On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson explores the Seasonality tool and shares how these unique charts can help you gain a deeper, more data-driven perspective on the market's latest moves. By charting historical price moves for each month of the... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave tracks the rapid decline in growth sectors including Technology and Communication Services as defensive plays like utilities and gold post a strong finish to the week. Dave answers questions from The Final Bar Mailbag on the McClellan Summation Index... READ MORE
The market followed the Moxie rules perfectly this week. The setup was there for our traders, and so we took advantage of the choppy down move over the last three days which were spurred on by some economic reports and worldly events. In this week's edition of Moxie... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Broader stock market indices are still holding support despite the selloff * The VIX closed higher but it's still tame relative to past readings * Gold futures closed above $1900 per ounce indicating that investors may have fled to gold in case geopolitical tensions escalated over the weekend... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Silver Cross Index Has Bullish "Shift" Above Signal Line for QQQ, XLC and IYT * QQQ Should Continue Higher * XLC Struggles Today, But Has Bullish Outlook * IYT Neutral Outlook Based on Relative Strength The Silver Cross Index is another way for us to measure participation within an... READ MORE
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe discusses keys to using the ADX indicator. He focuses on the 2 clear strategies for ADX and how to handle them. In addition, he describes the slope of this line and how that affects the strategy. Joe... READ MORE
Despite a rough ride in September, the S&P 500 is still up 14% year-to-date and the Nasdaq 100 is up a whopping 40%. The gains here, however, do not tell the entire story because many stocks are struggling in 2023. In fact, around half of the stocks in... READ MORE
Several short-term charts suggest the SPDR Real Estate ETF (XLRE) is getting ready to rock and roll, thereby indicating an extension to this week's rebound is in the cards. It's possible that the expected rally could result in shifting some of the longer-term indicators towards a... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Increasing demand for cybersecurity can give cybersecurity stocks a massive boost * Four cybersecurity stocks showing technical strength are PANW, FTNT, CRWD, and ZS * Keep an eye on the cybersecurity space, especially prior to the top companies' earnings announcement Cybersecurity companies occupy a unique space. It can never... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The StockCharts Technical Rank is indicating that AMD's stock price is strengthening * A bull flag pattern and potential resistance levels can help to make a projection on AMD's stock price * AMD stock's relative performance and momentum are improving, which means the stock... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Doug Ramsey, CFA CMT of The Leuthold Group talks small-cap underperformance and shares two breadth indicators illustrating the recently dire conditions. Host David Keller, CMT declares the 200-day moving average "the most important line in the sand for... READ MORE
The next direction of the long bonds is crucial in determining the macro. First, after a wrecking ball crash and ahead of the FOMC, we could surmise that a bottoming-like action defines the last several trading days. Our Real Motion indicator shows a mean reversion. The 10-day moving averages (cyan... READ MORE
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete reviews the bullish percent index; with all the market talking about oversold conditions, the bullish percent makes that narrative make more sense. He then reviews the 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) and deciphers what is happening on... READ MORE
Chartists looking to get the jump on a bigger breakout can turn to the swings within a developing pattern. For example, a Symmetrical Triangle after an advance is a bullish continuation pattern. We can get the jump on a breakout by trading a downswing reversal within the pattern. Let'... READ MORE
For consistency, here are the key go-tos during an uncertain time in the market: 1. The next direction of long bonds (TLT). 2. The next direction of the small caps and retail sectors (IWM, XRT). 3. The next direction of commodities, all of them, but particularly the agricultural ones, oil... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The accumulation phase is marked by higher highs and higher lows, as investors push the price onward and ever upward. * Stocks in the distribution phase are trending lower, with the price usually below two downward-sloping moving averages. * A symmetrical triangle or "coil" pattern is a telltale... READ MORE
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews the bullish bias that's shaping up in the markets as high-growth areas begin to turn positive. She also provides insights into what's driving this price action, as well as what to be on... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Strong September jobs report caused an initial shock but investors overcame it and the broader stock market indexes all closed higher * Volatility remained below 20 during the trading day * In addition to Technology and Communication Services, Financials may be showing bullish strength September's strong labor market—... READ MORE
The bond market is doing what the Federal Reserve hasn't -- raising rates. The fear is something is going to break. On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete reviews the TLT chart again, talking over the US 2-year yield less the US 10-year... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Jesse Felder of The Felder Report shares his long-term charts comparing price and earnings, and reveals the two charts he's watching now to navigate a potential market bottom. Dave focuses on resilient strength in the semiconductor group and... READ MORE
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe discusses the importance of the 18-month MA line for investing. He shows how it can provide a bias for a stock or market for years, and how it reveals when to play counter to the trend. Joe... READ MORE
S&P 500 earnings are in for 2023 Q2, and here is our valuation analysis. The following chart shows the normal value range of the S&P 500 Index, indicating where the S&P 500 would have to be in order to have an overvalued P/E... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave digs out his market correction playbook and shares what market breadth indicators tend to do leading into and out of market bottoms. He also reveals the charts that can serve investors well in corrective phases, using relative strength as... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Rising yields have wreaked havoc on equities but it's not necessarily a cause for worry * Growth stocks have performed well during high interest rate environments and are likely to do so again * The Bullish Percent Index can signal when a turnaround will occur The stock market... READ MORE
The Dollar Index I last wrote an article on the dollar in August, The Dollar Index Goes to Missouri. In it, I pointed out that the Index had reached crucial resistance, which, if surpassed, would signal a new primary bull market and a likely fourth up leg to the secular... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Jeff Huge, CMT of JWH Investment Partners updates his Elliott Wave count for the S&P 500 and shares what the MOVE index can tell us about further upside potential for interest rates. Dave recaps the continued deterioration... READ MORE
The pockets of strength are shrinking as more stocks succumb to selling pressure. The Nasdaq 100 is the strongest of the major indexes, while the Finance sector is one of the weakest sectors. Today's report will highlight two leaders within the Nasdaq 100 and two laggards within the... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shows how market breadth conditions have continued to deteriorate to the point where signs of a bottom may emerge. He answers viewer questions on historical Fed cycles, under-performance of defensive sectors like utilities, and how to use technical analysis... READ MORE
First & Foremost I want to personally thank you for subscribing to "Focus on Stocks". I will do all I can to earn the confidence you have placed in me. -- Larry Williams Is it a Different World? "I have to pay attention to the implications of... READ MORE
Although the market stayed flat on a week-to-week basis, the past five trading sessions highlighted the possibility of the market continuing with its corrective retracement. In the previous technical note, it was categorically mentioned that the INDIAVIX had closed at a precariously low level, which had left us vulnerable to... READ MORE
The S&P 500 posted its worst month so far this year, with a 4.9% decline that's pushed the year-to-date returns for this benchmark index almost in half. With elevated interest rates that may be with us for a while, investors have pushed stocks lower, in... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers viewer questions about Tesla's potential trajectory towards the 200-day moving average and ways to normalize relative strength graphs using volatility measures. He also dives into his past trades' technical setup, shares tips for setting up... READ MORE
In this edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, Tyler and Alex walk through a top-down approach to the markets and see that there are plenty of reasons why equities are struggling. Treasury rates and the Dollar are in strong "Go" moves and breaking out. The trend was strong... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Market volatility is low yet few stocks are trading above their 50-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages * Market indicators are showing lack of momentum in the stock market * Q4 earnings could be the catalyst that moves the market As Q3 and a dismal September end, some interesting dynamics... READ MORE
We have introduced two new tables in the DecisionPoint ALERT to give an overview of trend and BIAS for the major market indexes, sectors, and industry groups that we track. The first is our Market Scoreboard, which shows the current Intermediate-Term and Long-Term Trend Model (ITTM and LTTM) signal status.... READ MORE
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe explains how the creator of the MACD, Gerald Appel, used this indicator as an overbought/oversold oscillator. He shows how using the SPY on the daily chart as an example. He then explains what to do when... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * NVDA stock is holding on to the support of its 100-day moving average * NVDA has maintained a high StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) since early 2023 * NVDA's relative strength with respect to the S&P 500 is approaching 200% Nvidia's stock has maintained a... READ MORE
Chart 1 shows that the S&P Composite, like both A/D Lines, has completed and decisively broken down from a head-and-shoulders top. The two breadth indicators have also violated their bull market up trendlines. On the surface, things look pretty grim, with three seasonally weak September days left... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Rising Treasury yields have hurt growth stocks but buying opportunities could lie ahead * The stock market could bottom at the end of September and present buying opportunities * Watch Fibonacci levels, Equal Weighted S&P 500 Index, and market breadth for a reversal Last week wasn't... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * A convergence of fundamental and seasonality data predicts a potential decline in gold prices by the end of the year * Demand for gold has decreased by about 5% year-over-year in the first half of 2023, with central banks being the primary buyers * The Williams True Seasonal indicator aligns... READ MORE