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Will the QQQ Sell Off in January? Here's How It Could Happen
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In recent interviews for my Market Misbehavior podcast, I've asked technical analysts including Frank Cappelleri, TG Watkins, and Tom Bowley what they see happening as we wrap a very successful 2024. With the Nasdaq 100 logging about a 30% gain for 2024, it's hard to imagine...
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Small Caps are Set to Skyrocket in 2025—Here's What You Need to Know
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Small caps tend to outperform following an election year.
* In most annual cycles, small caps also have their seasonal tendencies.
* The chart of the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) is worth monitoring, especially as it approaches a buy point.
With an new administration inbound in Washington, D.C....
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Master the MACD Zero Line for a Trading Edge!
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
In this exclusive StockCharts video, Joe shows how to use the MACD zero line as a bias for a stock. As opposed to offering a buy signal, this Zero line level can provide insight into a market or stock's underlying condition; Joe shows how to refine that information...
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Are ARK's Innovation ETFs on to Something BIG?
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
After a broad market review, Mary Ellen shares strategies for trading pull backs and breakouts in stocks. Highlights include a deep dive into ARK's Innovation ETFs and their holdings, locating market strength in the process. Tune in for valuable insights and tips to help you make informed investment...
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Two ETFs That Could Thrive Based on a Normal Yield Curve
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
My recent discussions on the Market Misbehavior podcasthave often included some comments on the interest rate environment, particularly the shape of the yield curve. We've had an inverted yield curve since late 2022, and so the yield curve taking on a more normal shape could mean a huge...
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Get Ahead of 2025 Stock Trends!
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
In this exclusive StockCharts video, Joe uses long-term views of the S&P 500 to explain how the market is positioned as we move into 2025. He uses Yearly and Quarterly Candles and describes why there is a risk of a pullback next year, and he also covers the...
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Can You Really Predict Stock Market Success Using the Yield Curve?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this video, Dave reflects on the shape of the yield curve during previous bull and bear cycles with the help of StockCharts' Dynamic Yield Curve tool. He shares insights on interest rates as investors prepare for the final Fed meeting of 2024, and shares two additional charts he&...
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Five Ways You Should Use ChartLists Starting Today!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Having used many technical analysis platforms over my career as a technical analyst, I can tell you with a clear conscience that the ChartList feature on StockCharts provides exceptional capabilities to help you identify investment opportunities and manage risk in your portfolio. Once you get your portfolio or watch list...
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Can the S&P 500 Rally Without Tech?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius takes a deep dive into US sector rotation, breaking it down into offensive, defensive and cyclical sectors. He first looks at the relative rotations that are shaping up inside the group, assessing each sector's price chart in combination with the rotation...
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Plunge in Treasury Yields Triggers Gap-Surge in Home Builders
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The 10-yr Treasury Yield reversed its upswing with a sharp decline.
* The 7-10 Yr Treasury Bond ETF surged and reversed its downswing.
* Lower yields provided a big boost to the Home Construction ETF.
The 10-yr Treasury Yield reversed its upswing with a sharp decline and the Home Construction...
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These Old-School Stocks Have Joined The AI Rally!
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen reviews the broad-based rally that pushed the Equal-Weighted SPX to new highs. She also shared base breakouts and downtrend reversal candidates in the now hot Retail space, and takes a close look at 3 old school stocks that are seeing AI-related growth.
This...
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Financial Upswing: Understanding the Stock Market Rally and Yield Rise
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Stock market indexes resumed their bullish trend.
* Small- and mid-cap stocks rose the most showing strong upside movement.
* Treasury yields rose higher on concerns of reinflation.
The afternoon turnaround seems to be more the norm than the exception. Thursday's stock market action followed the trend. What...
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These Country ETFs are Looking Particularly Vulnerable
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Chart 1, below, compares the S&P Composite to the Europe Australia Far East ETF (EFA), which is effectively the rest of the world. It shows that US equities have been on a tear against its rivals since the financial crisis. More to the point, there are very few...
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Be ALERT for Warning Signs - S&P 500 Downturn
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
In this exclusive StockCharts video, Joe goes into detail on the S&P 500 ETF (SPY), sharing why using MACD and ADX together can be beneficial -- especially in the current environment. He touches on Sentiment, Volatility and Momentum, pointing to reasons why we need to be on alert...
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A Tale of Two Semiconductor ETFs - Why is SMH holding up better than SOXX?
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* SOXX is lagging SMH as it broke the 200-day SMA and confirmed a bearish pattern.
* SMH is holding up because its top component remains strong.
* Nevertheless SMH is at a moment of truth ahead of a big earnings report from Nvidia.
Even though the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SMH)...
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MarketCarpets Secrets: How to Spot Winning Stocks in Minutes!
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* StockCharts' MarketCarpets can be customized to find stocks to invest in using specific criteria.
* The MarketCarpets tool helps users drill down from a big-picture view to individual stocks.
* Getting an at-a-glance view of strong stocks poised to bounce can be done immediately and efficiently with MarketCarpets.
When...
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Simple Way to Find Confluence FAST Using Moving Averages
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
In this exclusive StockCharts video, Joe explains how to use an 18 simple moving average in multiple timeframes to identify when a stock has confluence amongst 2-3 timeframes. He shows how to start with the higher timeframes first, before working down to the lower ones. Joe then covers the shifts...
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Best Way to Capitalize on Election Rally!
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen presents a deep dive into last week's sharp rally in the markets. She highlights what areas could perform best under a Trump administration and how to spot a pullback. She takes a close look at the "New Economy" and...
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Three Sectors Leading SPY Back to Offense
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The market came out of defensive mode after the election.
* Old resistance at 585 is now support for SPY.
* XLC, XLY, and XLF are all showing strength.
First of all, for those of you looking for a new video this week, I have intentionally skipped it because I...
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These S&P 500 Stocks Are Poised To Outperform!
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen reviews the negative price action in the broader markets while highlighting pockets of strength. She shares how the rise in interest rates is impacting the markets ahead of next week's FOMC meeting. Last up is a segment on how to use...
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Halloween Scare: The Stock Market Ends October on a Wicked Tone
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Tepid earnings and negative news sends Tech stocks plunging.
* Economic data supports the narrative that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in November.
* The long-term trend of the broader indexes are still bullish.
The Halloween effect caught up with the stock market! October 31...
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A Simple Candle With BIG Meaning
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
In this exclusive StockCharts video, Joe shows a specific candlestick pattern that, when it develops at the right time, can signal the start of a new upleg. He uses NVDA, MSFT and GLD to explain how this can setup at different times and can give a timely signal to look...
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Four Sectors That Have Just Experienced Bearish Weekly Action
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Most weekends, I flip through a chartlist featuring weekly bars and candles for sectors, country ETFs, currencies, bonds and some commodities. The idea is to see whether any of these entities are showing signs of bullish or bearish reversals. Most of the time, this fishing exercise does not uncover a...
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How to Trade Gaps Up (and Down) After Earnings
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen shares how the markets trade right before the elections, and also reviews the move in Tesla (TSLA) after reporting earnings. She shares examples of what to watch for if your stock is due to report earnings - and what to do if it...
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The US is Not the Only Stock Market in the World
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Asian stock markets showing strong relative trends.
* Meanwhile, India, Mexico, and Brazil are nosediving.
* Overall, the US is stull beating Europe.
The global stock market is a big place, and it extends far beyond the borders of the United States. While the US market is undeniably the largest...
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This Stock Market Will Likely Outperform the World Index, But Could Be Outshone by Something Completely Different
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Since 2011, the US stock market, represented by the S&P Composite, has outperformed the world. In the last couple of weeks or so, it has managed to break out from a trading range in its relationship with the rest of the world and looks headed even higher on...
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My Favorite RSI Signal
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
In this exclusive StockCharts video, Joe shows how he sets up the RSI 20 and 5 in ACP to save space and improve analysis. He explains how he uses RSI for both reading the trend and for fine-tuning entry in a strong trend. He gives examples using weekly, daily, and...
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Be On the Lookout for THIS During Earnings Season!
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen reviews what's driving the markets higher and how you can capitalize. Moves in TSLA, NVDA, and NFLX are highlighted. She also reviews price action greatly impacted by earnings, many driven by analyst upgrades and downgrades.
This video originally premiered October 18,...
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Why the MACD Crossover Signal is SO Important
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe shares the MACD downside crossover signal and explains the different ways it can play out when it takes place above the MACD zero line. These downside crossovers can lead to opportunities depending on other criteria, including the ADX action. He then shows how...
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The Next Big Move in Yields May Be Different Than You Think
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Below, Chart 1 shows a weekly plot for the 30-year yield, where we can see a perfectly formed top whose completion was followed by a negative 65-week EMA crossover. At the time of the breakdown, there were few grounds for suspecting a false break. However, in the last couple of...
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Cybersecurity ETF Comes to Life with New Trending Phase
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Stocks go through trending and non-trending phases.
* Non-trending phases often last longer than trending phases.
* CIBR recently broke out and started a new trending phase.
The Cybersecurity ETF (CIBR) is resuming the lead as it surged to new highs this past week. It is important to note that...
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Last Week's Pullback is a Buying Opportunity!
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen highlights what's driving these markets higher despite a rise in interest rates. She also focuses on the leadership area in Technology and shares several stocks from this group. Last up, she reviews how to quickly uncover top stock candidates when a...
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It's Large-Cap Growth Stocks (Mag 7) Once Again
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* SPY is starting to resolve its negative divergence with RSI.
* Large-cap growth is coming back into favor.
* Magnificent 7 stocks provided 2.9% of the S&P 50's 6.8% performance over the past five weeks.
Where is the Recent Performance in the S&...
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Tech vs Semiconductors: Which One Should You Be Trading?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Doing a top-down sector-to-industry analysis can be an effective way to find tradable opportunities.
* It makes sense to compare charts to see which ones are outperforming and which are underperforming.
* Get a bigger picture, drill down using relative performance indicators, and then examine specific key levels of each...
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What's Wrong With This SPX Breakout?
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe presents the price pattern to follow the recent breakout in the S&P 500. He discusses narrow range bars, wide range bars and when they are important. Joe then explains what needs to take place now to either confirm a breakout or...
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Oil Prices Soar Amid Middle East Tensions – What's Next for Gas Prices?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Crude oil prices spiked, largely due to tensions in the Middle East.
* Gasoline prices are following crude oil prices.
* An analysis of the charts of crude oil and gasoline prices show potential trading opportunities.
Monday saw something of a bloodbath on Wall Street, with the Dow ($INDU) plunging...
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Will Technology Drive S&P Higher in October?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius explores the October seasonal outlook for the S&P 500 and various sectors. Seasonality suggests a potential rise in the S&P 500, fueled by strength in technology, but there are still concerns about the ongoing negative divergence between price and...
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Gold Price Surge: What Goldman Sachs' $2,900 Forecast Means for Investors
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Goldman Sachs just raised their price target for gold to $2,900 an ounce.
* Goldman Sachs' price target roughly equals $280 in SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD).
* GLD could have more room to run.
Here's the issue with gold: it's difficult to find...
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Traders are Eyeing These Metals After China's Big Economic Shift: Here's What You Need to Know
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Metals appear to be reacting bullishly after China injected more stimulus into its economy.
* Gold, silver, and copper are displaying unique patterns and structures.
* Keep an eye on momentum for clues as to each metal's likely move within the context of its current pattern.
China'...
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Are Lower Interest Rates Bad For Workers? | Focus on Stocks: October 2024
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
The common economic perception is that lower interest rates are good for business, which, in turn, means good for job growth. The following charts will turn that idea upside down and inside out. Keep in mind there is no chart fancy-dancing going on here; I am just presenting the last...
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