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PMO BUY Signals Trigger on Technology and Healthcare Sectors
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
We had two sectors trigger new Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) BUY signals today, Technology (XLK) and Healthcare (XLV). Let's look "under the hood" to see whether these PMO BUY signals mean more upside for both sectors. On the DecisionPoint.com website, subscribers have access to our...
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Is the Biotech Space Looking for a Major Price Move?
The past four trading days have held roughly the same price areas within the major indices. Specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) have similar tight price action.
When watching for larger than average price moves, tight or consolidative price action can often lead to...
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Sector Spotlight: Bonds Take a Nosedive
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, after last week's look at long-term trends on monthly charts, I focus on daily and weekly rotations as I see them in asset classes and sectors. In the asset class segment, developments in the bond markets play a...
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Watch for a Breakout Above Monday's Inside Day Chart Pattern
Monday mainly showed consolidation within the major indices. The Russell 2000 (IWM) spent most of its time within Friday's price range, along with the S&P 500 (SPY) and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) having inside day chart patterns. Along with the stock markets' inconclusive price action,...
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The Effect of this Bearish Weekly Two-Bar Reversal is About to Test the Bull Market Case for the Dollar Index
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Before we look at the two-bar reversal, let's first review the long-term technical position for the Dollar Index. It's laid out on a quarterly basis in Chart 1, along with a Coppock momentum indicator. The first thing to note is that the Index is positioned below...
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How Do Earnings and Relative Strength Correlate?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I receive dozens of earnings-related questions every quarter from EarningsBeats.com members and non-members alike. They usually revolve around whether "I should hold a stock into earnings?" Let me be clear that, as a short-term trader, I'd be very careful holding any stock into earnings. There...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY to See Defined Moves Over the Coming Days; RRG Chart Show This Sector Potentially Ending Its Relative Underperformance
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
After two weeks of corrective decline, the Indian equities tried to find a base for themselves, trading in a defined range and ending the week with some gains. The past five trading sessions remained as expected; the NIFTY has slipped below the 20-week MA and resisted to this level during...
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Don't Let The Market Makers Fool You
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
As a short-term trader, I've always studied the short-term intraday charts, looking for any possible advantage I can gain. One strategy the market makers employ during uptrends and downtrends is they show traders a morning mirage, which is then followed by afternoon reality. Not every day is alike,...
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Will We Go Higher From Here?
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
On this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen explains whether it's safe to get into these markets and which areas are best positioned as volatility remains high. She also reviews top stock candidates, as well as stocks holding up well after earnings.
This video...
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Why High Yield Corporate Debt (JNK) Needs to Fill the Gap
Friday ends on a positive note, with the Dow Jones (DIA) and the S&P 500 (SPY) holding over their 200-day moving averages. Alongside them, Bitcoin has cleared 40k and is currently looking for 41k next. However, High Yield Corporate Debt (JNK) gapped lower Friday, creating a key area...
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Earnings Season Rocking Markets
by TG Watkins,
Director of Stocks, Simpler Trading
In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG covers the insane market action of the last several days. We are in the midst of earnings season and the reports that came out rocked the market. How were things affected?
This video was originally broadcast on February 4,...
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Don't Confuse a Cyclical Bear Market Bounce With a Secular Bull Market Rally
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
There are never any guarantees in the stock market. As much knowledge as I've gained over the years, and as much respect I have for my fellow technicians here at StockCharts.com, there's simply no way to ever be sure that your forecast is the right...
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S&P 500 Using Ichimoku Cloud Model
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
The Ichimoku cloud model (often just referred to as the "cloud model") is a traditional Japanese technical indicator which actually combines three separate trend-following devices. I spent some time on Japanese trading desks earlier in my career, and was always fascinated at how much I would see candlestick...
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Reduce Whipsaws and Improve Performance with a Simple Filter
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The 200-day SMA is quite the battle zone when it comes to the S&P 500. In fact, the index has crossed this key moving average 165 times since 2000. That's a lot of crosses, and a lot of needless whipsaws. Chartists can reduce whipsaws and improve...
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AMZN: Big Earnings, Big Gap, Big Problems
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Call it a reprieve. Amazon.com (AMZN) reported excellent results last night, at least much better than what was expected. Revenues came in a bit light, according to Zacks.com, at $137.41 billion. Estimates were pegged at $137.88 billion. But bottom line EPS soared to $27.75 (actual)...
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Chartwise Women: Pay Attention to Berkshire Hathaway
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
On this week's edition of Chartwise Women, Mary Ellen and Erin share why Warren Buffet's portfolio is perfect for these turbulent times. They highlight how the Berkshire Hathaway holdings are faring in these current markets, looking at AAPL, VZ and more.
This video was originally broadcast...
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Leaders (Survivors) Emerging from the Volatility
by Alex Cole,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
In this week's edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, with US Equity Indices at critical inflection points, Alex and Tyler review the possible scenarios through GoNoGo Charts: is this a bear market counter-trend rally or the bottoming before we resume the bull market trend?
GoNoGo Charts do not...
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The Similarities Between Golf and Trading
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
In this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe discusses some of the similarities between golf and trading, explaining how we can improve our trading techniques by learning from common pitfalls in golf. Ideas like Put it in the Fairway, One Shot at a Time, Evaluate...
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SHORT-TERM MARKET BOUNCE RUNS INTO SELLING -- MEASURING OVERHEAD RESISTANCE LEVELS
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
SHORT-TERM BOUNCE RUNS INTO RESISTANCE... My last message showed the three major stock indexes in an oversold condition and trying to bounce from underlying chart support. So the recent stock rebound wasn't a surprise. Neither was the size of the rebound. The combination of overhead resistance and today&...
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Sector Rotation to Defense Continues
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
Big drops call for big recoveries, but it's dangerous to watch these moves in isolation.
The S&P 500 dropped roughly 60 points from its peak at 480 at the start of the year to find a low recently around 420. Out of that low, the market...
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More Signs Pointing To Cyclical Bear Market
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I was bearish heading into 2022 - before the selling began - and I haven't changed my mind one bit, despite the recent rally. Counter trend rallies are normal and, quite honestly, I think the current one may have just run its course. First, the rally has reached...
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Transportation Gets Boosted While Retail Fumbles
On Tuesday, the transportation sector (IYT) gapped higher on earnings from one of its top holdings, United Parcel Service (UPS). Beating earnings per share estimates by 6.5%, UPS was able to bring IYT back over both its 200-day moving average and 50-DMA. IYT has now confirmed a bullish phase...
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Examining the Monthly Bar Charts for a Possible Reversal
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Usually, when we are identifying one or two bar price patterns or candlesticks, it's because they appear close to a turning point, thereby giving us a trading edge. From a practical point of view, it makes sense to observe daily or intraday price action. That's because...
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22 Trading Resolutions for 2022, Part 3
by Dave Landry,
Founder, Sentive Trading, LLC
On this week's edition of Trading Simplified, Dave starts off with methodology and mystery charts. Next, he discusses the state of the market-downtrend and sell signals. Finally, he continues his discussion on 2022 trading resolutions.
This video was originally broadcast on February 2, 2022. Click anywhere on the...
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3 Key Price Levels the Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000, and Bitcoin Need to Clear
The stock market has rallied right into resistance, along with Bitcoin teetering at its 39k price level. However, the market is holding its current trading area and, though we are at a pivotal point, Wednesday could have another push higher if key levels are cleared. With that said, which price...
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Sector Spotlight: Sector Charts Showing Nasty Reversal Bars
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, after a volatile week in the markets and the completion of the monthly charts for January on Monday (1/31), now is a perfect moment to take a good look at the developments on these long-term charts. In the Asset...
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DP TV: Monthly Chart Breakdowns
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
It's the end of the month, so the monthly charts have gone FINAL! On this episode of DecisionPoint, Erin reviews the major market index monthly charts, as well monthly charts for Dollar, Gold, Crude Oil and Bonds (TLT). Sectors are showing new strength, but where should we be...
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"Believable" Misinformation Is a Danger to Long-Term Retirement Goals
by Greg Morris,
Veteran Technical Analyst, Investor, and Author
Here is another article I wrote a few years ago that I think needs to be repeated. Enjoy!
Many investment "truths" seem to go unchallenged but are in fact, very clearly just myths. Buy and hold investing is a good long-term strategy, economists are good at predicting the...
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My Top Stock Pick For This Year
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
Earlier this month, The Money Show asked me to join other stock market experts and submit my top stock idea for this year. While the markets were in a sunnier position at that time, I'm sharing my response below, as I still believe this stock is headed much...
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Downside S&P Projections Using Fibonacci
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
I recently posted a video on four potential paths for the S&P 500, from the very bullish (S&P gets over 4800 in the next six weeks) to the very bearish (S&P breaks below 4000).Today, I wanted to dig a little deeper into using...
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C'mon Commodities, Push That Energy Sector UP!
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
Watchers of my show Sector Spotlight will know that I have been watching the development of commodities as an asset class that's going through a long turnaround. Recent developments continue to reinforce that view.
The Relative Rotation Graph shows the rotation for a universe of asset class ETFs...
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Are the Markets Bottoming?
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
On this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews key earnings reports and how they're driving price action. She also shares a view of promising moves in Tech and one area you should stay away from.
This video was originally recorded on January 28,...
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Should We Start Watching Noncyclical Stocks?
The past week has been very challenging, as the market can't seem to pick a direction. Though short-term momentum has more overhead pressure, even the bears have had difficulty shorting the choppy price action. In times like this, it can be helpful to take a step back, watch...
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Sushi Investing, Part 1: The Secret To Producing Profits Before The Expiration Date
by Gatis Roze,
Author, "Tensile Trading"
Profits are the product of practicing a persistent pilgrimage towards perfecting your sell disciplines. To paraphrase a sports cliche, without an exceptional defense you won't win championships. Michael Jordan has unequivocally stated that without the defensive wizardry of Dennis Rodman, the Chicago Bulls would not have been world...
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Where is the Market Headed?
by TG Watkins,
Director of Stocks, Simpler Trading
In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG covers recent market action and outlines the destruction we've seen. He then talks about where he sees the market going, as well as how he is finding setups in these choppy times
This video was originally broadcast...
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Large Cap vs. Small Cap... A World Of Difference
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
When looking at Relative Rotation Graphs showing large-cap sectors and small-cap sectors, we usually see rotations for the various sectors that are more or less in line with each other. That's not surprising, as the small companies are active in the same sector as their large counterparts. Sometimes,...
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Chartwise Women: Bear Market Rules That You Need to Know Right Now!
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
In a bear market, you need to understand that overcoming emotions is critical to successful investing. For this week's edition of Chartwise Women, Mary Ellen and Erin walk you through the "rules" for investing during bearish times.
This video was originally broadcast on January 27, 2022....
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Lack of Risk Asset Demand Pushes S&P Decline
by Alex Cole,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
In this week's edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, the volatility continues as the U.S. domestic markets experience massive intraday swings. Alex and Tyler look at how expectations of 4 rate hikes in 2022 weigh on investors' decision-making by examining charts of the S&P,...
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The Power of Moving Averages
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
In this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe discusses a number of ways that Moving Averages can aid in determining support/resistance, trend, overbought/oversold and longevity of the trend. He then analyzes the stock requests that came through, including MSFT, NVDA and more.
This...
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OVERSOLD STOCK INDEXES ATTEMPT TO STABILIZE NEAR CHART SUPPORT -- BUT BREADTH FIGURES PAINT A WEAKER PICTURE
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
OVERSOLD MARKET ATTEMPTS TO STABILIZE... After an incredibly volatile week of trading, stocks are in a short-term oversold condition and attempting to stabilize near chart support. Chart 1 shows the Dow Industrials stabilizing near a flat support line drawn under their June low. At the same time, the 14-day RSI...
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