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Hottest Stocks in The Hottest Industries
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
It's no secret that I'm a fan of leading stocks in leading industries. So, as we move through yet another earnings season -- and there's still plenty left in it -- I thought I'd review what I consider to be the best...
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Major Breakouts Are Continuing In A Big Way
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Months of consolidation is now resulting in key breakouts for a number of growth stocks. Amazon.com (AMZN), which will report quarterly results later today, was a high-profile breakout after nearly a year of consolidation. But that's simply set the beginning of a trend. Here are two more...
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It May Be The Boring Summertime, But Don't Tell These Stocks
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
It's 2021, but it's beginning to feel like it's 2020 again. I know, I know. Who wants to relive 2020 all over again, right? Well, thankfully, I'm just referring to the stock market. Many of the stocks that soared during 2020, and...
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Evaluating Early Earnings Results: 3 Big Winners Thus Far
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
A great post-earnings set up needs to check several boxes. The first box I need to check is the "beat revenue and earnings estimates" box, followed closely by the "raised guidance" box. When a company beats top and bottom line estimates and raises guidance, it results...
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Will Earnings Be The Catalyst To Drive Breakouts In These 3 Dow Jones Stocks?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
As the stock market pushes further and further into record high territory, many companies have been slower to participate. For instance, the Dow Jones keeps trying to close above 35000 for the first time in history, yet many of its component stocks are still on the verge of breaking out....
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Don't Blindly Buy ETFs, Use This Strategy Instead
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
It's great to hear about an awesome stock over the water cooler, but you should definitely do your own due diligence before committing capital. Exchange-traded funds, or ETFs, are a different animal altogether. ETFs are nothing more than a basket of stocks. They provide much more diversification, in...
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Are Strong AD Lines Suggesting Big Earnings Ahead for These 3 Companies?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Earnings season kicks off next week, with the big banks getting things started. After a rough stretch with falling treasury yields, the banks index ($DJUSBK) rallied on Friday as yields rebounded. Recently, I provided a relative strength look at key banks reporting next week. Here's a quick recap...
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Amazon (AMZN) "Prime" for a Breakout?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
We've been waiting a LONG time for Amazon (AMZN) to "deliver" a breakout. Well, our package may be arriving today. After setting an all-time high close in early September and testing that level in April, AMZN is soaring today to print an all-time intraday high in...
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Using RRG To Zero In On Opportunities Quickly
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
RRG (Relative Rotation Graphs) can quickly point us in the direction of leadership. Let me show you how. First, let's look at a daily RRG to see which sectors are strengthening and which are weakening:
I used a "tail length" of 10 days so we can...
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Is This Pre-Earnings Advance Sustainable?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
U.S. equities are doing what U.S equities normally do. They're rising as we approach earnings season. I wrote a ChartWatchers article recently, "Wall Street Doesn't Want You To See These S&P 500 Performance Numbers", summarizing the typical pre-earnings outperformance. Be...
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How to Determine Which Companies Will Report Blowout Results
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I view relative strength as one of the most important aspects of technical analysis. It helps me visualize where the money is going. When you review a price chart, it's very easy to see if a stock is going up or going down. As an example, let'...
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This Bottoming Head & Shoulders Pattern Is Set To Explode!
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I'm a big believer in patterns. I follow continuation patterns primarily, because I'm a momentum trader. So as stocks consolidate, I try to identify the pattern that shapes in order to gain insight into a possible measurement. That's what technical patterns offer - measurements/...
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Jinko Solar (JKS) Soars After Beating Estimates
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Non-StockCharts.com Members
EarningsBeats.com members that DO NOT also have a StockCharts.com membership have asked for Excel downloads for use on platforms other than StockCharts.com. Within 24 hours, we will have all of our ChartLists available for Excel download.
Executive Market Summary
* Futures were bifurcated overnight and...
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These Two Growth Stocks are Likely Pausing Before a Big Run Ahead
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
One of our key ChartLists at EarningsBeats.com is our Raised Guidance ChartList. As the name implies, it tracks companies that raised their revenue and/or EPS expectations at some point over the last 90 days. Many times, once a stock raises guidance, profit-taking kicks in, traders grow impatient and...
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The Fed Has Spoken; What Did Wall Street Hear?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
The latest FOMC meeting has come and gone. Fed Chair Jay Powell capped it off by recognizing that inflation was hotter than expected and even signaling that the Fed is ready to hike rates by the end of 2023, stepping up its earlier April guidance of "no rates hikes...
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It's Options Expiration Week, Be Careful With This Semiconductor
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Listen, NVDA has been one of the strongest market performers in 2021 and I believe there's a very good chance it goes much higher. But if I wanted to buy it, I'd likely wait a week or so. There are never any guarantees, but the number...
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Weekend Recap: Inflation Soars But Who Cares?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
In The News
It was a light week for headlines as there wasn't much in the way of either economic or earnings news. Thursday did provide us our next glimpse into the inflation story as May CPI jumped 0.6%, ahead of the 0.4% expectation. That left...
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How To Avoid Option-Related Manipulation This Week
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Friday, June 18th is the next monthly options expiration day and, if it's like recent option-expiration Fridays, then get ready for crazy reversals. To best illustrate how the madness around options expiration works, we'll review past results.
Before I do that, let me explain that I...
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Very Bullish Pattern Setting Up for This Leading Semiconductor Stock
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Leading stocks go through consolidation periods where weak hands forego their shares as impatience takes over. It's never fun to watch the stock market break to new highs while your stock(s) consolidate and fail to gain ground. A trained technical eye, however, needs to recognize continuation patterns...
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Anticipating Where Money May Rotate Next and a Strong Trading Candidate
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Catching an industry group as it bottoms and begins to lead the market can be very profitable. We're seeing tons of rotation in the stock market, which is the biggest reason why selling doesn't last long. Money comes out of one group and then rotates into...
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Looking Ahead: Expect Selling Next Week For One Primary Reason
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
The S&P 500 reached a high on Friday of 4233.45, narrowly eclipsing the all-time high close of 4232.60 from May 7th. Unfortunately for the bulls, selling in the final few minutes ruined the breakout attempt. This false breakout, ever so slight, could be quite ominous for...
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Looking Ahead: What Might June Have in Store?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
There are two sides to every coin. Similarly, I can look at the market from an optimistic or pessimistic perspective. Each provides different answers as we look into June 2021.
The Bullish View
The first reason to be bullish is as simple as it gets. We're in a...
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Change the Range When the Trend Ends
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I'm a momentum trader, so I look for consistent uptrending patterns before I commit capital. As I've said many times before, I'm most comfortable trading leading stocks in leading industry groups. These are the stocks that Wall Street favors and, in my opinion, offer...
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Has The Technology Run Ended?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I suppose the answer really depends on your level of expectation and your time frame. If you're looking for technology to outperform the benchmark S&P 500 over the next few months the way it did throughout much of 2020, then you'll likely be quite...
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Breakouts: Deciphering the Good from the Bad
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
From a long-term perspective, it's hard to imagine that it's a bad thing for your stock to be setting a fresh 52-week or all-time high. But from a short-term trader's perspective, there could be a world of difference. Two keys are the candlestick and...
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Wall Street Doesn't Want You to See These S&P 500 Performance Numbers
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
The stock market has a history of running higher in anticipation of earnings season. On the S&P 500, for instance, here are the annualized returns for the following periods since 1950:
This is 71 years of daily data, which is certainly statistically relevant. I don't believe...
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Be Wary AMC at This Resistance Level and with Options Set to Expire
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Listen, anything can happen in the stock market, but AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC) has a short-term issue to worry about. Options expire on Friday and there are a TON of options bets placed on AMC for May. At the moment, millions of dollars of net in-the-money call interest exists, and...
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The Up and Comers and the Stay Away Fromers
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Rotation is always a part of a secular bull market. It's honestly the glue that holds everything together. During bear markets, when money rotates away from an area of the market, it usually just moves to the sidelines. Bull markets are different, however, as money typically finds its...
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And The Most Accumulated Industry During Earnings Season Is.....
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
So let me set the stage. At EarningsBeats.com, we're tracking every earnings reaction for companies with $1 billion or more in market capitalization. Through yesterday's close (May 7th), we've now reviewed about 1600 earnings reactions. We've studied them by sector and...
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One Industry That's Failed Miserably During Earnings Season
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I could provide a solid list of earnings season failure nominees like semiconductors ($DJUSSC), software ($DJUSSW) and medical equipment ($DJUSAM). However, I'm going to give the award to gambling ($DJUSCA). Since the big banks kicked off earnings season on April 14th, we've seen 8 gambling stocks...
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Is This A "Sell On News" Top? Five Warning Signs
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
It very well could be. In my Daily Market Report (DMR) to EarningsBeats.com members on Thursday, I discussed this very possibility. I do not believe we're at any MAJOR top, but our major indices have had a significant "pre-earnings" run higher since late March and...
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How To Keep Up With Hundreds Of Daily Earnings Reports
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Right now, we're seeing dozens of companies report quarterly results each day. That's going to change this week as hundreds of companies get set to report earnings every day. How can you keep up with all of it? Well, StockCharts.com's platform provides the...
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NIO Takes First Few Steps to Reverse Downtrend
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Once a previously-leading stock begins a journey to the downside, you want to be careful pulling the buy trigger too soon. These downtrends can last awhile, so expecting a quick recovery and buying a pullback can create a lot of short-term pain in your pocketbook. The better option is to...
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Earnings Drive Equity Prices; Here Are My Two Favorite Earnings Reports This Quarter
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Over the long haul, earnings and Fed policy have more to do with stock market direction than anything. Focus on these two and you'll be just fine. Tune everything else OUT. President Biden's possible tax hike on capital gains was a problem..... for an hour on...
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For Skechers (SKX), This Is Where The Rubber Meets The Road
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
If you held Skechers (SKX) into its quarterly earnings report, which was delivered after the bell on Thursday, congratulations! It was truly a blowout report, like so many others. Wall Street, however, has chosen to reward SKX and its shareholders with the stock up more than 16% at last check....
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How Much Higher Can We Go? Earnings Will Provide The Answer
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Earnings season is underway and if the first few days are any indication, we're going to see a LOT of blowout numbers. Just since Wednesday, we've seen a couple dozen companies trounce Wall Street consensus estimates. One of the best earnings reports that I've...
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Why PLUG Could Be Bottoming This Week
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I'm not a big fan of catching a falling knife. And right now, Plug Power (PLUG) is more like a machete. But there are both short-term and long-term reasons why we could see a major bottom print on its chart. Let's start with the technical long-term...
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What Are The Best ETFs To Invest In Right Now?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Investing isn't easy and there are so many choices, even if you narrow your choices and are only looking at ETFs (Exchange-traded funds). The number of ETFs is staggering. How do you put a portfolio together to match your own personal investing style?
That's a difficult...
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A Downtrending Stock Poised to Explode Higher - Get in Early
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
When I see a long-term winning stock sell off for a period of weeks, or even months, I always question the motive. If institutions want to buy a large position in a company, it takes time to do so. They don't simply put a market order in for...
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This Is The ONLY Technical Sell Signal I Use To Spot Secular Bear Markets
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Why am I always so bullish? I'm asked this question in many different ways, but I'm very happy to explain my stance - and it's quite simple. Because the stock market goes up a WHOLE LOT MORE than it goes down. Instead of constantly...
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