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And The FAANG Winner For 2020 Is?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I believe all 5 FAANG stocks - Facebook (FB), Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Netflix (NFLX) and Alphabet (GOOGL) - will end 2020 higher than they started. The question is, how much higher? Which one is THE stock to own? If you asked me which company I believe is simply the...
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The Masses are Growing Too Bullish; I Smell a Short-Term Top
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Calling tops in a secular bull market advance is not typically a wise thing to do, because it rarely works. But it's very difficult to ignore sentiment readings that border on the absurd. Three months ago, the S&P 500 broke out of a bullish ascending triangle...
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Prepping For Another Very Strong Earnings Season
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
In my last article, I discussed the possibility that we could see a short-term top form and many of those warning signs continue to persist. Of course, in a secular bull market advance, trying to predict short-term tops can be a constant disappointment as prices seemingly rise every single day....
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Short-Term Trouble Is Brewing, Be Careful!
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Hey, I'm bullish longer-term so I'm not talking about a major bear market ahead, nothing like that. But as a short-term trader, I need to heed the signs of a potential top and I'm beginning to see them. There are a number of these...
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A Simple Scan To Uncover Strong Stocks Pulling Back; Here Are 4 Examples
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
A common question I hear now that we've seen a significant advance in U.S. equities is, "when should I get in"? Well, we're in a secular bull market. It started in 2013 and won't end, in my opinion, until the end...
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Performance Ranks vs. SCTRs: A 6 Month Test
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Let's first look at our sector SPDR funds, in SCTR order:
It's important to note that SCTR scores are calculated as of today. Performance ranks will change based on whether we look at one day performance, one week performance, six months performance, etc. SCTRs remain the...
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Another Solid Jobs Report Likely To Fuel Further Rally; Here Are A Few Winners
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
December nonfarm payrolls were just released and they were solid, though slightly below expectations. They suggest moderate economic improvement and the very slight increase in average hourly earnings confirms that the labor market, while tight, is not too tight. That combination, moderate growth and tame inflation, along with the reduced...
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Finding the Top 15 S&P 500 Stocks for 2020
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Happy New Year and welcome to a brand new decade! A century later, I believe the stock market is about to repeat itself as I'm expecting another roaring 20's! And yes, that could lead to another rough 30's decade, but let's worry...
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Escalating International Tensions Could Lead To Channel Support Test
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
U.S. indices have gone nearly straight up since early October, are extremely overbought near-term, and have needed reason for a pause. They may have received their reason overnight with U.S. airstrikes in Iraq. I refrain from political discussions because it honestly is not necessary nor productive. As technicians,...
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Truckers Appear Poised To Drive Us Into 2020
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Executive Market Summary
* Futures were relatively flat today, but we have seen some slight selling to close out a very solid 2019
* Small and mid caps are leading on a relative basis and clinging to fractional gains
* All sectors are fairly flat to close out the year
* Gold ($GOLD) and...
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Here's A Solid Support Level To Watch On The S&P 500
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Executive Market Summary
* Futures were slightly higher this morning
* Sellers have dominated the action since the opening bell, although small caps are bucking the trend and slightly higher
* Financials (XLF) are unchanged and the relative leader today
* Energy (XLE) and healthcare (XLV) are the hardest hit sectors
* Semiconductors ($DJUSSC) and...
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Determining If A Group Could Be A 2020 Market Leader; 2020 Market Vision Is Just One Week Away!
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Whether a group looks strong or weak can easily be debated and it's what makes the stock market go round and round. Nondurable household products is one example. Is it breaking out or breaking down? This could be an interesting debate and it really gets to the heart...
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Will This Rally Continue In January? Use This Chart As A Guide
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Executive Market Summary
* Pre-market action is pointing to another strong open as the year end rally continues
* Dow Jones futures are pointing an 80 point gain at the open and NASDAQ futures are showing relative strength once again
* A couple smaller biotechs - Flexion Therapeutics (FLXN) and Immunomedics, Inc. (IMMU)...
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OLED, SNAP, AMZN; They're Moving Today, But Are They Worthy?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Executive Market Summary
* We're up again today with leadership from the NASDAQ; small caps lag
* Most sectors are higher with technology (XLK) showing a slight lead
* Apple's (AAPL) leadership is helping the NASDAQ and computer hardware ($DJUSCR)
* Banks ($DJUSBK) are strong with the 10 year treasury...
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Look For Wall Street Records To Keep Falling Throughout The Holidays
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Executive Market Summary
* Today is an abbreviated session with the equity market closing at 1pm EST; many global equity markets are closed today
* Wall Street opened slightly higher, but has been trading near the flat line
* There are no economic reports of significance due out today as the 10 year...
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Market Report for Monday, December 23, 2019
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Note
During the holidays, I'll be publishing my EarningsBeats.com Daily Market Report here in my Trading Places blog. I hope you enjoy it.
Happy holidays!
Executive Market Summary
* We're seeing another solid day as seasonal strength really begins to kick in
* The Dow Jones is...
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Aggressive Small And Mid Cap Stocks Could Be Poised To Soar
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I established an Aggressive portfolio of 10 equal-weighted stocks in 10 different industry groups on May 19th. Every 3 months thereafter, on August 19th and then again on November 19th, I repositioned the portfolio with new relative leaders. That's the concept behind the portfolio. Stick with leaders in...
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Here's a Stock Breaking Out With 21% of its Float Short!
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I was looking at the performance of NASDAQ 100 stocks after the close on Friday and realized that Tesla (TSLA) closed above 400 for the first time in its history. Volume was unusually high all week long as TSLA gained 13% to clear resistance in the upper 300s. TSLA had...
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S&P 500 Surges Past 3200; Don't Make This Mistake
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Records continue to fall every day. The S&P 500 has now gained 350 points off its October 3rd low. I don't know if it's going to stop any time soon, so I'd want to remain fully invested, especially given the tremendous bullish...
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Which NASDAQ 100 Stock Has Been The Best Performer In 2019?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
If you're trying to think of the best performing semiconductor stock ($DJUSSC), you're heading in the right direction. The DJUSSC has been outstanding throughout much of 2019, gaining nearly 50%, rising from 2888 to 4234 at yesterday's close. Semiconductor stocks actually take up the...
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Dissecting Last Week's 5 Trade Setups....And This Week's Setups
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
One week ago, I indicated that I'd have 5 trading candidates for anyone who signed up for a $7 30-day trial. It was similar to the Monday Setups that I had previously provided on MarketWatchers LIVE, the flagship StockCharts TV show that I had hosted for two years....
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Two Developments Have Changed My Trading Strategy Heading Into 2020; They Should Change Yours Too
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I am extremely bullish as we head into 2020. Everything is lining up, but there are two factors that I believe will help us help our members - both professionals and individual traders.
First, the Fed has finally moved into the dovish position it should have been in one year...
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Top Sectors And Industry Groups According To My Proprietary Momentum Ranking System
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
It made sense to underweight healthcare (XLV) throughout much of 2019, but that's no longer the case. In fact, my proprietary momentum ranking system ranks healthcare behind only technology (XLK) and financials (XLF) in terms of sector momentum. The StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) has the same ranking as...
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Two Drug Retailers That Could Be Very Compelling Buys
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
It wasn't too long ago that no one wanted to own a drug retailer ($DJUSRD), but after the group pushed to 9 month absolute and relative highs, a few stocks in the group suddenly became fashionable once again. Perhaps the biggest turnaround came in the form of PetMed...
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This ETF Will Likely Be A Great Stocking Stuffer
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
The S&P 600 Small Cap Index ($SML) broke out again on Friday, closing above 1000 for the first time since October 9, 2018. Its all-time high close is 1098, so the index still has a lot of work to do. I believe this work is likely to be...
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To Profit from Trading, You Must Allow Trades to Come To You; Don't Chase
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
One of the great features of our service at EarningsBeats.com is maintaining a Strong Earnings ChartList (SECL) for our members and running scans against it daily to identify trade setups. I do a lot of research every quarter, tracking those companies that beat Wall Street consensus estimates as to...
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Does A Bull Market Depend On Leadership From Growth Stocks? You Might Be Surprised
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
My favorite ratio to watch in order to gauge the market's appetite for growth stocks is the Russell 1000 Growth ETF vs. the Russell 1000 Value ETF (IWF:IWD). When this ratio is moving higher, we want our portfolio to be weighted more toward growth. When the opposite...
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Based On The Charts, These 2 Stocks Could Explode With Earnings
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I have found there are no guarantees when it comes to earnings and how a company will report. We can make educated guesses, though, especially when you consider that Wall Street has access to management teams before their "quiet period". A quiet period is simply the time from...
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This Group LOVES December Historically.......And It Just Broke Out Technically!
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Welcome to December! It's hard to believe we're one month away from a new year and a new decade. While 2019 has been exciting for investors and traders, recovering from that massive Q4 2018 decline, I believe 2020 will be very solid as well. We'...
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Finding The Best Stocks To Make Your Money Grow Faster
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I know it seems like a daunting task, but it's not nearly as hard as it seems. Obviously, the first step requires finding a method or strategy that works. At EarningsBeats.com, we've found what works for us. It's combining our strengths with StockCharts....
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To Chase Or Not To Chase? The Truth Behind Earnings Gaps
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
For years, this question was left unanswered. Honestly, I couldn't figure out this answer for a long, long time. I've come to realize through years of experience, however, that I simply needed to watch the action after the gap and show a little patience. It seems...
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Uncovering "Value" In Uptrending Stocks
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Last week when I identified the Top 10 stocks in our Model, Aggressive, and Income portfolios, I provided a bonus to EarningsBeats.com members when I unveiled my first ever Value Portfolio. I'm primarily a momentum trader and you rarely associate momentum stocks with value stocks. But the...
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Rotation is Yielding New Leaders; Here are Two of My Favorites
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Over the past few months, we've seen some new market leadership emerge. If you're simply following the S&P 500, then you probably haven't noticed much difference. We consolidated a bit in August and September before then resuming the uptrend. It's...
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Emerging Leadership: When Should We Trust An Emerging Group For Trading?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
This is a very interesting question. Many lagging groups will outperform for a day, week, or even a month, but then they fall right back into their relative downtrends. If you're trading stocks within sectors and industry groups showing poor relative strength, you're fighting an uphill...
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Not All Trades Are Created Equal
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
10 years ago, I traded the stock market much differently. I didn't maintain a "Strong Earnings ChartList" to trade exclusively from like I do now. I considered relative strength, but it wasn't a primary focus. But I look at the overall stock market and...
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Creating A Portfolio To Trounce The S&P 500
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
While there's no sugar coating that the market's sudden shift in August from growth stocks to value stocks cut into my returns, I'm still quite proud of my Model portfolio's performance after its one year anniversary yesterday. On November 19, 2018, I...
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Another Industry Breakout And A Stock That's Leading The Charge
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
The good news is that this breakout in the S&P 500 is littered with mini-breakouts in various sectors and industry groups. One of the latest industry groups to join the party is diversified industrials ($DJUSID), home of General Electric (GE). The former closed at a 52 week high...
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2020 Market Outlook And A Turnaround Candidate To Consider In An Unlikely Area
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
If you've followed my blogging and shows, then you know how bullish I've been and still am. During all the trade war, Fed, recession, and political worries, I've called for new all-time highs. I'm not stopping there. Don't be shocked...
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Looking Ahead To 2020 For Sector Leadership
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I remain quite bullish about 2020 prospects and one reason is the relative strength of our 5 aggressive sectors - technology (XLK), consumer discretionary (XLY), communication services (XLC), financials (XLF), and industrials (XLI). Wall Street has not positioned itself for anything other than a market advance ahead, so you should...
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What A First Year It's Been For My Model Portfolio! +44.54% With 3 Days Left
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Any time you can beat the benchmark S&P 500, it's saying something. Many professionals managing money set the S&P 500 as the standard and try to beat it....and most fail. It's not an easy thing to do. But I do believe...
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