Market Recap for Thursday, May 30, 2019 Dollar General (DG, +7.16%) and Dollar Tree (DLTR, +3.14%) provided a lift to consumer discretionary stocks (XLY, +0.65%) after releasing their latest quarterly results, but PVH Corp (PVH, -14.87%) tumbled, further compromising an already-weak clothing & accessories group ($DJUSCF,... READ MORE
* Oversold and at the 200-day. * Pennant Evolves into Wedge. * SOXX and Semis Hit Support. * A Correction within Uptrend for PALL. ... Oversold and at the 200-day ... The S&P 500 and S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) are at interesting junctures because both are oversold and both are at their... READ MORE
Market Recap for Wednesday, May 29, 2019 Trade and growth concerns, along with slumping crude oil prices ($WTIC), were mostly responsible for another bad day on Wall Street. There was across-the-board selling as all of our major indices fell from 0.69% (S&P 500) to 0.94% (Russell... READ MORE
It seems I did not have to look very far to find today's DITC entry... The S&P 500 ($SPX) provides enough ammunition to get excited - or maybe worried is a better word - and not ignore the price action that is unfolding at the moment.... READ MORE
Looking at the Relative Rotation Graph showing the sectors of the S&P 500, we can see that the tail on the Financials sector stands out, having seen a big increase since last Friday. Over the last 12-13 weeks, Financials rotated from the lagging into weakening quadrant, then moved... READ MORE
* Flight to Safety Leaves Stocks Behind * S&P vs. Gold is Another Measure of Confidence That’s Deteriorating * High-Quality Bonds Like Deteriorating Confidence * A Rising Gold/Commodity Ratio is Actually Bearish for Commodities Flight to Safety Leaves Stocks Behind Last week, I wrote that it was nail-biting time for... READ MORE
I was somewhat surprised that the SPX, NDX and OEX did not lose their IT Trend Model BUY signals today. However, I would look for those signal changes tomorrow after the close. In order to avoid these Neutral signals, price would need to climb above the 50-EMA. As you can... READ MORE
TEN-YEAR TREASURY YIELD MAY BE HEADING TO 2%... The surprising drop in global bond yields is continuing. The weekly bars in Chart 1 shows the 10-Year Treasury Yield falling today to 2.22% which is the lowest level since September 2017. The weekly bars in Chart 1 show the next... READ MORE
Market Recap for Tuesday, May 28, 2019 U.S. stocks jumped at the open, but then ran into sellers throughout the session. After gapping down at the open on Thursday, it's been difficult for the S&P 500 to clear the low 2840s and yesterday's... READ MORE
Cardiovascular Systems (CSII) shows bullish price action with signs of accumulation that could lead to higher prices. First and foremost, the long-term trend is up because CSII recorded a new high in early March and is above the 200-day SMA. The 50-day SMA (green) is also above the 200-day SMA... READ MORE
* Walking Down the Lower Band. * Swings are Getting Bigger. * Selling Pressure Expands to Defensive Sectors. * Bearish Breadth Thrust for XLP and XLV. * On Trend on Youtube. ...Walking Down the Lower Band ...Even though the weight of the evidence has yet to turn bearish for the S&P 500, the... READ MORE
In early May (see my 5/2 MarketWatchers LIVE appearance) it seemed that a hint of smoke was noticeable at the tippy top of the market rally. We looked at the attributes of Distribution that were evident in the smaller intraday time frames. During the May 10th Power Charting episode,... READ MORE
Market Recap for Friday, May 24, 2019 Before I summarize Friday's numbers, let me first say that the S&P 500 closed near a two-month low while the Volatility Index ($VIX) has been falling as well. I find this to be a very bullish development as nervousness... READ MORE
The Indian equity markets finished one their most eventful weeks as they faced the general election results. Though the move remained much on expected lines, the timing got little awry as the market finished the bulk of its reaction by rising after the exit polls rather than waiting for the... READ MORE
We’re in a difficult period with the markets at the moment, as uncertainty surrounding U.S.- China trade talks is weighing heavily on stocks. With both sides throwing barbs and a resumption of talks not due until later this month, the pressure on the markets may very likely... READ MORE
When the 50EMA crosses up through the 200EMA, it is commonly known as a "Golden Cross," because it signals the potential for a long-term bullish outcome. For the sake of consistency, in DecisionPoint parlance we refer to the 50/200EMA relationship as the Long-Term Trend Model (LTTM), which... READ MORE
There are no perfect signals that scream "GET OUT" of equities, but there are warning signs.....so long as you know where to find them. Most market participants believe in the random walk theory, which suggests that changes in stock prices have the same distribution and are independent... READ MORE
Editor's Note: This article was originally published in Martin Pring's Market Roundup on Friday, May 24th at 4:42pm ET. This week has seen many interest rate series, both in the US and around the world, breaking down from important trading ranges or reaffirming previous breaks.... READ MORE
* Current Trend of Declining Rates Seen as Part of a Large Base * Downside Breakouts in Yields are Worldwide in Scope * US Short-Rates Look Vulnerable as Well * 30-Year Yield Completes a Top * Stocks and Commodities versus Bonds Current Trend of Declining Rates Seen as Part of a Large Base This week... READ MORE
About a month ago, I wrote an article for ChartWatchers titled “Five Trendlines You Should Be Watching.” The general idea was that, as long as those five trend lines held, then the market was still most likely in a very constructive phase. Revisiting those trend lines here will show that... READ MORE
Relative Rotation Graphs can help to identify threats and opportunities within groups of securities. In this article, I will be looking at the position and rotation of the Communication Services Sector against the S&P 500 and other sectors, followed by a closer look at the rotation of various... READ MORE
HEALTHCARE IS GETTING BETTER ... While a lot of attention is being given to stock market swings over the last month, and recent selling in everything related to tariffs and global trade, one group has been quietly getting stronger. And that's healthcare. Healthcare remains this year's weakest... READ MORE
* Retail, Banks, Semis and Oil. * S&P 500 Corrects with Bigger Uptrend. * Index Breadth Table Remains Net Bullish. * AD Percent Down Days Weigh in May. * Small-caps Lead the Way Lower. * Charts to Measure Risk On/Off. * Sector Shift in May. * Sector Breadth Table Remains Bullish. * Healthcare ETFs Hold Up... READ MORE
Market Recap for Thursday, May 23, 2019 Energy (XLE, -3.35%) has been a relative laggard for the past 8 years, mostly due to a rising U.S. Dollar Index ($USD). The group took another big blow yesterday as crude oil prices ($WTIC, -5.71%) tumbled and had its worst... READ MORE
TRADE TENSIONS CONTINUE TO WEIGH ON STOCKS... Stocks are under heavy selling pressure today. Energy stocks are leading the market lower with a drop of more than -3%, while oil is dropping nearly twice as much. Technology, industrials, and financials are down -2% or more. As has been the case... READ MORE
Market Recap for Wednesday, May 22, 2019 Our major indices finished with losses on Wednesday, despite strength in defensive sectors. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones held up best, falling just 0.28% and 0.39%, respectively. The primary reason is that more defensive stocks are represented on... READ MORE
Yesterday, I wrote about the relationship of US stocks against other international stock markets in my regular RRG Charts article. The Relative Rotation Graph that I use for these analyses is one of the pre-defined groups and is shown above. While working on that article, I noted the long tail... READ MORE
No changes on the DecisionPoint Scoreboards. The short-term is still weak; our short-term Swenlin Trading Oscillators turned down this week after barely reaching positive territory. TLT rallied further but was unable to push past strong resistance at the March high. The DP Mid-Week Review presents a mid-week assessment of the... READ MORE
DOW TRANSPORTS FALL BACK BELOW 200-DAY LINE... Transportation stocks are one of the weakest parts of the market today. Chart 1 shows the Dow Jones Transportation Average now trading below its 50- and 200-day moving averages. Not surprisingly, tranports are also showing relative weakness. The blue line in Chart 1... READ MORE
Stock markets around the world are giving mixed signals. Returns over the last 5 weeks have varied from +4% in Australia to -10% in China. The Relative Rotation Graph above shows the relative trends that are currently in play among the various international stock market indexes. For a pure, and... READ MORE
Discipline is the Key! You should look up the definition for both the noun and the verb. Over the years I've stressed the importance of having discipline in any investment strategy, and that is certainly still the case. A couple of years ago, when the market was in... READ MORE
Market Recap for Tuesday, May 21, 2019 The U.S. stock market rebounded on Tuesday after a 90 day temporary license was granted by the U.S. Department of Commerce to Huawei, a Chinese multinational telecommunications equipment company. Technology stocks (XLK, +1.23%) were a primary beneficiary of this action... READ MORE
An existing uptrend and short-term breakout on high volume point to higher prices for Boston Scientific. The chart below show BSX hitting a new high in early March and then falling rather sharply into mid April. A volume spike punctuates the plunge below 35 and this looks like a selling... READ MORE
* Top or Consolidation for Equities? * Agricultural Commodities Perking Up Following a Severe Sell-Off * Grains Fully Supporting Price Action in the DBA Top or Consolidation for Equities? The S&P, like the other market averages, has been in a trading range since March. We will have to see how it... READ MORE
Market Recap for Monday, May 20, 2019 Monday marked another rough May trading day, especially for the NASDAQ, which dropped 1.46%. The other major indices fell, but to a much lesser extent. Technology (XLK, -1.74%) and communication services (XLC, -1.65%) were hardest hit as weakness in semiconductors... READ MORE
Ross Stores (ROST) recently bounced off its rising 200-day SMA with a bullish candlestick pattern and short-term RSI broke to its highest level of the month. It looks like the short-term pullback is ending and the bigger uptrend is resuming. ROST plunged in November-December with a sharp decline below the... READ MORE
Market Recap for Friday, May 17, 2019 Friday offered up a mixed bag. Our major indices were either higher or near the flat line with an hour left in the trading day. Then more discussion surfaced that US-China trade talks had stalled. That sent U.S. equities spiraling lower, especially... READ MORE
The Indian equity markets witnessed one of their most volatile weeks in the recent past, oscillating back and forth in a relatively wider range before ending the week with a modest gain. After facing downward pressure in the initial days of the week, the NIFTY saw itself turning positive on... READ MORE
If you watch MarketWatchers LIVE regularly, you've probably heard about my new scan. I've found, especially when the market has a bearish bias, that my original Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) scan wasn't producing any results. I consider this a caution flag before I get... READ MORE
I've begun writing my own obituary. No worries. I don’t have any incurable health issues to be concerned about. It's simply an exercise that I believe will have value and will be beneficial to my investment efforts. The catalyst for this rather unusual undertaking was... READ MORE