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Sector Spotlight: Is the S&P 500 Facing a Double Top?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I look at asset class rotation and examine the continued preference for stocks over bonds. After that, I move on to sector rotation and the Technology sector, breaking it down into industry groups and plotting them on a Relative Rotation...
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The Case for a Tactical Stock Selloff
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Adam Turnquist of LPL Financial lays out the case for a tactical selloff for stocks, as well as why long-term indicators remain constructive in early 2024. Dave breaks down the bearish momentum divergence prevalent in the technology sector,...
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Larry's "Family Gathering" January 16, 2024 Recording
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
In this video, Larry digs into rate cuts and how they affect the markets. When interest rates are high, money is in circulation. He's been watching the rate of inflation; as he notes, an object in motion tends to stay on the same path. He also warns against...
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Are Key Commodities Decoupling from Equities?
After a long weekend, the market action on January 16th held some surprises.
The Bullish Trends, or gainers, were the dollar and -- here is the surprise for some -- many different commodities. The Bearish Trends, or losers, were foreign currencies, long bonds, and (not shown on the chart) US equity indexes....
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"Family Gathering" Meeting Today at 2:00 PM Eastern
Today, Larry Williams will be hosting a "Family Gathering" meeting at 2pm Eastern Standard Time (11am Pacific). Sign-in in begins 5 minutes prior. The show will be recorded and posted online for those of you who cannot attend. Use the link below to join:
Link to Join...
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Buying Bitcoin ETFs is the Easy Part, But What Comes Next?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Last week, eight new Bitcoin-based ETFs began trading courtesy of recent SEC approval. This launch was well anticipated, as the price had already run up in the hope that these new buyers would push it to an even higher level. The thought occurred to me that the situation is...
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View The Large Cap - Small Cap Debate in a Direct Comparison on RRG
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Using RRG to see Large-Cap vs Small-Cap sector rotation
* The current strength for Small-Cap stocks vs Large-Caps is evident
At the end of last year, I wrote a blog article about the relationship between Large-Cap and Equal-Weight sectors. It involved plotting the...
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Sector Spotlight: RRG Showing Strong Rotation For Stocks in All Time Frames
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Stocks Showing Relative Strength in All Time Frames on RRG
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, 2024's first episode, I dive into both Asset Class and Sector Rotation to set the stage for 2024. Today, I focus on a synchronized rotation of...
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Perspective And History Tell Us To Lower Our Expectations For Technology Stocks
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
No one loves a good bull market more than me. History tells us that we want remain mostly on the side of the bulls. Perma-bears have an awful long-term track record. They've called 30 of the last 3 secular bear markets. Honestly, those who cannot ever...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY In Uncharted Territory; Adopt This Simple Approach Towards Markets
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
After consolidating for most of the week, the markets extended their upmove and ended at yet another record lifetime high. In the past four out of five sessions, the markets were seen consolidating and staying under limited corrective retracement. However, they did find themselves taking support at the short-term...
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Using Two Timeframes to Increase the Odds - Starting with the Strategic View
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Chartists looking to increase their odds should consider two timeframes for their analysis. The longer timeframe sets the strategic tone, while the shorter timeframe defines the trading tactics. Strategically, I am interested in stocks with long-term uptrends. Tactically, I am looking for bullish continuation patterns to trade after a...
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The Secret Sauce! Expert Investors Use This to Anticipate Market Moves
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson shows you how to dig deeper into the markets like a true veteran chartist and put price history to work for you using Seasonality Charts. These simple, yet powerful historical charts let you see past price...
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MEM TV: The Easy Way to Uncover Stocks Poised to Outperform
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen takes a look at some of the items that drove price action last week. Growth stocks came roaring back for week two of 2024, which is great news for those that were believers last year. They can renew...
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S&P 4300 by End of February?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
We kicked off the new year of 2024 with an overheated stock market, excessively bullish breadth indicators, and euphoric sentiment levels. While the first week in January felt like a "wake-up call" pullback for awestruck bulls, this last week saw the S&P 500 push right...
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Dramatic Bearish Bias Shift on Major Market Indexes This Week
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
(This is an excerpt from the subscriber-only DecisionPoint Alert on DecisionPoint.com)
This week, the markets experienced a dramatic bias shift. We measure the Intermediate-Term Bias using our Silver Cross Index (SCI). The SCI measures how many stocks within an index, sector, or industry group hold "silver...
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Stock Market Was Tentative This Week: S&P 500 Tested New High But Pulled Back
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The stock market exhibited tentative behavior this week probably due to uncertainty about inflation and geopolitical developments
* S&P 500 index touched a high but pulled back to close slightly higher
* Crude oil prices broke above $75 but pulled back and is holding support at its 200-...
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Larry's First LIVE "Family Gathering" Webinar of 2024 Airs NEXT WEEK - Tuesday, January 16th at 2:00pm EST!
Larry is going LIVE! Don't miss the upcoming "Family Gathering" webinar with Larry Williams, airing live through Zoom this coming Tuesday, January 16 at 2:00pm Eastern Standard Time.
In this must-see event, Larry will be presenting his current opinions on a broad variety of...
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Is the Market Ready for Another Dip?
by TG Watkins,
Director of Stocks, Simpler Trading
On this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG points out how the market is still digesting the big move from the November/December run. It ran a huge sprint, and now needs to cycle down in order to create room for the next leg up. The internals...
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Drilling Down Into Gold and Silver
With the news on geopolitical escalation, soft versus hard landing, disinflation versus reinflation, growth versus value, and credit default versus available disposable income, gold and silver are even more interesting now.
Gold's behavior has been more of sell strength and buy weakness for some time. What has changed...
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GNG TV: Nothing "CRYPTIC" About These Go Trends!
by Alex Cole,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
As the SEC approved spot Bitcoin ETFs Wednesday, investors in a broad basket of cryptocurrencies witnessed strengthening Go trends and substantial advances in trends which took hold in October 2023. In this edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, Alex and Tyler review current trends across asset classes and sector groups....
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Your Questions Answered! Moving Averages, Chart Patterns, Inflation & More
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave presents a special all-mailbag episode, answering viewer questions on simple vs. exponential moving averages, the benefits of analyzing sector rotation, and a good first chart for beginners learning technical analysis.
This video originally premiered on January 12, 2024....
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XLV's Record Rally: The Must-Know Investment Move of the Year
by Karl Montevirgen,
The StockCharts Insider
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The Healthcare Select SPDR ETF XLV has seen a 16% rise from its October low and is showing upside momentum
* Seasonal patterns in XLV show that July and November are the strongest months in terms of returns and higher close rates
* Combining seasonality patterns and technical indicators shows...
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Common Lessons Amongst Corporate, Sports & Investment Portfolio Turnarounds!
by Gatis Roze,
Author, "Tensile Trading"
My many decades of business, investing, and sports experience has shown me time and time again that parallel lessons in all three arenas are remarkably worthy teachers. One essential lesson today (January 2024) is to not allow yourself to become a "legend in your own mind." Yes, you...
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From Selloff to Surge: Growth Stocks Rebound After CPI
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave highlights three leading growth stocks continuing to push to new swing highs. He also breaks down key market sentiment indicators, including the VIX, AAII survey, NAAIM Exposure Index, Rydex fund flows, and put/call ratios.
This video originally premiered...
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Markets: Recap of This Week's Market Dailies
I began the week focused on bank earnings, which we will wake up to tomorrow. In that Daily, I wrote, "one can assume that bank stocks, which already started off the year extremely well, have potential to shine.
"However, we know that assumptions can be tricky. There are...
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The Secret Behind My Moving Average "Buddy" System
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe shows how the 18MA can be a powerful tool when used in conjunction with the 40MA line. First, Joe explains why he uses a 18MA instead of a 20MA, demonstrating how this MA line can act as...
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SPOT ETFs APPROVED!! The Technical Case for Bitcoin
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Adrian Zduńczyk, CMT of The Birb Nest discusses upside potential for Bitcoin and Ethereum based on expectations around new Bitcoin ETFs, as well as a bullish technical configuration. Dave highlights leading growth stocks, like META scoring new 52-week highs,...
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Markets: Week 1, Week 2 -- What's Next in Week 3?
Looking at the Economic Modern Family (weekly charts), all of them, to date, peaked in December. The Russell 2000, Regional Banks, Transportation and Retail, as far as index and sectors go, backed off the most from their peaks. Semiconductors are more sideways since the peak, as well as Biotech (which...
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3 Health Care Stocks Flashing Promising Golden Cross: Why You Need to Watch Them
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The Health Care sector has shown upside momentum in 2024
* It may be a good time to add some healthcare stocks to your portfolio
* The Bullish 50/200-day MA Crossovers scan in StockCharts filtered out three healthcare stocks that deserve attention
The Health Care sector started rallying...
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The Halftime Show: Escape the Chaos - Discovering the Key to Tackling Market Uncertainty
by Pete Carmasino,
Chief Market Strategist, Chaikin Analytics
Uncertainty needs attention in order for it to make you second guess yourself. Instead, wait for trends to change, and then make changes. On this week's edition ofStockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete Carmasino shares a broad market overview, starting with a divergence signal on the bullish percent of...
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Don't Miss Out! 2 Promising Sectors in Early 2024
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Julius de Kempenaer of RRG Research talks stocks over bonds and highlights two sectors with upside potential based on improvements in their relative strength. Dave unveils a bearish momentum divergence for Netflix and reveals two technology stocks that could still...
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Commodities Trade Analysis: Aluminum
As a main aluminum producer, Alcoa (AA) announced cost-cutting measures, along with plans to curtail production at one Western Australian Refinery. But that is just one facility, and the company plans to continue to operate its port facilities located alongside the refinery. Plus, it will continue to import raw...
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Is it Prime Time for Small Caps?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
A couple of weeks ago, I took note of the widespread interest in small caps amongst the technical community. I don't normally follow cap plays, but my contrary bones began to shake when I saw such acclaim at their recent performance following several false dawns in the last...
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Breakout Or Failed Breakout: It's Important To See The Difference
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Important days for stocks usually are associated with big volume, major support/resistance, and a test of leadership. As I look at Upwork, Inc. (UPWK), it's check, check, and check. Before I look at UPWK individually, let me show you what we typically see with internet stocks (which...
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January 2024: The Final Bar's Top 10 Must See Charts
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Grayson Roze and Dave break down the trends for the top ten stocks and ETF charts for December 2023. They'll identify key levels and signals to watch for using technical analysis tools including moving averages, relative strength, RSI,...
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Bank Earnings Up -- Time to Look at Regional Banks ETF
Starting with the Jeffries Group on January 9th, by Friday, we will see Bank of America (BAC), JP Morgan (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), and Citigroup (C), as well as a few other banks, all report earnings.
In my 2024 Outlook and this Year of the Dragon, Raymond Lo writes, "...
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The Hoax of Modern Finance - Part 4: Misuse of Statistics and Other Controversial Practices
by Greg Morris,
Veteran Technical Analyst, Investor, and Author
Note to the reader: This is the fourth in a series of articles I'm publishing here taken from my book, "Investing with the Trend." Hopefully, you will find this content useful. Market myths are generally perpetuated by repetition, misleading symbolic connections, and the complete ignorance of...
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Putting a Mean-Reversion Strategy Into Practice
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Mean-reversion strategies typically buy stocks when they are oversold, which means catching the falling knife. These declines are often rather sharp, but the odds favor some sort of bounce after reaching an oversold extreme. While there are no guarantees, chartists can mitigate risk by insuring that the stock is...
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Apple hits Support-Reversal Zone - What is it and Why Does it Matter?
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Tech stocks were hit with selling pressure to start the year, but many are still in long-term trends and some are nearing support-reversal zones. In particular, Apple (AAPL) fell to a support-reversal zone and I am on alert for a bounce. Let's investigate.
First, the...
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Three Charts to Track Impending Doom
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* January through March is the weakest three-month period for stocks in an election year.
* The McClellan Oscillator turned bearish this week, suggesting at least a short-term pullback for stocks.
* The VIX remains low, but a push above 15 could indicate further downside, retracing the gains from...
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