Colfax (CFX) Bottoming in Reverse Head & Shoulders Fashion?

Industrial machinery ($DJUSFE) stocks have been consolidating in what some technicians might argue is a bullish inverse head & shoulders pattern.  If the group does eventually see money rotate back into it, Colfax Corp (CFX) could be a direct beneficiary.  CFX lost 40% of its market capitalization in the second...   READ MORE 

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Can You Time The Stock Market?

Can You Time The Stock Market?

Well, I suppose it depends on your view and what you believe in.  For me, there's no question about it.  The stock market can be timed as history repeats itself over and over and over again.  The stock market timing that I'm talking about, though, isn&...   READ MORE 

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Lexmark (LXK) Challenges Wedge Resistance On Increasing Volume

Lexmark (LXK) Challenges Wedge Resistance On Increasing Volume

Lexmark (LXK) announced after the closing bell on Tuesday that it was acquiring enterprise software company Kofax (KFX) for $1 billion, its largest acquisition in its history.  Traders were initially excited by the announcement, driving LXK's stock price higher by more than 11% and LXK cleared bullish wedge...   READ MORE 

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Flying High With Aerospace ($DJUSAS) and United Technologies (UTX)

Flying High With Aerospace ($DJUSAS) and United Technologies (UTX)

The aerospace industry ($DJUSAS) is a component of the industrial sector (XLI).  Industrials have been a key driver of the S&P 500 since the turn of the century.  There's a clear relative uptrend channel in play that was broken temporarily in 2009 as the 2007-2009...   READ MORE 

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Interface (TILE) Floors It, Approaches Major Resistance

Interface (TILE) Floors It, Approaches Major Resistance

TILE is an industrial goods company that designs, produces and sells modular carpet products internationally.  Strong quarterly results reported in February, exceeding Wall Street estimates, has sent TILE's shares surging 27% higher in just the past month.  Major overhead price resistance is approaching, however, so it will be...   READ MORE 

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Aggressive Small Cap Indices Break Out Again

Aggressive Small Cap Indices Break Out Again

Both the Russell 2000 Index ($RUT) and S&P 600 Small Cap Index (SML) broke out to all-time highs last week as money continued to rotate towards aggressive small cap stocks and that should be seen as a bullish sign for equities.  In the case of the $RUT,...   READ MORE 

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Dissecting The Technology Sector

Dissecting The Technology Sector

Technology has outperformed every other sector over the past year - except for healthcare.  So it begs the question - is there any more gas left in the technology tank?  We've seen money rotate to various sectors throughout the past year.  Most of the industry groups within technology remain bullish...   READ MORE 

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Many "Under The Surface" Technical Signals Strong

Many "Under The Surface" Technical Signals Strong

I'm not ready to give up on this bull market.  While anything is certainly possible, traders are not positioning themselves for a steep market decline.  Perhaps we'll see a bit of selling, maybe even a correction, but the longer-term bull market still remains intact in...   READ MORE 

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Crane (CR) Confirms "W" Bottom, Testing Support

Crane (CR) Confirms "W" Bottom, Testing Support

Crane (CR) is a part of the Industrial Machinery ($DJUSFE) space, which has been consolidating since last summer and is poised to break out once again.  CR printed a "W" bottom in December and January, with this bottom confirmed with the high volume gap up and breakout in...   READ MORE 

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Home Construction ($DJUSHB) Tests Triangle Support

Home Construction ($DJUSHB) Tests Triangle Support

March has been a little rough for the stock market thus far, but there are a few areas where the pullback has represented welcome relief.  Home construction ($DJUSHB) is one of those areas.  Cyclical stocks, of which home construction is a part, seemed to take a much needed breather in...   READ MORE 

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Exploration and Production Index ($DJUSOS) Bottoming?

Exploration and Production Index ($DJUSOS) Bottoming?

While most of the U.S. stock market enjoys quite a bull market dating back to March 2009, that's not the case currently for exploration and production stocks ($DJUSOS) - at least not in the near- to intermediate-term.  A topping head & shoulders pattern confirmed in late November...   READ MORE 

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Cisco Systems (CSCO) Tests 14 Year High

Cisco Systems (CSCO) Tests 14 Year High

Since the tech bubble popped in the early 2000s, CSCO has slowly risen from the ashes.  It fell a remarkable 90% from its high in 2000 to its low in late 2002.  Keep in mind, however, that it made a parabolic move higher prior to this drop.  2000 started a...   READ MORE 

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KLA-Tencor (KLAC) Testing Key Support Zone

KLA-Tencor (KLAC) Testing Key Support Zone

Semiconductors ($DJUSSC) are one of the worst areas of the market today and have been one of the worst areas of technology over the past week.  KLA-Tencor (KLAC) has hit a key area of support, however, and certainly presents a much better reward to risk opportunity.  60.53 represents...   READ MORE 

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Internet Stocks Showing Renewed Relative Strength

Internet Stocks Showing Renewed Relative Strength

When we look back at last week's action, a few things stand out to me.  First, the aggressive sectors - financials, consumer discretionary, technology and industrials - held up quite well on a relative basis.  That should be seen as a positive.  The worst performing group was utilities, which makes...   READ MORE 

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Cardtronics (CATM) Fills Earnings Gap

Cardtronics (CATM) Fills Earnings Gap

Cardtronics (CATM) reported stellar quarterly results on February 4th after the close, beating Wall Street estimates with respect to both revenues ($283.9 million actual vs. $270.6 million estimate) and EPS ($.64 actual vs. $.57 estimate).  At the open on February 5th, CATM gapped higher to 40.00 from...   READ MORE 

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Welcome to Trading Places!

Welcome to Trading Places!

Hello!  I'm Tom.  Welcome to my new blog - "Trading Places with Tom Bowley." First off, I'd like to thank you for stopping by.  I'm thrilled to be writing blogs and hosting webinars exclusively at StockCharts.com while doing so among the finest...   READ MORE 

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BABA: Breaking Down or Reversing With Positive Divergence?

BABA: Breaking Down or Reversing With Positive Divergence?

On Monday, BABA closed at 84.00, its lowest close since its IPO in September.  However, that close was very close to support and BABA is currently oversold with its RSI below 30 and its stochastic reading at 11.  Note there's a long-term positive divergence that'...   READ MORE 

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Defensive Stocks Lagging Although One Group Poised For Rebound

Defensive Stocks Lagging Although One Group Poised For Rebound

We've seen a very nice rally in U.S. equities during February, erasing all of January's losses with most of our major indices now breaking out to all-time highs.  The NASDAQ has been leading the charge and that indicates that we're in a...   READ MORE 

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Consumer Discretionary Stocks Fuel Rally

Consumer Discretionary Stocks Fuel Rally

There's been much said and written about rapidly-declining crude oil prices ($WTIC).  But one thing makes perfect sense to me.  When American consumers save TONS of money when filling up at the pump, they tend to spend it elsewhere.  It's simply what we like to...   READ MORE 

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Key Tests Approaching in Technology

Key Tests Approaching in Technology

The nearly six year bull market lives on, but the bulls have been taking several body blows of late.  Whether this bull market continues could depend on a couple of key industry groups within the technology space. First, let's take a look at computer hardware ($DJUSCR).  This is...   READ MORE 

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Industrial Machinery Index Seems Poised for 2015 Rally

Industrial Machinery Index Seems Poised for 2015 Rally

It's easy to follow the crowd and buy what keeps going higher.  But generally larger gains can be found in healthy areas of the market where we've seen months of consolidation, awaiting that next breakout.  As an example, it wasn't that long ago that...   READ MORE 

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Business Support Services Index Breaks Out After Long Base

Business Support Services Index Breaks Out After Long Base

Stock market action played out the past two weeks almost perfectly according to historical plan.  In my last article, I discussed the bearish tendencies of equities from December 7th through December 15th and the S&P 500 promptly lost 85 points, or more than 4% during this period in...   READ MORE 

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Small Caps Ready to Make a December Run?

Small Caps Ready to Make a December Run?

As a student of stock market history, I'm often astonished by historical facts about market performance.  December is generally a very solid month for equities and no index benefits more from this seasonal bullishness than the Russell 2000.  Since 1987, the Russell 2000 has risen 24 of 27...   READ MORE