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Recession Fears Top of Mind As Tech Stocks Selloff
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Weak manufacturing and jobs data sends investors into panic mode
* All broader stock market indexes fall over 2%
* Bond prices rise
The dog days of summer are here. And the stock market gives us a brutal reminder of this.
The first trading day of August began on a...
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It's Been a Long Time Mr Bear, Where Have You Been?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Some real damage for the markets
* Equal weight sector rotation paints a more realistic picture
* The BIG ROTATION into small caps has come to a halt
And then ..... all of a sudden..... things are heating up. Lots of (downside) market action in the past week.
Let's...
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This Breadth Indicator Points to More Downside and a Potential Opportunity
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Most stocks follow their underlying index or group.
* Oversold conditions in long-term uptrends are opportunities.
* Stocks can remain oversold so wait for an upward catalyst.
The broad market and the group are big drivers for stock performance. Recently, the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) led the market lower with...
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Small Caps Poised to Soar: Is Now the Time To Buy IWM?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Small caps saw an impressive surge in July, outpacing the S&P 500 in that month alone.
* IWM, a Russelll 2000 proxy, is only 8% away from its all-time highs, potentially signaling the start of a new bull market.
* As IWM pulls back (along with the rest...
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Unbelievable! The Fed Creating Its Own Nightmare And We're The Puppets
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
This Fed has got to go. It's time. You've overstayed your welcome, Fed Chief Powell. I literally was just shaking my head after reading the changes to the Fed's policy statement. The changes were in the first two paragraphs, so let me jump right...
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Bonds To Get Beat Up? | Focus on Stocks: August 2024
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
It looks to me like it's time for the bond market to take a breather, if not have a pullback from now into late October.
We can sum it up with the cycle projections from Chart 1. I have highlighted, in red, the down leg of the 450-day...
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Semiconductors Are Down: Is Now the Time to Buy SMH?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* SMH has completed 100% of a measured move from the bottom of a double-top reversal.
* SMH has broken below several key levels based on various indicators.
* There are actionable levels in the SMH chart that traders can take advantage of if they materialize.
Nvidia (NVDA) was perhaps the...
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Big Tech Earnings, Fed Meeting, Jobs Report: Will They Add More Pressure to the Stock Market?
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Investor sentiment has turned more bearish with a continuation of a selloff in big tech stocks.
* More earnings, an FOMC meeting, and jobs report are adding to investor uncertainty.
* Keep an eye on bond prices as the data starts to unravel.
Last week, there was a noticeable change...
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S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF Gains Strength
by Bruce Fraser,
Industry-leading "Wyckoffian"
The S&P 500 index ($SPX) is a capitalization-weighted stock index. Many lesser capitalization blue-chip stocks that compose these 500 companies have been performance laggards. Though smaller companies in the index, these corporations are among the bluest of the blue-chip stocks. These prestigious corporations have been overshadowed by the...
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Is the Bond Market About To Make a Big Move?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
The bond market experienced a secular bear between 1981 and the spring of 2020. Chart 1 offers three reasons why it has since reversed and given way to a secular uptrend or possibly multi-year trading range.
The first piece of evidence comes from violating the multi-decade trendline. Second, the price...
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DP Trading Room: Spotlight on Mega-Cap Earnings
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
This week we have four Magnificent Seven stocks reporting earnings. We also take a look at McDonalds (MCD) and Ford (F) going into earnings. How are the chart technicals setup on the precipice of earnings? Carl and Erin give you there thoughts.
Carl reviews the DP Signal Tables to see...
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Equities Struggle As More Sectors Try To Keep the Trend Afloat
by Alex Cole,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
Good morning, and welcome to this week's Flight Path.
Equities had another tough week last week, and we saw an amber "Go Fish" bar for the first time since this latest "Go" trend began. Encouragingly, GoNoGo Trend painted a weak aqua "Go"...
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Will the S&P 500 Break 5000 by September?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
This week saw the major equity averages continue a confirmed pullback phase, with some of the biggest gainers in the first half of 2024 logging some major losses. Is this one of the most buyable dips of the year? Or is this just the beginning of a protracted decline with...
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Recovery Rally In Stock Market Offers Hope: What You Need To Watch
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* After two days of massive selloffs, Friday's recovery offers some hope.
* Investors await earnings from mega-cap tech companies, economic data, and Fed meeting.
* Small caps continue to trend higher.
Major equity indexes rose on Friday after a selloff that hit the Technology sector especially hard. But...
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Flying Financials. Will It Be Enough?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Strong Sector Rotation Out Of Technology
* Financials and Real Estate Lead
* Stock/Bond Ratio Triggers Sell Signal
Flying Financials
In the recent sector rotation, basically OUT of technology and INTO anything else, Financials and Real-Estate led the relative move.
On the RRG above, I have highlighted the (daily)...
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New Highs Coming or Will We Collapse? What Say You, Fed Chief Powell?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
This will be one of the most interesting quarters in recent memory. The Fed has got to choose its poison. Do they stand pat once again next week, leaving rates "higher for longer" and awaiting more data? Or do they finally take the step that just about everyone...
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Nvidia Breaks the 50-day SMA: Is This a Threat or an Opportunity?
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The long-term trend provides perspective and sets the trading bias.
* The bias is bullish during long-term uptrends.
* Breaks below the 50-day SMA are viewed a opportunities, not threats.
After a big run this year, Nvidia (NVDA) fell over 15% from its high and broke its 50-day simple moving...
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Missed the Gilead Surge? Here's What You Need to Know About the Big Move
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* In June, Gilead Sciences saw a dramatic surge as positive results of a late-stage trial of its HIV drug had Wall Street buzzing.
* GILD was a "sentiment trade" that spiked too quickly for most technical and fundamental indicators to make heads or tails of the move....
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After the Tech Bloodbath: Ways to Strategize Your Portfolio
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Tech stocks took a dive on Wednesday but look like they are making up some of those losses prior to hitting the next support level.
* Expect volatility in the stock market in the coming weeks since it's earnings season and there's a Fed meeting...
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S&P 500 Breaks Key Trendline as Growth Stocks Plunge
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave previews earnings releases from TSLA and GOOGL, breaks down key levels to watch for SPOT, GE, and more, and analyzes the discrepancy between S&P 500 and Nasdaq breadth indicators.
See Dave's MarketCarpet featuring the Vanilla...
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1-2-3 Reversal Pattern: What It Is and How to Use It
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe explains the 1-2-3 reversal pattern, its criteria, and what it will take for QQQ to complete the pattern. He also discusses how the pattern is not always as clean as we would like. Joe then shares a few Crypto markets which are starting...
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Small Caps Surge, Markets React to TSLA & GOOGL Earnings
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave previews earnings releases from TSLA and GOOGL, breaks down key levels to watch for SPOT, GE, and more, and analyzes the discrepancy between S&P 500 and Nasdaq breadth indicators.
This video originally premiered on July 23, 2024....
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CrowdStrike's Epic Fail: Here are the Critical Trading Levels to Watch Now!
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Following the CrowdStrike debacle, the stock is as much a technical trade as it is a news-driven trade
* Crowdstrike's stock price has entered a potential buying zone, but potential lawsuits may be a headwind
* Crowdstrike could be a buying opportunity but watch momentum, buying levels, and...
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Can Small and Mid-Caps Save the Market?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius takes a look at the markets through the lens of the "market factors" panel you can find on your StockCharts dashboard. Starting from the RRG, he then moves to the individual charts for these factors and notes a low correlation for...
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Have We Bottomed? Here Are 3 Charts To Watch
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Tops and bottoms are so much fun to predict, but key signals are not always accurate. That's where a healthy dose of skepticism comes in. At EarningsBeats.com, we try to put as many signals together as possible, looking for corroboration. That helps to build confidence in the...
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The Stock Market is Bracing for Earnings IMPACT!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down today's upside recovery day for stocks, then shares the charts of TSLA, NVDA, and more. He also illustrates the conflicting messages from AAII and NAAIM sentiment surveys, and also highlights the VIX testing the key...
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DP Trading Room: Behind the Scenes: CrowdStrike (CRWD)
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Friday was a bad day for CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) as a bug was pushed out that disrupted Windows machines worldwide. The trouble for CRWD is the follow-up lawsuits etc that will likely plague the stock for some time to come. You'll be shocked to see the warning signs...
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FINANCIALS BEGIN TO OUTPERFORM AS EQUITY "GO" TREND WEAKENS
by Alex Cole,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
Good morning and welcome to this week's Flight Path. We saw a lot of weakness this week but so far the "Go" trend has held in U.S. equities. GoNoGo Trend has reflected the weakness with a couple of aqua "Go" bars late in...
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Time for a Pause That Refreshes Stocks and Gold?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Most weekends, I run through a chart list featuring weekly bars and candlesticks of bonds, stocks and commodities to see if any one or two bar patterns or candlestick formations have developed. Last week produced a crop of bearish messages from the major averages and some sectors. Before you rush...
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CrowdStrike: Did On-Balance Volume See the "Largest IT Outage In History" Coming?
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
Friday's CrowdStrike software disaster has been described as "the largest IT outage in history," and it brought home just how vulnerable the planet is to itty-bitty coding errors. We were busy publishing the DecisionPoint ALERT Weekly Wrap, so I didn't have a chance to...
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Is It Game Over for Growth Stocks?
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen examines which areas of the market have moved into favor amid the S&P 500 pullback. She compares value vs. growth stocks and the merits of both, and highlights the move away from technology stocks. Which areas are poised for more downside?...
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Important Market Breadth Indicators to Watch: Making Sense of Three Consecutive Down Days
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Three consecutive declining days in the stock market increases risk appetite
* Semiconductors were the catalyst for the selloff and trading below two support levels
* Keep an eye on market breadth indicators to get indications of whether the stock market is correcting or if the selloff will be longer-term...
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Hindenburg Omen: The Truth, Effects, and Duration
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers viewer questions on the best time frames for viewing charts, insights on using Vanguard ETFs for sector rotation, the duration and effect of the Hindenburg Omen indicator, how stocks are indexed in Dow Jones Groups on StockCharts, and...
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What Does a Market Top Look Like?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
The S&P 500 remains in a primary uptrend, as confirmed by a fairly consistent pattern of higher highs and higher lows. But what would confirm that a top is in place for our major equity benchmarks? To answer that, it may be helpful to review other charts that...
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Small-caps Break Out and Lead - Now What?
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* IJR broke out and a strong breakout should hold.
* Broken resistance turns first support.
* Small-caps are prone to extended trading ranges.
Small-caps took the lead over the last two weeks with the S&P SmallCap 600 SPDR (IJR) surging over 10% in five days and hitting a...
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VIX SPIKES! Is a Market Correction Coming?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shares a market update including key levels to watch for the S&P 500 index, what a VIX above 15 means for a possible market correction, the improvement in value-oriented sectors, and why DPZ may be the world&...
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Double Top on Semiconductors (SMH)
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
(This is an excerpt from the subscriber-only DecisionPoint Alert)
We noticed a double top on the Semiconductor industry group (SMH) that looks very much like the NVIDIA (NVDA) chart. NVDA is clearly the bellwether for the group, and it appears all of the Semiconductors are feeling the pain. The downside...
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Will This Sector Rotation Be the Start of Something Bigger?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Technology is rotating out of favor
* Market Capitalization is a two-edged sword
* Negative divergences on Technology and S&P 500 charts are executing
Strong Rotations on Daily RRG
This daily RRG shows the sector rotation over the last five days. With only one more trading day to...
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Why Homebuilder Stocks are on Fire Right Now!
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Homebuilder stocks are rallying on hopes of at least one (if not three) interest rate cuts in 2024
* The SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF broke out above a short-term downward trend
* Though much depends on the interest rate environment, the charts of individual homebuilder stocks show support...
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Election Year Patterns | Larry's "Family Gathering" July 18, 2024 Recording
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
What stocks right now does Larry have his eye on? Which ones is he saying "see you later... for now"? And which ones does he not like very much at all?
In this month's Family Gathering video, Larry presents an in-depth discussion on the patterns we...
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