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Lots of Instruments Launched - and Almost Launched - Today
By the time you read this, NASA will have canceled its scheduled launch to send the first humans in space in nearly a decade. Regardless, SpaceX's Crew Dragon Capsule, with Bob Benhken and Doug Hurley (astronauts) aboard, represents a great era for the USA. Hopefully, with a successful...
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Sector Spotlight: Your View Depends on Your Timeframe
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of Sector Spotlight, I review the current rotations for asset classes and sectors. In addition, I explain how your investment horizon and timeframe is crucial in determining how you view the markets.
This video was originally broadcast on May 26th, 2020. Click anywhere on the Sector Spotlight...
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S&P Fails at its 200-Day MA and NASDAQ Closes a Major Gap
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
* March Was a Really Strong Bottom
* NASDAQ Closes a Gap
* S&P Fails at its 200-Day MA
* Conclusion
March Was a Really Strong Bottom
Tuesday's action looks bullish on the surface, but may signal the end of the rally. I emphasized the word "may" not...
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Oil & Gas
I knew that this picture would become one for the history textbooks!
A while back, we pondered whether the worst of the oil market debacle was over. Currently, that depends on a lot of "ifs":
* If OPEC adheres to its 9.7 million barrels a day.
* If Russia...
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Trillion Dollar Stocks at the Bottom of the Pile
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
On a day when the Dow was up +529.95 points, I thought it was odd that it's two giant components, Apple (AAPL) and Micrsoft (MSFT), finished the day at a loss and at the bottom of the list sorted by percent change. Maybe this is just a...
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Limited Time Offer on Consumer Discretionary
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
One of my favorite ratios to track offense vs. defense within the equity markets is the Consumer Discretionary sector (XLY) divided by the Consumer Staples sector (XLP). But a look under the hood shares narrow leadership and questionable upside.
Below, we see the S&P 500 ETF along with...
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An Exceptional Bear Market
by Greg Morris,
Veteran Technical Analyst, Investor, and Author
We think it is a good time to review bear markets, since we just had one, or are still in one, depending on the definition you choose to use. It is generally accepted that a bear market occurs when the stock market is down at least 20% from recent highs....
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Facebook On its Way to $290
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
Communication is key...
The Communication Services started to come alive again after a dull period, at least in relative terms.
Recently, I wrote about the sector here in a Don't Ignore This Chart article ("Is Everybody Calling and Texting or What?"). In addition, in the first...
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"10 I'm Stalking" - Top Charts and Intriguing Trades (Week of May 25, 2020)
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
As you may well know, I talk a lot about my weekly routine. More specifically, I talk a lot about my "Sunday Portfolio Review". I've said it before and I'll say it again – my weekend review is the most important part of my investing...
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Work Area Ahead
by Bruce Fraser,
Industry-leading "Wyckoffian"
The worldwide COVID-19 lockdown has produced massive unemployment trends. In the U.S. unemployment is moving rapidly toward the 20% level. Sheltering-in-Place has established many new societal trends. Some of these trends we have explored as the ‘Stay-at-Home Economy' theme. Here we will discern some of the new work...
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Quantifying the QQQ Effect on SPY
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
We all know that many stocks in the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) are also part of the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY). In addition, it is clear that these QQQ stocks affect the performance of SPY. But how much exactly? Today we will answer that question and compare performance...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY May See Ranged Movements; RRG Chart Tells This Sector May Offer Maximum Alpha
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
Markets ended a week that continued to play out much on the expected lines, except for the fact that the volatility was much less than what was expected. Also, the markets continued to display lack of directional bias throughout the week. Despite making a sharply lower top and lower bottom...
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One Area That's Due To Grow In The Post-Pandemic Economy
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
The unforeseen usefulness of robots during the current global lockdown has kicked up interest in an already-growing area of the markets. Companies have poured billions of dollars into the development of technology to create all kinds of robots, designed to help with deliveries, transportation and manufacturing, and demand has never...
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Limited-Time Offer on Consumer Discretionary
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
One of my favorite ratios to track offense vs. defense within the equity markets is the Consumer Discretionary sector (XLY) divided by the Consumer Staples sector (XLP). But a look under the hood shares narrow leadership and questionable upside.
Below, we see the S&P 500 ETF along with...
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Commodity Indexes Reach Important Breakout Points
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
The Stock Market is Forecasting Higher Commodity Prices
[One big] thing going positive for commodities is my Inflation/Deflation ratio. This series pits equities sensitive to swings in commodity prices, such as natural resource stocks, to those that do better when interest rates are falling, such as utilities, consumer staples,...
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New Buys Amid Sector Rotation
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV's The MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews new areas that are turning bullish and the best way to get in front of positive candidates. She also uncovered how to trade the powerful moves in stocks that gap up.
This video was originally recorded...
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Virtually Travel the World and Make Money! (+Video)
I have spent most of the time in 2020 analyzing, writing and speaking about the US markets and commodities. Therefore, I thought it time to explore the International ETF Country Funds.
I have vetted them for you.
In the latest presentation I did for my show on StockCharts TV, I...
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How I Scan ChartLists For High Profit Trades
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I have a routine that I've implemented where I typically review market action around 10:00am ET, 30 minutes after the market has opened. It's not at all unusual to see uptrending stocks down in the morning, so running scans at about that 30-minute mark can...
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Sector BETA Can Help You with General Market Direction
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
Some time ago, I started to play around with BETA as a metric to gauge risk appetite for sectors, then went from there to the general market. If you search for BETA in ChartSchool you will find this entry:
Beta: A measure of a security's systematic or market...
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NVDA Blows Away Estimates - Exactly What Wall Street Expected
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Last night, after the closing bell, NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) did what Wall Street expected - it blew the doors off its earnings. Revenues were reported at $3,080.00 vs. its consensus estimate of $2,995.27 and EPS came in ahead of expectations at $1.80 vs. $1.69....
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I See An Index Breaking Out, But How Do I Find An ETF That Tracks It?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I review a lot of the Dow Jones industry indices, but one problem is that you cannot trade an index. Naturally, I receive plenty of questions like "how can I benefit from semiconductors if the Dow Jones U.S. Semiconductor Index ($DJUSSC) is breaking out? Obviously, one way would...
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Commodity Indexes Reach Important Breakout Points
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
* Gold Has Done its Work as a Leading Commodity Indicator
* The Stock Market is Forecasting Higher Commodity Prices
* Commodities on the Verge of a Breakout
* Oil VIX Signals a Major Bottom in Oil Prices
Three weeks ago, I raised the question as to whether commodities had begun to embark on...
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APPAREL RETAILERS LEAD XLY HIGHER -- AIRLINES ARE HOLDING TRANSPORTS BACK -- STRONGER RAILS AND TRUCKERS ARE A VOTE OF CONFIDENCE IN THE U.S. ECONOMY
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
APPAREL RETAILERS LEAD XLY HIGHER... Chart 1 shows the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) trading at the highest level in three months and north of its 200-day average. The XLY/SPX relative strength ratio in the upper box is also rising. Apparel retailers are leading the XLY higher. Chart 2 shows...
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DP Show: Can the Market Continue Up, Up, Up?
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this episode of DecisionPoint, Erin and Carl begin the show with a lively discussion of current market conditions after yet another breakout on Wednesday. Should investors expect even higher prices? Looking at exclusive DecisionPoint.com indicators, Carl and Erin have the answers! Carl examines SPX earnings and compares the...
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Is Everybody Calling and Texting or What?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
Communication Services seem to be in high demand, looking at the price chart for XLC.
After the March crash - or was it "just a dip," with hindsight? - XLC rapidly bounced back with a vengeance. I have annotated the chart above with some horizontal support and resistance...
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Masks Off - Or is That Risk Off?
Tuesday night, we reminisced that, on February 5th, I wrote in a blog, "Although the last couple of days brought back euphoria into the market, with volatility hanging tough, one should be prepared for anything."
That sentiment remains true right now.
With volatility holding recent lows while NASDAQ...
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Unfolding the Onion Layers of Trading Psychology
by Dave Landry,
Founder, Sentive Trading, LLC
In this edition of Trading Simplified, Dave gives a quick market update, then continues sharing the Trading Rules he uses to peel back the onion layers of trading psychology. These including being brutally honest with yourself, being process-oriented and completing postmortems of your trades.
This video was originally broadcast on...
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STOCKS HAVE ANOTHER STRONG DAY -- S&P 500 NEARS TEST OF 200-DAY AVERAGE -- ALL ELEVEN SECTORS ARE GAINING -- SMALLER STOCKS SHOW STRONG GAINS
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
STOCKS CONTINUE RALLY MODE... Stock prices are trading sharply higher again today. Chart 1 shows the Nasdaq Composite Index ($COMPQ) trading at a three month high. Chart 2 shows the S&P 500 nearing a test of its 200-day moving average. Chart 3 shows the Dow Industrials nearing a...
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Stocks In This Group are Showing Bullish Momentum After Reporting Surprising Strength
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
While the fallout from COVID-19 is hitting home builders hard, analysts feel they could come out of this crisis less damaged than other industries.
On Tuesday, the Commerce Department reported that construction on new homes fell 30% in April as the sudden collapse in the economy weighed heavily. With unemployment...
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Moderna and Volatility Index Flashing a Warning
A warning does not necessarily have to become a full-blown sign to head for the exits. But it is, nevertheless, a warning.
The last time I saw a warning from VXX or the Volatility ETF, was in February. Granted, on February 5th, the title of my daily was "Volatility&...
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Sector Spotlight: Sector Rotation to Higher BETAs
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of Sector Spotlight, I look at recent rotations in asset classes and sectors. Next, I present updated BETA values for sectors and compare cap-weighted vs equal-weight values. Finally, I then finish up the show with a pair trade review.
This video was originally broadcast on May 19th,...
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SEMICONDUCTORS LEAD TECH SECTOR HIGHER -- CHIPS LEADERS ARE NVIDIA, SKYWORKS, AND INTEL
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
SEMIS LEAD TECH SPDR HIGHER... Technology is the day's strongest sector. Chart 1 shows the Technology Sector SPDR (XLK) rising today to the highest level in nearly three months. It's being led higher by semiconductors . Chart 2 shows the PHLX Semiconductor iShares (SOXX) moving above its...
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Three Key Steps To Becoming A Better Investor Or Trader
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I've coached sports much of my life and there are two key elements to succeeding in athletics: practice and confidence. Raw talent and athleticism don't hurt either, of course. I don't care how good you might think you are, to excel in sports, or...
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Market Indicators: Swear By Them, or Swear At Them?
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
On this special episode of Real Trading with Larry Williams, Larry walks viewers through what he considers to be the best indicators, including technical and fundamental ones alike. Larry discusses their limitations and explains why they have them, then shows you the best ways that you can use them in...
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Stock Market Draft: T Minus One Day And Counting
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
It's the most exciting time of each quarter for EarningsBeats.com and its community members. We're one day away from the equivalent of the NFL Draft for equities. The beauty of our Stock Market Draft, however, is that no one else participates! We can literally select...
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This Aggressive Small Cap Stock Is Up 55% In Last 3 Months; More Upside Coming?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
It's been a very difficult environment for small caps ($SML) and mid caps ($MID) for quite awhile. We should take note of any stocks in these two asset classes that are moving higher because they're doing so completely against the grain. For instance, take a look...
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STOCKS SURGE ON VACCINE OPTIMISM -- MAJOR INDEXES NEAR TEST OF RECENT HIGHS -- SMALL STOCKS SURGE AS WELL -- CONSUMER CYCLICALS CLEAR 200-DAY LINE -- MODERNA SURGES ON VACCINE NEWS
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
STOCKS SURGE ON VACCINE OPTIMISM... A report that a vaccine developed by Moderna is showing positive results helped push stocks sharply higher today. Charts 1 and 2 show the Dow Industrials and S&P 500 gapping higher and in position to test their recent highs. The SPX may also...
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We Have A Raging Bull Market And Suffocating Bear Market Simultaneously; See The Difference
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
One part of the U.S. stock market has been setting new highs and dragging other areas higher with it. Then we have groups reaching the depths of despair with little or no end in sight to their selling and misery. I've honestly never seen anything quite like...
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Anchors Away for this Small-Cap Stock
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
Summer is fast approaching and, with most states still in lockdown, it's expected that physical distancing measures may well but a damper on many people's plans.
There's one summer activity that's seen a distinct pickup, however, as those living near water can...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Likely to Continue Exhibiting Bearish Intent; RRG Shows This Sector Topping Out
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The past couple of days performed much along the anticipated lines as the markets, in general, continued to portray a bearish undertone and ended the weak on a negative note. After halting the pullback, the NIFTY has formed a lower top near 9900 levels and continued its slide, confirming the...
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