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Equities Down But Losses Mitigated By Two Unlikely Sectors

Equities Down But Losses Mitigated By Two Unlikely Sectors

Market Recap for Monday, June 5, 2017 It wasn't a horrible day on Wall Street.  After all, we've been in a strong advance since mid-May with the S&P 500 rising nearly 4% during that span.  So a little bit of profit taking shouldn'...   READ MORE 

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Using EMA Ribbons to Define Strong Trends - Gold Leaves the Gold Miners Behind

Using EMA Ribbons to Define Strong Trends - Gold Leaves the Gold Miners Behind

.... IJR Mean-Reversion Trade Exit .... Gold Rises without the Gold Miners .... Regional Banks Continue to Struggle .... Using an EMA Ribbon to Define the Trend (MA) .... Three Failed Setups (NTAP, STX, BMY) .... Hawaiian Holdings Bounces off Breakout .... Bullish Setups for MLM and CSRA .... A Bearish Setup for IRM .... IJR Mean-Reversion Trade Exit...   READ MORE 

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UPS Goes for a Breakout

UPS Goes for a Breakout

United Parcel Service (UPS) has been lagging the broader market this year, but may be turning around as it bounces off support and momentum turns up. UPS surged to a 52-week high in December and then retraced 50% with a sharp decline in January. The stock managed to firm near...   READ MORE 

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Software And Semiconductors Lead Another Technology-Driven Rally

Software And Semiconductors Lead Another Technology-Driven Rally

Market Recap for Friday, June 2, 2017 Technology (XLK, +0.92%) led U.S. equities higher on Friday and that's been the case for several months now.  The XLK has been the best performing sector with a current SCTR (StockCharts Technical Rank) reading of 92 further validating that....   READ MORE 

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Fortinet In Strong Industry, Tests Gap And Price Support

Fortinet In Strong Industry, Tests Gap And Price Support

Fortinet (FTNT) is down roughly 5% from its recent price high as money rotates within the software industry ($DJUSSW).  It's up close to 30% year-to-date, however, so a little profit taking in the short-term is likely providing an opportunity.  FTNT looks to be approaching and testing a key...   READ MORE 

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Internet Stocks Overbought Amid Slowing Momentum

Internet Stocks Overbought Amid Slowing Momentum

Internet stocks ($DJUSNS) have climbed roughly 44% since their bottom in late June 2016.  But there are now negative divergences appearing across various time frames and that suggests the summer time could be a period of consolidation, or even a correction.  First, let's take a look at the...   READ MORE 

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Finding New Opportunities in an Overbought Market

Finding New Opportunities in an Overbought Market

The market has been on fire lately with all of the major indexes hitting all time highs. In spite of some recent weak economic reports, including a miss on Friday's jobs report, and in spite of all of the political "noise" swirling around, stocks have powered...   READ MORE 

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Midcaps May Show Truer Picture of US Stocks

Midcaps May Show Truer Picture of US Stocks

Several of my recent messages have focused on the divergence between large and small cap stocks. Wednesday's message suggested that part of that divergence was due to stronger foreign markets. Large cap multinationals do better when foreign markets are strong, which is the case at the moment. Small...   READ MORE 

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DecisionPoint Weekly Wrap -- New Highs Climax

DecisionPoint Weekly Wrap -- New Highs Climax

Last week I wrote: ". . . our short- and intermediate-term indicators suggest that we will see a few more weeks of rally before another correction/consolidation." In the first two days of this short week price continued to consolidate the prior week's advance, and then the rally continued...   READ MORE 

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Another Stupid Chart Trick

Another Stupid Chart Trick

Time for another ‘Stupid Chart Trick’ (click here for a prior chart trick). I have counted about one zillion (this might be a slight exaggeration, but barely) Point and Figure chart formations. As a consequence of this personal passion, I have devised some counting conventions that have proven to be...   READ MORE 

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The Most Important Assumption in Trading

The Most Important Assumption in Trading

Trading and investing are all about putting the odds in your favor, and chartists can increase their odds with one key assumption: the trend will remain in force until proven otherwise. Coming from the writings of Charles Dow, this assumption means a trend in motion is expected to stay in...   READ MORE 

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S&P 500 and SPY Trigger New Weekly PMO BUY Signals

S&P 500 and SPY Trigger New Weekly PMO BUY Signals

The S&P 500 garnered a new PMO BUY signal on the weekly chart. Now we have two Scoreboards that are completely green. Technology has been a darling for quite some time so it is no surprise to see the oldest BUY signals residing on its Scoreboard. The two...   READ MORE 

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Are you looking at Industrial (XLI) stocks? ..Maybe you should.

Are you looking at Industrial (XLI) stocks? ..Maybe you should.

This Relative Rotation Graph holds the top 50 (based on market cap) members of the S&P 500 Industrials sector index (XLI). This sector accounts for just over 10% of the S&P 500 market cap and is the fifth largest sector in this index. At the moment...   READ MORE 

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Essential Rules to Share with Your Friends: The Financial Simpletons

Essential Rules to Share with Your Friends: The Financial Simpletons

I had a shock recently.  I met a couple who was in the midst of what I considered to be a personal financial coronary, yet they were totally oblivious to the perils facing them. Both husband and wife were professionals with advanced graduate degrees. Despite their intelligence and educations, neither...   READ MORE 

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Market Round Up Video With Martin Pring 2017-06-02

Here is the link to this months Market Round Up with Martin Pring for June 2017. Don't forget to use the HD button for better quality. Market Round Up Live With Martin Pring 2017-06-02 from StockCharts.com on Vimeo. Good luck and good trading, Martin J. Pring...   READ MORE 

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Weekly Market Review & Outlook with Video - Participation is Broad Enough as New Highs Expand

Weekly Market Review & Outlook with Video - Participation is Broad Enough as New Highs Expand

.... New Highs Expand in Large-caps and Mid-caps  .... EW S&P 500 Reflects Broad Strength  .... SPY Hits another New High .... QQQ Extends its "Overbought" Streak .... Small-caps and Mid-caps Perk Up  .... New highs in XLY, XLK, XLI, XLV, XLU and XLP  .... Good Weekend Stocks Lead XLY to New High...   READ MORE 

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Financials Rally To Lead U.S. Indices To New Records

Financials Rally To Lead U.S. Indices To New Records

Market Recap for Thursday, June 1, 2017 U.S. equities had a very strong day on Thursday, with the small cap Russell 2000 leading the charge with a solid 1.89% gain.  The move was also widely participated in, with all nine sectors finishing higher.  Financials (XLF, +1.25%), a...   READ MORE 

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DP Alert: Rally Pop! Internal Strength Prevails - S&P 600 (IJR) New ITTM BUY Signal

DP Alert: Rally Pop! Internal Strength Prevails - S&P 600 (IJR) New ITTM BUY Signal

Admittedly I was surprised that the market had just a brilliant day given the very bearish configuration of short-term market indicators. Apparently I should have paid more attention to the short-term buy signals that were produced over the past week or two. The rally brought the S&P 600...   READ MORE 

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STAPLES AND CYCLICALS HIT NEW HIGHS TOGETHER -- BUT CYCLICALS STILL HAVE THE EDGE -- HEALTHCARE SPDR HITS NEW RECORD HIGH -- MIDCAPS MAY GIVE TRUER PICTURE OF STOCK MARKET --S&P 400 MID CA...

STAPLES AND CYCLICALS HIT NEW HIGHS TOGETHER -- BUT CYCLICALS STILL HAVE THE EDGE -- HEALTHCARE SPDR HITS NEW RECORD HIGH -- MIDCAPS MAY GIVE TRUER PICTURE OF STOCK MARKET --S&P 400 MID CAP INDEX IS CONSOLIDATING IN BULLISH TRIANGLE

STAPLES AND CYLICALS BOTH HIT NEW HIGHS... We can often get clues about stock market direction by watching shifting rotations among market sectors. In a strong market, stocks tied to the economy usually lead. In a correction, defensive stocks lead. But what are we to make of a situation where...   READ MORE 

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Coal Facing Poor Technical Conditions And Historical Headwinds

Coal Facing Poor Technical Conditions And Historical Headwinds

The Dow Jones U.S. Coal Index ($DJUSCL) spent 2016 bouncing from the ashes after a disastrous 2015 in which the DJUSCL lost 90% of its value.  The "dead cat bounce" looks as though it may have ended as price action has rolled over and the weekly MACD...   READ MORE 

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Autos Rise, Break Downtrend Line; Tesla Benefits

Autos Rise, Break Downtrend Line; Tesla Benefits

Market Recap for Wednesday, May 31, 2017 Utilities (XLU, +0.50%) and healthcare (XLV, +0.40%) led a defensive-oriented market on Wednesday with the latter nearing a significant bullish ascending triangle breakout.  Materials (XLB, +0.30%) and consumer staples (XLP, +0.28%) also performed well.  The aggressive sectors were mixed...   READ MORE 

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Small-caps Rebound - Plus A Big Chemical Breakout, an Industrial Breakout, Four Tech Corrections and Two Big Pharmas Perk Up

Small-caps Rebound - Plus A Big Chemical Breakout, an Industrial Breakout, Four Tech Corrections and Two Big Pharmas Perk Up

.... Small-caps Bounce Back from the Abyss .... Lots of Winners and Losers Out There .... A Big Chemical Stock Breaking Flag Resistance .... An Industrial Stock Bouncing off Support .... Four Tech Stocks with Small Corrections .... Big Pharma Stocks Perk Up .... Three Miscellaneous Stocks: FBHS, SYY and XRAY.... Small-caps Bounce Back from the Abyss...   READ MORE 

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Monthly Chart Review - Large Caps, Small Caps, Big Four

Monthly Chart Review - Large Caps, Small Caps, Big Four

It's the last day of the month and consequently time to review the monthly charts that have just gone final. There are some interesting configurations, especially on the Dollar and Bonds which I'll cover later in the blog. I'd like to start first with...   READ MORE 

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FINANCIALS LEAD MARKET LOWER -- FALLING YIELD CURVE HURTS BANKS -- FALLING YIELDS, HOWEVER, PUSH UTILITIES TO NEW HIGHS -- SMALL CAPS CONTINUE TO UNDERFORM -- U.S. LARGE CAP STRENGTH MAY H...

FINANCIALS LEAD MARKET LOWER -- FALLING YIELD CURVE HURTS BANKS -- FALLING YIELDS, HOWEVER, PUSH UTILITIES TO NEW HIGHS -- SMALL CAPS CONTINUE TO UNDERFORM -- U.S. LARGE CAP STRENGTH MAY HAVE MORE TO DO WITH STRONGER FOREIGN MARKETS

FALLING BOND YIELD PUSHES YIELD CURVE LOWER... The divergence between falling Treasury bond yields and rising stock indexes may be starting to take its toll on the stock market. Major stock indexes are in the red today. The biggest selling, however, is coming from small caps and financials. At the...   READ MORE 

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Russian Index Forms Bearish Continuation Pattern

Russian Index Forms Bearish Continuation Pattern

The Russian Trading System Index ($RTSI) is struggling this year and down around 6.5% year-to-date. In contrast, the S&P 500 is up over 7% year-to-date and the Eurotop 100 ($EUR) is up around 6.5%. In addition to relative weakness, the index sports a bearish continuation pattern...   READ MORE 

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Strength In Internet, Software And Semiconductors Leading Technology Group

Strength In Internet, Software And Semiconductors Leading Technology Group

Market Recap for Tuesday, May 30, 2017 Technology (XLK, +0.43%) remains the heart of this current bull market.  The XLK was the sector leader on Tuesday, with utilities (XLU, +0.32%) a close second.  Over the past week, utilities and consumer discretionary (XLY) hold a slight edge over technology....   READ MORE 

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DP Alert: Market Pauses - Indicators Suggest a Bearish Week

DP Alert: Market Pauses - Indicators Suggest a Bearish Week

No new changes to report today. Although we are seeing BUY signals on all of the DecisionPoint Scoreboards, the short-term picture is not that bullish according to our other market indicators. The purpose of the DecisionPoint Alert Daily Update is to quickly review the day's action, internal condition,...   READ MORE 

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Perhaps The Fed Won't Raise Rates After All?

Perhaps The Fed Won't Raise Rates After All?

* Long-term background for bonds * Bond Prices at a critical short-term juncture point * Is the 5-year yield forming a massive top? * Utilities moving in sympathy with bonds * Interest sensitive REITS starting to improve * Follow the commodities Long-term background for bonds A lot of people are betting that stronger economic data will...   READ MORE 

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Dow Jones In Record High Territory Amid Signs Of Slowing Momentum

Dow Jones In Record High Territory Amid Signs Of Slowing Momentum

Market Recap for Friday, May 26, 2017 Friday's action was slightly bullish overall, but there was little difference between the best performing sectors and the worst performing sectors.  Consumer stocks performed well with consumer staples (XLP, +0.37%) and consumer discretionary (XLY, +0.30%) leading all sectors.  On...   READ MORE 

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Mean-Reversion for IJR - Plus China, Asia, Aluminum, Railroads and Six Stocks to Watch

Mean-Reversion for IJR - Plus China, Asia, Aluminum, Railroads and Six Stocks to Watch

.... IJR Mean-Reversion Trade in Play .... Marking Upswing Support for MDY .... Chinese Stocks Spring to Life .... Asian Index ETFs Show Broad Strength .... Finding Stocks within an Industry Group .... Aluminum Stocks Look Poised for Upturn .... Railroad Stocks Lead with Big Gains .... Stocks to Watch: MON, FLIR, CY, PANW, PAYX, WWW .... IJR Mean-Reversion...   READ MORE 

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Infinera Breaks Descending Channel On Heavy Volume

Infinera Breaks Descending Channel On Heavy Volume

Infinera (INFN) gapped higher in February on massive volume, but has been falling in a descending channel ever since.  Volume accelerated on Friday as INFN clearly broke this down channel.  The reversal also is taking place after a key gap support level was filled and tested.  Take a look at...   READ MORE 

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DecisionPoint Weekly Wrap -- Participation Fading

DecisionPoint Weekly Wrap -- Participation Fading

Last week I said that I was expecting the market to do a little more work on the downside before the bull market resumed, but the market had other ideas. Prices continued to rally, and on Thursday SPY broke to new, all-time highs. Volume expanded on that day, but it...   READ MORE 

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Segmenting PnF Counts

Segmenting PnF Counts

Wyckoffians often break up a large Point and Figure count into smaller count objectives. A large count objective usually requires a significant period of time to be fulfilled and pauses will occur along the way. Sometimes these pauses result in a period of Reaccumulation prior to moving on to higher...   READ MORE 

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Charts I'm Stalking: Action Practice #16

Charts I'm Stalking: Action Practice #16

So you’ve heard about Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).  You’ve heard that they are cheap. You’ve heard that mutual fund managers cannot outperform ETFs. You’ve decided that a chunk of your nest egg should be in Healthcare. A friend suggested XPH because it holds stocks like Eli...   READ MORE 

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GROWTH STOCKS ARE CARRYING MARKET HIGHER -- THAT'S MAINLY BIG TECHS -- VALUE STOCKS ARE LAGGING BEHIND -- THAT'S MAINLY FINANCIALS AND ENERGY -- % OF STOCKS ABOVE 50- AND 200-DAY AVERAGES...

GROWTH STOCKS ARE CARRYING MARKET HIGHER -- THAT'S MAINLY BIG TECHS -- VALUE STOCKS ARE LAGGING BEHIND -- THAT'S MAINLY FINANCIALS AND ENERGY -- % OF STOCKS ABOVE 50- AND 200-DAY AVERAGES NEED TO START CLIMBING

GROWTH STOCKS ARE LEADING THIS YEAR'S STOCK RALLY... The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq hit new record highs yesterday, and the Dow isn't far behind. Large parts of the stock market, however, are lagging behind. That's not necessarily a good thing. The...   READ MORE 

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Video - Weekly Market Review & Outlook - Still a Large-cap World

Video - Weekly Market Review & Outlook - Still a Large-cap World

.... Stocks Bounce without Biotechs .... Breadth Remains Bullish, but Weakening .... Nasdaq Stocks Support S&P 500  .... QQQ Hits Yet Another New High .... Small-caps Not Feeling the Love .... Sector Balance Clearly Bullish .... %Above 200-day Ranking for Sectors .... XLU, XLP, XLI and XLK Lead with Fresh Highs .... TLT Holds Surge and Breakout...   READ MORE 

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Specialty Retailers Rally Off Support, Lead U.S. Stocks To Record Close

Specialty Retailers Rally Off Support, Lead U.S. Stocks To Record Close

Market Recap for Thursday, May 25, 2017 Retailers led another U.S. market rally on Thursday and helped provide leadership for the consumer discretionary sector (XLY, +0.88%), which outperformed the benchmark S&P 500 for one of the few times over the past 2-3 weeks.  There had been...   READ MORE 

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DP Alert: New PMO BUY Signals on All Four Scoreboards Too Late? - LT Trend Model SELL on Dollar

DP Alert: New PMO BUY Signals on All Four Scoreboards Too Late? - LT Trend Model SELL on Dollar

As noted in the DP Scoreboard Summary below, all four major indexes triggered PMO BUY Signals today as the PMO crossed above its signal line. This certainly confirms the ST Trend Model BUY signals that appeared after yesterday's strong rally. You'll note in their charts below...   READ MORE 

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Five Charts That Say Today's S&P Breakout Is For Real

Five Charts That Say Today's S&P Breakout Is For Real

* Lots of supporting breakouts * Confidence ratio on the verge of a major bullish breakout? * Financials: trick or treat? * The US is due for a bounce against the rest of the world * Is it time to play the China card? Lots of supporting breakouts Last week I pointed out that the...   READ MORE 

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Juniper Networks Trending Higher, Threatens Breakout

Juniper Networks Trending Higher, Threatens Breakout

Recently, competitor Cisco Systems (CSCO) broke out to a 15 year high.  While Juniper Networks (JNPR) hasn't seen its price move to decade and a half highs, it is on the verge of breaking to a six year high amid very heavy volume.  JNPR traded more than 25...   READ MORE