KEY TAKEAWAYS * SMH has completed 100% of a measured move from the bottom of a double-top reversal. * SMH has broken below several key levels based on various indicators. * There are actionable levels in the SMH chart that traders can take advantage of if they materialize. Nvidia (NVDA) was perhaps the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Investor sentiment has turned more bearish with a continuation of a selloff in big tech stocks. * More earnings, an FOMC meeting, and jobs report are adding to investor uncertainty. * Keep an eye on bond prices as the data starts to unravel. Last week, there was a noticeable change... READ MORE
The bond market experienced a secular bear between 1981 and the spring of 2020. Chart 1 offers three reasons why it has since reversed and given way to a secular uptrend or possibly multi-year trading range. The first piece of evidence comes from violating the multi-decade trendline. Second, the price... READ MORE
This week we have four Magnificent Seven stocks reporting earnings. We also take a look at McDonalds (MCD) and Ford (F) going into earnings. How are the chart technicals setup on the precipice of earnings? Carl and Erin give you there thoughts. Carl reviews the DP Signal Tables to see... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Strong Sector Rotation Out Of Technology * Financials and Real Estate Lead * Stock/Bond Ratio Triggers Sell Signal Flying Financials In the recent sector rotation, basically OUT of technology and INTO anything else, Financials and Real-Estate led the relative move. On the RRG above, I have highlighted the (daily)... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The long-term trend provides perspective and sets the trading bias. * The bias is bullish during long-term uptrends. * Breaks below the 50-day SMA are viewed a opportunities, not threats. After a big run this year, Nvidia (NVDA) fell over 15% from its high and broke its 50-day simple moving... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * In June, Gilead Sciences saw a dramatic surge as positive results of a late-stage trial of its HIV drug had Wall Street buzzing. * GILD was a "sentiment trade" that spiked too quickly for most technical and fundamental indicators to make heads or tails of the move.... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave previews earnings releases from TSLA and GOOGL, breaks down key levels to watch for SPOT, GE, and more, and analyzes the discrepancy between S&P 500 and Nasdaq breadth indicators. See Dave's MarketCarpet featuring the Vanilla... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave previews earnings releases from TSLA and GOOGL, breaks down key levels to watch for SPOT, GE, and more, and analyzes the discrepancy between S&P 500 and Nasdaq breadth indicators. This video originally premiered on July 23, 2024.... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Following the CrowdStrike debacle, the stock is as much a technical trade as it is a news-driven trade * Crowdstrike's stock price has entered a potential buying zone, but potential lawsuits may be a headwind * Crowdstrike could be a buying opportunity but watch momentum, buying levels, and... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius takes a look at the markets through the lens of the "market factors" panel you can find on your StockCharts dashboard. Starting from the RRG, he then moves to the individual charts for these factors and notes a low correlation for... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down today's upside recovery day for stocks, then shares the charts of TSLA, NVDA, and more. He also illustrates the conflicting messages from AAII and NAAIM sentiment surveys, and also highlights the VIX testing the key... READ MORE
Friday was a bad day for CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) as a bug was pushed out that disrupted Windows machines worldwide. The trouble for CRWD is the follow-up lawsuits etc that will likely plague the stock for some time to come. You'll be shocked to see the warning signs... READ MORE
Most weekends, I run through a chart list featuring weekly bars and candlesticks of bonds, stocks and commodities to see if any one or two bar patterns or candlestick formations have developed. Last week produced a crop of bearish messages from the major averages and some sectors. Before you rush... READ MORE
Friday's CrowdStrike software disaster has been described as "the largest IT outage in history," and it brought home just how vulnerable the planet is to itty-bitty coding errors. We were busy publishing the DecisionPoint ALERT Weekly Wrap, so I didn't have a chance to... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Three consecutive declining days in the stock market increases risk appetite * Semiconductors were the catalyst for the selloff and trading below two support levels * Keep an eye on market breadth indicators to get indications of whether the stock market is correcting or if the selloff will be longer-term... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers viewer questions on the best time frames for viewing charts, insights on using Vanguard ETFs for sector rotation, the duration and effect of the Hindenburg Omen indicator, how stocks are indexed in Dow Jones Groups on StockCharts, and... READ MORE
The S&P 500 remains in a primary uptrend, as confirmed by a fairly consistent pattern of higher highs and higher lows. But what would confirm that a top is in place for our major equity benchmarks? To answer that, it may be helpful to review other charts that... READ MORE
(This is an excerpt from the subscriber-only DecisionPoint Alert) We noticed a double top on the Semiconductor industry group (SMH) that looks very much like the NVIDIA (NVDA) chart. NVDA is clearly the bellwether for the group, and it appears all of the Semiconductors are feeling the pain. The downside... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Technology is rotating out of favor * Market Capitalization is a two-edged sword * Negative divergences on Technology and S&P 500 charts are executing Strong Rotations on Daily RRG This daily RRG shows the sector rotation over the last five days. With only one more trading day to... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Carvana stock hit a new 52-week high and has potential to move higher * The weekly chart of Carvana's stock price shows the trend is up and has more upside potential * Carvana's stock chart shows the relative strength index is just approaching overbought territory, indicating... READ MORE
A silver cross occurs when a 20-day MA crosses above its 50-day counterpart. While far from perfect, such signals enable you to ride a persistent trend. However, like all trend following techniques, problems can occur in a trading range environment. Chart 1 features two recent buy signals for the S&... READ MORE
Earnings are coming into focus and today Erin looks at the big earnings stocks to find out which look the best going into earnings. She took the list of stocks and sorted them by the Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) which put the strongest stocks at the top of the list.... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Nasdaq 100 stocks account for over 30% of the S&P 500. * Nasdaq 100 stocks represent the risk appetite in the stock market. * Chartists can quantify the risk appetite using Nasdaq 100 specific breadth indicators. The Nasdaq 100 is a major driver in the stock market and... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Stock market sees rally in areas aside from the Magnificent Seven stocks * Small-cap stocks had an impressive performance in the last two trading days of the week * The stock market continues to show its bullish strength as we enter earnings season What a strange trip it's... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * What the Fed does in the coming months could dramatically affect the direction of gold prices * While seasonality suggests a shift from slump to strong performance for gold, it will likely coincide with the Fed's rate decisions in the coming months * Goldman Sachs projects gold to... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * NVIDIA (NVDA) breaks down with Magnificent Seven * Russell 2000 (IWM) gets IT Trend Model "Silver Cross" BUY Signal This is a complimentary excerpt from the subscriber-only DecisionPoint Alert. NVIDIA (NVDA) broke down today in what looks like an echo of last month's pullback. There... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The stock market could continue its bullish run on interest rate cut speculation * The S&P 500 Equal-Weighted Index is a good indication of the health of the overall stock market * Bond market action is often a leading indicator of stock market action With the S&... READ MORE
The legendary technician Edson Gould had a rule that, after three discount rate hikes, the stock market would be likely to stumble. That doesn't apply to emerging markets, but it did make a catchy headline. What is relevant to the iShares MSCI Emerging Market ETF (EEM) is that,... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, available to watch below, Dave continues a three-part series on selecting top charts to follow every month. In this second episode, Dave reviews charts he and Grayson Roze selected in May and June, reflecting on what has happened, what has... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Silver may be the next big "AI trade" * While silver ETFs are seeing large outflows, silver futures are telling a different story * Understanding silver's seasonal pattern and identifying the key levels to watch are critical Over the last few years, the "AI trade&... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, available to watch below, Dave begins a three-part series on selecting top charts to follow every month. In this first episode, he shares how he and Grayson Roze select the charts to include in the Top 10 lists using the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Value sectors have been consistently underperforming the benchmarks since the April market low * Technology has outperformed the S&P 500 as well as other growth sectors in 2024 * Defensive sectors like Utilities and Consumer Staples may be the most important to watch, as they can demonstrate investor... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * TSLA's stock price surged 32% above its zone of congestion following its April 23 earnings report * News of Tesla's dwindling inventories, plus expectations of a Fed rate cut before the end of the year (among other things), are fueling the stock's advance... READ MORE
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe uses a chart of AAPL to demonstrate how properly using a MACD and ADX indicator combo increases your chances of success. He analyzes 10-Year Yields, Bitcoin, Tesla, Datadog, and ServiceNow. Going through all the sectors, Joe explains... READ MORE
Residential housing is not important for its size relative to GDP, which, according to Copilot, is about 3-5%. Rather, due to its interest rate sensitivity, housing is significant because it is the first sector of the economy to turn at the end of a recession, and the first to turn... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, available to watch below, Dave celebrates the S&P 500 closing above 5500, laments the lack of market breadth, and provides updates on the infamous Hindenburg Omen. He also breaks down key levels to watch on charts of V,... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * AMZN's stock price entered new all-time high territory, closing at $200.02; it could rise higher * If AMZN's stock price dips, watch for key levels to enter a long position * Amazons' next earnings report is expected to drop on August 1, 2024, which... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, available to watch below, Dave lays out the strong seasonal pattern for the S&P 500 in July, highlights the breakouts in AAPL and TSLA, shares the painful breakdowns in MGM, WM and CCL, and addresses the sudden rise... READ MORE
Today's DP Trading Room was jam packed! The lead story is definitely the fact that deflation is another possibility that many are not talking about. We don't know if it will be the final outcome, but we have a link that discusses this possibility: https://hoisington.... READ MORE