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This Stock Market Looks Horrible... But...
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Chart 1 shows that the S&P Composite, like both A/D Lines, has completed and decisively broken down from a head-and-shoulders top. The two breadth indicators have also violated their bull market up trendlines. On the surface, things look pretty grim, with three seasonally weak September...
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Energy Sector Roulette: Bullish Signals, Sluggish Projections
by Karl Montevirgen,
The StockCharts Insider
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) shows some promising technicals, signaling room for a potential climb and a strong chance for a breakout to the upside
* Technical indicators suggest that the Energy sector has a high probability of breaking out to the upside
* A breakout above its all-...
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Finding the Leaders after a Sharp Decline - with Video
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks fell sharply in September with the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) breaking below its August low. Chartists can now use this low as a benchmark low to gauge relative performance. Stocks that held above the August low are showing relative strength. This is valuable information because stocks that...
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S&P 500 Turnaround: 3 Charts You Need To Watch
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Rising Treasury yields have hurt growth stocks but buying opportunities could lie ahead
* The stock market could bottom at the end of September and present buying opportunities
* Watch Fibonacci levels, Equal Weighted S&P 500 Index, and market breadth for a reversal
Last week wasn't...
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I Say We're Setting Up For A Major Bottom
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
It's almost impossible to call market tops and market bottoms using basic technical analysis tools like price and volume. Don't get me wrong, that combination is my favorite during trend-following periods. But trying to spot bearish reversals is difficult when price action keeps riding higher...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Forms A Potential Top; Low VIX Continues To Stay A Concern
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
In the previous technical note, it was mentioned that the markets are prone to some consolidation and corrective retracements due to the technical setup on the charts. It was also mentioned that the precariously low levels of volatility need to be watched, and this also can keep the markets vulnerable...
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S&P 500 Head and Shoulders Top Confirmed
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The head and shoulders pattern is a classic price pattern that confirms an exhaustion of buyers.
* Investors should consider the three phases of price patterns, and make sure to confirm all three phases before taking action.
* This pattern yields a minimum downside objective of around 4080-4100 for...
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Volatility Taunting Fresh Equity Buyers
This week I appeared with David Keller on Stockcharts Final Bar. We discussed how the market is at a precipice. And no doubt, the words I wrote on April 20th Daily "Now That "Stagflation" Has Gone Mainstream"some five months later are buzzing in my head:...
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Sector Rotation Signals an Important Week Ahead for Stocks
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Short Term, Risk-Off Sector Rotation While Heading into new week
* Did The Market Complete a H&S Top, or Is SPY Looking For Support?
* 430 Is The Crucial Level To Watch in SPY
First of all, my apologies for everybody who has been waiting for a...
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SPIKE IN TEN-YEAR YIELD PUSHES STOCKS LOWER
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
TEN-YEAR BOND YIELD HITS 16-YEAR HIGH...Recent market messages have been focusing on the upturn in energy prices which threatened to boost inflation pressures and put upward pressure on bond yields. Those same messages have shown the 10-year Treasury yield nearing an upside breakout. That breakout took...
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GNG TV: "Go" Trends in Rates & Dollar Causing Problems for Equity
by Alex Cole,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
In this edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, with rates gapping higher and breaking above resistance, Alex and Tyler walk through the macro charts that can have an impact on markets. After discussing rates, they look at the dollar, which also is in a strong "Go" trend.
This...
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Confirmed! Head-and-Shoulders Top Pattern for the S&P 500!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Mish Schneider of MarketGauge shares why the most important ETFs to watch are Retailers (XRT) and Small Caps (IWM) and also shares their latest plugin on the StockCharts ACP platform. Host David Keller, CMT tracks today's risk-off...
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Seasonality and Fundamentals Converging on GLD
by Karl Montevirgen,
The StockCharts Insider
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* A convergence of fundamental and seasonality data predicts a potential decline in gold prices by the end of the year
* Demand for gold has decreased by about 5% year-over-year in the first half of 2023, with central banks being the primary buyers
* The Williams True Seasonal...
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1-2-3 Change in Trend Setup
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe explains the 1-2-3 change in trend sequence in multiple timeframes. First, he discusses focuses on the higher timeframe and how to identify a zone or a pool of support. Then, he shows how to take...
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It's Time to Get Long
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
As a follower of my "Focus on Stocks" blog, you know we had a signal to sell on the opening Sunday night (10th day left).
That was forecast last month... now I think it's time to start to get long.
Where? At the August lows.
When?...
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Energy-related Commodities Lead, but Oil Looks Vulnerable
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
It has been a rough ride for most commodities this year and especially over the last 100 trading days (since May). Of the twelve spot prices I track, nine are up and three are down. Precious metals, base metals, lumber and grains are all down. The energy complex is the...
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When Calendar Ranges, Leadership, Momentum and Price Align
We are so excited that StockCharts.com is now offering you our ACP plugins, we had to write about it for today's Daily, especially since you can read anywhere the thousands of differing opinions on what Powell said today and the implications for the market. Simply put, these...
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Fed Keeps Hands Off Rates, Leaves DOOR OPEN for More Hikes!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Danielle Shay of Simpler Trading joins Dave to discuss what's the technical take on the FAANG stocks after today's Fed announcement going into earnings season? Powell and Co. leave rates unchanged, leave the door open for...
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Jesse Livermore on Mistakes & Rising From the Ashes
by Dave Landry,
Founder, Sentive Trading, LLC
In this week's edition of Trading Simplified, Dave continues his series on Jesse Livermore. In spite of Livermore's greatness, he made a lot of mistakes, and these mistakes often resulted in him blowing up. In this episode, Dave discusses how Livermore let extraneous influences force him...
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Timing the Market With the WillTrend Indicator
by Karl Montevirgen,
The StockCharts Insider
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The WillTrend indicator helps identify stock trends and optimal entry and exit points
* The WillTrend indicator provides clear signals in weekly and daily charts that help determine actionable trading scenarios
* It's important to take each signal within the context of the stock's current technical...
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Wage Inflation: The Stats and the Underlying Implications
While the UAW strike continues, and the debate on how much it matters in the scheme of things rages on, other wage trends are emerging.
Amazon (AZMN) today announced it will hire about 250,000 logistics personnel for the holiday season at a wage of $20.50 per hour. The...
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When to BUY, When to SELL, and When to SIT On Your Hands
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Dave Landry of DaveLandry.com shares his own approach to what he calls the "Three Whens"- when to buy, when to sell, and when to sit on your hands! Meanwhile, host Dave Keller reviews charts of energy...
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Two Key Groups Take a Turn for the Worse
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
A few large-caps and large-cap techs are holding up, but other areas of the market are showing weakness. Namely, the Retail SPDR (XRT) and Regional Bank ETF (KRE) are two of the weakest groups right now. These two groups are under selling pressure and this could bode ill...
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Two Charts I'm Watching Closely for Potential Breakouts
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
The title of this article should really be more in the vein of two technical situations I am watching, because the long-term forces look as if they may be converging with short-term ones to form a kind of potential bullish reverse domino effect. Let's consider our...
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History Rhymes: 1974-1976 vs. 2022-2024?
How many of you have heard me say that commodities are inherently volatile?
Clearly, from this chart, you can see that after the oil rally in the mid 1970s, the CPI went from nearly 9% in 1974 down to 2% in 1976. Sugar, my favorite barometer of inflation, ran to...
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Analyzing Risks for Mega-Cap Growth Stocks Before Key FED Meeting
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave conducts a deep dive into current market breadth indicators, including advance-decline data, the McClellan Oscillator, and the Bullish Percent Index. He reviews key support and resistance levels for AAPL, TSLA, NVDA, and other growth stocks as the market...
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The Halftime Show: Homebuilder and Building Product Stocks in Downtrend
by Pete Carmasino,
Chief Market Strategist, Chaikin Analytics
In this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete reviews the NVDA chart, which closed its nearest gap today. He then looks at the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 charts, as well as home builder DR Horton and building products company Masco -- both are...
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DP Trading Room: Mega-Caps Looking Bearish
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl notes that the "Magnificent 7" stocks are looking "toppy", with only a few exceptions. These leadership stocks could put downside pressure on an already weak market. Erin picks out the strongest of the sectors...
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Q4 Stock Market Outlook: 3 Analysts, 3 Insights
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Although September is considered a seasonally weak period for the stock market the fourth quarter is typically a strong period
* There's a high probability of the S&P 500 Index reaching a new high in Q4
* Growth stocks, Industrials, Financials, and Commodities could all see...
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Market Up & Down -- Don't Try to Push Your Trades
by TG Watkins,
Director of Stocks, Simpler Trading
The market continues to be weak and thin, as TG explains in this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes. There are a few stocks moving up, but the majority are going sideways or down. This is not a great environment for going long, so don't try...
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This Is The Only Segment Of The Market Worth Paying Attention To Now
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Growth-Value Rotating Back in Favor of Growth
* Large-Cap stocks picking up Strength Over Mid- and Small-cap segments
* Hence, Large-Cap Growth Stands out Positively
RRG sending a clear message
The Relative Rotation Graph above shows the rotation for the combined Size and Growth/Value segments...
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Week Ahead: Low VIX May Keep NIFTY Vulnerable To Profit-Taking Bouts; These Sectors May Offer Resilience
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
Extending their move, Indian equities advanced higher and closed with yet another weekly gain. Four out of five days over the past week saw the markets ending with gains. In the previous technical note, it was mentioned that the undercurrents in the market remain strong, and NIFTY can retest the...
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Quick Access to Your Chart Templates, The Secret Sauce That Makes ACP Fly
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson demonstrates the importance of Chart Templates in StockCharts' ACP platform, then pulls back the covers on a new "quick access" feature that just launched in the platform.
StockCharts users can now access any...
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Sector Spotlight: The Current State of ARGoN -- Applying the Concept to 30 DOW Stocks
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I continue my chat with Ralph Acampora in the StockCharts.com studio.
After recording our previous video (see here!), I put Ralph on the spot, and together we flip through the 30 Dow stocks, calling the current price and relative...
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MEM TV: Best Ways for You to Hedge Tech Weakness
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen McGonagle shares her outlook for the markets heading into next week's interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve. She also reviews why Technology was the weakest sector and what it means for the group. She then...
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The Largest IPO In 2 Years Launched Last Week - Here's What It Means For Other Areas Of The Markets
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
Shares of British chip designer Arm (ARM) surged in price after its stock market debut on Thursday - closing up 25% from its IPO price. The gains put the company's valuation at more than $64 billion, making it the biggest new offering in 2 years.
Arm's strong...
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Sector Spotlight: The Story of ARGoN (Acampora's Relative Grid of Nine)
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I chat with guest Ralph Acampora in the StockCharts.com studio in Redmond, WA. We discuss the birth of ARGoN, a special way of looking at markets from both a price and a relative perspective.
Once upon a time, Ralph...
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Three ETFs Suggest Further Downside
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
This past week had all the potential to see a revival of the great bull market of 2023. The September inflation data, Apple's latest product announcements, and Arm's IPO all seemed had the possibility to reignite the fire of bullishness for investors.
By Friday's...
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Deep Dive Into Stop Losses, Volatility Hacks, and Bullish Rotation
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave drops a special all-mailbag episode, including viewer questions on using Average True Range for stop losses, stocks vs. bonds, India's test of all-time highs, and best practices for price volatility.
This video originally premiered on...
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Larry's "Family Gathering" Full September Webinar -- AVAILABLE NOW!
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
Larry's "Family Gathering" webinar is now available! Whether you missed it and need to catch up, or just want to review the information Larry presented, you can now see the full recording below.
In this special presentation, Larry coaches viewers for success and explains his strategies...
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