KEY TAKEAWAYS * Weak manufacturing and jobs data sends investors into panic mode * All broader stock market indexes fall over 2% * Bond prices rise The dog days of summer are here. And the stock market gives us a brutal reminder of this. The first trading day of August began on a... READ MORE
It looks to me like it's time for the bond market to take a breather, if not have a pullback from now into late October. We can sum it up with the cycle projections from Chart 1. I have highlighted, in red, the down leg of the 450-day... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Investor sentiment has turned more bearish with a continuation of a selloff in big tech stocks. * More earnings, an FOMC meeting, and jobs report are adding to investor uncertainty. * Keep an eye on bond prices as the data starts to unravel. Last week, there was a noticeable change... READ MORE
The bond market experienced a secular bear between 1981 and the spring of 2020. Chart 1 offers three reasons why it has since reversed and given way to a secular uptrend or possibly multi-year trading range. The first piece of evidence comes from violating the multi-decade trendline. Second, the price... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Strong Sector Rotation Out Of Technology * Financials and Real Estate Lead * Stock/Bond Ratio Triggers Sell Signal Flying Financials In the recent sector rotation, basically OUT of technology and INTO anything else, Financials and Real-Estate led the relative move. On the RRG above, I have highlighted the (daily)... READ MORE
Friday's CrowdStrike software disaster has been described as "the largest IT outage in history," and it brought home just how vulnerable the planet is to itty-bitty coding errors. We were busy publishing the DecisionPoint ALERT Weekly Wrap, so I didn't have a chance to... READ MORE
What stocks right now does Larry have his eye on? Which ones is he saying "see you later... for now"? And which ones does he not like very much at all? In this month's Family Gathering video, Larry presents an in-depth discussion on the patterns we... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius looks at the markets from an asset allocation perspective using various RRGs. Stocks are (still) beating bonds, while commodities are rotating out of favor and the USD is losing steam. BTC is jumping higher off support, and the Yield Curve is steepening against... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The stock market could continue its bullish run on interest rate cut speculation * The S&P 500 Equal-Weighted Index is a good indication of the health of the overall stock market * Bond market action is often a leading indicator of stock market action With the S&... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite close at record highs * Equities, precious metals, and bonds all rise, but Bitcoin shows weakness * Keep an eye on the Equal Weighted S&P 500 and Nasdaq breadth to get early insight into stock market direction. If you were taking... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The stock market continued to move sideways as investors continue to be indecisive * Speech from Fed Chair Powell and Fed meeting minutes could send the market in either direction * Friday's jobs report could impact price action in the stock market The stock market's theme... READ MORE
June is here! Will it be bloom or gloom for the stock market? In this month's Family Gathering video, Larry examines the current averages in the market and what the advance-decline line is telling us. He explains the Trading Day of the Month (TDOM) concept and how you... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Cooler inflation data sees Treasury yields fall and bond prices rise * The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite hit new highs as interest rate cuts could be on the horizon * AAPL overcomes headwinds and is playing catchup while TSLA awaits results of a shareholder vote to approve... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps a fresh new all-time high for the S&P 500, a concerning "hanging man" candle for the SPY, and troubling bearish divergences on the charts of AMZN and GOOGL. He also breaks down short-term and... READ MORE
In most cycles, central banks around the world raise and lower short-term interest rates in a rough synchronization. Last week, the European and Canadian central banks began lowering their rates, and the British are expected to follow suit this week. Most observers of the US expect the Federal Reserve to... READ MORE
In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen reviews what drove the markets to new highs. She highlights S&P 500 sectors, plus stocks that have reversed their downtrends, pointing out good entry points. Mary Ellen also takes a close look at why stocks did not respond to today'... READ MORE
The Technology Sector (XLK) continues to dominate and drive the rally, but fewer and fewer stocks within the sector are participating in the rally. We know this because our Silver Cross Index (SCI), which shows the percent of stocks in the Technology Sector with Silver Cross BUY Signals (20-day EMA... READ MORE
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews the bullish close in the markets while highlighting areas to stay away from. She also shares why AI-related areas of Tech remain positive and what drove the Retail sector into a new uptrend. The potential downtrend reversal... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Relative Strength * Market Trend * Narrow Breadth Good morning and welcome to this week's Flight Path. We saw some weakness this week as price pulled back a little from all time highs. Momentum cooled, we saw this in the form of Go Countertrend Correction Icons (red arrows)... READ MORE
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews the broader markets and the rotation that's taking place amid a rise in interest rates. She also takes a close look at NVDA and shares how you should handle the stock after last week'... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius assesses the quality of the breakout in the S&P 500, using sector rotation on Relative Rotation Graphs, the volume pattern in the S&P 500 and the relationship between stocks and bonds. This video was originally broadcast on May 20,... READ MORE
Today Erin takes a deep dive into the Semiconductors (SMH). She goes over the "under the hood" health of the industry group and then takes us within the industry group to find the leadership stocks in that area. Carl shares his wisdom on the current conditions of the... READ MORE
As the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 have once again made new all-time highs, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has briefly broken above the 40,000 level for the first time, how should we think about further upside for our equity benchmarks? There are two general ways... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Sector rotation still pointing to defense * Upward break in SPY not supported by volume * Asset class rotation starting to rotate in favor of bonds No Confirmation In Volume This week, the S&P 500 is breaking out above its previous high, undeniably a bullish sign. After the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and the Nasdaq Composite close at all-time highs * Bond prices also moved higher, as did gold and silver * The VIX remains low, indicating investors are complacent The bull market hasn't gone anywhere. Despite of worrying about the... READ MORE
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe explains how to use one SMA to pinpoint great entries in pullback plays, demonstrating how it can develop in slightly different ways. He shows 3 different types of setups in the price action and its relationship to... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps a choppy day for equities, with utilities remaining atop the leaderboard for a second straight session. He lays out a potential reversal in interest rates, what that could mean for growth stocks, and recaps earnings plays including WYNN,... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps another strong day for stocks as the S&P 500 regains its 50-day moving average. He then identifies key levels to watch for PLTR, LCID, NFLX, NVDA, and AAPL, and breaks down the latest market breadth indicator... READ MORE
All You Need to Know About Crude Oil and the Future Gold, black gold, is what Crude Oil has become. The entire world runs on energy. 98% of our cars and transportation, our lights, the device you are using to read this... virtually everything we can do is thanks to... READ MORE
Netflix (NFLX) earnings were released today, and the news was good. . . except for one little thing. They also suspiciously announced that, starting next year, they would no longer be reporting subscriber metrics. That's like General Motors saying that they will no longer report how many cars and trucks... READ MORE
S&P 500 earnings are in for 2023 Q4, and here is our valuation analysis. The following chart shows the normal value range of the S&P 500 Index, indicating where the S&P 500 would have to be in order to have an overvalued P/E... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite remains unfazed about interest rates remaining higher for longer. * Commodity prices such as oil, gold, and cocoa are rising, even though inflation seems to be cooling. * The top S&P 500 sector performers indicate the... READ MORE
The 20+ Yr Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) failed again at the falling 40-week SMA and looks poised to resume its bigger downtrend. Keep in mind that bonds and yields move in the opposite direction. A resumption of the downtrend in TLT translates into a resumption of the uptrend in the... READ MORE
Last week, I pointed out the inflationary consequences of the recent gold breakout, as gold market participants initially expect prices to firm up in the commodity pits and later the CPI itself. This week, we will take those thoughts a step further by relating swings in industrial commodity prices to... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shows how the Magnificent 7 has become much less of a comparable group of stocks, with TSLA, AAPL, and GOOGL all breaking down in recent weeks. He also tracks Bitcoin's retest of all-time highs and why high... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Investors are anxiously awaiting the PCE data to get clues on when the Fed will start cutting interest rates * Small cap stocks look like they want to break out of a range and join the bullish equity rally * Bitcoin is having a strong week with three consecutive significant... READ MORE
On this week's edition ofStockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete takes a look at long-term trends. Semiconductors taking it on the chin. Inflation is still a problem. Bonds are selling off, and the Fed isn't cutting rates until, in Pete's opinion, the unemployment rate falls.... READ MORE
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I review the monthly charts for January 2024, in combination with the Relative Rotation on the Monthly RRGs for asset classes and sectors. At asset class level, the preference for stocks over bonds remains clearly visible. Looking at the monthly... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave speaks to weakening short-term breadth conditions as the McClellan Oscillator rotates to a bearish level this week. Guest Dave Landry of DaveLandry.com drops some serious trader wisdom and also shares what he does first thing every morning to... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq 100 closed at all-time highs * Tech stocks are back in focus as mega-tech companies wrap up their Q4 earnings * Investors should take advantage of pullbacks if they want to add positions to their portfolios What a week!... READ MORE