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Market Action Confirms the Employment Report

Market Action Confirms the Employment Report

* Market Gets a New Lease on Life * Ten-Day Breadth Ratio Hits Bullish Extreme * S&P Stocks Above 50-day MA Also Hit a Bullish Extreme * Can Small-Caps Extend their Sharp Rally? Usually, when a market rallies sharply and experiences an overbought condition, the probabilities favor corrective activity of some kind....   READ MORE 

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Semiconductors Breaking Out!

Semiconductors Breaking Out!

As I reviewed my scans to write the "DecisionPoint Diamonds" report, I noticed a theme in Technology, particularly in the Semiconductor industry group (SOXX). I zeroed in on my favorites to present in today's DecisionPoint Diamonds report (if you'd like to see those charts,...   READ MORE 

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How Prodigal is Our Prodigal Son Regional Banks?

How Prodigal is Our Prodigal Son Regional Banks?

Are you wondering how bonds, gold, volatility, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ can all run up on the same day? Plus, Beyond Meat, Amazon, cannabis, Tesla and Oil and Gas Exploration partied like they boarded SpaceX! Well, think of it this way. Stanley Druckenmiller manned up and admitted...   READ MORE 

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Power Charting TV: Special Guest Roman Bogomazov. Wyckoff Market Discussion 200th Episode, An Invitation to Attend.

Power Charting TV: Special Guest Roman Bogomazov. Wyckoff Market Discussion 200th Episode, An Invitation to Attend.

Roman Bogomazov is this week's special guest on Power Charting. He discusses the current stock market rally and the upcoming 200th episode of the ‘Wyckoff Market Discussion' series. Professor Roman is a leading Wyckoff Method educator, mentoring under and teaching with famed Wyckoffian Hank Pruden. Roman and...   READ MORE 

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This Pharma Stocks Offers A Potentially Profitable Hedged Option Setup

This Pharma Stocks Offers A Potentially Profitable Hedged Option Setup

Piramal Enterprises Limited -- PEL.IN The stock has under-performed the Pharma Index over the past couple of weeks. Against the broader markets as well, the stock has not performed while it stayed in a prolonged sideways consolidation. Currently, it is just broken out on the upside with greater-than-average volumes....   READ MORE 

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Knowing When to Add Risk and When to Reduce Risk

Knowing When to Add Risk and When to Reduce Risk

The S&P 500 is the most widely used benchmark for the US stock market and the 200-day SMA is perhaps the most widely used moving average. These two came together again in late May as the index crossed back above on May 27th. Today we  will quantify the...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: These Things Happen in a Risk-On Setup: RRG Shows These Sectors Losing Relative Momentum

Week Ahead: These Things Happen in a Risk-On Setup: RRG Shows These Sectors Losing Relative Momentum

In a yet another week where we witnessed a gush of liquidity continuing to chase the equities, the Indian equity markets saw a buoyant week and ended once again with an up week. The trading range of the week remained wider on the expected lines. The headline index oscillated over...   READ MORE 

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The U.S. Stock Market Is Becoming One Giant Short Squeeze

The U.S. Stock Market Is Becoming One Giant Short Squeeze

I've never understood the attraction to short selling, especially in a secular bull market. I get it - March and April didn't really feel like a big time bull market. But it was still part of one. March represented a cyclical bear market in a massive...   READ MORE 

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Did the May Employment Report Signal an End to the Recession?

Did the May Employment Report Signal an End to the Recession?

Part-Time Employees for Economic Reasons is a leading indicator of the labor market. That's because employers are more inclined to hire and fire temporary workers than permanent ones, where labor laws, contracts, pensions and other impediments get in the way. This indicator has been consistently useful in identifying...   READ MORE 

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The Outlook is Brightening for These Companies - and Their Stocks are On Sale

The Outlook is Brightening for These Companies - and Their Stocks are On Sale

Extreme uncertainty can really push stocks around, and this historically unprecedented pandemic has certainly proven that. Take the steep selloff in normally defensive Utility and Real Estate stocks. With the country in a mandated lockdown that initially had no end in sight, these stocks got clobbered, as the need for...   READ MORE 

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Stocks Overbought, Bonds Oversold (Almost)

Stocks Overbought, Bonds Oversold (Almost)

Every Friday on The Final Bar,I conduct a weekly chart routine called "Wrap the Week" where we review macro charts and how they've evolved over the previous seven days. This week was focused on the unrelenting uptrend in stocks, but a deeper analysis after the...   READ MORE 

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Did the May Employment Report Signal an End to the Recession?

Did the May Employment Report Signal an End to the Recession?

Part-Time Employees for Economic Reasons is a leading indicator of the labor market. That's because employers are more inclined to hire and fire temporary workers than permanent ones, where labor laws, contracts, pensions and other impediments get in the way. This indicator has been consistently useful in identifying...   READ MORE 

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Can This Strength in the Markets Continue?

Can This Strength in the Markets Continue?

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews the status of the markets and what this week's action reveals. She also shares insights into how to handle the explosive moves in select stocks and the best way to tell when the near-term uptrend...   READ MORE 

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What Does a Market Topping Pattern Look Like?

What Does a Market Topping Pattern Look Like?

I love this photo. If you see it right side up, it looks like a piece of deadwood coming out of the tree trunk. Upside down, it looks like the head of a bird. (Okay, maybe a somewhat prehistoric bird, but a bird nonetheless.) The point is it reminds me...   READ MORE 

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Smaller Stocks Lead at Bottoms. - JJM

Smaller Stocks Lead at Bottoms. - JJM

The title for this article is a quote from John Murphy's book Trading with Intermarket Analysis. And I couldn't help but think of it when I was watching the Relative Rotation Graph that shows the rotation for different segments of market capitalization. The most well-known RRG...   READ MORE 

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Volatility Index - Did it Bottom?

Volatility Index - Did it Bottom?

In my last blog, we looked at the volatility index. Ahead of a weekend where more protests both peaceful and violent could happen, VIX could help us see how much fear might come back into the market. Another potential fear factor is that, with all the gathering of folks in...   READ MORE 

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Time to Sell MSFT and AAPL?

Time to Sell MSFT and AAPL?

The recovery of the Technology sector out of the March low has been in line with the S&P 500, only 1.5% better. With its strong (out)performance in the run up to the February peak and the less disastrous decline into March, XLK remained at the right...   READ MORE 

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DP Show: Today's Market Eerily Similar to Bear Market Prequel

DP Show: Today's Market Eerily Similar to Bear Market Prequel

In this episode of DecisionPoint, Carl and Erin begin by analyzing the day's market, after which Carl discusses the similarities between this rally and the rally into the bear market crash. They discuss confirmations and non-confirmations on indicators and perform a thorough review of the sectors, including Silver...   READ MORE 

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Major Rotation Is Taking Place; Short-Term Traders Beware

Major Rotation Is Taking Place; Short-Term Traders Beware

It's been a shocking rebound to many, but I believe this party is just getting started.  Fortunately, we were able to see the increase in the Volatility Index ($VIX) in late-February as an appropriate warning signal and then quickly realized that much of the selling was nothing more...   READ MORE 

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2 Blogs, 2 Reasons for Caution: Volatility Index!

2 Blogs, 2 Reasons for Caution: Volatility Index!

If you did not get a chance to read my blog on the 1960s from June 2nd, please consider doing so. Just when the market is hitting euphoric conditions, any expansion of the protests, violence or the number of COVID-19 cases could unravel the market quickly. The Volatility Index, VIX,...   READ MORE 

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Random Thoughts: Why Following the Trading Plan is Hard

Random Thoughts: Why Following the Trading Plan is Hard

Trading is hard. Done right, it will force you to do a lot of unnatural things and it will make you feel uneasy. Embracing this from both a physiological and a psychological aspect is key. Let's explore this further, with a focus on what happens in your brain...   READ MORE 

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What's Standing Between You and Success?

What's Standing Between You and Success?

In this edition of Trading Simplified, Dave discusses how going in with an open mind can help lead you to longer-term success in trading once this crazy market gets back to "normal." He presents ways you can go from being a trader "for now" to being...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Seasonality Suggests XLV over XLF for June

Sector Spotlight: Seasonality Suggests XLV over XLF for June

On this episode of Sector Spotlight, I take a look at the longer-term picture for asset Classes and sectors using monthly bar-charts, then show how sometimes a shift to a line chart may give you even more insight. After this, I move on to combining the current RRG rotations with...   READ MORE 

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Commodities Reach Important Breakout Points, Part II

Commodities Reach Important Breakout Points, Part II

* The Gold/CRB Ratio as a Commodity Indicator * Close Correlation between Canadian/Australian Dollars and Commodities * The Stock Market Votes for Commodities * Short-Term Breakout Underway? The Gold/CRB Ratio as a Commodity Indicator A couple of weeks ago, I wrote an article on commodities suggesting that conditions were falling into...   READ MORE 

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Seasonality Prefers Health Care over Financials in June

Seasonality Prefers Health Care over Financials in June

In this week's episode of Sector Spotlight (Tuesday 10.30-11.00am ET), I ran out of time to review outstanding pair-trades so I am writing them up here in this article. Monitoring (pair trade) ideas and how to properly communicate and track them remains an ongoing concern. Let...   READ MORE 

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The Art of Uncovering an Ideal Buy Point

The Art of Uncovering an Ideal Buy Point

Oftentimes, as an exceptionally strong stock continues to outperform the broader markets, it's hard to not get excited and jump on board as the stock advances to new highs. Believe me, as an expert in capturing momentum stocks on their way to outperforming the broader markets, I'...   READ MORE 

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The Economic Modern Family - Time to Prune in June?

The Economic Modern Family - Time to Prune in June?

Now that "sell in May" did not work out so well for the bears, what will June hold for both the bulls and the bears? Since the price lows that were established in late March, it's been easy pickings for so many areas of the market....   READ MORE 

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The Bulls Have Spoken, Now Will Earnings Confirm?

The Bulls Have Spoken, Now Will Earnings Confirm?

One of my favorite stocks throughout this pandemic has been Zoom Video Communications (ZM).  It's been wildly volatile, but also extremely profitable - if you can hang on through all the ebbs and flows.  Bulls' patience is currently being rewarded as ZM absolutely flies into its earnings...   READ MORE 

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"10 I'm Stalking" - Top Charts and Intriguing Trades (Week of June 1st, 2020)

"10 I'm Stalking" - Top Charts and Intriguing Trades (Week of June 1st, 2020)

Every weekend, my "Sunday Portfolio Review"ends with the same rigorous search process. With my market evaluation and portfolio analysis routines complete, I turn my attention to the discovery phase. This is the fun part. I sit down with all the results of the scans I've...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: NIFTY Moves Towards Major Resistance Zone; RRG Shows Diminishing Outperformance From these Sectors

Week Ahead: NIFTY Moves Towards Major Resistance Zone; RRG Shows Diminishing Outperformance From these Sectors

The previous week remained contrary to expectations; instead of staying within ranged movement, it was a wide-ranging one with the Index ending with robust gains. The NIFTY saw a 600-point wide trading range, much broader than expected. The NIFTY pulled back from the low point and finished on a strong...   READ MORE 

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Bullish Stocks for the Post-Pandemic Economy

Bullish Stocks for the Post-Pandemic Economy

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge,Mary Ellen shares stocks seeing a big pickup in product demand as consumers prepare for the "new normal." She also highlights areas poised to trade higher after reporting explosive growth during the current lockdown. This video was originally...   READ MORE 

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Reader Question: "Why Look at Weekly Charts?"

Reader Question: "Why Look at Weekly Charts?"

I love getting email from my readers and this particular email was great. He felt like he was asking a ridiculous question, but it is a common one that I don't think is asked out loud. This reader asked the question in the context of my DP Diamonds...   READ MORE 

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A Different Market Pattern

A Different Market Pattern

Pre-pandemic, once the Trump administration took office, we saw a new pattern emerge. Before the world went on lockdown, the market moved up and down (with some autonomously strong exceptions in tech), based on headlines from the President himself. But, during the pandemic, Powell became the "Headline Mover-in-Chief."...   READ MORE 

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Nasdaq Closes a Major Gap

Nasdaq Closes a Major Gap

March Was a Really Strong Bottom Tuesday's action looks bullish on the surface, but may signal the end of the rally. I emphasized the word "may" not because I am trying to hedge my bets, but more because the March bottom, by historical standards, was a...   READ MORE 

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Identifying Stocks with High Short Interest Can Put $'s in Your Pocket!

Identifying Stocks with High Short Interest Can Put $'s in Your Pocket!

When looking for solid long trading candidates, one of the things astute traders look for are those stocks with high short interest. In other words, those stocks that traders are heavily betting against. Why, you might ask? Because if you can identify companies with a high percentage of short interest...   READ MORE 

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This Technician's Confession: There's One Essential Fundamental Indicator I've Embraced For Decades

This Technician's Confession: There's One Essential Fundamental Indicator I've Embraced For Decades

I've acknowledged in numerous previous blogs and in our book that I'm not exclusively a 100% pure chartist. I know... blasphemy! Yes, I use fundamentals. I need fundamentals, I won't trade without fundamentals. But the key is that I'm neither a fundamentalist...   READ MORE 

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A Bullish Continuation Pattern for a Sector with Strong Breadth

A Bullish Continuation Pattern for a Sector with Strong Breadth

Chartists can separate the leading sectors from the lagging sectors by sorting with various breadth indicators. The 200-day EMA is a long-term trend indicator that can also be used as a breadth indicator. A stock is in an uptrend when above the 200-day EMA and in a downtrend below. The...   READ MORE 

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Is NortonLifeLock-ing In a New Low?

Is NortonLifeLock-ing In a New Low?

One of my alerts on StockCharts.com is based on the "Turtle Soup" Strategy, which was described by Larry Connors and Linda Raschke in their book Street Smarts in 1996!! I like this setup because it looks for entries around potential tops and bottoms, and is therefore a...   READ MORE 

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DP Show: How to Choose the Best Indicators

DP Show: How to Choose the Best Indicators

In this episode of DecisionPoint, following a discussion of current market conditions, Carl discusses the importance of choosing the right indicators for your charts and explains his rationale for including the indicators that DecisionPoint uses regularly. Carl also discusses the concept of bear markets and bear market rallies. Erin finishes...   READ MORE 

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Latest Short Squeeze Call Is Strangling The Bears

Latest Short Squeeze Call Is Strangling The Bears

In developing our Short Squeeze ChartList, which is a fancy name for doing our homework and organizing potentially explosive stocks into one ChartList for our members, we were looking for companies that traders are betting against.  When traders believe a company is overpriced, for whatever reason, they sell that stock...   READ MORE