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Investors Hesitant Ahead of Fed Meeting: How to Prepare

Investors Hesitant Ahead of Fed Meeting: How to Prepare

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Broader stock market indexes went above resistance levels, but retreated by the close. * Small-cap stocks took the lead in Tuesday's trading. * The Fed's decision on interest rates could make for a volatile trading day. The broader stock market indexes are still in a holding...   READ MORE 

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DP Trading Room: Tracking Gold Sentiment

DP Trading Room: Tracking Gold Sentiment

As part of Carl's review of Gold charts, he explained how we use the close-ended fund, Sprott Physical Gold Trust (PHYS) to measure sentiment for Gold. Depending on how PHYS trades, it trades at a discount or premium based on the physical Gold that it holds. These discounts...   READ MORE 

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These Stocks are Just Beginning Their Move Higher!

These Stocks are Just Beginning Their Move Higher!

In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen reviews the broader markets and highlights pockets of strength that are starting to trend higher. She also shares add-on plays to the move into home construction stocks, and shows key characteristics needed to confirm a downtrend reversal in select stocks. This video originally...   READ MORE 

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Here's My Most-Likely Scenario for QQQ

Here's My Most-Likely Scenario for QQQ

While the S&P 500 finished the week once again testing new all-time highs around 5650, the Nasdaq 100 remains rangebound in a symmetrical triangle or "coil" pattern.  While this pattern does not necessarily suggest a potential next move for the QQQ, it did lead me to...   READ MORE 

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A Half Point Fed Rate Cut? The Stock Market Thinks So

A Half Point Fed Rate Cut? The Stock Market Thinks So

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Stocks make a strong recovery after last week's selloff. * Large-, mid-, and small-cap stocks closed higher, with small caps the clear leader. * Gold and silver prices surged on interest rate cut expectations. This week's stock market action may have caught many investors by surprise....   READ MORE 

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Larry's LIVE "Family Gathering" Webinar Airs NEXT WEEK - Thursday, September 19 at 2 PM EDT!

Larry's LIVE "Family Gathering" Webinar Airs NEXT WEEK - Thursday, September 19 at 2 PM EDT!

Larry is going LIVE! Don't miss the upcoming "Family Gathering" webinar with Larry Williams, airing live through Zoom on Thursday, September 19 at 2:00pm Eastern Daylight Time. In this must-see event, Larry will be presenting his current opinions on a broad variety of current market...   READ MORE 

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A Déjà Vu in The Consumer Staples Sector Sends a Strong Warning Signal

A Déjà Vu in The Consumer Staples Sector Sends a Strong Warning Signal

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Tech bounce is judged as recovery within downtrend. * XLP, XLF, and XLV are positioned for outperformance in coming weeks. * The XLP chart is showing interesting characteristics which we have seen before Tech Rallies, But Remains Inside the Lagging Quadrant A quick look at the Relative Rotation Graph for...   READ MORE 

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Stock Market Today: Are Big Tech Growth Stocks Back in the Spotlight?

Stock Market Today: Are Big Tech Growth Stocks Back in the Spotlight?

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Stocks rebounded on Wednesday with wide trading ranges. * Investors are rotating back into large-cap growth and momentum stocks. * The Financial sector was hit hard by negative news from banks but made some recovery. It was a massive turnaround day in the market on Wednesday—stocks sold off after...   READ MORE 

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Pinpoint Strong Sectors BEFORE The Masses Notice

Pinpoint Strong Sectors BEFORE The Masses Notice

In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe discusses why he is a bottom-up technical analyst. He explains the difference between top-down and bottom-up analysis and uses this to show the strongest sectors rotating to the upside right now; this approach will help give advance notice of which areas to focus...   READ MORE 

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Why Stock Outperformance Might be ENDING!

Why Stock Outperformance Might be ENDING!

In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius takes a look at rotations in an asset allocation RRG. He compares fixed-income-related asset classes, commodities, the US dollar, Bitcoin and stocks to a balanced portfolio of 60% stocks/40% bonds. The long-lasting outperformance of stocks seems to be coming to an end....   READ MORE 

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Stock Market Today: Real Estate and Tech Lead, Energy Down

Stock Market Today: Real Estate and Tech Lead, Energy Down

KEY TAKEAWAYS * The real estate sector gains ground as interest rate cuts loom. * Technology stocks are showing slight gains, but not enough to shift momentum. * Energy prices slide lower on weakened demand. The Real Estate sector took the lead in Tuesday's trading, probably because interest rate cuts are...   READ MORE 

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DP Trading Room: AI Bubble Deflating

DP Trading Room: AI Bubble Deflating

The recent decline last week revealed that the artificial intelligence bubble is deflating. Magnificent Seven stocks are unwinding in response to investors losing confidence in the AI trade in general. Carl gives us a complete picture of the Magnificent Seven in the short and intermediate terms. It doesn't...   READ MORE 

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Market Timing for a Rules-Based Strategy

Market Timing for a Rules-Based Strategy

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Chartists need a market timing mechanism to assess risk * Risk is above average during bear markets (preserve capital) * Risk levels are acceptable during bull markets (invest capital) Any strategy that trades stocks needs some sort of market timing mechanism to identify bull and bear markets. Typically, stock strategies...   READ MORE 

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Four Intermarket Confidence Relationships that Aren't Confident

Four Intermarket Confidence Relationships that Aren't Confident

Most of the primary trend indicators I follow are in a bullish mode and show few signs of flagging. That said, some intermarket relationships, which help to indicate whether the environment is risk-off or risk-on, have started to move in a risk-off direction. That's usually a bearish omen...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: NIFTY Shows Early Signs of a Likely Disruption of Uptrend; Tread Cautiously

Week Ahead: NIFTY Shows Early Signs of a Likely Disruption of Uptrend; Tread Cautiously

After initially forming a fresh incremental lifetime high, the markets succumbed to selling pressure from higher levels after spending some indecisive sessions during the week. The week that went by saw some early signs of the Nifty entering into broad corrective consolidation while ending near its low point of the...   READ MORE 

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Markets Nosedive Amid Recession Fears

Markets Nosedive Amid Recession Fears

In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen reviews the current downtrend taking place in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, and highlights the "uninverting" yield curve. She finishes with a deep dive into Nvidia, sharing how to handle the stock depending on your investment horizon. This video...   READ MORE 

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Broad-Based Stock Market Selloff: How to Position Your Portfolio?

Broad-Based Stock Market Selloff: How to Position Your Portfolio?

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Broader stock market indexes sell off as investors fear rate cuts may be too late. * Treasury yields fell to their lowest yearly levels. * Big Tech stocks got hammered, with semiconductor stocks getting hit the hardest. After a week of wavering action, the stock market made a directional move—...   READ MORE 

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Intermediate-Term Bearish Head & Shoulders on Semiconductors (SMH)

Intermediate-Term Bearish Head & Shoulders on Semiconductors (SMH)

We are always on the lookout for chart patterns. Recently, we've found a bearish head-and-shoulders developing on Semiconductors (SMH). Looking at the daily chart below, we can see the pattern developing. However, we do have to point out participation. Note the very low percentages on %Stocks > 20/...   READ MORE 

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Is It Time to Buy Intel?

Is It Time to Buy Intel?

I've been around long enough to remember when Intel (INTC) was the NVIDIA of the day. Now, INTC is under severe pressure, having suspended its dividend, and is currently being considered for removal from the Dow 30 Industrial Average. Oh, how the mighty have fallen! With INTC having...   READ MORE 

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The Best Reversal Patterns (Trading Strategy Explained)

The Best Reversal Patterns (Trading Strategy Explained)

In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe shares how he identifies and trades a reversal pattern. Highlighting what causes him to focus in on a stock, he shares the 1-2-3 reversal pattern, along with the keys in MACD and ADX that allow you to improve the risk/reward equation in...   READ MORE 

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Stock Market Today: Tech Tumbles as Mega-Cap Stocks Get Hit by Major Profit-Taking

Stock Market Today: Tech Tumbles as Mega-Cap Stocks Get Hit by Major Profit-Taking

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Semiconductor stocks get slammed * Volatility rises as investors become more fearful of more selling pressure ahead * Investors should be extremely cautious as Broadcom earnings and Non-Farm Payrolls could impact the stock market I hope you had a relaxing, restful long weekend, and welcome to September. It was a...   READ MORE 

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Why the S&P 500 Going Sideways is the Best Case Scenario

Why the S&P 500 Going Sideways is the Best Case Scenario

In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius evaluates the completed monthly charts for August, noting the strength of defensive sectors. He then analyzes a monthly RRG and seeks alignment for the observations from the price charts. Could "sideways" be the most positive scenario for the S&P...   READ MORE 

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Is It Inflation or Deflation? What's in Your Wallet?

Is It Inflation or Deflation? What's in Your Wallet?

Every business cycle has an inflationary and deflationary part, and it's very important for both traders and investors at least to try to have some understanding which has the upper hand at any particular point in time. For example, when the economy is in a slowdown or recessionary...   READ MORE 

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Signing Off

Signing Off

Signing Off I want to thank the owner/President of StockCharts.com, Chip Anderson, and his son, Eric, for 25 years of friendship, over 10 years of writing 200+ articles in my "Dancing with the Trend" blog on StockCharts.com. StockCharts.com offers a giant selection of tools...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: Uptrend Stays Intact for NIFTY; RRG Shows Distinctly Defensive Setup

Week Ahead: Uptrend Stays Intact for NIFTY; RRG Shows Distinctly Defensive Setup

The past session for the markets stayed quite trending, as the headline index continued with its upward move. While extending its gains, the Nifty 50 Index ended the week on a very strong note. Witnessing a strong momentum on the upside, the market expanded its trading range as well. The...   READ MORE 

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Should You Buy the Dip in NVDA?

Should You Buy the Dip in NVDA?

In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen reviews the broader markets, including NASDAQ weakness, and the outperformance in the equal-weighted S&P 500. She examines NVDA and shares how you should trade the stock depending on your investment horizon. Last up, Mary Ellen reveals top stocks in leadership areas....   READ MORE 

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What Would a Top in Semiconductors Mean for the S&P 500?

What Would a Top in Semiconductors Mean for the S&P 500?

KEY TAKEAWAYS * A head-and-shoulders top pattern has to complete three phases before it can be considered valid. * Even if semiconductors would complete this bearish price pattern, strength in other sectors suggests limited impact on the broader equity space. After Nvidia (NVDA) dropped after earnings this week, investors are once again...   READ MORE 

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Charting Forward: Opportunities You Can Seize in September

Charting Forward: Opportunities You Can Seize in September

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Stocks close higher on Friday with volatility remaining low. * September is typically a weak month for equities. * Energy and Utilities tend to perform better in September. It's a quiet end to August, with the broader stock market indexes wavering higher and lower. The Market Overview panel...   READ MORE 

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New Highs, But Danger Looms—Is XLF Heading for a Big Fall?

New Highs, But Danger Looms—Is XLF Heading for a Big Fall?

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Financials typically struggle in September, but tend to rally in Q4. * XLF has broken into all-time high territory, but its momentum is fading. * If XLF dips in September, it could present a buying opportunity. Financial sector stocks are at an all-time high, fueled partly by earnings beats, a...   READ MORE 

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NVDA is Not the Only Semiconductor Stock Out There

NVDA is Not the Only Semiconductor Stock Out There

KEY TAKEAWAYS * SPY is pushing against resistance. * The technology sector is out of favor, and semiconductors are a drag for it. * NVDA is big, but it is not the only semiconductor stock. It's All Still Relative The weekly Relative Rotation Graph, as it looks toward the close of...   READ MORE 

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A Deeper Dive into the Dollar | Focus on Stocks: September 2024

A Deeper Dive into the Dollar | Focus on Stocks: September 2024

Let's get this out of the way... In our last Family Gathering, I announced I am doing my best to retire. That means we will have our September Family Gathering, the October newsletter and mid-month Family Gathering. After that, "Focus on Stocks" is all over. I...   READ MORE 

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MarketCarpet Report: Stock Market Remains Resilient With Dow Notching a Record Close

MarketCarpet Report: Stock Market Remains Resilient With Dow Notching a Record Close

KEY TAKEAWAYS * The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at a record high in a thin trading day. * The Financial sector continues to lead. * Overall, the stock market remains healthy with low volatility. The thin trading ahead of Labor Day weekend is here. Despite that, on Thursday, the Dow Jones Industrial...   READ MORE 

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NVDA Earnings Miss, Yet Dow Powers Higher

NVDA Earnings Miss, Yet Dow Powers Higher

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down key sector leadership themes and why growth stocks like Nvidia continue to take a back seat to value-oriented sectors. He speaks to the inverted yield curve, performance of the equal-weighted S&P 500 vs. the Magnificent...   READ MORE 

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Earnings Provide Another Nail in the Retail Coffin

Earnings Provide Another Nail in the Retail Coffin

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps a brutal day for retailers as ANF, FL, and BBWI drop on earnings misses.  He also highlights the bullish primary trend for hold, shares two breakout names in the consumer staples sector, and breaks down key names in...   READ MORE 

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4 MACD Patterns That Will Give You an Edge

4 MACD Patterns That Will Give You an Edge

In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe shares four MACD patterns that he focuses on - Pinch, Reverse Divergence, Divergence, and Zero Line Reversal. These signals will help to improve the timing of your trades. He then shares which sectors are showing relative improvement vs the S&P 500,...   READ MORE 

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Weak September Rotation - What Does it Mean for Sectors?

Weak September Rotation - What Does it Mean for Sectors?

In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius addresses the expected sector rotation for the upcoming month of September which is traditionally the weakest month of the year. But what does it mean for sectors and how are current sector rotations shaping up on the Relative Rotation Graphs? Breaking down the...   READ MORE 

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Three Technology Stocks in Make or Break Scenarios

Three Technology Stocks in Make or Break Scenarios

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave focuses in on three key charts to watch in the technology sector as investors anxiously await NVDA earnings and Friday's inflation data. He also shares two important charts for tracking improving market breadth conditions and highlights the...   READ MORE 

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Stock Market Today: Two Sectors That Can Make Sizable Moves

Stock Market Today: Two Sectors That Can Make Sizable Moves

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Financial and Technology sectors were the leaders. * With NVDA reporting earnings, tech stocks, especially semiconductors, could steal the spotlight again. * With interest rate cuts on the horizon, financial stocks could see increased momentum. Have you ever been in a plane that keeps circling around, waiting to land? That&...   READ MORE 

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An Investment Routine for Spotting Buy-The-Dip Opportunities

An Investment Routine for Spotting Buy-The-Dip Opportunities

KEY TAKEAWAYS * The first step when deciding which stocks to invest in, should be to monitor the broader market * After getting an idea of the overall market,  drill down to the different sectors * The last step is to zero in on the industry and identify the stocks that are moving...   READ MORE 

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Is the Multi-Month Dollar Index Trading Range About to be Resolved?

Is the Multi-Month Dollar Index Trading Range About to be Resolved?

Last June, I wrote an articlewhose title was more or less the same as this one. At the time, the Index was bumping up against the top of a major trading range, and it looked very much as if it was about to experience an upside breakout. My conclusion was...   READ MORE