In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave continues a five-part series covering ten charts to watch in August 2024, focusing on potential ideas in the Consumer Staples sector. Are dividend-paying defensive names the way to ride out a period of market uncertainty? This video originally premiered... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius looks at the conflicting rotations in both asset classes and equity sectors. The weekly rotations differ significantly from their daily counterparts. What does it mean for the current rally in the S&P 500, and what does it mean for the relationship... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave kicks off a five-part series covering ten charts to watch in August 2024, starting with two mega-cap growth stocks testing key resistance levels. Will they power up to new all-time highs into September? This video originally premiered on August... READ MORE
It's not very often that any market experiences a 10-year breakout, let alone a 45-year one. That, however, is what Chart 1 says is about to materialize for the inflation-adjusted gold price. Since the chart is based on monthly data, we will not know for sure until the... READ MORE
Today Carl and Erin discuss the potential of a housing crash as more evidence is coming in that many haven't thought of. Private Equity firms have become very involved in the housing market, buying up properties on high amounts of leverage. What happens when it's time... READ MORE
In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen highlights what drove last week's sharp rally in the markets - posting their largest weekly gains for the year! She takes a close look at retail and cybersecurity stocks setting up for gains, and shares some of the best ways to... READ MORE
Larry is going LIVE! Don't miss the upcoming "Family Gathering" webinar with Larry Williams, airing live through Zoom on Thursday, August 22 at 2:00pm Eastern Daylight Time. In this must-see event, Larry will be presenting his current opinions on a broad variety of current market... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps another strong up day for growth leadership names, with ULTA and NVDA powering higher after retail sales numbers pushed aside inflation fears. He notes the cautious positioning in the NAAIM Exposure Index, Bitcoin's failed attempt to... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Rotation to large-cap growth is back * And so is the narrow foundation/breadth supporting this rally * Weekly and daily $SPX charts need to get in line Stronger than Expected The recent rally out of the August 5th low is definitely stronger than I had anticipated. I was watching... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Cooling inflation data added some optimism in the market although trading volume was low * The broader stock market indexes are seeing some daylight as they pop their heads out after being underwater * The Mag 7 stocks are showing strength, which means there could be some buying opportunities soon... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shows how breadth conditions have evolved so far in August, highlights the renewed strength in the financial sector with a focus on insurance stocks, and describes how the action so far in Q3 could be forming a potential head-and-shoulders... READ MORE
In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe shows the four stages a stock or market can be in at any time. He explains each stage and how ADX & Volatility can help define each stage. He then shows what stage the SPY is right and why the bias is still... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps an epic rally in mega cap growth stocks, with NVDA up over 6% and META threatening a new 52-week high. Dave highlights how gold and bond prices continue to rise in the face of stronger stocks, and breaks... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius assesses various rotations using Relative Rotation Graphs, starting at asset class level and then moving to sectors. Julius zooms in on the industries of two sectors to get an idea of where pockets of out-performance may exist in the current market. He then... READ MORE
Last Monday, markets around the world experienced a sharp drop as the unwinding of yen carry trades followed the previous Friday's response to a weak employment report. The speed and sharpness of the equity sell-off got the attention of the general-purpose media and just about everyone else. From... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps a choppy Monday for the equity markets, as gold tests new all-time highs and interest rates continue to plummet. He highlights the stock to bond ratio, revisits the classic 60:40 ratio favored by investors, and breaks down... READ MORE
Mortgage Rates fell quite a bit this past week and no one is really talking about it. One area that we will want to watch closely as rates fall is Real Estate (XLRE). This sector has already been moving in the right direction. It now has an opportunity to rally... READ MORE
In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen dives into her broad market analysis, sharing what she needs to see before it's safe to get back in. She also shares her top candidates for once the markets turn positive, including META, LLY and NFLX. She finishes up by sharing... READ MORE
The market extended its corrective move in the previous week; over the past five sessions, it has remained quite choppy and totally devoid of any definite directional bias. It absorbed a few global jerks and saw gaps on either side of its previous close on different occasions. While the level... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Scanning for breakouts on heavy volume * Momentum confirmations of underlying trends * Leading Equities in trend continuation Top 5 Stocks in "Go" Trends Trend Continuation on Rising Momentum GoNoGo Charts® highlight low-risk opportunities for trend participation with intuitive icons directly in the price action. The resurgence of... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The VIX reaching 65 signals extreme volatility and elevated risk of market downside * The AAII Survey is close to showing more bears than bulls, which would line up with previous corrections * The NAAIM Exposure Index indicates that money managers were rotating to defensive positioning in early July While... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The stock market indexes end the week on a positive note after a scary Monday * Volatility steps back slightly after a brief spike over 65 * Next week's consumer and producer inflation data could help set direction A sigh of relief? The US stock market started the... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave presents a special all-mailbag episode, answering viewer questions on optimizing entry points for long ideas, best practices for point & figure charts, and the relationship between gold and interest rates. See Dave's chart showing Zweig Breadth Thrust... READ MORE
In my last newsletter,I discussed cycle projections for the S&P 500, i.e., a rally and then down into a mid-September low. The recent price action in the stock market may have many of you wondering when to open long equity positions. My cycle work suggests we... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Small-cap stocks look like they have lost momentum. * Market breadth in small-cap stocks appears to be weakening. * The Utilities sector seems to be gaining momentum. Just so we are on the same page, I looked up "Great Rotation" on Microsoft's Copilot and came away... READ MORE
The market is dropping perilously right now and so it is time to review Bear Market Rules. Today Erin and Carl share their rules for trading during a bear market move. We aren't officially in a bear market and we may not get there, but there is likely... READ MORE
The previous week turned out quite volatile for the markets as they not only marked a fresh lifetime high but also faced corrective pressure as well towards the end of the week. The markets maintained an upward momentum all through the week. It scaled the psychologically important 25000 level as... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Weak manufacturing and jobs data sends investors into panic mode * All broader stock market indexes fall over 2% * Bond prices rise The dog days of summer are here. And the stock market gives us a brutal reminder of this. The first trading day of August began on a... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Some real damage for the markets * Equal weight sector rotation paints a more realistic picture * The BIG ROTATION into small caps has come to a halt And then ..... all of a sudden..... things are heating up. Lots of (downside) market action in the past week. Let's... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Most stocks follow their underlying index or group. * Oversold conditions in long-term uptrends are opportunities. * Stocks can remain oversold so wait for an upward catalyst. The broad market and the group are big drivers for stock performance. Recently, the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) led the market lower with... READ MORE
It looks to me like it's time for the bond market to take a breather, if not have a pullback from now into late October. We can sum it up with the cycle projections from Chart 1. I have highlighted, in red, the down leg of the 450-day... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Investor sentiment has turned more bearish with a continuation of a selloff in big tech stocks. * More earnings, an FOMC meeting, and jobs report are adding to investor uncertainty. * Keep an eye on bond prices as the data starts to unravel. Last week, there was a noticeable change... READ MORE
The S&P 500 index ($SPX) is a capitalization-weighted stock index. Many lesser capitalization blue-chip stocks that compose these 500 companies have been performance laggards. Though smaller companies in the index, these corporations are among the bluest of the blue-chip stocks. These prestigious corporations have been overshadowed by the... READ MORE
The bond market experienced a secular bear between 1981 and the spring of 2020. Chart 1 offers three reasons why it has since reversed and given way to a secular uptrend or possibly multi-year trading range. The first piece of evidence comes from violating the multi-decade trendline. Second, the price... READ MORE
This week we have four Magnificent Seven stocks reporting earnings. We also take a look at McDonalds (MCD) and Ford (F) going into earnings. How are the chart technicals setup on the precipice of earnings? Carl and Erin give you there thoughts. Carl reviews the DP Signal Tables to see... READ MORE
This week saw the major equity averages continue a confirmed pullback phase, with some of the biggest gainers in the first half of 2024 logging some major losses. Is this one of the most buyable dips of the year? Or is this just the beginning of a protracted decline with... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * After two days of massive selloffs, Friday's recovery offers some hope. * Investors await earnings from mega-cap tech companies, economic data, and Fed meeting. * Small caps continue to trend higher. Major equity indexes rose on Friday after a selloff that hit the Technology sector especially hard. But... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Strong Sector Rotation Out Of Technology * Financials and Real Estate Lead * Stock/Bond Ratio Triggers Sell Signal Flying Financials In the recent sector rotation, basically OUT of technology and INTO anything else, Financials and Real-Estate led the relative move. On the RRG above, I have highlighted the (daily)... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Tech stocks took a dive on Wednesday but look like they are making up some of those losses prior to hitting the next support level. * Expect volatility in the stock market in the coming weeks since it's earnings season and there's a Fed meeting... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave previews earnings releases from TSLA and GOOGL, breaks down key levels to watch for SPOT, GE, and more, and analyzes the discrepancy between S&P 500 and Nasdaq breadth indicators. See Dave's MarketCarpet featuring the Vanilla... READ MORE