Arthur Hill analyzes breadth in the Health Care, Financials, and Technology sectors. Which sectors are still in a long-term trend, and which are ready to break down? Find out here.... READ MORE
Arthur Hill takes a deep dive into charts of QQQ, healthcare stocks, and tech stocks. ... READ MORE
The Health Care sector is making a comeback, with stocks within the sector generating new bullish signals. Here's a deep dive into the sector.... READ MORE
The SPY has traded above its 50-day simple moving average for 102 days, commodities are in a bull market, and crude oil is starting to turn up. Explore what Arthur Hill's analysis uncovers some of the activity taking place below the surface.... READ MORE
TLT broke out, but is still underperforming SPY; meanwhile, IWM has begun outperforming SPY. Arthur explains how to find the ideal "hunting grounds" for sectors.... READ MORE
This week, new highs are consistently outpacing new lows. The Communication Services sector is leading the pack, gold is surging, and there's a cybersecurity stock setting up for a big move. Read all about the stock market's price action here.... READ MORE
Market breadth is strengthening as more stocks move into long-term uptrends. The percentage of S&P 500 stocks above their 200-day moving average hit 70%. small and mid-caps are driving this expansion, signaling broad market strength.... READ MORE
Signs of correction and rotation emerged this week as money moved out of tech-related groups and into defensive groups. Here's a perspective on this week's rotation with some year-to-date performance metrics.... READ MORE
Which charts stand out this week? Arthur Hill analyzes the market and does a deep dive into the charts with price action that's not to be ignored.... READ MORE
Here's a deep dive into the differences between the 2024 bull market and 2025 bull run, small-cap performance, the price action in Bitcoin and gold, and the Bollinger Band squeeze in Tesla's stock price.... READ MORE
New highs show narrow leadership in the S&P 500, yet new highs are outpacing new lows. Will the leadership broaden? Watch these indicators.... READ MORE
Stock market correction risks are rising as key indicators flash warnings. Discover sector correlations with SPY, potential safe havens, and how Bitcoin's surge aligns with QQQ in this data-driven analysis.... READ MORE
Tech stocks are heating up, utilities break out, metals lead, and homebuilders hit a moment of truth.... READ MORE
Chartists can improve their odds and increase the number of opportunities by trading short-term bullish setups within bigger uptrends. The first order of business is to identify the long-term trend using a trend-following indicator. Second, chartist can turn to more granular analysis to find short-term bullish setups. Today's... READ MORE
The S&P MidCap 400 SPDR (MDY) is trading at a moment of truth as its 5-day SMA returns to the 200-day SMA. A bearish trend signal triggered in early March. Despite a strong bounce from early April to mid May, this signal remains in force because it has... READ MORE
Three sectors stand out, with one sporting a recent breakout that argues for higher prices. Today's report will highlight three criteria to define a leading uptrend. First, price should be above the rising 200-day SMA. Second, the price-relative should be above its rising 200-day SMA. And finally, leaders... READ MORE
QQQ and tech ETFs are leading the surge off the April low, but there is another group leading year-to-date. Year-to-date performance is important because it includes two big events: the stock market decline from mid February to early April and the steep surge into early June. We need to combine... READ MORE
The bullish signals stacked up in April and May, but most long-term breadth indicators are still bearish. SPY and QQQ showed signs of capitulation in early April and rebounded into mid April. A Zweig Breadth Thrust triggered on April 24th and several other thrust indicators turned bullish in May. We... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * SPY and QQQ surged above their 200-day SMAs this week. * The signal is bullish, but prone to whipsaws. * Chartists can reduce whipsaws with smoothing and signal filters. SPY and QQQ crossed above their 200-day SMAs with big moves on Monday, and held above these long-term moving averages the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * SPY broke down in March, plunged into early April and surged into early May. * This V bounce is impressive, but it is not enough to reverse the March breakdown. * A significant increase in upside participation is needed to move from bear market to bull market. Stocks plunged into... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Stocks are halfway after capitulation in early April and a Zweig Breadth Thrust. * SPY is still below its 200-day SMA and late March high. * Follow through is needed to trigger the medium and long term signals. The market does not always follow the same script or sequence, but... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * S&P 1500 Advance-Decline Percent triggered a Zweig Breadth Thrust this week. * These signals reflect a sudden and sharp shift in participation (net advancing percent). * ZBT signals only cover the entry, which means chartists need to consider an exit strategy should it fail. The Zweig Breadth Thrust... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * A simple ranking shows leadership in alterative assets and commodities. * Stocks are not the place to be because the vast majority are below their 200-day SMAs. * Bitcoin is holding up relatively well as it sets up with a classic corrective pattern. Trading is all about the odds. Trade... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Price and breadth fell to extremes in early April as the market panicked. * These extremes produced an oversold bounce, but this is still within a bear market. * Follow through is what separates bear market bounces from bullish breadth thrusts. Panic selling and oversold extremes gave way to a... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * With fast-moving markets, this report is vulnerable to self-destruction within 5 days. * The bond vigilantes sent a message as long-term yields surged and bonds plunged. * Unless reversed, these developments are negative for stocks, especially rate sensitive stocks. In the opening scene of Mission Impossible 2, Ethan Hunt receives... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Traders may consider alternatives, such as Bitcoin, in bear markets. * Bitcoin and SPY are positively correlated long-term, but one period stands out. * Even though Bitcoin shows short-term relative strength, it is short of a relative breakout. Stocks are in a freefall with selling pressure spreading into industrial metals... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Among equity ETFs, non-cyclical groups are holding up the best. * Cyclical names have the most pronounced downtrends. The performance profile for 2025 says a lot about the state of the market. Commodity-related ETFs are leading, non-cyclical equity ETFs are holding up the best and cyclical names are performing... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The Zweig Breadth Thrust is best known for its bullish reversal signals. * Traders can also use the "setup" period to identify oversold conditions. * Nasdaq stocks were left out of the original, but there is solution. The Zweig Breadth Thrust is best known for its bullish reversal... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * SPY reverses uptrend with sharpest decline in over two years. * Large-caps underperform the average S&P 500 stock. * Broken support and 40-week SMA turn resistance. The weight of the evidence shifted to the bears over the last few weeks. First, the major index ETFs reversed their long-term... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * 2025 is off to a rough start with SPY, QQQ and IWM sporting losses. * ETFs with gains are bucking the market by showing relative and absolute strength. * The Biotech ETF broke out in January and is battling its breakout zone. 2025 is off to a rough start for... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Long-term Keltner Channels are trend-following indicators that identify volatility breakouts. * The Russell 2000 ETF triggered bearish this week and reversed a 14 month uptrend. * The S&P 500 SPDR remains within an uptrend and the current pullback is an opportunity. The Russell 2000 ETF triggered a bearish... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Price represents a distillation of all news, events and rumors. * Our job is to set biases aside and focus on price action. * Chartists should focus on uptrends, relative strength and bullish setups. The news cycle is in high gear lately, leading to some extra volatility. Traders reacting to... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Pullbacks within uptrends provide opportunities to trade within an uptrend. * Retracements, broken resistance and support mark setup zones. * Strong breakouts should hold so we should mark re-evaluation levels accordingly. The Finance sector is leading the market with a new high this week and the Bank SPDR (KBE) is... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Chartists can use weekly charts to find strong uptrends and leaders. * We can then turn to the daily chart to find tradeable pullbacks along the way. * Oversold conditions in Percent-B also present opportunities. The Cybersecurity ETF (CIBR) has been leading the market for a solid four months and... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The Mag7 ETF (MAGS) is outperforming the market and in a strong uptrend. * MAGS broke out of a short-term bullish continuation pattern this week. * Nvidia, Tesla, Amazon and Meta are powering MAGS higher. The Mag7 ETF (MAGS) formed another short-term bullish continuation pattern as it worked its way... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Short-term breadth became oversold in mid December. * Stocks surged this week with mid-caps triggering a bullish breadth thrust. * A small bullish divergence preceded the breadth thrust. Mid-caps show leadership and were the first to trigger a breadth thrust. Stocks surged this week with mid-caps showing the highest participation... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * ETFs holding up during corrections often lead when the market turns up again. * Ranking performance based on year-to-date and one month Rate-of-Change. * ARTY and IHI show relative and absolute strength. The stock market is in pullback mode with the S&P 500 EW ETF down 5.15%... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) gained 10% in 2024 - but did it the hard way. * Even when trending higher, IWM is prone to pullbacks and erratic price action. * Chartists can put this to their advantage by using %B to identify tradable pullbacks. The Russell 2000 ETF managed... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Short-term breadth becomes most oversold in a year. * Bounce ensues, but has yet to show material increase in participation. * Setting key levels to identify a robust rebound. Breadth became oversold last week and stocks rebounded this week. Is this a robust rebound or a dead cat bounce? Today&... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * SPY and QQQ are still in long-term uptrends, but the red flags are rising. * Housing and semis, two key cyclical groups, are in downtrends. * Interest rates are rising as the 10-yr Yield reversed a 13 month downtrend. SPY and QQQ remain in long-term uptrends, but three big negatives... READ MORE