Market Analysis


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Does the Market Have Bad Breadth?

Does the Market Have Bad Breadth?

KEY TAKEAWAYS * There have been less new 52-week highs since mid-September, suggesting leaders are falling off. * The percent of S&P 500 members above their 50-day moving average is below 75%, which often serves as a threshold for a downturn. * The S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index remains...   READ MORE 

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What More do the Bulls Want?

What More do the Bulls Want?

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Over 70% of S&P 500 stocks are above their 200-day SMAs. * SPY and RSP are trading near new highs. * We see a bullish continuation pattern in a key AI stock. It is a bull market for stocks. On the chart below, the S&P 500...   READ MORE 

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Will Technology Drive S&P Higher in October?

Will Technology Drive S&P Higher in October?

In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius explores the October seasonal outlook for the S&P 500 and various sectors. Seasonality suggests a potential rise in the S&P 500, fueled by strength in technology, but there are still concerns about the ongoing negative divergence between price and...   READ MORE 

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China Stocks May Be On to Something

China Stocks May Be On to Something

China's stock market exploded last week in an amazing rally, so formidable that it raises the question of whether it could be the start of a new bull market, or just a short-covering rally which will quickly fizzle out. In that respect, it's important to note...   READ MORE 

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These 4 Chinese Stocks are Worth a Look

These 4 Chinese Stocks are Worth a Look

In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe explains how to use two timeframes to identify 2 important characteristics of a great setup. For examples, he shares a few Chinese stocks that are showing great strength to the upside and what levels to watch for a pullback. Joe also covers the...   READ MORE 

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With 2024 Q2 Earnings In, Market Remains Very Overvalued

With 2024 Q2 Earnings In, Market Remains Very Overvalued

S&P 500 earnings are in for 2024 Q2, and here is our valuation analysis. The following chart shows the normal value range of the S&P 500 Index, indicating where the S&P 500 would have to be in order to have an overvalued P/E...   READ MORE 

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US Sectors Soar to New Highs!

US Sectors Soar to New Highs!

In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius takes a detailed look at the monthly charts for all US sectors and the S&P 500. With many sectors breaking to new highs, he highlights how the long-term uptrend for the S&P 500 remains intact. Julius also examines the...   READ MORE 

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Are Lower Interest Rates Bad For Workers? | Focus on Stocks: October 2024

Are Lower Interest Rates Bad For Workers? | Focus on Stocks: October 2024

The common economic perception is that lower interest rates are good for business, which, in turn, means good for job growth. The following charts will turn that idea upside down and inside out. Keep in mind there is no chart fancy-dancing going on here; I am just presenting the last...   READ MORE 

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DP Trading Room: Uncovering Stocks from DP Scan Alerts

DP Trading Room: Uncovering Stocks from DP Scan Alerts

In today's free DecisionPoint Trading Room, Erin pulls out her exclusive DecisionPoint Diamond Scans and finds us some new and interesting stock symbols to explore further. These scans are very powerful and bring the best charts to your attention. DecisionPoint has a new Scan Alert System for purchase...   READ MORE 

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Why Were Chinese Stocks Up 20% Last Week?!

Why Were Chinese Stocks Up 20% Last Week?!

In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen reviews the broader markets, including sector and industry group rotation, before highlighting the sharp move into Chinese stocks. She shares her thoughts on whether it's too late to participate. In addition, she looks at the key traits that signal your stock...   READ MORE 

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Stock Market Regains Bullish Edge: Can Geopolitical Tensions Change Its Direction?

Stock Market Regains Bullish Edge: Can Geopolitical Tensions Change Its Direction?

KEY TAKEAWAYS * The stock market got an influx of positive news, bringing bullish momentum. * The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at a record high on Friday. * Investors are rotating out of mega-cap tech stocks and into other areas such as precious metals, as well as China-related stocks and ETFs. There&...   READ MORE 

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Top Ten Charts to Watch for October 2024

Top Ten Charts to Watch for October 2024

As we near the end of what has been a fairly solid Q3 for the equity markets, we are left with the eternal question for investors: "What's next?" We now have the Fed's first rate cut in the rearview mirror, with multiple rate cuts...   READ MORE 

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Opportunities in Industrials and Materials

Opportunities in Industrials and Materials

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Negative divergence remains a distracting factor * Defensive rotation still present * Industrials and Materials on positive track toward leading RRG quadrant Despite a backdrop of conflicting market signals, there are still sectors within the S&P 500 that are showing promising movements and potential opportunities for investors. Today,...   READ MORE 

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China Stimulus Energizes Stocks, Commodities; Will The Energy Sink?

China Stimulus Energizes Stocks, Commodities; Will The Energy Sink?

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Stocks, commodities, and crypto prices soared after China announced its stimulus package, but pulled back slightly after the news. * Metal prices are still holding strong while oil prices pulled back. * Escalating geopolitical tensions don't seem to be impacting the stock market much at the moment. Tuesday&...   READ MORE 

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How to Use the ADX Indicator (Trend Strength Explained)

How to Use the ADX Indicator (Trend Strength Explained)

In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe  presents an introduction to the Average Directional Index (ADX), sharing how it is calculated and how to use it. He highlights some of the strengths, and weaknesses, of this powerful indicator. He then analyzes Bitcoin, NVDA, and AVGO, and finishes up the show...   READ MORE 

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Why the Stock Market is SO Confusing Right Now

Why the Stock Market is SO Confusing Right Now

In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius assesses current rotations in asset classes and US sectors using Relative Rotation Graphs, finding a lot of contradictory behavior. Taking a step back, he focuses on the weekly timeframe to find some more meaningful trends and shy away from day-to-day noise. He then...   READ MORE 

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The Dollar Index is Down, But Is It Out?

The Dollar Index is Down, But Is It Out?

The Dollar Index has been selling off sharply in the last few weeks and has now reached critical support in the form of the lower part of its recent trading range. The big question is whether it will break below the range or extend it in any way. Chart 1...   READ MORE 

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DP Trading Room: Analyzing Two New Stocks in SP500 (DELL, PLTR)

DP Trading Room: Analyzing Two New Stocks in SP500 (DELL, PLTR)

In today's free DP Trading Room Carl reviews the charts of two new members to the SP500, Dell (DELL) and Palantir (PLTR). Are they poised to break out on this news? Carl also discussed the inflation on housing prices to open the show. Before going over the signal...   READ MORE 

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Bullish or Bearish? The Truth About Rate Cuts and Stock Performance

Bullish or Bearish? The Truth About Rate Cuts and Stock Performance

So the first Fed rate cut is behind us, and we are no longer in a "higher for longer" period, but in a new rate cut cycle which will most likely last well into 2025. So that's good news for stocks, right? Well, not necessarily. The...   READ MORE 

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Strategy After Rate Cuts: Best Areas to BUY!

Strategy After Rate Cuts: Best Areas to BUY!

In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen reviews the broader markets after last week's rate-cut induced rally. She also shares stocks that are breaking out of bases and poised to trade higher. The "nuclear renaissance" is also discussed, as well as stocks that will benefit the...   READ MORE 

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Dow Jones in the Spotlight, Bonds Stabilize, Tech Plays Catch-Up

Dow Jones in the Spotlight, Bonds Stabilize, Tech Plays Catch-Up

KEY TAKEAWAYS * The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at a new all-time high. * Stock market indexes still have bullish momentum in spite of up and down movement. * Bond prices could stabilize after digesting the interest rate cut. The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut decision on Wednesdaywas like receiving...   READ MORE 

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A Sector Rotation Dilemma ...

A Sector Rotation Dilemma ...

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Sector Rotation remains defensive * S&P chart showing resemblence to late 2021 * Negative divergences still in play First of all, I apologize for my absence this week. I caught something that looked like Covid, and felt like Covid, but it did not identify (pun intended) as Covid....   READ MORE 

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This S&P 500 Rally is Defying the Experts – Here's What You Need to Know

This S&P 500 Rally is Defying the Experts – Here's What You Need to Know

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Wells Fargo analysts issued a warning about the current rally. * Their last warning in November 2023 may have caused many investors to have missed out on a huge move. * Analysts can be right or wrong, so it's important to watch key technical levels. If you logged...   READ MORE 

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The Fed Cut Discount Rate | Larry's "Family Gathering" September 19, 2024 Recording

The Fed Cut Discount Rate | Larry's "Family Gathering" September 19, 2024 Recording

Interest rates have been cut -- what now? Larry presents his thoughts in this edition of the Family Gathering video. In this month's Family Gathering video, Larry begins with what he calls the "Fed Cut Discount Rate" and what it means. What does history make of...   READ MORE 

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"Family Gathering" Meeting Today at 2 PM Eastern

"Family Gathering" Meeting Today at 2 PM Eastern

Today, Larry Williams will be hosting a "Family Gathering" meeting at 2pm Eastern Daylight Time (11am Pacific). Sign-in in begins 5 minutes prior. The show, which will include both a presentation from Larry and a viewer Q&A session, will be recorded and posted online for those...   READ MORE 

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Stock Market Today: Fed Cuts Rates and Market Makes Last Minute U-Turn

Stock Market Today: Fed Cuts Rates and Market Makes Last Minute U-Turn

KEY TAKEAWAYS * The Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points and shifts focus to the economy. * Stock market rallied after the Fed's interest rate cut decision but closed lower. * Treasury yields rose while bond prices fell. The stock market received what it expected from the Federal Reserve—...   READ MORE 

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The Secret to Perfecting SPY Entry Points? RSI!

The Secret to Perfecting SPY Entry Points? RSI!

In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe shows how to use RSI in multiple timeframes to identify the next buying opportunity in the SPY. Joe thinks this rally is important; he uses the ADX to distinguish between the strength in different indices. Joe demonstrates how he moves quickly around ACP,...   READ MORE 

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Investors Hesitant Ahead of Fed Meeting: How to Prepare

Investors Hesitant Ahead of Fed Meeting: How to Prepare

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Broader stock market indexes went above resistance levels, but retreated by the close. * Small-cap stocks took the lead in Tuesday's trading. * The Fed's decision on interest rates could make for a volatile trading day. The broader stock market indexes are still in a holding...   READ MORE 

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DP Trading Room: Tracking Gold Sentiment

DP Trading Room: Tracking Gold Sentiment

As part of Carl's review of Gold charts, he explained how we use the close-ended fund, Sprott Physical Gold Trust (PHYS) to measure sentiment for Gold. Depending on how PHYS trades, it trades at a discount or premium based on the physical Gold that it holds. These discounts...   READ MORE 

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These Stocks are Just Beginning Their Move Higher!

These Stocks are Just Beginning Their Move Higher!

In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen reviews the broader markets and highlights pockets of strength that are starting to trend higher. She also shares add-on plays to the move into home construction stocks, and shows key characteristics needed to confirm a downtrend reversal in select stocks. This video originally...   READ MORE 

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Here's My Most-Likely Scenario for QQQ

Here's My Most-Likely Scenario for QQQ

While the S&P 500 finished the week once again testing new all-time highs around 5650, the Nasdaq 100 remains rangebound in a symmetrical triangle or "coil" pattern.  While this pattern does not necessarily suggest a potential next move for the QQQ, it did lead me to...   READ MORE 

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A Half Point Fed Rate Cut? The Stock Market Thinks So

A Half Point Fed Rate Cut? The Stock Market Thinks So

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Stocks make a strong recovery after last week's selloff. * Large-, mid-, and small-cap stocks closed higher, with small caps the clear leader. * Gold and silver prices surged on interest rate cut expectations. This week's stock market action may have caught many investors by surprise....   READ MORE 

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Larry's LIVE "Family Gathering" Webinar Airs NEXT WEEK - Thursday, September 19 at 2 PM EDT!

Larry's LIVE "Family Gathering" Webinar Airs NEXT WEEK - Thursday, September 19 at 2 PM EDT!

Larry is going LIVE! Don't miss the upcoming "Family Gathering" webinar with Larry Williams, airing live through Zoom on Thursday, September 19 at 2:00pm Eastern Daylight Time. In this must-see event, Larry will be presenting his current opinions on a broad variety of current market...   READ MORE 

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A Déjà Vu in The Consumer Staples Sector Sends a Strong Warning Signal

A Déjà Vu in The Consumer Staples Sector Sends a Strong Warning Signal

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Tech bounce is judged as recovery within downtrend. * XLP, XLF, and XLV are positioned for outperformance in coming weeks. * The XLP chart is showing interesting characteristics which we have seen before Tech Rallies, But Remains Inside the Lagging Quadrant A quick look at the Relative Rotation Graph for...   READ MORE 

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Stock Market Today: Are Big Tech Growth Stocks Back in the Spotlight?

Stock Market Today: Are Big Tech Growth Stocks Back in the Spotlight?

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Stocks rebounded on Wednesday with wide trading ranges. * Investors are rotating back into large-cap growth and momentum stocks. * The Financial sector was hit hard by negative news from banks but made some recovery. It was a massive turnaround day in the market on Wednesday—stocks sold off after...   READ MORE 

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Pinpoint Strong Sectors BEFORE The Masses Notice

Pinpoint Strong Sectors BEFORE The Masses Notice

In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe discusses why he is a bottom-up technical analyst. He explains the difference between top-down and bottom-up analysis and uses this to show the strongest sectors rotating to the upside right now; this approach will help give advance notice of which areas to focus...   READ MORE 

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Why Stock Outperformance Might be ENDING!

Why Stock Outperformance Might be ENDING!

In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius takes a look at rotations in an asset allocation RRG. He compares fixed-income-related asset classes, commodities, the US dollar, Bitcoin and stocks to a balanced portfolio of 60% stocks/40% bonds. The long-lasting outperformance of stocks seems to be coming to an end....   READ MORE 

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Stock Market Today: Real Estate and Tech Lead, Energy Down

Stock Market Today: Real Estate and Tech Lead, Energy Down

KEY TAKEAWAYS * The real estate sector gains ground as interest rate cuts loom. * Technology stocks are showing slight gains, but not enough to shift momentum. * Energy prices slide lower on weakened demand. The Real Estate sector took the lead in Tuesday's trading, probably because interest rate cuts are...   READ MORE 

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DP Trading Room: AI Bubble Deflating

DP Trading Room: AI Bubble Deflating

The recent decline last week revealed that the artificial intelligence bubble is deflating. Magnificent Seven stocks are unwinding in response to investors losing confidence in the AI trade in general. Carl gives us a complete picture of the Magnificent Seven in the short and intermediate terms. It doesn't...   READ MORE 

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Market Timing for a Rules-Based Strategy

Market Timing for a Rules-Based Strategy

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Chartists need a market timing mechanism to assess risk * Risk is above average during bear markets (preserve capital) * Risk levels are acceptable during bull markets (invest capital) Any strategy that trades stocks needs some sort of market timing mechanism to identify bull and bear markets. Typically, stock strategies...   READ MORE