Market Recap for Monday, March 5, 2018 The Dow Jones surged on Monday, gaining 337 points (+1.37%) to lead all of our major indices higher. Two stalwarts - Caterpillar (CAT, +3.24%) and Boeing (BA, +2.34%) - were the leaders, but we saw 29 of the 30 Dow... READ MORE
* SPY Continues to Meander. * Sector Performance Remains Mixed. * Seven Industry Group ETFs Stand Out. * Regional Bank SPDR Forms Continuation Pattern. * QQQ, Top Stocks and the 50-day SMAs. * Leading Stocks with Bullish Charts. SPY Continues to Meander The S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) got a nice oversold bounce the last... READ MORE
* Two bullish piercing white lines * A sector spread that predicts new stock market highs * Two sectors affected by the proposed tariffs Last week I wrote that the indicators seemed to be calling for a test of the early February low. My expectation was for a sharper and more prolonged decline... READ MORE
S&P 500 BOUNCES OFF 100-DAY AVERAGE... Last Friday's midday message showed the S&P 500 testing chart support near 2640 and in a short-term oversold condition (black line). After rallying off that support level on Friday afternoon, stocks built on those gains today. The daily... READ MORE
Electronic Arts (EA) is one of the leading stocks in a strong video game industry group. Note that Activision (ATVI), one of its main competitors, hit a 52-week high in late January and is challenging this high here in early March. Take-Two (TTWO) is the weakest of the big three,... READ MORE
Market Recap for Friday, March 2, 2018 The Dow Jones finished with a 71 point loss on Friday, thanks in part to another very weak performance by McDonalds (MCD). Apparently, their $1, $2, $3 menu is falling short of expectations and it's clearly reflected in recent price action.... READ MORE
In last Thursday’s MarketWatchers LIVE (recording available here) we discussed the Wyckoff Distribution concept of the Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD). Distribution and Accumulation adhere to a logical path or sequence of price and volume. During Distribution the Composite Operator (C.O.) has determined the area of price where they... READ MORE
Editor's Note: This article was originally published in John Murphy's Market Message on Friday, March 2nd at 12:26pm ET Wednesday's message showed the PowerShares QQQ (representing the Nasdaq 100 Index) pulling back from overhead resistance at its late January peak. That suggested profit-taking... READ MORE
I did a review of the monthly charts Wednesday and noticed a bearish bias. Today three new Intermediate-Term Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) SELL signals arrived. The weekly PMOs crossed below their signal lines which triggered these signals. Weekly charts are presenting bearish characteristics. After looking at all three of these... READ MORE
THE Question Is this a correction within a bull market or is it the beginning of a bear market? That is THE question that everyone is debating and hoping to answer correctly. There's no crystal ball to know for sure the correct answer. However, the market does provide... READ MORE
The principle of confirmation is important to the application of Dow Theory. This principle asserts that the Averages, Dow Industrials and Dow Transports, should confirm each other when making new highs. In other words, both should make new highs to affirm the broad market trend. Failure by one results in... READ MORE
At last Friday's close we were faced with SPY pushing at the top of a bullish flag formation (not annotated). On Monday there was a strong breakout that proved to be a fakeout. On Tuesday price topped and fell back to the top of the flag, and at... READ MORE
Most analysts would agree that overall, 2017 Q4 earnings were superb. For quite a while we saw one company after another beat earnings expectations and they were rewarded for those results as well. But recently, as the market has come under fire, responses to many earnings reports have been brutal.... READ MORE
p.p1 {margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font: 14.0px Helvetica; color: #000000; -webkit-text-stroke: #000000} span.s1 {font-kerning: none} span.s2 {text-decoration: underline ; font-kerning: none; color: #0000ff; -webkit-text-stroke: 0px #0000ff} I confess!I’m messing with you a bit with respect to Action Practice #24. On... READ MORE
POWERSHARES QQQ IS TESTING 50-DAY AVERAGE ... Wednesday's message showed the PowerShares QQQ (representing the Nasdaq 100 Index) pulling back from overhead resistance at its late January peak. That suggested profit-taking in the technology-dominated QQQ and the rest of the market. It also suggested a retest of its 50-day... READ MORE
Market Recap for Thursday, March 1, 2018 Any time the Volatility Index ($VIX) rises 13%, it's not going to be a great day on Wall Street. Fear equals selling and selling is exactly what we saw on Thursday. There was a bit of a late day rally, but... READ MORE
* Pullbacks versus Corrections versus Bull Markets. * Objective Uptrend and Subjective Correction. * VIX Moves Back above 20. * Gold Firms at Support Zone. * Legendary Trader Sounds the Alarm. * Trend Followers Know What they Don't Know. * CNBC Interview with Tobias Levkovich. * Notes from the Art's Charts ChartList. Pullbacks, Corrections... READ MORE
Here is the market analysis reviewing the current market outlook. There is a host of information on commodities, bonds and US equities. Market Roundup With Martin Pring 2018-03-01 from StockCharts.com on Vimeo. Chartcon 2018 registration is now open! Registration kicked off today, February 1st! Chartcon 2018! Follow the link... READ MORE
After deep declines today, the DP Scoreboards lost most of their short-term BUY signals. Rising wedges had appeared on the daily charts and today's decline confirmed it. The expectation is a breakdown from the wedge. The NDX is showing the most relative strength as it continues to cling... READ MORE
Market Recap for Wednesday, February 28, 2018 Outside of the final two hours on Wednesday, it was a fairly boring day. We gapped higher at the open, sold off to fill the gap, and then moved back into positive territory.....until the final two hours. Selling returned in a big... READ MORE
* XLK is Near Top of 2018 Range. * XLE is Near Bottom of 2018 Range. * Year-to-date Ranks for Equal-Weight Sectors. * And Then There was One. * EW Consumer Discretionary ETF Underperforms. * Scanning the Major Indexes. * Majority of Stocks are Struggling. * Non-Confirmation Among the Offensive Sectors. XLK is Near Top of 2018 Range.... READ MORE
The market has closed on the final day of February. This means that DecisionPoint monthly indicators have "gone final" which is the perfect time to review those signals and take a long-term view of the markets and the DecisionPoint "Big Four"- $USD, $GOLD, $WTIC &... READ MORE
S&P SMALL AND MIDCAP INDEXES FAIL TEST OF 50-DAY AVERAGE... The pullback in stocks that started yesterday is continuing today. And it's being led down by smaller stocks. Chart 1 shows the S&P 600 Small Cap Index ($SML) falling decisively back its blue 50-day... READ MORE
An inspection of the weekly Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors at the beginning of this week (ending 2 March) reveals that we have: * 3 sectors in leading * 2 sectors in weakening * 4 sectors in lagging * 1 sector in improving Out of these 10 sectors, we have only 2 at... READ MORE
The Consumer Staples SPDR (XLP) is one of the worst performing sectors year-to-date with a loss greater than 8 percent. The sector is also the second weakest in February because it failed to hold its bounce over the last two weeks. The chart shows XLP with its biggest component (P&... READ MORE
Market Recap for Tuesday, February 27, 2018 During a day filled with renewed selling, especially in the final 10 minutes, there were 3 key takeways as far as I'm concerned. First, the short-term uptrend appeared to have been broken at the end of the day as gap, price... READ MORE
* US is breaking out relative to the world * Growth breaks decisively against value * Blue Tuesday US is breaking out relative to the world Chart 1 shows that the ratio between the US stock market, in the form of the S&P Composite ($SPX), and the World Index (ACWI) often... READ MORE
Two items I need to call your attention to. First, the PMOs crossed their signal lines on the SPX and OEX to trigger ST PMO (Price Momentum Oscillator) BUY signals. The Dow's PMO is stubbornly staying below its signal line, but that should disappear tomorrow given it'... READ MORE
TEN-YEAR BOND YIELD IS BACK OVER 2.90% ... After a modest pullback that started last Thursday, bond yields are climbing again today. The daily bars in Chart 1 show the 10-Year Treasury Yield ($TNX) jumping 6 basis points to 2.92% and within striking distance of its four-year high reached... READ MORE
Market Recap for Monday, March 26, 2018 Monday was a very solid day for U.S. equities. All of our major indices roared to higher levels, led by the 400 point gain on the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU). Eight of nine sectors advanced, with only the defensive utilities group... READ MORE
* SPY Leads with First Breakout. * Small Caps and Mid Caps Still Lagging. * Six Sectors and Six Upswings. * Techs and Materials Lead New High List. * The 800-pound Sector in the Market. * Charting the Fab Five (AAPL, GOOGL, FB, AMZN, MSFT). * Retail and Housing Lag. SPY Leads with First Breakout... For the... READ MORE
The DP Scoreboard transformation actually began on Friday when the NDX grabbed a new PMO BUY signal after already logging a ST Trend Model BUY signal. It appears the other indexes are falling in line as their 5-EMAs crossed above 20-EMAs to generate ST Trend Model BUY signals too. When... READ MORE
STOCK INDEXES GAIN MORE GROUND -- QQQ NEARS TEST OF OLD HIGH... U.S. stock indexes continue to gain more ground today and have now regained about three-quarters of their recent correction. Charts 1 and 2 show the Dow Industrials and S&P 500 trading at three-week highs after... READ MORE
Humana (HUM) is part of the HealthCare Providers ETF (IHF) and this group led the market from mid-October to late January with a 20+ percent surge to new highs. The group pulled back in February, but the long-term trend is up and this bodes well for stocks in the group.... READ MORE
Market Recap for Friday, February 23, 2018 After a steady diet of afternoon flops recently, our major indices soared into Friday's close, clearing important overhead resistance in the process. All major indices finished with 1% gains or more, setting the stage for what could be a very solid... READ MORE
I had another article planned but think writing about something that just occurred in the market is a much better learning/teaching experience. Trend following has one issue that will constantly plague the investor and usually at the least expected time, and that is whipsaws. I must admit, I think... READ MORE
It has been a long time since we have explored the intricacies of the Wyckoff Distribution structure. But since 2018 has opened with a Bang, by going straight up in January and then early February’s retracement of the prior month’s advance, it is time to review. The year... READ MORE
Nothing has happened this week to support my belief that we are in a bear market. If the market were in that much trouble, it seems to me that this week it should have headed lower. Instead, it has consolidated and formed a bullish flag formation. If the flag fulfills... READ MORE
TEN-YEAR BOND YIELD IS WEAKENING ... The uptrend in bond yields is starting to weaken. The daily bar in Chart 1 show the 10-Year Treasury yield falling 5 basis points to 2.87%. More importantly, its 14-day RSI line overlaid over the price bars is falling to the lowest level since... READ MORE
Well, I did it again. Yesterday morning, I joined Tom Bowley and Erin Swenlin on MarketWatchers LIVE as part of the weekly "Everything StockCharts" segment, which covers important tips, tricks and other information that all StockCharts users can benefit from. My appearance was a demonstration in style...ChartStyle!... READ MORE