Two important signal changes arrived today that you need to know about. First, the Dow Industrials triggered a new ST PMO BUY signal. Talk about a bifurcated market, the NDX gets a PMO SELL signal yesterday and today the Dow continues its parabolic rise and logs a BUY signal. The... READ MORE
There's a renewed selling effort in U.S. treasuries and that's sending yields soaring. Bullish performance in small caps, transportation stocks (especially railroads), financials, industrials and consumer discretionary are painting a picture of a strengthening economy ahead and the selling of treasuries would certainly support that... READ MORE
ENERGY SHARES REBOUND ... Energy shares are finally showing some bounce. The daily bars in Chart 1 shows the Energy Sector SPDR (XLE) climbing above its 50-day average today. The XLE is bouncing off chart support along its late October low and its 200-day moving average. Those are logical chart points... READ MORE
Market Recap for Wednesday, November 29, 2017 One quick glance at the S&P 500's meager 1 point loss on Wednesday and you might assume that Wall Street meandered through another one of its boring days. But a deeper look will tell you that yesterday was anything... READ MORE
.... One Day does not Ruin the Year .... Drastic Declines are Part of the Uptrend .... Stock Picking Goes in Waves .... Stocks to Watch: ADP, ARRS, FISV, LH .... Playing the Pullback in Healthcare (BIIB, BMY) .... Auto and Restaurant Stocks Join the Upturn .... One Day does not Ruin the Year Tech stocks were... READ MORE
Technology fell apart today as money appeared to be rotating out of technology and into financials which had a brilliant day. The PMO was yanked down below its signal line on the NDX. Yesterday, the PMO was rising and price looked strong. What a difference a day can make. Meanwhile,... READ MORE
S&P RETAIL SPDR BREAKS OUT TO THE UPSIDE... My Monday message showed the S&P Retail SPDR (XRT) attempting an upside breakout above its October high. Chart 1 shows the XRT accomplishing that in pretty decisive fashion over the last two days. In fact, retailers have been... READ MORE
Airline stocks are moving higher again with solid gains across the board over the last two weeks. The PerfChart below shows the performance for the Airline ETF (JETS) and seven other airline stocks since mid November. All are up with Alaska Air (ALK), Southwest (LUV) and COPA Airlines (COPA) sporting... READ MORE
Market Recap for Tuesday, November 28, 2017 It was party day on Wall Street. The bullish environment accelerated into a much faster gear as all nine sectors advanced and the small cap Russell 2000 soared 23 points, or 1.53%, to a fresh new record with its most bullish historical... READ MORE
After today's rallies and big breakouts, it shouldn't surprise anyone that the OEX and SPX finally shed their PMO SELL signals. What is interesting is the Dow's 'laggard' status on triggering a PMO BUY signal. It is the last SELL signal standing.... READ MORE
FINANCIAL SPDR CONTINUES TO BOUNCE OFF 50-DAY AVERAGE... My message from last Wednesday showed the Financial Sector SPDR (XLF) starting to bounce off its 50-day moving average. Chart 1 shows that the XLF continues to find support at its 50-day line. That's an encouraging sign. The gray area... READ MORE
* Oil experiences a major upside breakout * Overstretched energy markets on a short-term basis * Where oil goes commodities in general often follow I recently came across a commitment of traders hedgers chart that shows a record low short position. Now it’s true that since the 1990’s there has been... READ MORE
Market Recap for Monday, November 27, 2017 We saw bifurcated action in the major indices on Monday as the Dow Jones tacked on another 23 points after nearly closing above 23600 for the first time ever. Instead, the bulls had to settle for an all-time intraday high of 23638.92.... READ MORE
.... Lots of Ugly Charts can be Found .... There are also Plenty of Strong Uptrends .... New Highs in the Nasdaq 100 .... Netflix and Cintas Consolidate within Uptrends .... Lilly Turns Up at Key Retracement Zone .... Billy and Bobby Debate Tesla .... Lots of Ugly Charts can be Found Chartists looking for weakness in... READ MORE
I have a few DecisionPoint charts that are "must-see" right now. Anytime I look at my ChartLists and a chart smacks me in the face, I always try to share it. Today during the MarketWatchers LIVE show, two of those charts got me and the third, Carl slid... READ MORE
KLA-Tencor (KLAC), a semiconductor equipment and materials designer and manufacturer, is in a long-term uptrend with large and small bullish continuation patterns working. The chart shows 52-week highs in May and October so the long-term trend is clearly up. The green outline highlights a cup-with-handle forming from June to November.... READ MORE
Periodically I write an article that reviews the past few months of articles. Why on Earth would I do this? Primarily for two reasons. One is that many new readers are involved and often they do not go back and look at the past articles. Two is that my articles... READ MORE
S&P 500 RETAIL SPDR ATTEMPTS UPSIDE BREAKOUT ... Retail stocks may have a strong holiday season after all. Chart 1 shows the S&P 500 Retail SPDR (XRT) trying to clear its early October high near 42. That would put it at the highest level in six months.... READ MORE
Market Recap for Friday, November 24, 2017 Wall Street was only open for half a day on Friday, but that didn't stop the bulls' momentum as all the major indices closed at fresh all-time highs. Amazon.com (AMZN) and a host of semiconductor stocks led the advance... READ MORE
YIELD CURVE FALLS TO LOWEST LEVEL IN A DECADE ... I've been reading a lot about the yield curve falling to the lowest level since 2007 and the potential warning that carries. The green bars in Chart 1 plot the spread between 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields (the yield... READ MORE
Thanks mostly to a pop on Tuesday the market once again moved to new, all-time highs. Typical of holiday trading volume was lower than average, except for Tuesday, which had a surge confirming the price advance. Positive market action on a holiday week was no surprise, considering the persistent strength... READ MORE
Above is the Relative Rotation Graph for the DJ Industrials index, comparing the relative rotation of all members around $INDU. On this chart, a few stocks stand out because of their clear directional moves. Inside the leading quadrant, INTC, CSCO, and WMT are pulling away from the crowd further into... READ MORE
DOLLAR INDEX THREATENS ITS 50-DAY AVERAGE... The U.S. dollar is in retreat today against most major foreign currencies. Chart 1 shows the PowerShares Dollar Index Fund (UUP) threatening to drop below its 50-day moving average (blue line). That would be the first time the UUP has slipped below that... READ MORE
Timken (TKR), a mid-cap industrial, looks like it is resuming its bigger uptrend with a surge off the 200-day SMA. The chart below shows the stock hitting 52-week highs in April and October. The October high formed after a channel breakout and 25% advance. Timken then corrected with a rather... READ MORE
Market Recap for Tuesday, November 21, 2017 I am traveling for the Thanksgiving Day holiday, so today's article will be brief. I hope everyone has a very Happy Thanksgiving! Enjoy your family and friends and please be safe. :-) It was a very bullish day on Wall Street... READ MORE
You know you're in trouble when you wake up and find a snarky tweet about the timeliness of a particular signal change. That was the case this morning when I got the tweet about the NDX PMO SELL signal that arrived after the market closed yesterday. Today, the... READ MORE
* Small Caps breaking out * Gold and Silver may be close to a resolution to their recent rangebound activity * Euro in a real dilemma but with a bullish bias In sorting through a number of charts I recently came across some potential price patterns that are developing in several key markets.... READ MORE
Market Recap for Monday, November 20, 2017 It had been awhile since financials (XLF, +0.46%) and industrials (XLI, +0.45%) were the top two performing sectors during a market session, but that's exactly what we saw on Monday. Welcome back! Both the XLF and XLI had serious... READ MORE
As promised to the MarketWatchers LIVE viewers and my DecisionPoint Faithful, I am updating you on the latest DP Scoreboard signal change. The NDX's momentum finally deteriorated enough to generate a PMO SELL Signal. The other three indexes (SPX, OEX, INDU) triggered PMO SELL signals earlier this month.... READ MORE
In the prior post, we evaluated Crude Oil which appeared to have completed a Reaccumulation. Natural Gas has a family resemblance to Crude Oil, but seems to be in a slightly different position. Early in 2016 $NATGAS and $WTIC began important rallies that lasted through the year and then entered... READ MORE
Market Recap for Friday, November 17, 2017 It was an interesting day on Friday. While most of our major indices struggled and finished in negative territory with the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and NASDAQ falling 0.43%, 0.26% and 0.15%, respectively, the Russell 2000 continued its... READ MORE
Retail stocks surged last week and discounter TJX Companies ($TJX) bounced off support with high volume. Technically, the big trend is still down because the 50-day EMA is below the 200-day EMA and TJX is below the 200-day EMA. These EMAs are not shown on the chart to keep it... READ MORE
Skechers (SKX) rallied approximately 40% after its most recent quarterly earnings report and Nike (NKE) has gone from 2017 lows to nearly a 2017 high in the past five weeks, highlighting a significant rally in the Dow Jones U.S. Footwear Index ($DJUSFT). The DJUSFT rallied 3.21% on Friday... READ MORE
The recent selloff in high yield junk bonds has attracted a lot of attention in the financial media. My Tuesday message showed the iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond iShares (HYG) headed down for a test of chart support at its August low and its 200-day moving average. Chart 1 shows... READ MORE
One by-product of focusing on stocks that beat earnings handily is the opportunity to boost overall returns. I know this for a fact as we studied the performance of almost 40 stocks that were trade alerts to EarningsBeats members over the past six months and found that on a risk... READ MORE
I'm a big historian and a fan of the "history repeats itself" theory. But I'm a bigger fan of technical analysis where price action simply doesn't lie. You can listen to all the CNBC "hype" if you'd like,... READ MORE
I hear talk that the yield curve is flattening and that this is a problem for the stock market. While it is true that the spread between the 10-yr T-Yield ($UST10Y) and 2-yr T-Yield ($UST2Y) is the lowest since 2007, the yield curve itself is by no means flat. The... READ MORE
When I posted the NAAIM (National Association of Active Investment Managers) Exposure Index this week, I thought to myself, "What's wrong with this picture?". To clarify, rather than stay fully invested all the time, NAAIM members adjust their exposure based upon their assessment of market conditions,... READ MORE
Sentiment charts haven't been all that enlightening with mostly neutral readings. However, we are reaching bearish levels that generally result in a rally. Here's my interpretation of the latest sentiment from the put/call ratios, AAII, NAAIM and Rydex Ratio. What I pointed out in today&... READ MORE
“Rule #1: Never lose Money.” “Rule #2: Never forget Rule #1.” —Warren Buffett Sure, a lot of investors dissect every word that Warren Buffett writes in the annual report for Berkshire Hathaway. For years, these Buffett-isms have provided investors with profitable insights. In a similar vein, I found that the... READ MORE