Rotation YOU Need To Be Following

Person juggling different industry groups: rotation you need to follow

There's always a bull market somewhere. Where? Well, it depends on your timeframe.

I can tell you that right now it's not semiconductors. That could change, as this is a group that typically leads secular bull market advances. As we head into the historically weak month of September, here's a quick look at the 12 best-performing industry groups over the past month.

12 best-performing industry groups over the past month
12 Best-Performing Industry Groups Over the Past Month.

Gold is on fire again. I'm not sure what this says about the bull market, as gold is many times used as a hedge against inflation. If we truly should be bracing for higher inflation, the upcoming month for U.S. stocks could be a big problem.

Check out gold mining's ($DJUSPM) recent breakout from a bullish wedge continuation pattern.

Gold Mining breaks out of bullish continuation wedge pattern
Gold Mining Breaks Out of Bullish Continuation Wedge Pattern. Chart source: StockCharts.com.

Nonferrous metals ($DJUSNF) kept testing price resistance in the 950–960 area until finally blasting through it on Friday.

Nonferrous metals testing resistance at 950–960 area
Nonferrous Metals Testing Resistance at 950–960 Area. Chart source: StockCharts.com.

Aluminum ($DJUSAL) is strengthening. It will look much more bullish if it can clear 190.

Aluminum strengthening: needs to clear 190
Aluminum Strengthening: Needs to Clear 190. Chart source: StockCharts.com.

The bounce off of a now-rising 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) is nice, and the Percentage Price Oscillator (PPO) crossing centerline resistance is encouraging, but can aluminum make the most important move of all... a break above key price resistance?

There are other areas showing tons of improvement, even though they didn't make the top 12 industry group list over the past month. For instance, investment services ($DJUSSB) has been trending higher and could be on the verge of completing a bullish cup.

Investment Services trending higher: bullish cup completion possible
Investment Services Trending Higher: Bullish Cup Completion Possible. Chart source: StockCharts.com.

All of these moves look great, but they're occurring in areas of the market that don't carry much weight. However, if technology stocks (XLK) continue to struggle, these are areas to consider parking your cash during what could be a very turbulent September.


FREE LiveStreaming Event

On Saturday morning at 10:00am ET, I'll be hosting a FREE LiveStreaming event, "Four Critical Market Signals, One Verdict". I'll be reviewing a few key areas of the market that could derail this secular bull market run and flip the S&P 500 into a nasty September correction. This will be a highly educational event, one in which I'll be discussing defensive strategies as we navigate a potentially volatile market. From the Fed to bond yields to market rotation to historical tendencies, you'll have plenty to think about. Simply CLICK HERE to register with your name and email address. I'll see you on Saturday morning!

Happy trading!
Tom

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