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Energy-related Commodities Lead, but Oil Looks Vulnerable
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
It has been a rough ride for most commodities this year and especially over the last 100 trading days (since May). Of the twelve spot prices I track, nine are up and three are down. Precious metals, base metals, lumber and grains are all down. The energy complex is the...
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When Calendar Ranges, Leadership, Momentum and Price Align
We are so excited that StockCharts.com is now offering you our ACP plugins, we had to write about it for today's Daily, especially since you can read anywhere the thousands of differing opinions on what Powell said today and the implications for the market. Simply put, these...
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Fed Keeps Hands Off Rates, Leaves DOOR OPEN for More Hikes!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Danielle Shay of Simpler Trading joins Dave to discuss what's the technical take on the FAANG stocks after today's Fed announcement going into earnings season? Powell and Co. leave rates unchanged, leave the door open for...
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Jesse Livermore on Mistakes & Rising From the Ashes
by Dave Landry,
Founder, Sentive Trading, LLC
In this week's edition of Trading Simplified, Dave continues his series on Jesse Livermore. In spite of Livermore's greatness, he made a lot of mistakes, and these mistakes often resulted in him blowing up. In this episode, Dave discusses how Livermore let extraneous influences force him...
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Timing the Market With the WillTrend Indicator
by Karl Montevirgen,
The StockCharts Insider
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The WillTrend indicator helps identify stock trends and optimal entry and exit points
* The WillTrend indicator provides clear signals in weekly and daily charts that help determine actionable trading scenarios
* It's important to take each signal within the context of the stock's current technical...
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Wage Inflation: The Stats and the Underlying Implications
While the UAW strike continues, and the debate on how much it matters in the scheme of things rages on, other wage trends are emerging.
Amazon (AZMN) today announced it will hire about 250,000 logistics personnel for the holiday season at a wage of $20.50 per hour. The...
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When to BUY, When to SELL, and When to SIT On Your Hands
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Dave Landry of DaveLandry.com shares his own approach to what he calls the "Three Whens"- when to buy, when to sell, and when to sit on your hands! Meanwhile, host Dave Keller reviews charts of...
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Two Key Groups Take a Turn for the Worse
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
A few large-caps and large-cap techs are holding up, but other areas of the market are showing weakness. Namely, the Retail SPDR (XRT) and Regional Bank ETF (KRE) are two of the weakest groups right now. These two groups are under selling pressure and this could bode ill for the...
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Two Charts I'm Watching Closely for Potential Breakouts
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
The title of this article should really be more in the vein of two technical situations I am watching, because the long-term forces look as if they may be converging with short-term ones to form a kind of potential bullish reverse domino effect. Let's consider our first candidate,...
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History Rhymes: 1974-1976 vs. 2022-2024?
How many of you have heard me say that commodities are inherently volatile?
Clearly, from this chart, you can see that after the oil rally in the mid 1970s, the CPI went from nearly 9% in 1974 down to 2% in 1976. Sugar, my favorite barometer of inflation, ran to...
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Analyzing Risks for Mega-Cap Growth Stocks Before Key FED Meeting
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave conducts a deep dive into current market breadth indicators, including advance-decline data, the McClellan Oscillator, and the Bullish Percent Index. He reviews key support and resistance levels for AAPL, TSLA, NVDA, and other growth stocks as the market waits...
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The Halftime Show: Homebuilder and Building Product Stocks in Downtrend
by Pete Carmasino,
Chief Market Strategist, Chaikin Analytics
In this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete reviews the NVDA chart, which closed its nearest gap today. He then looks at the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 charts, as well as home builder DR Horton and building products company Masco -- both...
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DP Trading Room: Mega-Caps Looking Bearish
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl notes that the "Magnificent 7" stocks are looking "toppy", with only a few exceptions. These leadership stocks could put downside pressure on an already weak market. Erin picks out the strongest of the sectors...
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Q4 Stock Market Outlook: 3 Analysts, 3 Insights
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Although September is considered a seasonally weak period for the stock market the fourth quarter is typically a strong period
* There's a high probability of the S&P 500 Index reaching a new high in Q4
* Growth stocks, Industrials, Financials, and Commodities could all see...
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Market Up & Down -- Don't Try to Push Your Trades
by TG Watkins,
Director of Stocks, Simpler Trading
The market continues to be weak and thin, as TG explains in this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes. There are a few stocks moving up, but the majority are going sideways or down. This is not a great environment for going long, so don't try...
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This Is The Only Segment Of The Market Worth Paying Attention To Now
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Growth-Value Rotating Back in Favor of Growth
* Large-Cap stocks picking up Strength Over Mid- and Small-cap segments
* Hence, Large-Cap Growth Stands out Positively
RRG sending a clear message
The Relative Rotation Graph above shows the rotation for the combined Size and Growth/Value segments in the market.
And...
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Week Ahead: Low VIX May Keep NIFTY Vulnerable To Profit-Taking Bouts; These Sectors May Offer Resilience
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
Extending their move, Indian equities advanced higher and closed with yet another weekly gain. Four out of five days over the past week saw the markets ending with gains. In the previous technical note, it was mentioned that the undercurrents in the market remain strong, and NIFTY can retest the...
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Quick Access to Your Chart Templates, The Secret Sauce That Makes ACP Fly
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson demonstrates the importance of Chart Templates in StockCharts' ACP platform, then pulls back the covers on a new "quick access" feature that just launched in the platform.
StockCharts users can now access any...
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Sector Spotlight: The Current State of ARGoN -- Applying the Concept to 30 DOW Stocks
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I continue my chat with Ralph Acampora in the StockCharts.com studio.
After recording our previous video (see here!), I put Ralph on the spot, and together we flip through the 30 Dow stocks, calling the current price and relative...
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MEM TV: Best Ways for You to Hedge Tech Weakness
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen McGonagle shares her outlook for the markets heading into next week's interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve. She also reviews why Technology was the weakest sector and what it means for the group. She then...
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The Largest IPO In 2 Years Launched Last Week - Here's What It Means For Other Areas Of The Markets
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
Shares of British chip designer Arm (ARM) surged in price after its stock market debut on Thursday - closing up 25% from its IPO price. The gains put the company's valuation at more than $64 billion, making it the biggest new offering in 2 years.
Arm's...
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Sector Spotlight: The Story of ARGoN (Acampora's Relative Grid of Nine)
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I chat with guest Ralph Acampora in the StockCharts.com studio in Redmond, WA. We discuss the birth of ARGoN, a special way of looking at markets from both a price and a relative perspective.
Once upon a time, Ralph...
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Three ETFs Suggest Further Downside
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
This past week had all the potential to see a revival of the great bull market of 2023. The September inflation data, Apple's latest product announcements, and Arm's IPO all seemed had the possibility to reignite the fire of bullishness for investors.
By Friday's...
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Deep Dive Into Stop Losses, Volatility Hacks, and Bullish Rotation
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave drops a special all-mailbag episode, including viewer questions on using Average True Range for stop losses, stocks vs. bonds, India's test of all-time highs, and best practices for price volatility.
This video originally premiered on September 15,...
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Larry's "Family Gathering" Full September Webinar -- AVAILABLE NOW!
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
Larry's "Family Gathering" webinar is now available! Whether you missed it and need to catch up, or just want to review the information Larry presented, you can now see the full recording below.
In this special presentation, Larry coaches viewers for success and explains his strategies...
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Using the Chikou Span to Identify Early Trading Signals
by Karl Montevirgen,
The StockCharts Insider
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Like a swiss army knife, the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo is a multi-purpose indicator that can be used to shape your trading setups and decisions
* The Chikou Span, with its 26-day look-back, can be used to confirm market sentiment and identify potential trend reversals
* Even as a retroactive feature,...
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RISING CRUDE OIL IS PUNISHING TRANSPORTS -- RISING BOND YIELDS MAY THREATEN TECH STOCKS
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
RISING OIL PRICES HURT TRANSPORTS... Transportation stocks are one of the groups most sensitive to the direction of energy prices. That makes sense since fuel is so important to their bottom line. And not surprisingly, they've been one of the market's weakest groups over the last...
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Timeless Lessons from the Godfather of Technical Analysis
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave sits down with Ralph Acampora, CMT, co-founder of the CMT Association, for a memorable conversation on all things technical analysis. They review lessons learned from the October 2022 market low, words of wisdom for traders new to technical analysis,...
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GNG TV: Growth & Energy LEAD as S&P Chops Around
by Alex Cole,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
In this edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, Alex and Tyler present trend analysis across the asset classes, sectors, and individual securities. The continued strong "Go" conditions in the US Dollar index (UUP) and US Treasury rates ($TNX) on both the daily and weekly timeframes highlights some headwinds...
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Bonds: Don't Forget the Long-Term Trend
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
Many of the forecasts I hear regarding bonds seem to be based upon what bonds have done for most of the last 40 years, without acknowledging what has happened more recently. The chart below shows that 30-Year T-Bonds were in a rising trend from the 1982 low, but, in early...
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This Sector Looks Really Sick Long-Term
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
The overall market has been rallying since registering its low last October. However, there is one sector which, in August, fell below its October low on a monthly closing basis. More serious is the fact that it recently violated a 23-year secular up trendline. Can you guess which sector I...
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IWM Closes below Long-term Moving Average. Does it Matter?
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) closed below the 200-day SMA for the first time since, well, June 1st. The last cross was not that long ago and recent crosses simply resulted in whipsaws. Truth be told, 200-day SMA crosses are not that relevant for IWM.
The chart below shows IWM...
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Fresh Look at Long Bonds
I doubt any of our readers are too surprised by the CPI reading coming in a bit hotter than expected.
The bulk of it was in energy costs. Food costs were, mixed with bread and meat, up, while eggs and milk were down. Services inflation was up slightly, while shelter...
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Sector Rotation Analysis Still Quite Bullish
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Julius de Kempenaer of RRG Research shows how his market visualizations still show stocks over bonds and offense over defense. Host David Keller, CMT highlights one industry sector breaking down due to higher crude oil prices.
This video originally...
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The Halftime Show: 6 ETFs That Are on My Radar
by Pete Carmasino,
Chief Market Strategist, Chaikin Analytics
In this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete reviews 6 ETFs that are in different stages of trends. Two in the banking sector are in downtrends that are undeniable: KRE and KBE. This review ties in the recent commentary from Jamie Dimon, the CEO of JP...
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Finding and Trading Instrument Bottoms
In June, we wrote about the bottom in oil and cannabis through USO and MSOS (ETFs) respectively. In July, we wrote about the potential top in NASDAQ and SPY. In August, we wrote about the importance of the retail sector; XRT is below the July calendar range and a major...
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Technology, Last Man Standing... Falls
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* XLK "Bearish Shifts" Move IT and LT Bias to BEARISH
* XLK PMO Nearing Crossover SELL Signal
In Monday's DecisionPoint Trading Room we discussed that Technology (XLK) was the last one standing on our Bias Scoreboard with a Bullish Bias in both the intermediate term...
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The Bull Case for Commodities
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, David Cox, CFA CMT of Raymond James reviews underperformance for defensive sectors like Utilities and describes why commodities should be an area of focus for investors. Host David Keller, CMT reviews today's drop in ORCL and AAPL as...
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Don't Even Think About Investing Without Addressing These 10 Essentials (Part 1: Essentials #1 - #5)
by Gatis Roze,
Author, "Tensile Trading"
We investors are frequently guilty of hearing only what we want to hear. The justification often being "that doesn't apply to me." Or my other favorite line, "Oh, I don't do that." In my previous blog — a tribute to William J. O&...
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Larry's LIVE "Family Gathering" Webinar Airs THIS WEEK - Thursday, September 14th at 3:00pm EDT!
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
Larry is going LIVE! Don't miss the upcoming "Family Gathering" webinar with Larry Williams, airing live through Zoom this Thursday, September 14th at 3:00pm EDT.
In this must-see event, Larry will be presenting his current opinions on a broad variety of current market topics, directly...
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