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US Stocks May Be Trending Higher: Check Out These Charts
by Alex Cole,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
Welcome to this week's Flight Path.
Look at the GoNoGo Asset map below. Equities have turned! There's a "Go" bar at the end of the week that, as you'll see, also lines up with a new "Go" trend on the...
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Crude Oil: Obstacles Ahead of $100
by Karl Montevirgen,
The StockCharts Insider
The surprise OPEC+ production cuts last week had investors frantically positioning themselves in anticipation of the opportunities, risks, and opportunity risks surrounding crude oil exposure.
What Just Happened?
On Monday, OPEC+ announced it was reducing its output by 1.16 million barrels per day. The cuts are to begin in...
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Bonds, Eurodollar, Metals, Oil, and a Pick
In the last few Daily blogs, we have covered a lot, from the silver to gold ratio, to long bonds, to the Euro vs. the dollar. And that's not all!
We have looked at the 23-month moving average and how that has been an incredibly reliable indicator to...
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How to Find the Best Stocks to Trade: It's About Scans
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
April is Financial Literacy Month—a good excuse to bump up your financial knowledge so you can be better equipped to manage your personal finances. To support your financial journey, StockCharts is featuring several articles in April that focus on how you can take advantage of the educational tools that...
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The Wisdom of Livermore, Part 1
by Dave Landry,
Founder, Sentive Trading, LLC
Jesse Livermore is one of the most famous (and infamous) traders of all time. In his classic (written under a pen name) Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, he tells his story of how he became a successful trader. Livermore's focus on price and human nature made him a...
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When Uncle Utilities (XLU) Shows Up Drunk
Gosh, it's been a minute since we have looked at Utilities.
With rising interest rates, in March 2023, utilities fell near the October 2022 lows. Currently, XLU is changing phases from Bearish to Recuperation.
In my book, Plant Your Money Tree: A Guide to Growing Your Wealth,I...
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Sector Spotlight: Bonds & Financials Crucial for Promising S&P 500
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The first Tuesday of the month means monthly charts in this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight. I start with an overview of long-term trends in asset classes, including a look at the USD and BTC and the relationship between stocks and bonds. I then move on to...
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DP Trading Room: Sector Deep Dive
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
On this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Erin presents a review of all of the sectors to find out where new momentum lies and where relative strength is -- you might be surprised. Carl gives us his take on the market, as well as the Dollar,...
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The Halftime Show: Screen Signals Momentum Breakouts
by Pete Carmasino,
Chief Market Strategist, Chaikin Analytics
In this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete takes a look at the Q's and sectors this week. At the end of the quarter, we all know that tech has done well and, while the defensive side has tailed off, the quarter wasn'...
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Market Faces Key Test
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Global equities have risen for the last three weeks and now are at or just below key chart points. Chart 1, for instance, shows that the S&P 500 index ($SPX) is close to breaking above resistance in the form of its 2022–23 down trendline. In reality, that...
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The 4 Indices -- More to Prove in 2nd Quarter
Since the first quarter ended with very few instruments above the 23-month, we thought we would start the 2nd quarter by examining where the 4 indices are.
Over the weekend, the Market Outlookreminded us that "we would likely see a rangebound market, along with stagflation. With positive back-to-back quarterly...
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2022 Q4 Earnings Results: Market Becomes More Overvalued
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
The following chart shows the normal value range of the S&P 500 Index, indicating where the S&P 500 would have to be in order to have an overvalued P/E of 20 (red line), a fairly valued P/E of 15 (blue line), or an undervalued...
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BEWARE Leveraged ETFs: Invest With Caution
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
The following was a special educational Daily Market Report that I sent to our EB.com members last week....
I always refer to EarningsBeats.com as a "Research, Guidance, and Education Platform", because that's truly what we strive to be. HERE IS WHAT WE ARE NOT...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Defends Key Supports; Upside May Stay Capped Here in This Short 3-Day Week
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The markets had a positive weekly closing; despite the truncated week with just four trading sessions, the NIFTY registered decent gains. Over the past several sessions, the markets were unable to take any major directional calls; however, this week saw the markets rebounding from the lower edge of the trading...
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Market Flashes Green Light Amid Broad-Based Rally
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
Last week, the S&P 500 put in a bottom following Wednesday's rally of 1.4% on volume, which was greater than the prior day. Known by followers of William O'Neil's work as a "follow-through day", the price action occurred on...
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Three ETFs Showing Renewed Strength
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
With the first quarter of 2023 drawing to a close, what impresses me most about the equity markets are the improving breadth conditions. While the markets can move higher on strength from the MANAMANA stocks, sustained bull market phases usually need additional support from other stocks.
One could argue that...
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MEM TV: S&P 500 Puts in a Bottom!
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen highlights the new uptrend in the S&P 500 and which areas are now reversing downtrends. She also reviews themes taking place in already-strong Software stocks.
This video was originally broadcast on March 31, 2023. Click on...
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A Quick Scan Tool for a Quick Swing Trade
by Karl Montevirgen,
The StockCharts Insider
There are times when technical merit alone can justify the case for a trade.
The reason for this is that many traders often stick with a familiar list or category of stocks, and for obvious reasons: to avoid trading a stock that you know very little about or to check...
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Top 2 Ways You Can Take Advantage of StockCharts Scans
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson kicks off a series of scanning-focused episodes by sharing two of his favorite ways to run and review your scan results. He demonstrates how the CandleGlance view for SharpCharts can help you quickly and easily narrow...
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1st Quarter -- QE Boosts Commodities and Stocks
Partial Look at the Models and Positions
On Friday, I was part of the Festival of Learning, sponsored by Real Vision, to help new and experienced traders.The topics that came up were in line with what everyone who trades wants more insights on:
* FOMO
* Position Sizing
* Risk Management
* Entries...
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When You See Amazon Turning Around, Beautiful Things Start to Happen
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On the weekly RRG, the tail for XLY, Consumer Discretionary, is inside the improving quadrant and heading at an RRG-Heading of roughly 90 degrees. Not ideal; somewhere between 0-90 is stronger, as it indicates that the trend is still picking up speed, but not wrong either.
With only two sectors...
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Progress for the Bulls, But Will It Hold?
by TG Watkins,
Director of Stocks, Simpler Trading
On this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG explains that, barring any crazy event, the SPX will close its second month over the Monthly 10-SMA. This moving average is his primary tool for assessing whether a longer-term trend is bullish or bearish. The SPY continues to hold...
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NASDAQ LEADS MARKET HIGHER --
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
MAJOR STOCK INDEXES HAVE A STRONG WEEK...Although the stock market's long-term trend may still be in doubt, stocks are ending the quarter on a strong note. Starting with the weakest, Chart 1 shows the Dow Industrials ending the quarter back above its 200-day moving average and in...
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NASDAQ Breaks Out Again; 2 Stocks To Consider NOW
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
U.S. equities are wrapping up the first quarter in grand style. The QQQ, which tracks the NASDAQ 100, is zeroing in on a 20% gain for the quarter, as I write this. We saw a huge rally in January 2023 and strong Januarys usually suggest a strong year ahead....
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Are Semiconductors Ready for a Pullback?
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
After a bear market decline of nearly -50%, the Semiconductor ETF (SMH) has rallied over +60% out of the October low. The long-term picture still looks promising, with the weekly PMO rising steeply above the zero line. But let's look in a shorter-term timeframe to see if there...
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GNG TV: Charts Telling the Story of the Markets
by Alex Cole,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
In this edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, Alex and Tyler take a top-down approach to the technical market environment following the SVB collapse and the Fed's 25bps hike. They use a GoNoGo Cross Asset Heat Map to help understand the intermarket factors that could impact equity performance....
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NVDA at a Crossroads: Decoding the Signals From Atop a Cloud
by Karl Montevirgen,
The StockCharts Insider
This is a follow-up to a piece published a week ago on Nvidia's (NVDA) strong runfollowing its stellar earnings report. It follows NVDA's price action, but from another angle, using the lesser-usedIchimoku Cloudindicator.
Revisiting NVDA's Price Action
NVDA began outperforming its fellow semiconductor industry...
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The Best Form of MACD Divergence
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe explains the best form of MACD divergence, showing how to use multiple timeframes to increase your odds of success with this powerful MACD setup. Using Monthly, Weekly and Daily timeframes, he covers the setup and why it...
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Is Intel Now A Market Leader?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Well, it might be a little early to anoint Intel (INTC) a leader, but there's no denying a significant breakout in the chip stock above key price resistance. On November 15, 2022, INTC opened at 30.72, and the stock hasn't seen an open or close...
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The 23-Month Moving Average "Tell" for 1st Quarter
We have written lots of Dailys, not to mention talked a lot in media, about the significance of the 23-month moving average. Here are some past comments:
What has happened in the last 2 years? A bullish run in 2021 based on easy money. Inflation running hotter than most expected....
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Choppy Markets Require Patience
by Dave Landry,
Founder, Sentive Trading, LLC
In this week's edition of Trading Simplified, Dave delves into why traders need patience, especially during less-than-ideal conditions. He discusses the fact that patience "gets used up" and why we must be vigilant not to give into temptations such as boredom, wants, needs, and other extraneous...
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Where's the Money Going? Watch Volume and Price Action
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
A driver who goes with the flow of traffic and adjusts to traffic conditions usually gets places in good time and safely. Similarly, a good trader who trades in sync with price action is likelier to make better trades and preserve more capital.
The key: Recognize price movement and take...
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Why Buy DBA: Agricultural Fund ETF?
Last week, I tweeted:
I believe the #commodities prices in food softs $DBA have bottomed. $GLD-well those who know me-that I pointed out bottomed months ago. $SLV now outperforming. That tells you something. Maybe even #oil. Get ready for the Commodities Super Cycle.
If you are not following me @marketminute...
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The Halftime Show: Bullish and Bearish Estimate Revisions
by Pete Carmasino,
Chief Market Strategist, Chaikin Analytics
In this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete takes a look a sectors, then takes a deep dive into the historical bond picture, using TLT as an example. He focuses on using the Chaikin system to explore Bullish and Bearish estimate revisions as a cause of...
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Sector Spotlight: Stocks Entering Year's Strongest Month
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, for this last Tuesday of the month, I take a look at seasonality as the S&P 500 enters the (historically speaking) strongest month of the year. Two sectors are showing meaningful odds for out-performance in April, and one...
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DP Trading Room: Negative Divergences Explained
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
On this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl starts off the trading room with a closer look at Regional Banks (KRE) and gives his opinion of not only the market, but the top ten capitalized stocks. Erin picks up with a discussion on how to find...
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GNG TV: Tech and Staples Leading Choppy S&P
by Alex Cole,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
In this edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, Alex and Tyler take a top-down approach to the technical market environment following the SVB collapse and the Fed's 25bps hike. A GoNoGo Cross Asset Heat Map helps understand the intermarket factors that could impact equity performance. Treasury rates ($TNX)...
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Keeping Up with 3 Key Ratios in a Trading Range
Friday:
Monday:
Over the weekend, our Daily covered 3 key ratios to help decipher the market action and the prevailing macro theme for the economy.
We started with the one between long bonds (TLT) and the S&P 500 (SPY).
All last week, long bonds outperformed the SPY with...
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The NASDAQ Is Eyeing a Major Breakout Level
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Ultimately, breaking out above the August 2022 high represents the key level to reverse the downtrend that began in early-January 2022. I like to use longer-term charts to determine whether we're currently trending higher or lower, and right now the downtrend is firmly in place:
The numbers on...
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Don't Let a Good Banking Crisis Go to Waste
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Remember the wall-to-wall coverage concerning the FTX crypto collapse? It's a great example of why conventional wisdom and groupthink are usually wrong.
The prevailing hysteria had most traders brainwashed into expecting further crypto collapses and price drops. The simple fact is that, the market had been anticipating trouble...
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