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Are Lower Interest Rates Bad For Workers? | Focus on Stocks: October 2024
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
The common economic perception is that lower interest rates are good for business, which, in turn, means good for job growth. The following charts will turn that idea upside down and inside out. Keep in mind there is no chart fancy-dancing going on here; I am just presenting the last...
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Stock Market's Spectacular Q3: Highest Sector Performer is Utilities
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The leading sector performer in Q3 was Utilities, up by 19.35%.
* Utility stocks are gaining attention because of their ability to power up AI companies.
* Many utility stocks provide dividends, which could add some extra cash to your portfolio.
September, typically considered to be the weakest month...
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Why Were Chinese Stocks Up 20% Last Week?!
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen reviews the broader markets, including sector and industry group rotation, before highlighting the sharp move into Chinese stocks. She shares her thoughts on whether it's too late to participate. In addition, she looks at the key traits that signal your stock...
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Unlocking GDX's Short-Term Potential: How to Nail the Measured Move Strategy
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) broke above its recent highs, confirming a continued uptrend.
* GDX displayed a short-term trading setup that was apparent in its price chart.
* The "measured move" rule can exploit an obvious short-term trading opportunity in GDX.
A few weeks back, two...
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SCTR Report: China Adds More Stimulus, FXI in Second Position
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) gains technical strength and has made it to second position in the StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR).
* FXI could be in the early stages of a bull rally, so keep an eye on this ETF.
* Set your price target levels for entry and exit...
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Strategy After Rate Cuts: Best Areas to BUY!
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen reviews the broader markets after last week's rate-cut induced rally. She also shares stocks that are breaking out of bases and poised to trade higher. The "nuclear renaissance" is also discussed, as well as stocks that will benefit the...
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A Sector Rotation Dilemma ...
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Sector Rotation remains defensive
* S&P chart showing resemblence to late 2021
* Negative divergences still in play
First of all, I apologize for my absence this week. I caught something that looked like Covid, and felt like Covid, but it did not identify (pun intended) as Covid....
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Analyzing Investor Sentiment for Gold
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
Sentiment indicators are contrarian, meaning that when the majority of investors are bullish on a market, it is bearish for that market. Most investors are aware of several sentiment indicators that relate to the stock market, but they may not be aware that there is a sentiment indicator for gold...
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The Secret to Perfecting SPY Entry Points? RSI!
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe shows how to use RSI in multiple timeframes to identify the next buying opportunity in the SPY. Joe thinks this rally is important; he uses the ADX to distinguish between the strength in different indices. Joe demonstrates how he moves quickly around ACP,...
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Investors Hesitant Ahead of Fed Meeting: How to Prepare
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Broader stock market indexes went above resistance levels, but retreated by the close.
* Small-cap stocks took the lead in Tuesday's trading.
* The Fed's decision on interest rates could make for a volatile trading day.
The broader stock market indexes are still in a holding...
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How High Can Gold Prices Go? The Tools You Need to Spot the Next Big Breakout!
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Gold prices are soaring and are at an all-time high.
* Anticipated Fed rate cuts can send gold prices higher.
* There are two tools you can use to project gold price action in bullish and bearish scenarios.
As of Tuesday, the CME's FedWatch Tool gave a 67%...
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An Indicator to Reduce Whipsaws and Ride Trends
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Whipsaws and losing trades are part of the process for trend-following strategies.
* These strategies are profitable because average profits far exceed average losses.
* Chartists can reduce whipsaws by adding signal thresholds to the 5/200 day SMA cross.
Whipsaws and losing trades are part of the process for...
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These Stocks are Just Beginning Their Move Higher!
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen reviews the broader markets and highlights pockets of strength that are starting to trend higher. She also shares add-on plays to the move into home construction stocks, and shows key characteristics needed to confirm a downtrend reversal in select stocks.
This video originally...
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A Half Point Fed Rate Cut? The Stock Market Thinks So
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Stocks make a strong recovery after last week's selloff.
* Large-, mid-, and small-cap stocks closed higher, with small caps the clear leader.
* Gold and silver prices surged on interest rate cut expectations.
This week's stock market action may have caught many investors by surprise....
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A Déjà Vu in The Consumer Staples Sector Sends a Strong Warning Signal
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Tech bounce is judged as recovery within downtrend.
* XLP, XLF, and XLV are positioned for outperformance in coming weeks.
* The XLP chart is showing interesting characteristics which we have seen before
Tech Rallies, But Remains Inside the Lagging Quadrant
A quick look at the Relative Rotation Graph for...
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Stock Market Today: Are Big Tech Growth Stocks Back in the Spotlight?
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Stocks rebounded on Wednesday with wide trading ranges.
* Investors are rotating back into large-cap growth and momentum stocks.
* The Financial sector was hit hard by negative news from banks but made some recovery.
It was a massive turnaround day in the market on Wednesday—stocks sold off after...
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Pinpoint Strong Sectors BEFORE The Masses Notice
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe discusses why he is a bottom-up technical analyst. He explains the difference between top-down and bottom-up analysis and uses this to show the strongest sectors rotating to the upside right now; this approach will help give advance notice of which areas to focus...
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Stock Market Today: Real Estate and Tech Lead, Energy Down
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The real estate sector gains ground as interest rate cuts loom.
* Technology stocks are showing slight gains, but not enough to shift momentum.
* Energy prices slide lower on weakened demand.
The Real Estate sector took the lead in Tuesday's trading, probably because interest rate cuts are...
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Biotech's Big Comeback: Why Investors are Eyeing This Beaten-Down Sector
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* With Fed rate cuts now widely anticipated, investors are looking to the biotech industry for potential investment opportunities.
* Biotech, a highly-speculative industry, has declined sharply since 2020 as inflation, along with higher interest rates, set in.
* You can spot green shoots of capital flowing into biotech; watch the...
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Broad-Based Stock Market Selloff: How to Position Your Portfolio?
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Broader stock market indexes sell off as investors fear rate cuts may be too late.
* Treasury yields fell to their lowest yearly levels.
* Big Tech stocks got hammered, with semiconductor stocks getting hit the hardest.
After a week of wavering action, the stock market made a directional move—...
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How to Spot a Golden Mining Opportunity Using SCTR Reports
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The SCTR Report highlighted two gold miner ETFs, indicating that the industry is seeing positive movement.
* A deeper dive into gold miner ETFs uncovers problems and opportunities.
* The ZigZag line applied to the chart of GDX helps identify entry and exit levels.
On Thursday afternoon, I dove into...
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It all Started with a Big Bang!
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Extended uptrends often start with a bang, a big bang.
* Chartists can find big bangs by measuring price moves in ATR terms.
* Paypal broke a major resistance level with a 5+ ATR advance in August.
Extended trends often start with big bangs and major breakouts. Chartists can identify...
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Should You Buy the Dip in NVDA?
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen reviews the broader markets, including NASDAQ weakness, and the outperformance in the equal-weighted S&P 500. She examines NVDA and shares how you should trade the stock depending on your investment horizon. Last up, Mary Ellen reveals top stocks in leadership areas....
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What Would a Top in Semiconductors Mean for the S&P 500?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* A head-and-shoulders top pattern has to complete three phases before it can be considered valid.
* Even if semiconductors would complete this bearish price pattern, strength in other sectors suggests limited impact on the broader equity space.
After Nvidia (NVDA) dropped after earnings this week, investors are once again...
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Charting Forward: Opportunities You Can Seize in September
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Stocks close higher on Friday with volatility remaining low.
* September is typically a weak month for equities.
* Energy and Utilities tend to perform better in September.
It's a quiet end to August, with the broader stock market indexes wavering higher and lower. The Market Overview panel...
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New Highs, But Danger Looms—Is XLF Heading for a Big Fall?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Financials typically struggle in September, but tend to rally in Q4.
* XLF has broken into all-time high territory, but its momentum is fading.
* If XLF dips in September, it could present a buying opportunity.
Financial sector stocks are at an all-time high, fueled partly by earnings beats, a...
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NVDA is Not the Only Semiconductor Stock Out There
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* SPY is pushing against resistance.
* The technology sector is out of favor, and semiconductors are a drag for it.
* NVDA is big, but it is not the only semiconductor stock.
It's All Still Relative
The weekly Relative Rotation Graph, as it looks toward the close of...
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NVDA Earnings Miss, Yet Dow Powers Higher
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down key sector leadership themes and why growth stocks like Nvidia continue to take a back seat to value-oriented sectors. He speaks to the inverted yield curve, performance of the equal-weighted S&P 500 vs. the Magnificent...
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Stock Market Today: NVDA Reports, Tech Lags, Financials Take the Lead
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The leading sector today was the Financials, followed by Health Care and Utilities.
* Technology stocks sold off significantly and was the worst sector performer.
* With interest rate cuts expected in the next FOMC meeting, financial stocks have the potential to rise further.
Today's MarketCarpet was a...
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Earnings Provide Another Nail in the Retail Coffin
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps a brutal day for retailers as ANF, FL, and BBWI drop on earnings misses. He also highlights the bullish primary trend for hold, shares two breakout names in the consumer staples sector, and breaks down key names in...
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Three Technology Stocks in Make or Break Scenarios
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave focuses in on three key charts to watch in the technology sector as investors anxiously await NVDA earnings and Friday's inflation data. He also shares two important charts for tracking improving market breadth conditions and highlights the...
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Stock Market Today: Two Sectors That Can Make Sizable Moves
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Financial and Technology sectors were the leaders.
* With NVDA reporting earnings, tech stocks, especially semiconductors, could steal the spotlight again.
* With interest rate cuts on the horizon, financial stocks could see increased momentum.
Have you ever been in a plane that keeps circling around, waiting to land? That&...
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Major Market Shift As Week Ends Strong!
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen reviews the broader market's health while highlighting big shifts into newer areas, including banks, retail, and autos. Sharing one of the reasons Tech stocks were weak, she highlights which areas as seeing renewed strength. She also looked at individual stocks that...
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RRG-Velocity Jumping on XLF Tail
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Sector rotation out of technology
* All other sectors are picking up relative strength
* Real-Estate, Utilities, and Financials showing strong rotations
On the weekly Relative Rotation Graph, the rotation still favors almost every sector over Technology. I discussed the opposite rotations between weekly and daily RRGs in last week&...
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Gold Miners' Performance vs. Gold -- Does It Say Sell Gold?
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In Monday's DecisionPoint Trading Room video, we were asked why we cover Gold Miners (GDX) as well as Gold (GLD). There are two reasons:
1. Some people prefer to own the commodity, Gold, and others prefer to own an operating company that benefits from the price of Gold,...
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Looking for the Next Entry Point in SPY? USE RSI!
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe shows how to use RSI in multiple timeframes to identify the next buying opportunity in the SPY. He explains why he thinks this rally is important and uses the ADX on the daily to distinguish between the strength in different indices. Joe also...
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What Does This Mean for the S&P 500 Rally?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius looks at the conflicting rotations in both asset classes and equity sectors. The weekly rotations differ significantly from their daily counterparts. What does it mean for the current rally in the S&P 500, and what does it mean for the relationship...
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This Market is On Track for a 45-Year Breakout
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
It's not very often that any market experiences a 10-year breakout, let alone a 45-year one. That, however, is what Chart 1 says is about to materialize for the inflation-adjusted gold price.
Since the chart is based on monthly data, we will not know for sure until the...
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These Groups Just Turned BULLISH!
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen highlights what drove last week's sharp rally in the markets - posting their largest weekly gains for the year! She takes a close look at retail and cybersecurity stocks setting up for gains, and shares some of the best ways to...
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Will XRT (Retail) Sink or Soar? Here's What the Charts Say
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Retail stocks jumped on Thursday as the retail sales report came out higher than expected
* The SPDR S&P Retail ETF, XRT, gapped higher, but it's stuck in the middle of a wide rectangle formation
* Whether XRT breaks out or breaks down, there are key...
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