KEY TAKEAWAYS * SPY broke down in March, plunged into early April and surged into early May. * This V bounce is impressive, but it is not enough to reverse the March breakdown. * A significant increase in upside participation is needed to move from bear market to bull market. Stocks plunged into... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Bullish chart patterns, such as the inverse head-and-shoulders and cup with handle, are in play in the S&P 500. * Utilities are breaking to new 50-day highs. * Bitcoin and Ethereum continue to signal rising risk appetite. The S&P 500 ($SPX) wrapped up Tuesday just below... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Top 5 sectors remain unchanged, with minor position shifts * Leading sectors showing signs of losing momentum * Daily RRG reveals top sectors in weakening quadrant * Communication services at risk of dropping out of top 5 Communication Services Drops to #5 The composition of the top five sectors remains largely... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * A strong jobs report sparked a stock market rally, with major indexes closing the week higher. * Positive earnings from Microsoft and Meta Platforms took the Nasdaq Composite above its 50-day moving average. * Financials, Industrials, and Technology were the leading sectors this week, with Financials showing technical strength. We... READ MORE
Since the tariff war first broke out, there have been widespread reports in the financial press telling us that investors have decided to cash in on their U.S. profits and move their capital abroad. The U.S., they tell us, is no longer regarded as a safe haven. Indeed,... READ MORE
Today, Carl and Erin made a big announcement! They are retiring at the end of June so today was the last free DecisionPoint Trading Room. It has been our pleasure educating you over the years and your participation in the trading room has been fantastic! Be sure and sign up... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Defensive sectors maintain dominance in top 5, despite strong market performance. * Real Estate enters top 5, replacing Health Care; Consumer Staples, Utilities, and Financials remain stable in top 3 positions. * Defensive positioning has put a dent in portfolio performance after strong week. Real Estate and Healthcare Swapping Positions... READ MORE
In this video, after last week's sharp market rally, Mary Ellen breaks down where the markets stand now, which leading sectors are showing the most strength, and how to recognize if your stocks are entering a new uptrend. Get expert insights on market leadership, sector rotation, and key... READ MORE
In this video, Joe highlights key technical setups in select country ETFs that are showing strength right now. He analyzes monthly and weekly MACD, ADX, and RSI trends that are signaling momentum shifts. Joe also reviews the critical level to watch on the S&P 500 (SPX), while breaking... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The price of gold is climbing on safe-haven demand, with key support levels mapped for potential entry. * The U.S. dollar is sliding as speculation grows over whether its weakness is part of a larger strategy. * Bitcoin is testing resistance and could rally further if safe-haven flows accelerate.... READ MORE
The market continued to slide lower today as the bear market continues to put downside pressure on stocks in general. Bonds and Yields are at an inflection point as more buyers enter the Bond market which is driving treasury yields higher. What is the long-term outlook for Bonds? Carl gives... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Consumer staples and utilities continue to lead sector rankings. * Defensive sectors are showing strength in both weekly and daily RRGs. * Health care struggling, but maintains position in top 5 * RRG portfolio slightly underperforming S&P 500 YTD, but gap narrowing. Top 5 Remains Unchanged The latest sector... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * A simple ranking shows leadership in alterative assets and commodities. * Stocks are not the place to be because the vast majority are below their 200-day SMAs. * Bitcoin is holding up relatively well as it sets up with a classic corrective pattern. Trading is all about the odds. Trade... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The Consumer Discretionary sector has underperformed the Consumer Staples sector since February, indicating defensive positioning for investors. * The Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) show a clear rotation from "things you want" to "things you need" as investors fear weakening economic conditions. * We remain focused on... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The entire top 5 has now changed positions. * All defensive sectors are now in the top 5, while Healthcare has reentered. * Portfolio is now lagging S&P 500. Healthcare Re-Enters the Top 5 After a wild week in the markets, the sector ranking got quite a shake-up.... READ MORE
Stock market rally, sector rotation, and earnings movers dominate this week's analysis with Mary Ellen McGonagle. In this video, Mary Ellen reviews where the market stands after last week's bounce and explains how White House activity drove major price action. Mary Ellen also highlights two top-performing... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * With fast-moving markets, this report is vulnerable to self-destruction within 5 days. * The bond vigilantes sent a message as long-term yields surged and bonds plunged. * Unless reversed, these developments are negative for stocks, especially rate sensitive stocks. In the opening scene of Mission Impossible 2, Ethan Hunt receives... READ MORE
Is the stock market on the verge of crashing or has it bottomed? In this video, Joe Rabil uses moving averages and Fibonacci retracement levels on a longer-term chart of the S&P 500 to identify support levels that could serve as potential bottoms for the current market correction.... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Consumer Staples replaces Healthcare in top 5 * More defensive rotation underway * RRG portfolio remains in line with market performance This article was first posted on 4/4/2025 and contained only rankings and charts. Then updated with comments 4/7/2025 I am attending and speaking at the... READ MORE
How low can the S&P and the Nasdaq fall? More importantly, how can an investor navigate this volatile environment? In this eye-opening video, Mary Ellen McGonagle delves into the stock market's fall, identifies key support levels, and compares them to past bear markets. She also discusses... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Kroger remains in a primary uptrend of higher highs and higher lows, a rare feature for S&P 500 members in April 2025. * Keurig Dr Pepper has overcome gap resistance and now demonstrates strong technical characteristics. * The Utilities sector has show improving relative strength in 2025, outperforming... READ MORE
Finding stocks that show promising opportunities can be challenging in a market that goes up and down based on news headlines. But, it's possible. In this video, watch how Grayson Roze and David Keller, CMT use the tools available in StockCharts to find stocks that are breaking out,... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Financials jump to #1 spot in S&P 500 sector rankings. * Three sectors now in leading quadrant on weekly RRG * Only Tech and Consumer Discretionary showing negative RRG headings * RRG portfolio outperforming S&P 500 YTD by 10 basis points Financials take the lead. No changes... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Among equity ETFs, non-cyclical groups are holding up the best. * Cyclical names have the most pronounced downtrends. The performance profile for 2025 says a lot about the state of the market. Commodity-related ETFs are leading, non-cyclical equity ETFs are holding up the best and cyclical names are performing... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Energy sector jumps to position #2 in top 5 * Consumer Staples drops out of portfolio * Communication Services remains at #1 spot * Modest pick up of relative momentum for XLK and XLY not enough yet Energy Jumps to #2 A big move for the energy sector last week as... READ MORE
After reaching an all-time around $540 in mid-February, the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) dropped almost 14% to make a new swing low around $467. With the S&P 500 and Nasdaq bouncing nicely this week, investors are struggling to differentiate between a bearish dead-cat bounce and a bullish full... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Building a diversified portfolio takes a lot of planning, but it doesn't have to be complicated. * Diversification helps you manage risk, though it can't eliminate it entirely. * StockCharts has all the tools you need to construct a sector-diversified portfolio. You already know about diversification.... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The broader stock market indexes break their two day winning streak. * Gold prices hit a new all-time high. * European stocks are in a solid uptrend. Tuesday's stock market action marked a reversal in investor sentiment, with the broader indexes closing lower. The S&P 500... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The stock market indexes rebounded with Real Estate, Energy, and Consumer Staples leading. * Retail sales data for February were slightly below expectations but better than January's data. * Investors are looking forward to Wednesday's FOMC meeting to hear what the committees thoughts are on economic... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * At the moment, we're seeing a big shakeup in sector rankings. * Healthcare has entered the top five. * Technology is dropping to last position. * All defensive sectors are now in the top five. Big Moves in Sector Ranking The ranking of US sectors continues to shift. At... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Gold has dramatically outperformed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq in 2025. * Gold prices remain in a primary uptrend, with our Market Trend Model reading bullish on all time frames. * Gold stocks are outperforming physical gold, and could represent a "catch up" trade going into... READ MORE
Is a new market uptrend on the horizon? In this video, Mary Ellen breaks down the latest stock market outlook, revealing key signals that could confirm a trend reversal. She dives into sector rotation, explains why defensive stocks are losing ground, and shares actionable short-term trading strategies for oversold stocks.... READ MORE
It's been rocky for the S&P 500 and particularly rocky for some industry groups and sectors. The market does appear ready to give us a good bounce, but past that we aren't overly bullish. Tariff talk has really pummeled the Retail (XRT) industry group... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Communication Services (XLC) maintains top spot, Tech (XLK) plummets * Shift towards defensive sectors evident in rankings * Consumer Discretionary (XLY) showing signs of weakness * Portfolio slightly outperforming SPY benchmark Sector Shake-Up: Defensive Moves and Tech's Tumble Last week's market volatility stirred up the sector rankings,... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Once our "line in the sand" of SPX 5850 was broken, that confirmed a likely bear phase for stocks. * We can use Fibonacci Retracements to identify a potential downside objective based on the strength of the previous bull trend. * A confirmed sell signal from the Newer... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * 2025 is off to a rough start with SPY, QQQ and IWM sporting losses. * ETFs with gains are bucking the market by showing relative and absolute strength. * The Biotech ETF broke out in January and is battling its breakout zone. 2025 is off to a rough start for... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Communication services maintains top spot in sector ranking. * Financials moves up to #2, pushing consumer discretionary down to #3. * Technology and utilities hold steady at #4 and #5 respectively. * Portfolio performance now on par with benchmark after recent outperformance. Sector Rotation: Financials Climb as Consumer Discretionary Slips While... READ MORE
Growth stocks just took a sharp hit—what does it mean for the market? In this video, Mary Ellen breaks down the impact, reveals why NVDA could soar higher, and highlights safer stocks with strong upside potential! This video originally premiered February 28, 2025. You can watch it on our... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Long-term Keltner Channels are trend-following indicators that identify volatility breakouts. * The Russell 2000 ETF triggered bearish this week and reversed a 14 month uptrend. * The S&P 500 SPDR remains within an uptrend and the current pullback is an opportunity. The Russell 2000 ETF triggered a bearish... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The retail sector has been trading sideways for almost three years. * Wall Street sees moderate growth for retail in 2025. * Retail may be presenting both swing trading and position trading opportunities right now. As "economic softening" increasingly emerges as the prevailing narrative driving the markets, the... READ MORE