June is here! Will it be bloom or gloom for the stock market? In this month's Family Gathering video, Larry examines the current averages in the market and what the advance-decline line is telling us. He explains the Trading Day of the Month (TDOM) concept and how you... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Cooler inflation data sees Treasury yields fall and bond prices rise * The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite hit new highs as interest rate cuts could be on the horizon * AAPL overcomes headwinds and is playing catchup while TSLA awaits results of a shareholder vote to approve... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps a fresh new all-time high for the S&P 500, a concerning "hanging man" candle for the SPY, and troubling bearish divergences on the charts of AMZN and GOOGL. He also breaks down short-term and... READ MORE
In most cycles, central banks around the world raise and lower short-term interest rates in a rough synchronization. Last week, the European and Canadian central banks began lowering their rates, and the British are expected to follow suit this week. Most observers of the US expect the Federal Reserve to... READ MORE
In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen reviews what drove the markets to new highs. She highlights S&P 500 sectors, plus stocks that have reversed their downtrends, pointing out good entry points. Mary Ellen also takes a close look at why stocks did not respond to today'... READ MORE
The Technology Sector (XLK) continues to dominate and drive the rally, but fewer and fewer stocks within the sector are participating in the rally. We know this because our Silver Cross Index (SCI), which shows the percent of stocks in the Technology Sector with Silver Cross BUY Signals (20-day EMA... READ MORE
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews the bullish close in the markets while highlighting areas to stay away from. She also shares why AI-related areas of Tech remain positive and what drove the Retail sector into a new uptrend. The potential downtrend reversal... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Relative Strength * Market Trend * Narrow Breadth Good morning and welcome to this week's Flight Path. We saw some weakness this week as price pulled back a little from all time highs. Momentum cooled, we saw this in the form of Go Countertrend Correction Icons (red arrows)... READ MORE
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews the broader markets and the rotation that's taking place amid a rise in interest rates. She also takes a close look at NVDA and shares how you should handle the stock after last week'... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius assesses the quality of the breakout in the S&P 500, using sector rotation on Relative Rotation Graphs, the volume pattern in the S&P 500 and the relationship between stocks and bonds. This video was originally broadcast on May 20,... READ MORE
Today Erin takes a deep dive into the Semiconductors (SMH). She goes over the "under the hood" health of the industry group and then takes us within the industry group to find the leadership stocks in that area. Carl shares his wisdom on the current conditions of the... READ MORE
As the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 have once again made new all-time highs, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has briefly broken above the 40,000 level for the first time, how should we think about further upside for our equity benchmarks? There are two general ways... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Sector rotation still pointing to defense * Upward break in SPY not supported by volume * Asset class rotation starting to rotate in favor of bonds No Confirmation In Volume This week, the S&P 500 is breaking out above its previous high, undeniably a bullish sign. After the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and the Nasdaq Composite close at all-time highs * Bond prices also moved higher, as did gold and silver * The VIX remains low, indicating investors are complacent The bull market hasn't gone anywhere. Despite of worrying about the... READ MORE
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe explains how to use one SMA to pinpoint great entries in pullback plays, demonstrating how it can develop in slightly different ways. He shows 3 different types of setups in the price action and its relationship to... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps a choppy day for equities, with utilities remaining atop the leaderboard for a second straight session. He lays out a potential reversal in interest rates, what that could mean for growth stocks, and recaps earnings plays including WYNN,... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps another strong day for stocks as the S&P 500 regains its 50-day moving average. He then identifies key levels to watch for PLTR, LCID, NFLX, NVDA, and AAPL, and breaks down the latest market breadth indicator... READ MORE
All You Need to Know About Crude Oil and the Future Gold, black gold, is what Crude Oil has become. The entire world runs on energy. 98% of our cars and transportation, our lights, the device you are using to read this... virtually everything we can do is thanks to... READ MORE
Netflix (NFLX) earnings were released today, and the news was good. . . except for one little thing. They also suspiciously announced that, starting next year, they would no longer be reporting subscriber metrics. That's like General Motors saying that they will no longer report how many cars and trucks... READ MORE
S&P 500 earnings are in for 2023 Q4, and here is our valuation analysis. The following chart shows the normal value range of the S&P 500 Index, indicating where the S&P 500 would have to be in order to have an overvalued P/E... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite remains unfazed about interest rates remaining higher for longer. * Commodity prices such as oil, gold, and cocoa are rising, even though inflation seems to be cooling. * The top S&P 500 sector performers indicate the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * If treasury yields break out higher, consider selling the breakouts of bear flags and view short-term declines as selling opportunities * If yields break down lower, consider buying bull flags and setups. * There's a chance that yields could push higher before correcting. In our last piece, we... READ MORE
The 20+ Yr Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) failed again at the falling 40-week SMA and looks poised to resume its bigger downtrend. Keep in mind that bonds and yields move in the opposite direction. A resumption of the downtrend in TLT translates into a resumption of the uptrend in the... READ MORE
Last week, I pointed out the inflationary consequences of the recent gold breakout, as gold market participants initially expect prices to firm up in the commodity pits and later the CPI itself. This week, we will take those thoughts a step further by relating swings in industrial commodity prices to... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shows how the Magnificent 7 has become much less of a comparable group of stocks, with TSLA, AAPL, and GOOGL all breaking down in recent weeks. He also tracks Bitcoin's retest of all-time highs and why high... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Investors are anxiously awaiting the PCE data to get clues on when the Fed will start cutting interest rates * Small cap stocks look like they want to break out of a range and join the bullish equity rally * Bitcoin is having a strong week with three consecutive significant... READ MORE
On this week's edition ofStockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete takes a look at long-term trends. Semiconductors taking it on the chin. Inflation is still a problem. Bonds are selling off, and the Fed isn't cutting rates until, in Pete's opinion, the unemployment rate falls.... READ MORE
I begin each year by reviewing the long-term technical positions and behaviors of the "Big Four" — 10-year yields, S&P 500 ($SPX), Commodities, and the US Dollar. I believe that interest rates, particularly in a credit-dependent/leveraged system, generally drive economic and market cycles. And, since by... READ MORE
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I review the monthly charts for January 2024, in combination with the Relative Rotation on the Monthly RRGs for asset classes and sectors. At asset class level, the preference for stocks over bonds remains clearly visible. Looking at the monthly... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave speaks to weakening short-term breadth conditions as the McClellan Oscillator rotates to a bearish level this week. Guest Dave Landry of DaveLandry.com drops some serious trader wisdom and also shares what he does first thing every morning to... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq 100 closed at all-time highs * Tech stocks are back in focus as mega-tech companies wrap up their Q4 earnings * Investors should take advantage of pullbacks if they want to add positions to their portfolios What a week!... READ MORE
On this week's edition of the GoNoGo Charts show from StockCharts TV, Alex takes a look at the market using the GoNoGo methodology as the S&P 500 digests the rally to all time highs. After using the GoNoGo Asset Map to look at the trends across... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Jay Woods, CMT of Freedom Capital Markets brings the energy of the NYSE floor to the show, relating today's market rebound to longer term themes for small caps and regional banks. Dave shares one breadth indicator recognizing broad... READ MORE
Uncertainty needs attention in order for it to make you second guess yourself. Instead, wait for trends to change, and then make changes. On this week's edition ofStockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete Carmasino goes over some thoughts on interest rates and when the Fed will finally cut. He... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The Fed leaves interest rates unchanged as expected, but investors weren't happy * S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq Composite all close lower after Fed decision * The 10-year Treasury yield falls to a three week low Will the Fed cut interest rates at... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Ari Wald, CFA CMT of Oppenheimer lays out a bull case for the S&P 500 based on valuations and forward returns given strong breadth conditions. Dave reviews stocks reporting earnings this week, including LOGI, LMT, PG, DHI,... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Commodities and USD rotating deep inside the lagging quadrant, indicating weak relative strength * Bitcoin is in a strong relative uptrend vs all other asset classes, but going through a corrective phase * Stocks are the clear winner in this asset allocation battle The RRG above shows the rotation of... READ MORE
Uncertainty needs attention in order for it to make you second guess yourself. Instead, wait for trends to change, and then make changes. On this week's edition ofStockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete Carmasino shares a broad market overview, starting with a divergence signal on the bullish percent of... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Julius de Kempenaer of RRG Research talks stocks over bonds and highlights two sectors with upside potential based on improvements in their relative strength. Dave unveils a bearish momentum divergence for Netflix and reveals two technology stocks that could still... READ MORE
Not a great start to the year! In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen takes a look at where the broader markets closed, and sees we're hovering around some rather critical areas. The sharp pullback in growth stocks drove last week's... READ MORE