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Double Top on Semiconductors (SMH)
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
(This is an excerpt from the subscriber-only DecisionPoint Alert)
We noticed a double top on the Semiconductor industry group (SMH) that looks very much like the NVIDIA (NVDA) chart. NVDA is clearly the bellwether for the group, and it appears all of the Semiconductors are feeling the pain. The downside...
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Will This Sector Rotation Be the Start of Something Bigger?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Technology is rotating out of favor
* Market Capitalization is a two-edged sword
* Negative divergences on Technology and S&P 500 charts are executing
Strong Rotations on Daily RRG
This daily RRG shows the sector rotation over the last five days. With only one more trading day to...
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Carvana Stock Is Picking Up Speed. Is Now the Time To Buy?
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Carvana stock hit a new 52-week high and has potential to move higher
* The weekly chart of Carvana's stock price shows the trend is up and has more upside potential
* Carvana's stock chart shows the relative strength index is just approaching overbought territory, indicating...
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These Two Sectors are Showing Promising Silver Cross Setups
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
A silver cross occurs when a 20-day MA crosses above its 50-day counterpart. While far from perfect, such signals enable you to ride a persistent trend. However, like all trend following techniques, problems can occur in a trading range environment.
Chart 1 features two recent buy signals for the S&...
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DP Trading Room: PMO Sort on Earnings Darlings
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Earnings are coming into focus and today Erin looks at the big earnings stocks to find out which look the best going into earnings. She took the list of stocks and sorted them by the Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) which put the strongest stocks at the top of the list....
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Using Nasdaq 100 Specific Breadth to Measure Risk Appetite
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Nasdaq 100 stocks account for over 30% of the S&P 500.
* Nasdaq 100 stocks represent the risk appetite in the stock market.
* Chartists can quantify the risk appetite using Nasdaq 100 specific breadth indicators.
The Nasdaq 100 is a major driver in the stock market and...
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Stock Market Makes Spectacular Run, and It's Not From the Popular Magnificent Seven
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Stock market sees rally in areas aside from the Magnificent Seven stocks
* Small-cap stocks had an impressive performance in the last two trading days of the week
* The stock market continues to show its bullish strength as we enter earnings season
What a strange trip it's...
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Citi Predicts $3,000 Gold by 2025 — What You Need to Know
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* What the Fed does in the coming months could dramatically affect the direction of gold prices
* While seasonality suggests a shift from slump to strong performance for gold, it will likely coincide with the Fed's rate decisions in the coming months
* Goldman Sachs projects gold to...
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NVDA & Mag 7 Breaking Down; Russell 2000 (IWM) and Retail (XRT) Get "Silver Cross" BUY Signals
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* NVIDIA (NVDA) breaks down with Magnificent Seven
* Russell 2000 (IWM) gets IT Trend Model "Silver Cross" BUY Signal
This is a complimentary excerpt from the subscriber-only DecisionPoint Alert.
NVIDIA (NVDA) broke down today in what looks like an echo of last month's pullback. There...
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When Will the Stock Market's Bullish Momentum Snap? Charts You Need to Watch
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The stock market could continue its bullish run on interest rate cut speculation
* The S&P 500 Equal-Weighted Index is a good indication of the health of the overall stock market
* Bond market action is often a leading indicator of stock market action
With the S&...
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They Say Three Steps and Stumble; This Market is Taking a Fourth
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
The legendary technician Edson Gould had a rule that, after three discount rate hikes, the stock market would be likely to stumble. That doesn't apply to emerging markets, but it did make a catchy headline. What is relevant to the iShares MSCI Emerging Market ETF (EEM) is that,...
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The BEST Way to Track Stock and ETF Performance
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, available to watch below, Dave continues a three-part series on selecting top charts to follow every month. In this second episode, Dave reviews charts he and Grayson Roze selected in May and June, reflecting on what has happened, what has...
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Silver's AI Boom: The Next Big Trade You Need to Know About
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Silver may be the next big "AI trade"
* While silver ETFs are seeing large outflows, silver futures are telling a different story
* Understanding silver's seasonal pattern and identifying the key levels to watch are critical
Over the last few years, the "AI trade&...
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Identifying Top Charts with Upside Potential in 2024
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, available to watch below, Dave begins a three-part series on selecting top charts to follow every month. In this first episode, he shares how he and Grayson Roze select the charts to include in the Top 10 lists using the...
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The Chart to Help Navigate a Summer Market Top
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Value sectors have been consistently underperforming the benchmarks since the April market low
* Technology has outperformed the S&P 500 as well as other growth sectors in 2024
* Defensive sectors like Utilities and Consumer Staples may be the most important to watch, as they can demonstrate investor...
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Tesla Stock's Shocking Comeback: What You Need to Know Before July 23
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* TSLA's stock price surged 32% above its zone of congestion following its April 23 earnings report
* News of Tesla's dwindling inventories, plus expectations of a Fed rate cut before the end of the year (among other things), are fueling the stock's advance...
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One Rule to Drastically Improve Your Trading
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe uses a chart of AAPL to demonstrate how properly using a MACD and ADX indicator combo increases your chances of success. He analyzes 10-Year Yields, Bitcoin, Tesla, Datadog, and ServiceNow. Going through all the sectors, Joe explains...
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Has Housing Topped Out for the Cycle?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Residential housing is not important for its size relative to GDP, which, according to Copilot, is about 3-5%. Rather, due to its interest rate sensitivity, housing is significant because it is the first sector of the economy to turn at the end of a recession, and the first to turn...
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Should You Be Worried About Poor Market Breadth?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, available to watch below, Dave celebrates the S&P 500 closing above 5500, laments the lack of market breadth, and provides updates on the infamous Hindenburg Omen. He also breaks down key levels to watch on charts of V,...
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Could AMZN's Stock Hit $3 Trillion Valuation? What You Need To Know
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* AMZN's stock price entered new all-time high territory, closing at $200.02; it could rise higher
* If AMZN's stock price dips, watch for key levels to enter a long position
* Amazons' next earnings report is expected to drop on August 1, 2024, which...
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AAPL and TSLA Kick Off Q2 With BREAKOUTS!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, available to watch below, Dave lays out the strong seasonal pattern for the S&P 500 in July, highlights the breakouts in AAPL and TSLA, shares the painful breakdowns in MGM, WM and CCL, and addresses the sudden rise...
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DP Trading Room: Deflation...a Possibility?
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Today's DP Trading Room was jam packed! The lead story is definitely the fact that deflation is another possibility that many are not talking about. We don't know if it will be the final outcome, but we have a link that discusses this possibility: https://hoisington....
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What to Expect This Month | Focus on Stocks: July 2024
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
Historically, July has seen stock prices move higher almost 80% of the time, cementing this in our trader's notebook as a time to stay home and trade. Others can vacation this month!
Chart 1 is my true seasonal pattern for the Dow for the last 124 years. It...
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Top 5 Stocks in "Go" Trends | Fri June 28, 2024
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Trend Continuation
* Breakouts
* Momentum Confirmation
* Bull Flags
Top 5 Stocks in "Go" Trends
Trend Continuation on Rising Momentum
GoNoGo Charts® highlight low-risk opportunities for trend participation with intuitive icons directly in the price action. The resurgence of momentum in the direction of the underlying price trend...
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Mastering GoNoGo Charting: Scanning Securities on StockCharts.com
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Scanning
* screening
* Idea Generation
* Market Breadth
Join Tyler Wood, CMT, in this insightful tutorial where he demonstrates how to effectively scan for GoNoGo conditions using StockCharts.com. GoNoGo Charts, a powerful method developed by Alex Cole and Tyler Wood, blend foundational tools in technical analysis into a powerful...
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The 4 Best Tech Stocks to Watch Now!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shares charts for Palo Alto Networks, Arista Networks, Adobe Systems, and Fortinet, four tech stocks that are all pushing higher despite major indexes remaining sideways going into Friday's economic releases. He also breaks down the chart of...
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Can Nvidia's Stock Skyrocket Again? Key Levels to Watch Now!
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* NVDA shares prices are falling, but it doesn't necessarily mean that the AI trend is at an end
* Expect near-term weakness in NVDA's stock price but keep in mind that longer-term prospects present a different picture
* Watch key support levels since ultra-bullish sentiment could...
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Dow Transports Are Set for a Short-Term Rally, But Will It Be Enough?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
The Transportation Sector has been one of the weaker brethren of late. That's important, as this market average forms part of the Dow Theory, which many observers believe is currently signaling a bear market. However, back in January, I wrote a piece on the Dow Theorythat came to...
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Why Investors are Betting Big on Berkshire Hathaway Class B Shares Right Now
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Berkshire Hathaway Class B shares are poised for an explosive breakout
* Fundamentally, BRK/B has been a consistent outperformer and is diversified among different sectors
* BRK/B is working its way through a symmetrical triangle formation and could breakout in either direction
Berkshire Hathaway needs no introduction. The...
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Large-Cap Growth Threatens the S&P Rally
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius takes a look at rotation among growth/value and size segments, followed by a look at current sector rotation. He detects an intraday sector rotation he has never seen before, which could be the prelude for a larger move.
This video was originally...
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Nvidia Plunges Over 6% to Mark the End of the AI Trade?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave tracks the rapid and concerning deterioration in semiconductors, with stocks like NVDA and AVGO pushing lower after last week's bearish candle patterns. He then dives into the downturn in Bitcoin, the impressive recovery for energy stocks, and...
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End of Quarter NASDAQ 100 Pile-On
by Bruce Fraser,
Industry-leading "Wyckoffian"
The NASDAQ 100 ($NDX) has been surging higher since October 2023 with the pace of advance accelerating in the second quarter of 2024. These 100 components are among the largest market capitalization NASDAQ Composite ($COMPQ) stocks. All of the ‘Magnificent-7' mega-caps are represented in this index. Now the second...
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Seasonality and Positive News Push These Stocks into an Uptrend
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
Last week, the broader market Indices hit another new high on Thursday before pulling back into Friday's close. Not all areas participated, however, as the recently explosive move into AI stocks ran into trouble later in the week. Instead, many of last week's top performers were...
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4 Ways To ENHANCE The Moving Averages On Your Charts
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
Moving averages are a crucial charting tool, but many of us aren't getting the most out of them. In this edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson shows you how to enhance your moving averages with 4 unique charts, straight out of his own account. You&...
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Tech Stocks Take a Breather: Is Now the Best Time To Buy the Chip Dip?
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Technology stocks end the week lower, breaking their winning streak
* Semiconductor stocks sell off and take the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite lower for the week
* Micron Technology announces earnings next week, which could mean the pullback may present an opportunity to load up on some...
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Why Technical Analysis Does NOT Work for Leveraged ETFs
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers viewer questions on using technical indicators on leveraged and inverse ETFs like SOXL and SOXS, buying breakouts below the 200-day moving average, upside targets for gold, and whether the $USD is in a primary uptrend.
See Dave'...
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Gilead's Game-Changer: What You Need to Know About the Stock
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Gilead Sciences' stock price got a boost from positive results of a late-stage trial of its HIV drug
* While Gilead still needs to replicate its results and seek FDA approval, this may be a good time for traders and investors to get in early on a potentially...
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Price Pays... But For How Long?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The number of new 52-week highs is declining
* The percentages of stocks trading above 200-,50-, and 20-day Exp Moving Averages are declining
* Despiote narrowing breadth, the S&P continues higher
While the S&P 500 continues to move higher, the number of stocks participating to...
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Investing with the Trend: Conclusions
by Greg Morris,
Veteran Technical Analyst, Investor, and Author
Note to the reader: This is the twenty-fifth and final in a series of articles I'm publishing here, taken from my book, "Investing with the Trend." Hopefully, you will find this content useful. Market myths are generally perpetuated by repetition, misleading symbolic connections, and the complete...
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Analyze This: Will the Dow Soar or Crash in 2024?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Analyst opinions of Dow Jones Industrial Average are mixed, with both bullish and bearish forecasts
* While some analysts expect the Dow to hit 40,000 this year, some say it can fall to 34,000
* Basic tools like trend lines and support-and-resistance, paired with Fibonacci Retracements, can help...
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