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What's Wrong With This SPX Breakout?
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe presents the price pattern to follow the recent breakout in the S&P 500. He discusses narrow range bars, wide range bars and when they are important. Joe then explains what needs to take place now to either confirm a breakout or...
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Three Thoughts on Risk Management for October 2024
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Watch the S&P 500's "line in the sand" for a signs of a breakdown in the major averages.
* Market breadth indicators could provide an early warning of a potential breakdown for the benchmarks.
* By being thoughtful about your position sizing for each...
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SCTR Report: Carvana Stock Skyrockets, Hits a New 52-Week High -- What This Means for Investors
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Carvana stock is back on top of the Top 10 Large-Cap SCTR Report.
* If you have a long position in Carvana, monitor your positions carefully.
* The stock has the potential to rise much higher, so enjoy the ride while you can.
Apologies for revisiting Carvana (CVNA), but it...
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Why This S&P Support Level is SO IMPORTANT
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius presents a few conflicting rotations and signals that continue to warrant caution while the S&P 500 keeps hovering just above support. With the negative divergences between price and MACD/RSI remaining intact, SPY should not break 565. Julius looks at rotations...
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Oil Prices Soar Amid Middle East Tensions – What's Next for Gas Prices?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Crude oil prices spiked, largely due to tensions in the Middle East.
* Gasoline prices are following crude oil prices.
* An analysis of the charts of crude oil and gasoline prices show potential trading opportunities.
Monday saw something of a bloodbath on Wall Street, with the Dow ($INDU) plunging...
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Market Top in October? 2007 vs. 2024
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Will we see a major market top during the month of October? Dave breaks down three market breadth indicators and compares their current configuration to what we observed at the 2007 market top. He then goes through the charts and reviews market topping conditions from a breadth perspective using the...
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Did We Just See a False Breakdown in Crude Oil?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Using West Texas Crude, Chart 1 features one of my favorite techniques for identifying changes in long-term trends, which is simply a PPO using the 6- and 15-month parameters. When it is above zero, it's bullish, and when below, bearish. The pink shading indicates bearish periods, and the...
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DP Trading Room: A Case for a Market Top
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
During today's market analysis Carl laid out his reasons why we believe we are at a market top. He discusses the current market price action combined with exclusive DecisionPoint indicators to substantiate his position. Don't miss his analysis.
Carl also goes though the Magnificent Seven by...
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Does the Market Have Bad Breadth?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* There have been less new 52-week highs since mid-September, suggesting leaders are falling off.
* The percent of S&P 500 members above their 50-day moving average is below 75%, which often serves as a threshold for a downturn.
* The S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index remains...
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What More do the Bulls Want?
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Over 70% of S&P 500 stocks are above their 200-day SMAs.
* SPY and RSP are trading near new highs.
* We see a bullish continuation pattern in a key AI stock.
It is a bull market for stocks. On the chart below, the S&P 500...
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Will Technology Drive S&P Higher in October?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius explores the October seasonal outlook for the S&P 500 and various sectors. Seasonality suggests a potential rise in the S&P 500, fueled by strength in technology, but there are still concerns about the ongoing negative divergence between price and...
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Gold Price Surge: What Goldman Sachs' $2,900 Forecast Means for Investors
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Goldman Sachs just raised their price target for gold to $2,900 an ounce.
* Goldman Sachs' price target roughly equals $280 in SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD).
* GLD could have more room to run.
Here's the issue with gold: it's difficult to find...
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China Stocks May Be On to Something
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
China's stock market exploded last week in an amazing rally, so formidable that it raises the question of whether it could be the start of a new bull market, or just a short-covering rally which will quickly fizzle out. In that respect, it's important to note...
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SCTR Report: Vistra Energy Soars, Reaches New All-Time High
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Vistra Energy can be a big player in providing nuclear power to AI companies.
* Vistra Energy's stock price has hit an all-time high.
* There are support levels on the daily price chart that could present buying opportunities in VST.
Utility stocks are now becoming cool. Going...
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With 2024 Q2 Earnings In, Market Remains Very Overvalued
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
S&P 500 earnings are in for 2024 Q2, and here is our valuation analysis.
The following chart shows the normal value range of the S&P 500 Index, indicating where the S&P 500 would have to be in order to have an overvalued P/E...
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Traders are Eyeing These Metals After China's Big Economic Shift: Here's What You Need to Know
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Metals appear to be reacting bullishly after China injected more stimulus into its economy.
* Gold, silver, and copper are displaying unique patterns and structures.
* Keep an eye on momentum for clues as to each metal's likely move within the context of its current pattern.
China'...
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Stock Market's Spectacular Q3: Highest Sector Performer is Utilities
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The leading sector performer in Q3 was Utilities, up by 19.35%.
* Utility stocks are gaining attention because of their ability to power up AI companies.
* Many utility stocks provide dividends, which could add some extra cash to your portfolio.
September, typically considered to be the weakest month...
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DP Trading Room: Uncovering Stocks from DP Scan Alerts
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
In today's free DecisionPoint Trading Room, Erin pulls out her exclusive DecisionPoint Diamond Scans and finds us some new and interesting stock symbols to explore further. These scans are very powerful and bring the best charts to your attention. DecisionPoint has a new Scan Alert System for purchase...
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Top Ten Charts to Watch for October 2024
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
As we near the end of what has been a fairly solid Q3 for the equity markets, we are left with the eternal question for investors: "What's next?"
We now have the Fed's first rate cut in the rearview mirror, with multiple rate cuts...
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This Week's "Sector to Watch" and "Industry Group to Watch"
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
On Friday mornings in our DP Diamonds subscriber-only trading room, the DecisionPoint Diamond Mine, I like to look for a "Sector to Watch" and an "Industry Group to Watch" within. These are for your watchlist and not necessarily ready for immediate investment. In the case of...
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Unlocking GDX's Short-Term Potential: How to Nail the Measured Move Strategy
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) broke above its recent highs, confirming a continued uptrend.
* GDX displayed a short-term trading setup that was apparent in its price chart.
* The "measured move" rule can exploit an obvious short-term trading opportunity in GDX.
A few weeks back, two...
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Opportunities in Industrials and Materials
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Negative divergence remains a distracting factor
* Defensive rotation still present
* Industrials and Materials on positive track toward leading RRG quadrant
Despite a backdrop of conflicting market signals, there are still sectors within the S&P 500 that are showing promising movements and potential opportunities for investors. Today,...
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SCTR Report: China Adds More Stimulus, FXI in Second Position
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) gains technical strength and has made it to second position in the StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR).
* FXI could be in the early stages of a bull rally, so keep an eye on this ETF.
* Set your price target levels for entry and exit...
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How to Use the ADX Indicator (Trend Strength Explained)
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe presents an introduction to the Average Directional Index (ADX), sharing how it is calculated and how to use it. He highlights some of the strengths, and weaknesses, of this powerful indicator. He then analyzes Bitcoin, NVDA, and AVGO, and finishes up the show...
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How to Spot the Perfect Buying Opportunity in XLRE
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Investors began piling into real estate stocks over the last three months.
* XLRE is now just under 1% from its 52-week high, as indicated by the Distance From Highs indicator.
* With a potential dip on the horizon in XLRE, watch these levels to spot zones of opportunity from...
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The Dollar Index is Down, But Is It Out?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
The Dollar Index has been selling off sharply in the last few weeks and has now reached critical support in the form of the lower part of its recent trading range. The big question is whether it will break below the range or extend it in any way.
Chart 1...
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DP Trading Room: Analyzing Two New Stocks in SP500 (DELL, PLTR)
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
In today's free DP Trading Room Carl reviews the charts of two new members to the SP500, Dell (DELL) and Palantir (PLTR). Are they poised to break out on this news?
Carl also discussed the inflation on housing prices to open the show. Before going over the signal...
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Bullish or Bearish? The Truth About Rate Cuts and Stock Performance
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
So the first Fed rate cut is behind us, and we are no longer in a "higher for longer" period, but in a new rate cut cycle which will most likely last well into 2025. So that's good news for stocks, right? Well, not necessarily.
The...
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Dow Jones in the Spotlight, Bonds Stabilize, Tech Plays Catch-Up
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at a new all-time high.
* Stock market indexes still have bullish momentum in spite of up and down movement.
* Bond prices could stabilize after digesting the interest rate cut.
The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut decision on Wednesdaywas like receiving...
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A Sector Rotation Dilemma ...
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Sector Rotation remains defensive
* S&P chart showing resemblence to late 2021
* Negative divergences still in play
First of all, I apologize for my absence this week. I caught something that looked like Covid, and felt like Covid, but it did not identify (pun intended) as Covid....
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The SCTR Report: Carvana's Gain Makes It Worth a Revisit
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Carvana stock fell behind in its ranking during its August–September pullback, but it's now gaining momentum.
* From a weekly perspective, the uptrend in Carvana looks solid.
* Watch the Fibonacci retracement levels on the weekly chart to identify your entry and exit points.
On August 5,...
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This S&P 500 Rally is Defying the Experts – Here's What You Need to Know
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Wells Fargo analysts issued a warning about the current rally.
* Their last warning in November 2023 may have caused many investors to have missed out on a huge move.
* Analysts can be right or wrong, so it's important to watch key technical levels.
If you logged...
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DP Trading Room: Tracking Gold Sentiment
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
As part of Carl's review of Gold charts, he explained how we use the close-ended fund, Sprott Physical Gold Trust (PHYS) to measure sentiment for Gold. Depending on how PHYS trades, it trades at a discount or premium based on the physical Gold that it holds. These discounts...
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An Indicator to Reduce Whipsaws and Ride Trends
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Whipsaws and losing trades are part of the process for trend-following strategies.
* These strategies are profitable because average profits far exceed average losses.
* Chartists can reduce whipsaws by adding signal thresholds to the 5/200 day SMA cross.
Whipsaws and losing trades are part of the process for...
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A Déjà Vu in The Consumer Staples Sector Sends a Strong Warning Signal
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Tech bounce is judged as recovery within downtrend.
* XLP, XLF, and XLV are positioned for outperformance in coming weeks.
* The XLP chart is showing interesting characteristics which we have seen before
Tech Rallies, But Remains Inside the Lagging Quadrant
A quick look at the Relative Rotation Graph for...
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The SCTR Report: Insmed's Stock Hangs in the Balance—Here's What You Need to Know
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Insmed (INSM) has been near the top of the StockCharts SCTR report for weeks.
* Insmed's stock price has pulled back, but maintained its high SCTR score.
* Insmed could be posed for an upside move.
Numerous companies are making strides within their respective sectors, but, unless you...
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Stock Market Today: Are Big Tech Growth Stocks Back in the Spotlight?
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Stocks rebounded on Wednesday with wide trading ranges.
* Investors are rotating back into large-cap growth and momentum stocks.
* The Financial sector was hit hard by negative news from banks but made some recovery.
It was a massive turnaround day in the market on Wednesday—stocks sold off after...
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DP Trading Room: AI Bubble Deflating
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
The recent decline last week revealed that the artificial intelligence bubble is deflating. Magnificent Seven stocks are unwinding in response to investors losing confidence in the AI trade in general. Carl gives us a complete picture of the Magnificent Seven in the short and intermediate terms. It doesn't...
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Market Timing for a Rules-Based Strategy
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Chartists need a market timing mechanism to assess risk
* Risk is above average during bear markets (preserve capital)
* Risk levels are acceptable during bull markets (invest capital)
Any strategy that trades stocks needs some sort of market timing mechanism to identify bull and bear markets. Typically, stock strategies...
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Four Intermarket Confidence Relationships that Aren't Confident
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Most of the primary trend indicators I follow are in a bullish mode and show few signs of flagging. That said, some intermarket relationships, which help to indicate whether the environment is risk-off or risk-on, have started to move in a risk-off direction. That's usually a bearish omen...
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