Market Recap for Monday, August 26, 2019 All eleven sectors advanced on Monday as U.S. equities staged a rally following Friday's selloff. It wasn't overly impressive in my view as most of the gains came at the opening bell. There wasn't much follow... READ MORE
There's nothing quite like a warm pumpkin spice latte (or a cold brew with a bucket of wings) to help ward off the anxiety of investing in the current markets. With August shaping up to be the most volatile month of the year, I'm gonna wager... READ MORE
The pickings are getting slim as the broader market destabilizes. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 remain above their 200-day SMAs, but the S&P Mid-Cap 400 and Russell 2000 are below these key moving averages. The Consumer Discretionary SPDR (_XLY), Communication Services SPDR (_XLC) and Consumer... READ MORE
Rumour has it that a new show will be launching soon on StockCharts TV. The focus for this weekly 30-minute adventure will be on sectors, with yours truly as the host/presenter for this program (so you can count on a healthy dose of RRG-related content). Don't worry,... READ MORE
Market Recap for Friday, August 23, 2019 Friday was another trade war disaster. It's almost as if we're getting numb to it. Dow Jones down 600. Ho-hum. Technically, there wasn't even a short-term violation as the S&P 500 simply moved back down... READ MORE
Stocks were hit hard in early August with SPY and QQQ falling six to seven percent in six days. These declines started from new highs in late July, which is when these prizefighters were at peak performance. The sharpness of the declines is like a prizefighter getting blindsided and knocked... READ MORE
The past week generally went along the anticipated lines. The broader structure of the markets continued to be weak; it faced severe volatility during the past trading days and faced heavy selling pressure at higher levels. After a thoroughly volatile week, the headline index ended with a net loss of... READ MORE
Editor's Note: This article was originally published in Martin Pring's Market Roundup on Wednesday, August 21st at 9:36pm ET. During my many decades in this business, I have never heard of a recession so well-advertised as the one we are witnessing currently. It's... READ MORE
Last week, Mary Ellen McGonagle and I had the pleasure of speaking at The Money Show as part of the "Women on Wealth" panel, where we discussed how we can bring women to the "investment table" through education, engagement and empowerment. The presentation was unexpectedly powerful... READ MORE
Recently, Tom Bowley announced to the StockChartscommunity that he will soon bereturning to his "roots"atEarningsBeats.com. When Tom first approached me with the idea, I let out a big "Woohoo!". In all seriousness, it was a joyful day for me, as Tom and I go... READ MORE
The oft-referenced "yield curve" refers to the relationship between the yield of the 10-Year T-Bond and the 2-Year T-Bond. Logically, the longer-term instrument should have the higher yield, but this week the 2-Year yield popped slightly above the 10-Year yield on a few occasions intraday. As could be... READ MORE
A personal secret: investing with metaphors has always enlightened and disciplined me, helping me grow as an individual investor. One of the most fertile areas for applying this axiom has been car collecting since, much like investing, it's never black and white. The reality is that both are... READ MORE
The 20+ YR T-Bond ETF (TLT) and Gold SPDR (GLD) are on a tear, but they are getting stretched by one key metric and could be ripe for a corrective period. There are numerous ways to measure overbought (extended) conditions. Indicators like RSI (above 70) and the Stochastic Oscillator (above... READ MORE
Any time I have a chance to interview other market strategists, I like to ask them about their One Chart. That is, "What's the one chart that you think is the best tell on the markets right now." To rephrase, if you could only have one... READ MORE
The performance for the S&P 500, S&P Mid-Cap 400 and S&P Small-Cap 600 over the last 3, 6, 9 and 12 months pretty much says it all. The S&P 500 is positive on all four timeframes, the S&P Small-Cap 600... READ MORE
Market Recap for Thursday, August 22, 2019 U.S. equities began Thursday on mostly a positive note, but reservations from Fed officials and a manufacturing report that showed weakness weighed on sentiment as stocks gave back earlier gains, finishing mixed. The Dow Jones was able to end the session in... READ MORE
As noted in a separate commentary, the State of the Stock Market is shaky. The Technology sector is holding up, but we are seeing weakness within Finance, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials and Communication Services. The Technology sector is the biggest sector in the S&P 500 SPDR (22%) and EW... READ MORE
Market Recap for Wednesday, August 21, 2019 It was a big day for broadline retail ($DJUSRB, +1.91%) and home improvement ($DJUSHI, +3.68%) as strong earnings from Target (TGT, +20.43%) and Lowes Companies (LOW, +10.35%), respectively, sent both groups higher, along with the overall market. All of... READ MORE
Yesterday, I wrote about the Technology sector in my RRG Charts blog, where I discussed how the semiconductor stocks as a group showed relative strength against XLK. For this DITC article, I want to work off that subset of stocks in the technology space. The Relative Rotation Graph above shows... READ MORE
* Trick or Treat for Global Equities? * Several Reliable US Short-Term Indicators Turning Bullish During my many decades in this business, I have never heard of a recession so well-advertised as the one we are witnessing currently. It's a fact that financial market events that are widely expected rarely... READ MORE
The market continues to churn and consolidate sideways this week. The good news is that our indicators are starting to perk up. As of last Friday, the Dow generated a new IT Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) SELL signal. Basically, the weekly PMO dropped below its signal on Friday. Amazingly, the... READ MORE
Market Recap for Tuesday, August 20, 2019 It was another day of consolidation for U.S. equities. That's not a bad thing. Let's establish a base, allowing the weak hands to get out before the next push higher. If we break those recent lows, we'... READ MORE
On the weekly Relative Rotation Graph, the Technology sector is currently inside the weakening quadrant, but is moving almost vertically up towards the leading quadrant. That is to say, it's moving back to the leading quadrant, as it already completed a strong rotation through that leading quadrant from... READ MORE
Taking a top-down approach to the stock market, we can break down the major indexes into sectors, the sectors into industry groups and the industry groups into individual stocks. There are eleven sector SPDRs and three clear leaders. The Utilities SPDR (XLU) and Real Estate SPDR (XLRE) hit new highs... READ MORE
Market Recap for Monday, August 19, 2019 The S&P 500 rallied for a third consecutive day, this time rising 1.21% and closing back above its 20 day EMA for the first time in August. The other major indices also rallied, including leadership from the NASDAQ and Russell... READ MORE
Volatility is clearly on the uptick with the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) moving more than 1% nine times since July 31st. This follows a period from early June to late July when the 1-day Rate-of-Change exceeded 1% just once, and the market moved steadily higher. Ah, the good... READ MORE
Some stocks fit nicely into sectors and industry groups. And some don't. Cerner (CERN) is part of the Health Care SPDR (XLV), but it is really a technology stock that serves the healthcare industry. Namely, Cerner provides information technology solutions for the healthcare industry. More importantly, the price... READ MORE
Special Event Today Every quarter, I announce my Top 10 Stocks (equally-weighted) for my Model, Aggressive and Income portfolios. Today's the day! It all starts at 4:30pm EST. CLICK HERE for portfolio performance and registration information. Market Recap for Friday, August 16, 2019 Industrials (XLI, +1.93%... READ MORE
* Yield Curve Inversion and Recessions * Using the Economy to Forecast the Economy * What Happens to the Stock Market after an Initial Inversion? * Yield Curve Conclusion * Catch a Falling Knife, Anyone? By now, everyone and his dog is aware that the yield curve has inverted. An event such as this is... READ MORE
Monday will mark the end of my third quarter of performance for the Model Portfolio. I've easily surpassed the benchmark S&P 500 in each quarter and this last quarter was certainly no exception. The average return of the 10 equal-weighted stocks in this portfolio was 12.... READ MORE
With a 3-day working week, the markets moved along expected lines and stayed within a limited range. As anticipated, the NIFTY did not make any directional move, remaining within the 50-Week MA and 100-Week MA (as mentioned in our previous weekly note). After flirting with the 50-Week MA, which stands... READ MORE
The volatility in the markets remains as investors continue to grapple with the latest global headline. With defensive areas of the market generally posting positive results, other areas are struggling to regain their footing following sharp selloffs. Overall, cautiousness is still warranted, as the broader Indexes remain below key levels... READ MORE
Stocks rebounded on Friday with small-caps leading the way. The Russell 2000 surged 2.19%, while the S&P 500 advanced 1.44% and the Nasdaq 100 gained 1.59%. Despite these sizable rebounds, all three were down for the week and still down between 4.5% and 5.... READ MORE
On the last trading day of July the market (SPY) resolved a rising wedge pattern with the expected breakdown, and that began what has turned out to be a very turbulent August. (Note how the volume for almost every day has exceeded the one-year average.) After an initial decline of... READ MORE
Editor's Note: This article was originally published in John Murphy's Market Message on Thursday, August 15th at 3:47pm ET. Everyone's talking about inverted yield curves. The 10 year - 3 month yield curve turned negative a few months ago. The 10 year -... READ MORE
Relative Rotation Graphs, or "RRGs", were born while I was working as a sell-side analyst for an investment bank in Amsterdam, doing research and making calls on stocks and sectors. The clientele of the bank were all institutional investors, ranging from pension funds and endowments to hedge funds.... READ MORE
Wow, it's been a great ride here at StockCharts.com! I posted essentially this same article in my Trading Places blog a week ago, but I'm not sure how many of you follow me there. I want to make sure I reach out to everyone who... READ MORE
Sector Breadth Model Takes another Hit Today I will rank and analyze the charts for the eleven sector SPDRs, but I will first cover the sector breadth table, which reflects the internal strength/weakness within each sector. Sometimes there is a discrepancy between the sector SPDR chart and the breadth... READ MORE
Market Recap for Thursday, August 15, 2019 There were a ton of economic reports out on Thursday, mostly positive, and that seemed to slow the onslaught of selling as our major indices finished mixed on the session. Walmart, Inc. (WMT, +6.11%) surged following better-than-expected earnings to lift the Dow... READ MORE
DEFLATIONARY COMMODITY TREND... My earlier message today showed that bond yields and stocks have been trending in the same direction for most of the last two decades. It further explained that deflationary tendencies around the start of the new century changed the bond-stock relationship that existed prior to that. Plunging... READ MORE