I've been around long enough to remember when Intel (INTC) was the NVIDIA of the day. Now, INTC is under severe pressure, having suspended its dividend, and is currently being considered for removal from the Dow 30 Industrial Average. Oh, how the mighty have fallen! With INTC having... READ MORE
Every business cycle has an inflationary and deflationary part, and it's very important for both traders and investors at least to try to have some understanding which has the upper hand at any particular point in time. For example, when the economy is in a slowdown or recessionary... READ MORE
What to make of the market as we near the end of August? Larry presents his thoughts in this edition of the Family Gathering video. In this month's Family Gathering video, Larry begins by presenting a new way of forecasting for Crude Oil. After that, he follows up... READ MORE
In Monday's DecisionPoint Trading Room video, we were asked why we cover Gold Miners (GDX) as well as Gold (GLD). There are two reasons: 1. Some people prefer to own the commodity, Gold, and others prefer to own an operating company that benefits from the price of Gold,... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius looks at the conflicting rotations in both asset classes and equity sectors. The weekly rotations differ significantly from their daily counterparts. What does it mean for the current rally in the S&P 500, and what does it mean for the relationship... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps an epic rally in mega cap growth stocks, with NVDA up over 6% and META threatening a new 52-week high. Dave highlights how gold and bond prices continue to rise in the face of stronger stocks, and breaks... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius assesses various rotations using Relative Rotation Graphs, starting at asset class level and then moving to sectors. Julius zooms in on the industries of two sectors to get an idea of where pockets of out-performance may exist in the current market. He then... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps a choppy Monday for the equity markets, as gold tests new all-time highs and interest rates continue to plummet. He highlights the stock to bond ratio, revisits the classic 60:40 ratio favored by investors, and breaks down... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Smoothing the signal thresholds help to reduce whipsaws. * A new uptrend signaled for TLT as the 5-day exceeded the 200-day by more than 3% * TLT also sports a classic breakout and continuation signal. The 20+ Yr Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) is turning the corner as a long-term trend... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Weak manufacturing and jobs data sends investors into panic mode * All broader stock market indexes fall over 2% * Bond prices rise The dog days of summer are here. And the stock market gives us a brutal reminder of this. The first trading day of August began on a... READ MORE
It looks to me like it's time for the bond market to take a breather, if not have a pullback from now into late October. We can sum it up with the cycle projections from Chart 1. I have highlighted, in red, the down leg of the 450-day... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Investor sentiment has turned more bearish with a continuation of a selloff in big tech stocks. * More earnings, an FOMC meeting, and jobs report are adding to investor uncertainty. * Keep an eye on bond prices as the data starts to unravel. Last week, there was a noticeable change... READ MORE
The bond market experienced a secular bear between 1981 and the spring of 2020. Chart 1 offers three reasons why it has since reversed and given way to a secular uptrend or possibly multi-year trading range. The first piece of evidence comes from violating the multi-decade trendline. Second, the price... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Strong Sector Rotation Out Of Technology * Financials and Real Estate Lead * Stock/Bond Ratio Triggers Sell Signal Flying Financials In the recent sector rotation, basically OUT of technology and INTO anything else, Financials and Real-Estate led the relative move. On the RRG above, I have highlighted the (daily)... READ MORE
Friday's CrowdStrike software disaster has been described as "the largest IT outage in history," and it brought home just how vulnerable the planet is to itty-bitty coding errors. We were busy publishing the DecisionPoint ALERT Weekly Wrap, so I didn't have a chance to... READ MORE
What stocks right now does Larry have his eye on? Which ones is he saying "see you later... for now"? And which ones does he not like very much at all? In this month's Family Gathering video, Larry presents an in-depth discussion on the patterns we... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius looks at the markets from an asset allocation perspective using various RRGs. Stocks are (still) beating bonds, while commodities are rotating out of favor and the USD is losing steam. BTC is jumping higher off support, and the Yield Curve is steepening against... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The stock market could continue its bullish run on interest rate cut speculation * The S&P 500 Equal-Weighted Index is a good indication of the health of the overall stock market * Bond market action is often a leading indicator of stock market action With the S&... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite close at record highs * Equities, precious metals, and bonds all rise, but Bitcoin shows weakness * Keep an eye on the Equal Weighted S&P 500 and Nasdaq breadth to get early insight into stock market direction. If you were taking... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The stock market continued to move sideways as investors continue to be indecisive * Speech from Fed Chair Powell and Fed meeting minutes could send the market in either direction * Friday's jobs report could impact price action in the stock market The stock market's theme... READ MORE
June is here! Will it be bloom or gloom for the stock market? In this month's Family Gathering video, Larry examines the current averages in the market and what the advance-decline line is telling us. He explains the Trading Day of the Month (TDOM) concept and how you... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Cooler inflation data sees Treasury yields fall and bond prices rise * The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite hit new highs as interest rate cuts could be on the horizon * AAPL overcomes headwinds and is playing catchup while TSLA awaits results of a shareholder vote to approve... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps a fresh new all-time high for the S&P 500, a concerning "hanging man" candle for the SPY, and troubling bearish divergences on the charts of AMZN and GOOGL. He also breaks down short-term and... READ MORE
In most cycles, central banks around the world raise and lower short-term interest rates in a rough synchronization. Last week, the European and Canadian central banks began lowering their rates, and the British are expected to follow suit this week. Most observers of the US expect the Federal Reserve to... READ MORE
In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen reviews what drove the markets to new highs. She highlights S&P 500 sectors, plus stocks that have reversed their downtrends, pointing out good entry points. Mary Ellen also takes a close look at why stocks did not respond to today'... READ MORE
The Technology Sector (XLK) continues to dominate and drive the rally, but fewer and fewer stocks within the sector are participating in the rally. We know this because our Silver Cross Index (SCI), which shows the percent of stocks in the Technology Sector with Silver Cross BUY Signals (20-day EMA... READ MORE
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews the bullish close in the markets while highlighting areas to stay away from. She also shares why AI-related areas of Tech remain positive and what drove the Retail sector into a new uptrend. The potential downtrend reversal... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Relative Strength * Market Trend * Narrow Breadth Good morning and welcome to this week's Flight Path. We saw some weakness this week as price pulled back a little from all time highs. Momentum cooled, we saw this in the form of Go Countertrend Correction Icons (red arrows)... READ MORE
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews the broader markets and the rotation that's taking place amid a rise in interest rates. She also takes a close look at NVDA and shares how you should handle the stock after last week'... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius assesses the quality of the breakout in the S&P 500, using sector rotation on Relative Rotation Graphs, the volume pattern in the S&P 500 and the relationship between stocks and bonds. This video was originally broadcast on May 20,... READ MORE
Today Erin takes a deep dive into the Semiconductors (SMH). She goes over the "under the hood" health of the industry group and then takes us within the industry group to find the leadership stocks in that area. Carl shares his wisdom on the current conditions of the... READ MORE
As the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 have once again made new all-time highs, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has briefly broken above the 40,000 level for the first time, how should we think about further upside for our equity benchmarks? There are two general ways... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Sector rotation still pointing to defense * Upward break in SPY not supported by volume * Asset class rotation starting to rotate in favor of bonds No Confirmation In Volume This week, the S&P 500 is breaking out above its previous high, undeniably a bullish sign. After the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and the Nasdaq Composite close at all-time highs * Bond prices also moved higher, as did gold and silver * The VIX remains low, indicating investors are complacent The bull market hasn't gone anywhere. Despite of worrying about the... READ MORE
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe explains how to use one SMA to pinpoint great entries in pullback plays, demonstrating how it can develop in slightly different ways. He shows 3 different types of setups in the price action and its relationship to... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps a choppy day for equities, with utilities remaining atop the leaderboard for a second straight session. He lays out a potential reversal in interest rates, what that could mean for growth stocks, and recaps earnings plays including WYNN,... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps another strong day for stocks as the S&P 500 regains its 50-day moving average. He then identifies key levels to watch for PLTR, LCID, NFLX, NVDA, and AAPL, and breaks down the latest market breadth indicator... READ MORE
All You Need to Know About Crude Oil and the Future Gold, black gold, is what Crude Oil has become. The entire world runs on energy. 98% of our cars and transportation, our lights, the device you are using to read this... virtually everything we can do is thanks to... READ MORE
Netflix (NFLX) earnings were released today, and the news was good. . . except for one little thing. They also suspiciously announced that, starting next year, they would no longer be reporting subscriber metrics. That's like General Motors saying that they will no longer report how many cars and trucks... READ MORE
S&P 500 earnings are in for 2023 Q4, and here is our valuation analysis. The following chart shows the normal value range of the S&P 500 Index, indicating where the S&P 500 would have to be in order to have an overvalued P/E... READ MORE