Tom Bowley

Tom Bowley


Tom is the Chief Market Strategist at EarningsBeats.com, a research and education platform for both financial professionals and individual investors. His comprehensive Daily Market Report provides insightful guidance to EB members every trading day. Learn More 

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Medical Equipment Remains A Leader; 2 Stocks To Watch

Medical Equipment Remains A Leader; 2 Stocks To Watch

Medical equipment stocks ($DJUSAM) have been solid absolute and relative performers for the past 7 years with few exceptions, so it certainly seems worthwhile to stay on top of its relative strength leaders.  One such leader in 2019 has been Avedro, Inc. (AVDR).  After a wicked week last week, AVDR...   READ MORE 

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When Contemplating Trades, Target The Leaders

When Contemplating Trades, Target The Leaders

I know I speak of relative strength frequently, but it kinda makes common sense, doesn't it?  In order to establish relative strength vs. your peers and the overall market, there has to be a lot of interest.  When buying clothes, do you buy what's in style...   READ MORE 

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Earnings Gaps Provide Excellent Reward To Risk Trades

Earnings Gaps Provide Excellent Reward To Risk Trades

Trading gaps from earnings is a big part of what I do.  The reason is simple.  When a company provides market participants new information, as a quarterly earnings report does, a new set of buyers and sellers emerge.  Better-than-expected news will provide an immediate short-term boost in price, while bad...   READ MORE 

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Financials Are About To Do Something They Haven't Done In Nearly 18 Months

Financials Are About To Do Something They Haven't Done In Nearly 18 Months

Financials (XLF) had been rather dormant for nearly 18 months - at least on a relative basis to the S&P 500 - but that is all about to change. While the group is certainly beginning to flex its collective muscle, the real confirming signal would likely be a...   READ MORE 

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This Pharma Stands Above (Most Of) The Crowd

This Pharma Stands Above (Most Of) The Crowd

Pharmaceuticals ($DJUSPR) have definitely been an area to avoid in 2019, which is somewhat surprising when you consider how effective many defensive areas have been this year.  Still, with the S&P 500 up roughly 18% year-to-date, the DJUSPR has actually fallen 2 points from 553 to 551, clearly...   READ MORE 

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Major Reversal In Software Offers Encouraging Sign

Major Reversal In Software Offers Encouraging Sign

I've been watching and waiting to see if software ($DJUSSW) would begin to show leadership again as we approach earnings season, which will kick off in the next few weeks.  If you've owned any software stocks other than Microsoft (MSFT), then you probably know all too...   READ MORE 

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This Mid Cap Might Be The Best Semiconductor Stock

This Mid Cap Might Be The Best Semiconductor Stock

Semiconductors ($DJUSSC, -1.78%) had a rough session on Tuesday, but they had been on a roll since early-August, rising from 3350 to 3850, and there have been plenty of leaders to choose from.  KLA Corp (KLAC), Lam Research (LRCX), Applied Materials (AMAT), and Micron Technology (MU) are certainly among...   READ MORE 

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3 Key Industry Groups Nearing Breakouts

3 Key Industry Groups Nearing Breakouts

The S&P 500 is slightly more than 1% away from setting a new all-time high close and there are several areas of the market I'm watching closely to evaluate leadership in the next leg of this bull market.  I'm going to ignore renewable energy...   READ MORE 

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Uncovering The Deception On Wall Street - Webinar Recording Available

Uncovering The Deception On Wall Street - Webinar Recording Available

Well, I have to admit, I'm always watching this first chart.  It's how consumer stocks are performing vs. one another.  When consumer discretionary stocks (XLY) are outperforming consumer staples stocks (XLP) over time, I'm generally very bullish U.S. equities.  Consumer spending comprises roughly...   READ MORE 

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Friday Wasn't Selling, It Was Manipulation

Friday Wasn't Selling, It Was Manipulation

I've seen it so, so many times.  The stock market is strong, trending higher and the bottom drops out.  Ever heard of "buy on rumor, sell on news"?  That was partly responsible for the end of week selling.  The Fed's policy statement on Wednesday...   READ MORE 

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2019 Lagging Industry Becoming Leader Again

2019 Lagging Industry Becoming Leader Again

The aerospace industry ($DJUSAS) has recently caught fire once again and it's worth noting - not only from an absolute perspective, but also from a relative strength standpoint.  Each pullback over the past 5-6 weeks has been met with buying at the 20 day EMA, a bullish development....   READ MORE 

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Post-Fed Action Provides Us MAJOR Clues....If You Know Where To Look

Post-Fed Action Provides Us MAJOR Clues....If You Know Where To Look

I think most technicians would agree that stock market action into the close is generally much more important than stock market action just after the open.  That is magnified even further when we have a major event take place intraday.  Yesterday, we had a widely anticipated Fed meeting with growing...   READ MORE 

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Hold Your Breath, It's Fed Day!

Hold Your Breath, It's Fed Day!

I'm nervous.  I believe the market has shown how nervous it's been as money quickly rotated from growth to value stocks ahead of today's Fed announcement.  Here's a 10 year weekly look at the IWF:IWD ratio (Russell 1000 growth vs. value)...   READ MORE 

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Crude Oil: The Long-Term View And The Fed's Role

Crude Oil: The Long-Term View And The Fed's Role

Crude oil ($WTIC) was certainly in the news on Monday after a drone strike crippled Saudi Arabian oil production by roughly 50%.  The immediate reduction in global oil supply was felt via a 14.68% surge in price to $62.90 per barrel.  Obviously, that's a one-time type...   READ MORE 

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Is Now The Time For FedEx?

Is Now The Time For FedEx?

FedEx Corp (FDX) will be reporting its latest quarterly results tomorrow after the closing bell.  In late-August, FDX printed a bullish engulfing candle and it's been moving straight up ever since.  It's now running into both gap and price resistance, however, so it needs a catalyst....   READ MORE 

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When Transports And Small Caps Talk, We MUST Listen

When Transports And Small Caps Talk, We MUST Listen

I've been adamant that we remain in a secular bull market, and I'm sticking to it. Yes, September scares me.  The Fed petrifies me. And no more tweets, please! Oh, and let's not forget about the inverted yield curve (which isn't inverted...   READ MORE 

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Daily Market Report - Friday, September 13, 2019

Daily Market Report - Friday, September 13, 2019

Special Note: On Monday, September 16th, I will officially begin writing full-time at EarningsBeats.com as its Chief Market Strategist, returning to a role that I left in March 2015 when I joined StockCharts.com as a Sr. Technical Analyst.  Below is a brief example of the type of information...   READ MORE 

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Wall Street Rallies As We Near Record Highs Once Again

Wall Street Rallies As We Near Record Highs Once Again

Market Recap for Thursday, September 12, 2019 Apparently we're back in the "feel good" portion of the trade war as President Trump announced on Thursday that there would be a tariff delay, providing a "gesture of good will".  Accordingly, global markets have rallied and...   READ MORE 

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Industrials Challenging Resistance Again; Airlines Poised Strong Q4?

Industrials Challenging Resistance Again; Airlines Poised Strong Q4?

Market Recap for Wednesday, September 11, 2019 On the 18th anniversary of 9/11, it was somewhat ironic that Boeing (BA, +3.51%) led the Dow Jones back above 27,000 and within 1% of its all-time high.  Apple (AAPL, +3.05%) also performed quite well, with both stocks breaking...   READ MORE 

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Energy And Transports Benefit From Rotating Market

Energy And Transports Benefit From Rotating Market

Market Recap for Tuesday, September 10, 2019 We once again finished in bifurcated fashion on Tuesday with the small cap Russell 2000 ($RUT, +1.28%) and the Dow Jones ($INDU, +0.28%) leading the action, while the S&P 500 ($SPX, +0.03%) and the NASDAQ ($COMPQ, -0.04%...   READ MORE 

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Bifurcated Action Draws Sellers In Leading Industries

Bifurcated Action Draws Sellers In Leading Industries

Market Recap for Monday, September 9, 2019 Monday's action was odd, mixed and bifurcated.  The small cap Russell 2000 ($RUT) had a very strong day, rising 1.27%, while the NASDAQ, another aggressive index, fell 0.19%.  The Dow Jones finished with a slight gain, but the S&...   READ MORE 

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My Monday Trade Setup Features A Leader In Software

My Monday Trade Setup Features A Leader In Software

Special Event Today! This is probably the most excited that I've been for an event ever.  I honestly believe that the lineup of products and services that we've put together at EarningsBeats.com will benefit thousands of followers/subscribers across the globe.  After spending 20 years...   READ MORE 

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Scanning For Stocks With Strong Technicals AND Strong Fundamentals

Scanning For Stocks With Strong Technicals AND Strong Fundamentals

I maintain a "Strong Earnings ChartList", where I organize those companies who (1) beat Wall Street consensus estimates as to both revenues and earnings per share (EPS), (2) have adequate liquidity (generally trade more than 200,000 shares daily), and (3) have shown solid technical price action.  The...   READ MORE 

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Earnings Season Never Ends; These 2 Companies Prove It

Earnings Season Never Ends; These 2 Companies Prove It

The beauty of being both a fundamentalist and a technician is that the fun never stops.  Many of you may view earnings season to last from the middle of the first month of each calendar quarter (when Dow Jones component stocks and the biggest money center banks begin reporting) to...   READ MORE 

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S&P 500 Breaks Trading Range To Upside And There Was Very Bullish Confirmation

S&P 500 Breaks Trading Range To Upside And There Was Very Bullish Confirmation

Market Recap for Thursday, September 5, 2019 U.S. indices had a strong day on Thursday, with leadership from key aggressive areas.  The small cap Russell 2000 ($RUT) led the action with a solid 1.75% gain.  More on the RUT in today's Current Outlook section below.  The...   READ MORE 

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Head & Shoulder Top Is Perhaps The Most Over-Hyped Technical Pattern

Head & Shoulder Top Is Perhaps The Most Over-Hyped Technical Pattern

Market Recap for Wednesday, September 4, 2019 It was a solid day for U.S. equities as all of our major indices rallied, as did all 11 sectors.  Communication services (XLC, +1.94%) and technology (XLK, +1.71%) were the top two performing sectors.  Broadcasting & entertainment ($DJUSBC, +2.12%...   READ MORE 

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Defensive Sectors Hold U.S. Equities Up

Defensive Sectors Hold U.S. Equities Up

Market Recap for Tuesday, September 3, 2019 This is just a very brief market recap as I'm on jury duty this week. New U.S. tariffs took effect this morning and it's September, so the stock market saw considerable weakness, especially at the open.  Defensive sectors...   READ MORE 

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Sneak Preview: Sector and Industry Relative Strength Analysis

Sneak Preview: Sector and Industry Relative Strength Analysis

Special Note There will be no Trading Places blog article on Tuesday, September 3rd as I've been selected for jury duty and will be out all day.  I'll find out more of my schedule (for later this week) tomorrow morning and I will post articles here...   READ MORE 

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The 3 Biggest Risks As We Enter September; The Trade War Isn't One

The 3 Biggest Risks As We Enter September; The Trade War Isn't One

Listen, the media loves to overhype the trade war.  Seriously, is there anyone that isn't aware of the trade war, the tweets, the rhetoric, etc. at this point?  Hasn't everyone already priced in an economic disaster because of it?  Oh wait! That's right, our...   READ MORE 

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China Blinks First, U.S. Equities Rally

China Blinks First, U.S. Equities Rally

Market Recap for Thursday, August 29, 2019 Well, thank you China.  On Thursday morning, China pledged a calmer approach to the trade war and indicated they would not retaliate for the latest tariffs imposed by the U.S.  At least not now.  Temporarily, that appeased traders who used the opportunity...   READ MORE 

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Consumer Strength Is Real, PLUS A Personal Announcement

Consumer Strength Is Real, PLUS A Personal Announcement

Market Recap for Wednesday, August 28, 2019 10 of 11 sectors advanced in a broad-based rally on Wednesday that carried the Dow Jones higher by 1%.  The small cap Russell 2000, a major laggard in 2019, rose 1.15% in a rare day of outperformance.  Energy (XLE, +1.43%), consumer...   READ MORE 

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Volatility And Treasury Yields: The Two Beasts Of Burden

Volatility And Treasury Yields: The Two Beasts Of Burden

Market Recap for Tuesday, August 27, 2019 U.S. equities were strong out of the gate on Tuesday, but had little follow-through as sellers re-emerged.  Early gains on our major indices quickly vanished and these key indices were left trying to minimize losses into the close.  There were no significant...   READ MORE 

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Here's The Driving Force Behind My Bullishness

Here's The Driving Force Behind My Bullishness

Market Recap for Monday, August 26, 2019 All eleven sectors advanced on Monday as U.S. equities staged a rally following Friday's selloff.  It wasn't overly impressive in my view as most of the gains came at the opening bell.  There wasn't much follow...   READ MORE 

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Trade War Escalates, Key Price Support Revisited

Trade War Escalates, Key Price Support Revisited

Market Recap for Friday, August 23, 2019 Friday was another trade war disaster.  It's almost as if we're getting numb to it.  Dow Jones down 600.  Ho-hum.  Technically, there wasn't even a short-term violation as the S&P 500 simply moved back down...   READ MORE 

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Summing Up The Transportation Group And Its Impact

Summing Up The Transportation Group And Its Impact

Market Recap for Thursday, August 22, 2019 U.S. equities began Thursday on mostly a positive note, but reservations from Fed officials and a manufacturing report that showed weakness weighed on sentiment as stocks gave back earlier gains, finishing mixed.  The Dow Jones was able to end the session in...   READ MORE 

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Target And Lowes Deliver The Goods; Equities Surge

Target And Lowes Deliver The Goods; Equities Surge

Market Recap for Wednesday, August 21, 2019 It was a big day for broadline retail ($DJUSRB, +1.91%) and home improvement ($DJUSHI, +3.68%) as strong earnings from Target (TGT, +20.43%) and Lowes Companies (LOW, +10.35%), respectively, sent both groups higher, along with the overall market.  All of...   READ MORE 

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Tuesday's Weak Close Has Very Little Impact On Market Outlook

Tuesday's Weak Close Has Very Little Impact On Market Outlook

Market Recap for Tuesday, August 20, 2019 It was another day of consolidation for U.S. equities.  That's not a bad thing.  Let's establish a base, allowing the weak hands to get out before the next push higher.  If we break those recent lows, we'...   READ MORE 

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A Birds-Eye View Of The S&P 500 Weekly Chart; The Bulls Are In Charge

A Birds-Eye View Of The S&P 500 Weekly Chart; The Bulls Are In Charge

Market Recap for Monday, August 19, 2019 The S&P 500 rallied for a third consecutive day, this time rising 1.21% and closing back above its 20 day EMA for the first time in August.  The other major indices also rallied, including leadership from the NASDAQ and Russell...   READ MORE 

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A Mystery Group Emerges To Lead Friday's Stock Market Rally

A Mystery Group Emerges To Lead Friday's Stock Market Rally

Special Event Today Every quarter, I announce my Top 10 Stocks (equally-weighted) for my Model, Aggressive and Income portfolios.  Today's the day!  It all starts at 4:30pm EST.  CLICK HERE for portfolio performance and registration information. Market Recap for Friday, August 16, 2019 Industrials (XLI, +1.93%...   READ MORE 

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The Results Are In, Here Are The Winners And Losers

The Results Are In, Here Are The Winners And Losers

Monday will mark the end of my third quarter of performance for the Model Portfolio.  I've easily surpassed the benchmark S&P 500 in each quarter and this last quarter was certainly no exception.  The average return of the 10 equal-weighted stocks in this portfolio was 12....   READ MORE